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Transcript
OP
Operator
Operator
Good morning and welcome to the MGM MIRAGE fourth quarter conference call. Joining the call from the company today are Terry Lanni, Chairman and Chief Executive Officer, Jim Murren, President and Chief Operating Officer, Bobby Baldwin, Chief Design and Construction Officer of MGM MIRAGE and President and CEO of CityCenter, Dan D'Arrigo, Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer, Gary Jacobs, Executive Vice President, General Counsel, and Secretary, and Aldo Manzini, Executive Vice President and Chief Administrative Officer. (Operator Instructions) Now I would like to turn the call over to Mr. Dan D'Arrigo. Please go ahead sir.
DD
Daniel D'Arrigo
Management
Thank you, Heather, and good morning everyone and welcome to MGM MIRAGE's fourth quarter earnings call. This morning the call will be broadcast live on the Internet at www.mgm-mirage.com and at companyboardroom.com. A replay of the call will also be made available on our website. In addition, we furnished this morning this earnings release with the SEC on a form 8-K and additionally we provided supplemental financial information on the company's website for each of you. (Technical Difficulties) Before I turn it over to Terry, I've just a few opening comments here and some safe-harbor disclosures. The information we present on this call may contain forward-looking statements as defined by the SEC. Such forward-looking statements are protected by the Safe Harbor's Amendments of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Forward-looking statements involve risks and uncertainty that could cause actual results to differ materially from estimates. Listeners should also refer to our disclosures about risks and uncertainty made in our filings with the SEC. And now I'd like to turn it over to Terry Lanni for some commentary on our development initiatives in CityCenter.
TL
Terrence Lanni
Management
Thank you, Dan, and good morning, ladies and gentlemen. Before I get into some detailed information on our development activities, I would like to take a few moments to make some comments regarding our results for the year 2007. We clearly had an excellent year in 2007. We generated revenue growth of 7% with very strong top-line performance in all areas of our operations. Our industry-leading operating margins remained very strong, excluding obviously, the items discussed in the release. Our property EBITDA margin was 36% in both the years of 2007 and the previous year 2006. As a result of continued revenue growth and stable margins, we earned record profits in each of the four quarters last year. We opened two new resorts in 2007; the very exciting MGM Grand Detroit on October 2, last year and then MGM Grand Macau with our partner, Pansy Ho on December 18, again, an amazing facility. We entered into several new joint ventures and strategic partnerships with world class organizations which will truly set the framework for near-term and long-term growth. Our future in this year, 2008, and well beyond, is very bright. And our management team will remain focused on expanding our operations domestically and internationally and operating our existing resorts to maximize their appeal to our visitors. MGM Grand Macau as I mentioned, has had promising initial results. We have received very positive feedback from various parties. The property is absolutely beautiful. It takes time to build the business overall in Macau, in meeting our initial expectations. The high-end business is considerably stronger than we expected, particularly the junket room operators business, which is the mainstay of business, as you know, in Macau. We see significant opportunities in the mass market table games and slot business, as these operations have been…
DD
Daniel D'Arrigo
Management
Thank you, Terry. I'd like to provide a short summary of certain financial results for the fourth quarter, which were outlined and detailed in our press release this morning. About two weeks ago, we provided an estimate of our earnings with a range of approximately $0.60 - $0.65 per share excluding the impact of the gain we were to recognize on the CityCenter transaction. This morning, we reported diluted earnings per share from continuing operations for the fourth quarter of $2.85, or $0.62 excluding the CityCenter gain, compared to $0.68 in the prior year's quarter which is consistent with the previously announced guidance. Obviously, the CityCenter gain represented $2.23 per share and is one of the most meaningful items affecting the comparability in the quarter, but I'd also point out there's other items in the quarter that affected these results, one of which is the fact that our Signature at MGM Grand had completed its development and sales process in the third quarter of this year. And last year we had significant sales in contributions to EPS as a result of selling Tower 2 in the fourth quarter of last year. And as we outlined in the release, these factors are clearly stated in the year-over-year comparisons that affected. And we also had additional pre-opening expenses of roughly $0.09 more this year, due to Macau and Detroit, than we did last year. Obviously, you can roughly do your own calculations based on the items listed in the release, but on a comparable basis from EPS excluding all of these items, EPS was up roughly 8% in the quarter year-over-year. Although, it's difficult to compare to some of the analysts' consensus, we've laid out the table such that you can do each of the analysis yourself, as certain of you included…
JM
