Craig Knutson
Analyst · Steve Delaney with JMP Securities. Please go ahead
Thank you, Hal. Good morning, everyone. I would like to thank you for your interest in and welcome you to MFA Financial's fourth quarter 2020 financial results webcast. Also dialed in with me today are Steve Yarad, our CFO; Gudmundur Kristjansson and Bryan Wulfsohn, our Co-Chief Investment Officers; and other members of senior management. Before we begin, I want to again recognize our entire MFA team. 2020 was obviously a very challenging year on many levels and our team powered through the adversity and persevere. There is no quit in this group. And I think we made extraordinary progress in the second half of 2020, and particularly in the fourth quarter. So, the fourth quarter of 2020, on a macro level, was very much an extension of the third quarter. Interest rate volatility was again muted and accommodative stead monetary policy continued to provide support for risk assets with little indication that this will change materially in 2021. The short end of the curve remains firmly anchored, consistent with the lower for longer narrative. Two-year rates inched into the high teens very briefly in mid-November, but are barely in double digits so far in 2021. The yield curve does continue to surreptitiously steepen as the 10-year backed up 23 basis points in the fourth quarter and another almost 45 since year-end. With two 10's at approximately 125 basis points, this hardly qualifies as a steep yield curve by historical standards, but it has steepened by about 45 basis points since the end of the year. This is not surprising in light of political developments as the expectation of additional stimulus will continue to raise concerns about inflation. I do have to smile a little when I hear this recent chatter about higher rates, however, with 10's yielding 135 as 10s were above 3% less than 2.5 years ago. Yes, we are off the lows at least for 10 years, but let's not kid ourselves. We are still in an extraordinary and unprecedented low interest rate environment. Agency origination crowded out non-conforming production for much of 2020, but with even a modest increase in agency eligible mortgage rates, we've seen an increase in production from non-QM and business purpose loans in recent months. With rates at particularly low levels and credit spreads very tight, suffice to say, there are no cheap assets out there; however, these same market conditions have pushed yields on issued securities to all-time lows. So, while it is a difficult period for assets, it's an extremely attractive one for liabilities. And MFA has taken advantage of this opportunity to lock in low-cost, term, non-recourse debt, which will substantially reduce interest expense in the future. In addition, a strong housing market together with our ability to actively manage residential mortgage credit assets has also been reflected in our financial results, as we have achieved better than expected results on credit sensitive assets resulting in reversals of prior credit reserves and sales of OREO properties at attractive levels. Please turn to Page 4. We reported GAAP earnings of $0.08 per share in the fourth quarter. These results were driven by continued price appreciation of loans held at fair value and by further improvement in credit leading to credit loss reserve reversals. On the other hand, fourth quarter earnings were reduced by expenses related to the acceleration of discount in connection with our pay-off of the $500 million, 11% Apollo with being senior note in September and October. We also closed out the outstanding warrant position of Apollo/Athene during the fourth quarter through straight warrant repurchases and a warrant exercise via combination of cash and cashless exercise. There are no more outstanding warrants, and the overall dilution associated with these transactions was less than 4%. Obviously, our GAAP book value would have been up by approximately 2.4% for the quarter had it not been for these warrants. Economic book value, also negatively impacted by 3.9% by the warrants, was nevertheless unchanged at $4.92 during the fourth quarter, as our loans held at carrying value appreciated further. We've repurchased 14.1 million common shares for an aggregate purchase price of a little over $50 million during the quarter at an average price of less than 80% of September 30 GAAP book value and less than 75% of economic book value. We view these purchases as among the best available investments in the fourth quarter. Our leverage declined modestly over the quarter to 1.7 to 1 primarily due to the pay-off of the Apollo was being debt and we paid a $0.075 dividend to shareholders on January 29. Please turn to Page 5. Our net interest income for the fourth quarter nearly doubled versus the third quarter despite slightly lower overall interest income as our interest expense reductions begin to meaningfully drive results. Interest expense reductions are due to some repo borrowing cost spread reductions, securitizations, which replaced repo and non-mark-to-market financing with substantially cheaper funding, and the pay-off of the Apollo was within note. The impact of these efforts was not fully reflected in the fourth quarter as they were all done at varying points within the quarter. We also