Pedro Arnt
Analyst · Credit Suisse. Your question please
Thank you, Federico and hello everyone, and thank you for your interest in joining MercadoLibre's first quarter 2020 earnings conference call. So given the unique circumstances the world is facing due to the coronavirus outbreak, I'd like to first address recent trends and developments followed by our standard quarterly review. Starting in March, towards the back end of a successful first quarter in 2020, we began to observe near-term headwinds generated by the coronavirus outbreak. Although less affected than others our business did register this impact particularly in Brazil and Argentina and primarily during the first weeks of the imposed lockdowns with a rebound throughout April. From the onset, we have taken swift and decisive action to safeguard our employees and offer our platforms as solutions to the challenges being faced by our communities. We pride ourselves in being an agile and adaptable company, whose business people and community have played an role alongside many others in facing up to the COVID-19 crisis. Consequently, our focus has mainly been on three fronts. The wellbeing of our teams, the uninterrupted operation of our commerce and FinTech solutions which are uniquely suited to help society face the current pandemic and the coordination of our efforts with authorities in the countries we operate in to guarantee timely and well allocated resource allocation. As early as March 16, we determined that over 9,000 MercadoLibre employees in eight countries and across 20 offices which start working remotely to ensure and promote social distancing norms, while maintaining on-site only the operational staff that was required to continue providing our services without disruptions. Precautions were taken to safeguard the help and safety of those staff members on site, which are primarily members of our logistics network. Precautions were maximized to guarantee their health and safety. For those who had moved to remote work overnight, all the technological training and emotional support that was necessary to guarantee efficiency, productivity and well-being was also made available. With our remote and secure on-site work plans in place, we activated our second area of focus, committing to support consumers and merchants through multiple initiatives which promote preventive actions and financially support their businesses or households. To that effect, we've put forth 10 critical initiatives. We've leveraged our platform's broad reach to launch COVID-19 readiness campaign by temporarily changing our MercadoLibre and MercadoPago logos from an hand shake to an elbow-to-elbow logo. We used this elbow-to-elbow campaign to amplify official recommendations from leading health organizations on how to prevent and minimize the spread of the corona virus. Secondly, we launched our new branding campaign whose narrative is centered around stay-at-home, we are still delivering. We also deployed the necessary measures to ensure the continued operation of our logistics network and that our transportation partners for all product categories across all geographies could continue to operate. We tweaked our user interfaces to facilitate discovery of products of greatest demand and most reliable delivery times. We eliminated commissions on roughly 1,000 SKUs of essential products for nearly 100,000 merchants, understanding that purchases of these items will be essential for our buyers over the next few months. We redo listing fees for new sellers to facilitate their transition from off-line to omnichannel, while stimulating depth of assortment on our marketplaces. We extended a 30-day grace period to repay loans for more than 2 million consumers and eliminated late fees for more than 150,000 merchants to alleviate some of the financial burden our users are facing as they seek to stabilize their finances. We launched fundraising campaigns with the international Red Cross to deliver safety and hygiene kits to health workers and with regional NGOs to aid in the distribution of food to the most vulnerable. We launched a supermarket purchasing experience in Argentina and Brazil to facilitate access to consumer packaged goods purchasing in cost-effective cards and quantities. And lastly, to facilitate trade and mitigate economic hardship during periods of quarantine, governments throughout Latin America declared e-commerce and essential activity exempted from the lockdowns. To achieve this, we engaged and coordinated with governments in the region, to keep our logistics operations functioning, helping to ease the negative impact of shelter in place lockdowns. Our hearts go out to those individuals and families affected by COVID-19, and our gratitude and appreciation go out to all those brave individuals who are on the front lines working through this unprecedented global health crisis. At MercadoLibre, we will continue to leverage our platforms to support our communities during this important time, allowing continued access to commerce and financial services as our users try to get back on their feet. Let me now take just a few minutes before getting into our traditional quarterly review to update you on recent key performers indicators of the initiatives that I've just outlined. Regionally, we saw variation in how imposed total or partial lockdowns impacted merchants businesses with important improvements as time elapsed. Argentine merchants were initially more impacted than in Brazil, but they also rebounded more rapidly, whereas in Mexico, Colombia, Chile and Uruguay, merchants faced less disruption during March and nonetheless saw increased activity during April. Marketplace key performance indicators hit a low point during the week of the 18th to the 24th of March. Year-on-year growth rate for items sold during that week troughed at 3.3%, with FX-neutral GMV declining by 1.4%. From then onwards, we have seen a strong rebound with growth rates accelerating in April to 76% year-on-year in items sold and 73% FX-neutral year-on-year in GMV for that full month. More broadly, changes in demand trends have led to a mix shift in sales as consumers prioritize essential items, categories such as health, consumer packaged goods and toys and games showed strong volume growth, exceeding 100% year-on-year on an FX-neutral basis in some markets. Conversely, higher ticket, non-essential categories, such as