Michael Barrett
Analyst · B. Riley FBR. Please go ahead
Thank you, Nick. Before we get started, I want to take a moment to recognize that this is our first earnings call as Magnite, the leading CTV and full service omni-channel SSP. When we intend to merge in December, we knew that our combined company deserved a new name and name that would capture the culture and drive of both companies, project our strength as a global leader, position us as the alternative to the walled gardens and highlight our ambition to unite the industry through innovation and transparency. The Magnite brand embodies all of that. And since we launched it in June, the excitement from our clients and partners has been phenomenal. I’d like to review the highlights of our first full quarter since completing the merger. We’ve seen a strong improvement in our business trends since our last call and are seeing very positive momentum since the start of Q3. But before we get to the current trends, which you’ll be most interested in, I’ll give a brief overview of the second quarter 2020 results. Q2 revenue was $4.3 million reflecting year-over-year revenue growth of 12% versus as reported Rubicon Project only revenue of $37.9 million in Q2 2019. CTV revenue was $7.9 million in Q2, which represented an increase of 12% year-over-year. And Q2 adjusted EBITDA was – loss was $3.5 million much better than we originally expected. Since our last earnings call, we have observed a steadily improving revenue recovery. We noted in our last earnings call that we had observed revenue stabilizing in April and early May at a level of roughly down 30% year-over-year on a pro forma basis. Revenue in May and June continue to recover with June down only 17% year-over-year on a pro forma basis resulting in a 24% year-over-year decline for the full quarter. Since the start of this quarter, we have observed even greater recovery with Q3 revenue quarter to date, nearly breakeven year-over-year on a pro forma basis. Since this started Q3, we have observed even more rapid acceleration in CTV revenue growth currently running at roughly 50% up year-over-year. I’d like to provide some color on where we are seeing signs of recovery. The top three performing ad sectors in Q3 to date our technology, home and garden, and health and fitness. The lowest performing sectors are travel, retail and automotive. From a global regional perspective, we’ve continued to see significant APAC outperformance relative to Americas and EMEA. Q3 quarter to date, APAC is growing in the high teens on a pro forma year-over-year basis in both the Americas and EMEA are close to returning to flat pro forma year-over-year growth. We’ve done some additional work looking at ad spend trends in regions of the U.S. impacted by coronavirus resurgence. Initially, we saw ad spend slow in regions where hotspots to be concentrated in April and May. However, when new hotspots emerged in July, there has not been a corresponding slowdown in spend in these areas. We’ve in fact seen continued sequential growth in ad spend in all geographic areas led by the strongest sectors we mentioned earlier. Overall, as we step back and look at the main drivers of ad spend improvement, several trends emerge. Increased marketer confidence in the second half of 2020, SPO or supply path optimization, which you first the buyers consolidated in the number of supply partners they work with, the return of live sports, an uptick in political ad spend, and lastly ad spend shift from marketers participating and ad boycotts of social sites like Facebook. On the SPO front, we have seen a flight to quality that has benefited Magnite. DSPs, agencies and publishers are narrowing their programmatic partners to a handful of full service omni-channel players with sufficient resources to whether the COVID impacted economy. We expect this trend to accelerate in the coming quarters and are also seeing a pickup in ad spend as a result of larger DSPs consolidating spend with us away from smaller industry players through SPO. On the sports side, we’ve seen the return of Basketball, Baseball, Soccer, Hockey, and Golf among others in various strong ad spend deployment against programming. We participate directly in the live sports market with CTV spend with Hulu, Sling, Pluto, Fox, Fubo and others not to mention ESPN across all of their formats. Political spend is starting to grow with less than four months until the November election. That there may be an earlier spending surge, which primarily impacts our CTV business with more mailing versus live voting this year as compared to past elections. And as a result, we expect a more concentrated impact from political spending in Q3 versus Q4. Lastly, we’ve been tracking the spend of many large brands that made public statements of their social media boycotts. Since the boycott begin, we’ve seen a pickup in their specific spending that has continued into early August. I’ll now shift gears to CTV. The CTV business is an important focus for us, and we provide an industry-leading CTV monetization platform to many of the largest players in the market. In Q2 2020, CTV represented 19% of our total revenue. 