James Murren
Management
Well thank you Dan. Honestly, we're proud of the fourth quarter. Revenue and profits rose in every department, and the fourth quarter punctuated a really terrific and record year for us in 2007. Specifically in the fourth quarter, hotel revenue was up $23 million or about 5% in the quarter, if you exclude Detroit, because that opens, obviously, this year. In the fourth quarter of '07, revenue was actually up 4% year-over-year, still quite strong. Las Vegas strip REVPAR was up 4% that was our 18th consecutive quarter with REVPAR increases. We had a good rate, average rate was $156 in the quarter versus $151 in the prior year fourth quarter. Occupancy continued to be strong in the fourth quarter at our strip resorts: it was 93% in the fourth quarter, and that was consistent with the 2006 fourth quarter. Over on the food & beverage side, food and beverage were up 7%, entertainment revenues were up 8%, really a continuation of our strategy to invest in non-gaming areas. These strong results are continuing our ability to maximize our competitive advantages, and we have many more projects of that nature that will open up in 2008 and beyond. We made investments here in Las Vegas and outside of the strip, particularly here in Las Vegas. Things to look forward to this year would be the brand new theater at Luxor that opens up in September, with Cirque du Soleil and Chriss Angel. Another great restaurant venue over at the Mirage, we have rooms that are being remodeled almost throughout the portfolio properties, in particular at Mirage, TI, Excalibur, and New York. New York is going through a pretty significant transformation right now, the entire casino is being remodeled, and we're opening up a hot new club there, and a bar,…
RB
Robert Baldwin
Management
Good morning everyone. Thanks, Jim. As you're all aware, on Friday, January 25, the Monte Carlo experienced a fire, on the roof of its 32 story hotel tower. The fire forced the immediate evacuation and subsequent closure of the hotel. The evacuation and fire suppression systems worked as designed and thankfully there were no injuries. The fire damages were largely contained to the roof; however there was smoke and severe water damage to many of the guest rooms and corridors. Construction and remediation work commenced immediately the next day, and Monte Carlo successfully reopened Friday, February 15, with a total of 1,224 rooms ready for occupancy. The casino is fully operational and will have a total of 2,026 rooms open for this weekend. And that includes all the rooms except the top six floors, which are 570 rooms. These rooms were more heavily damaged, primarily by the water, and these rooms are going to be completely redesigned and opened sometime this summer. The Monte Carlo is covered by insurance for property damage and business interruption. Our preliminary estimate of the claim associated with this fire is in the range of $90 million. Update on CityCenter: Construction continues and remains on schedule, with an anticipated opening in late 2009, and we currently have 5,600 construction workers on the site. The number of construction workers on the site is expected to peak later this summer, at a total of 7,000. The Hotel Casino Tower at CityCenter is expected to top-out in September of this year. The concrete structure currently is up to level 36, drywall stud framing is ongoing through level 27, structural steel is completed in the west podium and 65% complete in the east podium, and 60% complete in the Convention Center. Vdara is expected top-out in August. Concrete structure…
DD
Daniel D'Arrigo
Management
Thank you Bobby. Just some quick updates and some additional numbers, on the financial results, a little bit of guidance, and then we will have plenty of time for questions. For the quarter, we invested approximately $515 million in capital. The breakdown is listed in our earnings release, this morning. This brought our total 2007 capital expenditures basically in line with our guidance, roughly about 2.6 billion, excluding the strip land that we had purchased in April of this year. Our balance sheet was significantly enhanced as a result of the cash we received, as Terry mentioned, on the CityCenter transaction and the private placement of our shares to Dubai World, this quarter. We paid down approximately $3 billion in debt. We bought back, approximately 7.4 million shares in the fourth quarter for approximately $652 million. And as we stated in the release, after year-end, we initiated the joint tender offer with Dubai World, which expired last Thursday. We will collectively purchase 15 million shares, of which MGM MIRAGE will purchase 8.5 million shares for approximately $680 million. That will leave about 10 million shares available under our current December 2007 authorization plan. In February of this year, 2008, we repaid $180 million of senior notes using our credit facilities, and have only approximately $200 million in maturities remaining this year. So that gives us a lot of financial flexibility in 2008. After giving effect to the recent tender we have approximately $2.9 billion of availability under our senior credit facilities. A little outlook on our future operations; we had given some preliminary indication of our first quarter results, through January, on our pre-release, a couple of weeks ago. Consistent with our experience in January, our forecast for the fourth quarter is for REVPAR to be slightly down, verses last…
OP
Operator
Operator
(Operator instructions) Your first question comes from the line of Larry Klatzkin with Jefferies & Company.
