Craig Knutson
Analyst · KBW
Thank you, Hal. Good morning, everyone. I'd like to thank you for your interest in and welcome you to MFA Financial's First Quarter 2019 Financial Results Webcast. With me today are Steve Yarad, our CFO; Gudmundur Kristjansson and Bryan Wulfsohn, our Co-Chief Investment Officers and other members of senior management. The first quarter of 2019 was a stunning reversal from the fourth quarter of 2018 for financial assets. Stocks recovered most of the losses they suffered during the fourth quarter of 2018, ending the quarter up over 10% versus December 31 levels. Bonds also rallied pushing interest rates down and flattening the yield curve during the first quarter. Volatility declined substantially from the fourth quarter and credit spreads tightened with high yield spreads ending the quarter about 135 basis points tighter than level seen at year-end, although still nearly 100 basis points wider than those observed at the end of the third quarter of 2018. Tighter credit spreads had a visible impact on MFA's CRT portfolio, as they regained much of the market value lost during the fourth quarter. MFA's investment acquisition strategy, particularly our focus on purchased performing loans, in which we include Non-QM, fix and flip and single-family rental loans, is proving to be a durable model as we grew this asset class by $740 million in our investment portfolio overall by $369 million during the first quarter. The groundwork that we laid beginning in early 2017 is continuing to gain traction as our origination partners grow their businesses at least in part through MFA's consistent capital commitment. MFA's reputation as a reliable buyer of residential whole loans and dependable capital partner has enabled us to source significant volume of whole loans, including, in some cases, transactions with limited competition. Please turn to Page 3. MFA's GAAP earnings per share was $0.19 in the first quarter and we paid a $0.20 dividend to common stockholders on April 30. MFA has paid a $0.20 dividend now for 22 consecutive quarters. We are introducing the concept of core earnings beginning in the first quarter of 2019. This is a non-GAAP measure, which excludes the impact of unrealized gains and losses on certain of our investments for which we use fair value accounting. I will provide further detail of this core earnings concept in the next slide. We acquired over $1.2 billion of assets in the first quarter of 2019, growing our portfolio by approximately $369 million. Our book value declined very slightly to $7.11 from $7.15 and our economic return for the quarter was 2.2%. And finally, our estimated undistributed taxable income was $0.07 per share as of March 31. Please turn to Page 4. As previously mentioned, we have reintroduced a concept of core earnings. Some of you may recall that we used to report core earnings years ago to adjust for what at the time were referred to as Linked Transactions. Our current definition of core earnings is GAAP earnings adjusted for the impact of unrealized gains and losses on certain assets that are accounted for at fair value. Specifically, we eliminate the GAAP earnings impact of price changes on CRT securities and Agency MBS and related hedges that are accounted for at fair value. Please note that our definition of core earnings includes realized gains and losses as well as unrealized gains and losses on residential whole loans at fair value. By reporting core earnings, we hope to provide what the company considers to be our economic earnings. In addition, we expect that our core earnings will serve as an input to dividend determination. We have provided a pro forma analysis on Page 25 of the presentation of what our core earnings would have been had we implemented this measure in both 2017 and 2018. Notably, while our GAAP EPS for 2018 was $0.68, our core earnings would have been $0.79. Further, for 2017 and 2018, core earnings per quarter range from a low of $0.16 to a high of $0.21, whereas GAAP EPS ranged from a low of $0.13 to a high of $0.24. Please turn to Page 5. First quarter investment activity was very strong as we've purchased approximately $1.2 billion of assets and grew our portfolio by $369 million. Our acquisition of purchased performing loans again increased over the fourth quarter to $875 million in Q1. The process of acquiring these assets is very different from that associated with our other asset classes, as we generally purchase loans directly from originators rather than from The Street or through bulk offerings. Through our willingness and ability to explore various arrangements, including flow agreements, strategic alliances and minority equity investments, we've been able to partner with originators to source attractive new investments, while enabling these originators to grow with support from MFA as a reliable provider of capital. We were also able to purchase an additional $220 million of MSR related assets in the first quarter. Please turn to Page 6. As we have shown previously, our expanding investments in newly originated loans or purchased performing loans is beginning to have a meaningful influence on our interest income. These loans are included in our loans held at carrying value on our balance sheet. Please recall that we also include loans purchased as reperforming loans or purchase credit impaired loans in our loans held at carrying value. In the first quarter, all loans at carrying value produced $49.6 million of interest income. This is versus $101 million in all of 2018 and $39.1 million in Q4 of 2018. More notably, $38.2 million of this $49.6 million was from purchased performing loans, up from $27.5 million in the fourth quarter. To put these numbers in perspective, our first quarter interest income from carrying value loans represents an annual run rate of approximately twice what we earned in calendar year of 2018. As we continue to grow our balance sheet, we will add marginally more leverage, particularly on our residential whole loan portfolio. Our debt-to-equity ratio increased slightly from 2.6 to 2.7x in the first quarter. We would expect this leverage ratio will continue to increase modestly as our portfolio assets can easily support leverage of 3 to 4x, whether through repo borrowing or securitizations. For our credit-sensitive loans, we've committed significant resources to over asset management efforts. We recognized that by immersing ourselves in the complicated and sometimes messy details of managing credit-sensitive loans that we can achieve better outcomes and improved returns. As good as our third-party services are, there's a tangible benefit to direct oversight and involvement in decision-making. And finally our legacy Non-Agency portfolio continues to perform well and contribute materially to our financial results, generating a yield in the most recent quarter of 10.45%. Please turn to Page 7. To summarize our strategy and initiatives for 2019, we expect to continue to increase our investments in purchased performing loans, specifically Non-QM, fix and flip and single-family rental. When and if we are able to grow our other existing asset classes at attractive levels, we will obviously continue to do so. An example of this is our investment of $220 million in the first quarter in MSR-related assets. And as always, we are constantly evaluating new investment opportunities. Given our track record, we are usually among the first to see new opportunities as we have demonstrated the ability and willingness to help structure these deals and invest in size. We'll likely continue to execute strategic sales of Legacy Non-Agency MBS. This is part of managing a mature portfolio and it includes sales of bonds at relatively high prices with little additional price upside, sales of callable bonds at a premium and sales of low loan count or odd-lot position sizes at attractive round lot levels. We've managed our CRT portfolio by selling many of the seasoned deals that are trading at very tight spreads and high dollar prices in favor of newer deals with wider spreads and prices closer to par. Notably, the new REMIC structure CRTs will not be accounted for at fair value, but will be treated as available for sale assets. And finally, we'll look to optimize our capital structure through the use of additional leverage, including securitizations. That said, our leverage will likely still be the lowest in the peer group. Please turn to Page 8. The interest rate environment has changed dramatically over the last 2 quarters. At the beginning of the fourth quarter last year, the Fed appeared to be in the middle of a tightening cycle, where the fourth 2018 rate hike expected at the December meeting and as many as 4 Fed Fund increases expected in 2019. After a violent market reaction at the end of the fourth quarter, the Fed quickly changed course, and as communicated a much more diverse stance beginning early in the first quarter of 2019. Continued growth in the U.S. economy with very little evidence of inflation and recent productivity gains has fostered an environment that suggest a continued neutral rate stance. The implications for levered mortgage investors are clear. Low volatility and steady interest rates have diminished the headwinds faced by our business. MFA's investment initiatives are firing on all cylinders. We remain optimistic that we will continue to drive earnings through balance sheet growth. And now I'll turn the call over to Steve Yarad, who will provide further details on the financial results for the most recent quarter.