2020 the CTV market continues to accelerate, the largest industry participants, including Hulu, Disney, Roku, Peacock, Sling, Pluto and others has seen strong subscriber growth, increased consumer viewing time and solid ad spend growth. We are seeing the same positive trends in our CTV business, which we define as digital content viewed on traditional TV screen. Specifically, we have seen a significant increase in CTV ad inventory. This was driven by consumers watching more CTV content during the COVID-19 pandemic and by larger secular trends. These trends include consumers cord cutting or canceling satellite subscriptions to save money, consumer preference for the lower cost ad supported CTV content and marketers shifting dollars to CTV because of the audience and its premium content. Together, these trends are driving continued solid performance of our CTV business, which as I mentioned earlier is now growing approximately 50% year-over-year since the start of Q3. We gathered some additional color on CTV industry trends and predictions that demonstrate the strength of this growing market. Cord cutting is accelerating. By 2024 traditional linear pay TV subscribers are expected to decline by 27 million or down 24% to less than half of all occupied U.S. households according to research from Moffett Nathanson. The combination of high prices as well as loss of live sports contributed to an overall drop of 1.8 million pay TV subscribers in Q1 that translates into an annual rate of decline of 7.6%, the fastest shrinkage of the sector on record, which we expect even further accelerated during the pandemic in Q2. AVOD platforms are growing downloads the Pluto app more than triple to 3 million in April from 900,000 in January according to Sensor Tower, a market researcher. Sennheiser to be jumped 30% to 4 million over the same period while VooDoo is left 55% to 673,000. Finally, on the demand side agencies plan to increase their OTT CTV spending by 46% compared to 2019 while brands said they expected to boost budgets by 32%, according to IAB in their June 2020 report. As these and other trends continue to play out, we have seen business with our largest partners grow across the Board that include the likes of Hulu, Sling, Pluto, DISH, Tubi, and across many of the content providers like Discovery, Fox and NBC. We believe the future is bright for connected TV, Magnite an importantly our clients will continue to benefit from our industry-leading technology and service as the CTV market evolves. I’d like to change topics and talk a little bit about privacy. There continues to be a lot of attention in our industry on privacy initiatives from both regulators and industry participants concerning the collection and use of individual user data. For instance, Google’s recent decision to eliminate the use of third-party cookies and Apple’s recent announcement requiring user opt-in for IDSA tracking. First, we fully support consumer privacy efforts and believe a privacy first model is good for the health of our industry in our business. The new privacy paradigm is shifting responsibility for identification more squarely to publishers that have first party relationships with their consumers and are better position to get consent versus a third-party that is operating in the background. This transform the value a publisher has with their users and as the largest independent SSP, we are well positioned to help them capitalize in this industry. Second, while we expect there to be some short-term disruption in the ecosystem as participants adjust to the absence of certain identifiers, we do not expect these changes to cause meaningful reductions in overall ad spend or revenue. We do not believe budgets will generally be reduced and we believe that spend will continue to flow to high value users on a mix of mobile, desktop and CTV. It may mean more volume trading at lower CPMs in some cases, but ad budgets themselves should continue to be deployed and there is no lack of inventory. Furthermore, CTV ad spend has never been third-party cookie dependent or dependent upon mobile identifiers, like IDSA. So there should be little to no impact to CTV growth as the industry works towards the new targeting paradigm. In fact, more spend will likely shift to CTV, especially, as our addressability efforts, continue to roll out and allow buyers to find their audiences on these platforms. Third, we are actively participating in this industry shift to ensure that we enable our publishers to realize value for their first party data without sacrificing the security and control over that data. Some of the things we are doing to include helping publishers pass-through first party values such as demo, interest and subscriber types in the bid request, which allows buyers to incorporate this publisher info into their buys. Packaging publisher segments into deal IDs, which allows buyers to purchase segments rather than identifiers, augmenting buyer segments with lookalike segments created by first party publisher data, support for the SK ad network standard, which was released by Apple and augmented by IAB specifications to allow for attribution on Apple devices. And lastly, beta testing our new vendor marketplace, which allows sellers to package their data and extend that to other publisher inventory. This is live with some accounts today. Beyond publisher first party data, we are also leading efforts prebid.org with broad industry support and open community driven first party identity model. And we are obviously participating heavily in the Google Chrome privacy project, also referred to as Google Privacy Sandbox. Now an update on demand manager, where we continue to see strong adoption by leading publishers. At the end of Q2, we had 172 live contracts as compared to 156 at the end of Q1 and 86 at year-end. Revenue continues to grow and we continue to meet or exceed our contract signing targets for the year, which bodes well for the future as publishers look to the decreased costs and optimize revenue. The key growth drivers for our business remain the same. We are focused on continuing to invest in CTV as our fastest growth area, driving revenue and the combined non-CTV video businesses to deliver growth, accelerating SPO as a transparent independent omni-channel partner growing our publisher focused prebid offering with demand manager, and lastly, playing a key supporting role in the changing landscape and identity solutions. I am proud of the efforts that our team has undertaken to be productive and make huge strides to recover and further position us for success going forward. The merger of our two companies is a huge strategic milestone to position us for the future and I’m even more optimistic now than ever. With that, I will hand things over to David, who will go into greater detail regarding our Q2 financial performance, cost reductions and expectations. David?