Larry Klatzkin - Jefferies & Co.: Hey guys. Glad to hear Vegas is still strong and living. A couple of questions. One, Dan, for clarification. If you were to back everything out, I'm coming out with about $0.43 on about $552 million of EBITDA. Do those numbers sound right, because everyone coming up with slightly different numbers?
DD
Daniel D'Arrigo
Management
I think your $0.43 probably includes a couple of cents, I think, depending, it may include a couple of cents for Signature. And so it depends on how you are looking at that piece and after corporate expense you're probably around 540-550ish, sounds like about the right number, after corporate.
Larry Klatzkin - Jefferies & Co.: Ok, good. Macau, January, February. How does that look right now? And what was the EBITDA in December? I realize it was probably a loss, given a short period in the start-up.
DD
Daniel D'Arrigo
Management
TL
Terrence Lanni
Management
Larry, I'll take this, it's Terry Lanni. As far as the operation, as you know, there are four components in Macau that are significant. Rooms, food and beverage is not one of those four, or any of those four. The four components obviously tend to be the mass market, which is broken down between slots and table games, and then we have the In House VIP, and we have the Room Operating VIP. If you take each of those categories, we are well ahead of any forecast we had in the room operators. We are running somewhere between 60%-75% in volume, over what we expected. And we are holding at the proper level. As far as the aspect of our In House operations, that will be kicking in. It's ramping up. We are probably running about 40% below in volume in that area, but it was a higher differential before, it's ramping up as we go along. The mass market is the area that we have seen has been weakest to date, not unexpectedly, because our competitors have the same situation when they first opened. That has to do with the mass market table games and the slots, and those continue to ramp up. We are running on the table game aspect down about 15% from where we had expected to be. And on slots we are more like, about, 35% down. But those, again, are ramping up in the weeks that have continued. And so far we are on budget, as far as the EBITDA is concerned.
Larry Klatzkin - Jefferies & Co.: Okay. Good. As far as AC goes, any more enlightenment as far as what the project is going to be like and timing of when you think it might be opening?
DD
Daniel D'Arrigo
Management
Well, we are in the process now, as you probably are familiar with CAFRA, the Costal Area Facility Review Act, we are in that process now. I spoke with Ken Rosenberg, who is the development person for that project, just yesterday, and he thinks we will be through CAFRA sometime this year. Maybe earlier in the year then we had originally anticipated. The design phase, we are finalizing that now, we have the preliminary work, and then we have the design work to be finalized and then we have to price that all out. And I would suspect that would be accomplished, all three of those components would be accomplished, during the year and everything finished by the end of the year, in that regard which would give us the ability to go into the ground in early '09.
Larry Klatzkin - Jefferies & Co.: Oh, excellent. Okay. And then, are you guys still looking - you can't buy stock for another two days, but given the low level in the stock are you guys still going to go out there and aggressively look at buying your stock on an opportunistic basis?
TL
Terrence Lanni
Management
As Dan told you, we have about ten million shares available under the authorization from our board of directors, who will evaluate that from time to time.
Larry Klatzkin - Jefferies & Co.: All right. Thank you, guys.
OP
Operator
Operator
Your next question comes from the line of Joe Greff with Bear Stearns.
JS
Joe Greff - Bear Stearns
Analyst · Bear Stearns.
. :
JM
James Murren
Management
Are you talking about in the convention business?
JS
Joe Greff - Bear Stearns
Analyst · Bear Stearns.
Yes.