took advantage of a strong housing market to opportunistically liquidate OREO properties, which we own mostly through resolution of nonperforming loans purchased years ago. These sales totaled over $270 million for the year and were executed at prices well above our carrying value. We believe that the hard work that we've done since emerging from forbearance at the end of June has benefited stockholders, as our total shareholder return was 62% from June 30 to December 31. Clearly, we still have wood to chop, but we are committed to continuing to rebuild shareholder value. Please turn to Slide 6. We illustrate our investment portfolio and summarize our asset-based financing on this slide. The investment portfolio has not changed materially since September 30. We did add $111 million of loans in the fourth quarter. And Bryan and Gudmundur will discuss additional details about the loan portfolio later in this presentation. Just to review on this pie chart, the loans held at carrying value on our balance sheet are represented in three slices of the pie chart. The purple section, PCD or Purchased Credit Deteriorated loans. This is accounting speak for re-performing loans and other loans are seasoned performing loans. The gray section, Business Purpose loans, are Fix and Flip and single-family rental loans. And the red section are the non-QM loans. On the financing side, you can see that 67% of our asset-based financing is non-mark-to-market with the SFR securitization that we closed at the beginning of February. This is now over 70%. Please turn to Page 7. Again, continuing the theme of aggressively taking advantage of available market opportunities, we've executed three additional securitizations on $1.2 billion of UPB at successively tighter levels. As you can see on this page, AAA yields on bonds sold on the most recent two deals were below 1% and the blended cost of debt sold was in the low 1's, and was in some cases, almost 200 basis points lower than the cost of borrowing we replaced. Also noteworthy is that while some of the financing that we replaced with these securitizations was non-mark-to-market, the securitized debt is similarly non-mark-to-market, non-recourse and term. So, we actually increased the amount of this more durable financing while substantially lowering the cost. Bonds sold generated cash of between 91% and 94% of UPB which also produced approximately $250 million of additional liquidity. Please turn to Page 8. Page 8 provides the details of the repurchase and exercise of the previously outstanding warrant position. Through a straight repurchase of warrants on December 10 for $33.7 million and an exercise through a combination of cash and cashless exercise on December 28, we were able to limit the dilution of warrants granted, which was 7.5% at the time of grant to less than 4%. Apollo and Athene hold 12.3 million shares or about 2.7% of outstanding shares, and we continue to maintain a strong partnership with both Apollo and Athene. That said, we think that the elimination of any uncertainty around an outstanding warrant position should have a positive impact on our stock. Please turn to Page 9. We announced on our third quarter earnings call that our Board has authorized a $250 million stock repurchase program and we executed this during the open window period in the fourth quarter by purchasing 14.1 million shares at an average price of $3.61, which was accretive to GAAP and economic book value by $0.03 and $0.04 respectively. In addition, the $33.7 million warrant repurchase was included under this plan. So, all in, we deployed almost $85 million during the quarter and still have $165 million available under this authorization. Please turn to Page 10. We announced the redemption of our $100 million 8% senior notes due in 2042. These $25 par bonds were issued in 2012. This redemption, which was completed shortly after year-end, will save $8 million in annual interest expense. We did book a non-cash charge of $3.1 million in the fourth quarter for unamortized issuance expenses. These $25 par bonds were sold primarily to retail investors, similar to [payment deferral] and hence the relatively high-issuance expense. Please turn to Page 11. So, in the feel good department, and just to demonstrate that it's not solely about the numbers, I'm happy to report two significant accolades for MFA. For the second year in a row, MFA was included in the Bloomberg Gender Equality Index. We were recognized as one of 380 public companies across 44 countries and regions for our commitment to and support of gender equality. Additionally, MFA has been certified as a Great Place to Work by the Great Place to Work Institute. This award is based on anonymous employee feedback through an engagement survey that we conducted through this organization. This important validation of our culture is a testament to our people. Management does not make MFA a great place to work, our people do. But management has a role, it's simply to hire great people, and our team collectively creates our culture. In today's work-from-home world, this recognition is also an important distinction for us for hiring, as almost all recruitment is virtual these days. And I will now turn the call over to Steve Yarad to discuss additional details of our financial results.