JM
James Murren
Management
Okay, sure. Well, we had a good fourth quarter net regarded well. In the first quarter of this year, if you add up all our convention business we are going to be down for sure. We think we will be down around 10% on room nights related to conventions. That is going to improve throughout the year. We think we will be down about half of that in the second quarter, maybe 5%-6% in the second quarter, in terms of convention room nights. We are actually showing a forecast of being up 6% in convention room nights in the third quarter and up again the fourth quarter. So, kind of consistent with what – Terri, I think you were the first to be quoted back in August, that we saw weakness in our convention business for the first quarter of this year. That is turning out to be the case. However, that trend looks like it is going to improve throughout the year, particularly as we get in to the second half. We think it will be up pretty solidly in the second half of the year.
JS
Joe Greff - Bear Stearns
Analyst · Bear Stearns.
And Dan, would you be able to break out the Beau Rivage 4Q, property level EBITDA?
DD
Daniel D'Arrigo
Management
Sure Joe. As we laid out in the release, the Beau Rivage had a 39.2 million credit to their G&A in the quarter. We will grab that number for you. I think, year-over-year they were down, excluding insurance proceeds in both periods, I think they were down about seven or eight million. I think they were about 18-19 million last year verses about 11-12 million this year, on a comparable basis.
JS
Joe Greff - Bear Stearns
Analyst · Bear Stearns.
And do you have the construction in progress balance at the end of the fourth quarter?
DD
Daniel D'Arrigo
Management
I don’t have that in front of me, just yet, but we will be filling our 10-K by the end of next week.
JS
Joe Greff - Bear Stearns
Analyst · Bear Stearns.
Thanks guys.
OP
Operator
Operator
Your next question comes from the line of Robin Farley with UBS
Robin Farley – UBS:
RB
Robert Baldwin
Management
RU
Robin Farley - UBS
Analyst
TL
Terrence Lanni
Management
RU
Robin Farley - UBS
Analyst
TL
Terrence Lanni
Management
RU
Robin Farley - UBS
Analyst
OP
Operator
Operator
DO
David Katz - Oppenheimer
Analyst
DD
Daniel D'Arrigo
Management
RB
Robert Baldwin
Management
DO
David Katz - Oppenheimer
Analyst
RB
Robert Baldwin
Management
DO
David Katz - Oppenheimer
Analyst
JM
James Murren
Management
RB
Robert Baldwin
Management
DO
David Katz - Oppenheimer
Analyst
OP
Operator
Operator
BB
Bill Lerner - Deutsche Bank
Analyst
DD
Daniel D'Arrigo
Management
TL
Terrence Lanni
Management
BB
Bill Lerner - Deutsche Bank
Analyst
TL
Terrence Lanni
Management
BB
Bill Lerner - Deutsche Bank
Analyst
TL
Terrence Lanni
Management
BB
Bill Lerner - Deutsche Bank
Analyst
OP
Operator
Operator
Cameron McKnight – JP Morgan:
JM
James Murren
Management
TL
Terrence Lanni
Management
CM
Cameron McKnight - JP Morgan
Analyst
Okay, great. Thanks. And you mentioned you’d increased debt facilities in Macau to accommodate seed costs on the second project. Can you give us some idea of how you’re thinking in terms of the framework around a second project?
DD
Daniel D'Arrigo
Management
Well, we’re still working not only with our partner, but with the government Cameron there to secure the actual land. So until that’s done, which we think will be by the end of this year, we’ll be working on different development plans for that site, which right now have not been firmed up yet with our partner, but the site is a great site in a good location. It’s not as big as say the Venetian site or some of the other sites in Kotai. But it’s about double the size of the site we have on the Peninsula, and it’ll probably be another high-end boutique type hotel. But the absolute plans and program just haven’t been finalized yet.
TL
Terrence Lanni
Management
And Cameron, if I may add, our job number one at Macau is to expand the existing facility, and we’ll be moving into phase two and finishing the design work on that. And we’ll shortly move then from there into the construction phase, and that's well ahead of this but I would hope that we’d actually close on the second site before the end of this year.
CM
Cameron McKnight - JP Morgan
Analyst
Okay, great, thanks, and just finally; Have you seen the impacts close to the opening of Palazzo?
TL
Terrence Lanni
Management
What’s Palazzo?
JM
James Murren
Management
I think it’s fair to say we have not and we’ll leave it at that.
CM
Cameron McKnight - JP Morgan
Analyst
Great. Thank you.
OP
Operator
Operator
Your next question comes from the line of Celeste Brown with Morgan Stanley
CS
Celeste Brown - Morgan Stanley
Analyst · Morgan Stanley
Hi guys. A couple of questions. First, it sounded like you’re suggesting that Chinese New Year in Macau was quite strong just because people were staying in the region rather that coming to Las Vegas. Did you see any impact from the weather? Did that offset any of that potential growth?
TL
Terrence Lanni
Management
I learned a long time ago not to use weather as an excuse for things. I can’t focus on that. I don’t really know. I just anecdotally - because we don’t have a lot of comparative figures, and talking to our people there and looking at the numbers on a daily basis, it’s pretty clear that the very strong business in Chinese New Year's in Macau from our standpoint. That’s the point. I can’t say if it’s from weather of what. But I do think that, as it was pointed out by us earlier and Dan specifically, the close proximity between Western New Year's and Chinese New Year's had a significant effect, and as Jim had mentioned earlier and Dan did also, we did rather well against those people in Western New Year’s, and generally when you tend to lose a fair amount of money you like to recoup, and they may have stayed home and spent a little bit more time with their businesses also so that they could come back. But we’ll see them on a continuing basis.
CS
Celeste Brown - Morgan Stanley
Analyst · Morgan Stanley
And then, just for Jim. Can you tell us what kind of groups have been the most aggressive in cancellation - in canceling - and then, for the people who are still coming, they’re spending less their hotel room, obviously. Are they spending less on their gaming and the other non-gaming components as well?
JM
James Murren
Management
Well, it’s the kind of groups, kind of broad, this is a generalization. We’ve seen some tech companies cancel, more actually defer than cancel. We’ll see if they ultimately cancel. But they’ve pushed things off into the second half of the year, which kind of gets back to Robin’s question why we feel it will get better. We’ve seen some, you might find this surprising, but people in the financial services industry have reduced or delayed or cancelled their conventions altogether. For the most part, we’ve said that those would be the two areas I would point to. In terms of what they’re spending while they’re here, it’s really hard to drill into that too much. We have seen an impact on some of our food and beverage venues, but we’re still doing well on food and beverage and of course it’s always an indicator, always still selling out, and our shows are doing extremely well. And so most of our non-gaming venues, which would be convention oriented, retail is doing pretty well, holding up. On the gaming side, I think it would be more specific to the broader discussion that Dan mentioned in terms of the economy and middle market properties that we operate and own, we’ve seen a reduction in gaming volumes. And we’ve seen that, actually, for several months, not just recently, whereas we’re seeing pretty robust trends in our higher end.
CS
Celeste Brown - Morgan Stanley
Analyst · Morgan Stanley
Thank you.
TL
Terrence Lanni
Management
Heather, I think we have time for one more question. That would be great.
OP
Operator
Operator
Okay. Your final question comes from the line of Jeff Logsdon of BMO
Jeff Logsdon – BMO: Thank you. It looks like your receivables were up 13% or 14%. Is that all gaming related, and does that have any impact on what was going on with the new opening in Macau?
JM
James Murren
Management
Well, Macau is treated, from a financial statement standpoint, much like (indiscernible), so it’s not a consolidated entity on the face of our balance sheet, Jeff. And most of it’s attributable to the high-end play that we’ve talked about on Macau over the Western New Year period, and some of that doesn’t get closed out obviously until early this year when people either pay those balances or close them out while they’re here. So it’s basically a little bit of a timing issue. But with the strength of the high end play over Western New Year’s we had more receivables out this year.
Jeff Logsdon – BMO: Is there a critical path to getting some closure on licensing of Pansy Ho or is that just in limbo or twilight zone?
TL
Terrence Lanni
Management
Well you know, as you recall, Pansy is not going through a licensing process; this is a finding of suitability. We can’t speak to where New Jersey is at in their process, but we’ve been, we, and she, continue to cooperate with them and hopefully we’ll get to a resolution soon.
Jeff Logsdon – BMO: Great, thanks.
TL
Terrence Lanni
Management
Heather, I think, with that we’ll wrap it up. Thank you everyone for joining us. If you have any follow-up questions, please feel free to call my office directly and thanks for joining us.
OP
Operator
Operator
Thank you. This concludes today’s MGM MIRAGE fourth quarter conference call. You may now disconnect.