auto parts and consumer electronics saw marked declines in growth rates. Moving on to recent trends in the FinTech business. In mid-March, we also observed a deceleration in number and volume of payments processed. Primarily as a result of lower foot traffic in bricks-and-mortar retail that use our MPOS and QR solutions. This negative impact was partially offset by strength in areas such as online payment merchant services; online wallet used cases and convenience store merchants. Just like in the commerce business, the magnitude of negative impact was greater in the initial weeks following government-mandated lockdowns with gradual improvements since then. Consolidated April growth rates are above pre-COVID levels, driven by Argentina, Chile, Colombia and Mexico, with Brazil still lagging somewhat. Consequently, off marketplace total payment volume growth during the second half of March was 95.4% year-on-year on an FX-neutral basis. And total payment in number was 87.3% year-on-year growth. And for April, these growth rates have been 155.6% and 119.8%, respectively. So summing up where we stand, we've seen three phases: a strong start to the first quarter that got derailed during the back half of March and rebounded by April. Given these recent trends, we remain optimistic that despite everything that has been occurring, we will still be able to make progress towards our annual objectives without having to delay or materially modify our investments or strategic initiatives. We recognize that in these times, the services rendered by both our commerce and payment platforms are essential for many people across the region, and we will do our best to not let them down. We also remain attentive to any change in demand or supply patterns that might again modify our capital allocation strategy. Now that I've covered COVID-19 key related trends and updates, let's move on to our progress report for the quarter, starting with the marketplace business. Consolidated marketplace GMV grew 34.2% year-on-year on an FX-neutral basis, reaching $3.4 billion, while items sold grew 27.6% year-on-year reaching $105.7 million, also on a consolidated basis. On a country-by-country basis, during the first quarter of 2020, Argentina, Brazil and Mexico GMV grew at 81.5%, 15% and 54.5% year-on-year on an FX-neutral basis, respectively. Late quarter mix shift towards lower ASP categories and temporary demand pullback negatively affected these results. Items growth accelerated in Brazil and Mexico to 25.9% year-on-year and 66.5% year-on-year, respectively, showing the positive impact of mix shift. In Argentina, items sold during the quarter decreased 2.4% from the same period last year as we transitioned through the implementation of flat fee pricing last year during the second quarter. Chile and Colombia delivered robust rates of growth during the quarter, accelerating to 57% and 44.8% year-on-year, respectively, on an FX-neutral basis. In terms of supply, live listings offered on MercadoLibre's marketplaces reached $267.4 million during the quarter, registering a 29.8% year-on-year growth. This deceleration was mainly driven by Brazil and Argentina, where certain sellers were unable to operate under the current lockdown regimes. On average, seller paused roughly one-third of listings during late March. Cross-border trade has also been negatively impacted by COVID-19 as Chinese merchants listed around 40% fewer products in January and 15% fewer products in March. Moving on to logistics. Fulfillment penetration continued improving across the board, reaching 11.3% in Argentina, 14.1% in Brazil, and 43.1% in Mexico, yielding 19.9% fulfillment penetration on a consolidated basis. Meanwhile, cross-docking reached 51.1% in Argentina and 28.1% in Brazil, getting us to 23.4% adoption on a consolidated basis. All-in, we are rapidly approaching having half of our shipments already running on our own logistics network, quite a feat given where we were only a few quarters ago. These positive results are in large part a consequence of the continued expansion of our network. As we launched new hybrid cross-docking centers in Curitiba and Bell Horizonte in Brazil and added service center nodes and over 700 drop off points. Additionally, we also launched our Flex logistics solution in Chile and Colombia to complement our existing drop shipping offerings, enabling us to reduce reliance on any single carrier. Let me now take on a quarterly update for FinTech. Off-platform total payment volume decelerated during the quarter, growing 139.5% year-on-year on an FX-neutral basis, with Brazil growing 101.8%, Mexico 114.6%, and Argentina, 221.2%. Total payments in number grew 102% year-on-year for the quarter on a consolidated basis. The deceleration in number and volume of payments processed, as already mentioned earlier, was primarily driven by lower foot traffic in physical retail during March, which had a direct impact on lower mobile point-of-sale and QR total payment volume growth, partially offset by the relative strength in our merchant services business, where we process online, away from our marketplaces. Mobile point-of-sale business was still strong, driven by January and February momentum, growing total payment volume, 103.3% year-on-year on an FX-neutral basis for the full quarter. Brazil, Argentina and Mexico grew 82.7%, 173.6%, and 234.5% year-on-year on an FX-neutral basis, respectively. The pace of mPOS sales remained solid with over 900,000 devices sold during the quarter. In addition, we are encouraged by the launch of our new plus device, which is geared towards catering larger merchants and will allow us to continue driving higher average revenue per user within this business line. Our online payments, merchant services solutions grew 81.7% year-on-year on an FX-neutral basis. The greatest deceleration in this business was in Mexico, which grew at 62.4% year-on-year on an FX-neutral basis. This was partially offset by the growth in the other countries segment with 109.5% year-on-year growth, also on an FX-neutral basis. The deceleration in Mexico can mostly be explained by higher exposure to cross-border businesses, specifically our merchants in China that began to see the impact of COVID-19 early on in the quarter. During the first quarter, MercadoPago's mobile wallet delivered $1.3 billion in payment volume on a consolidated basis, growing 299% year-on-year on an FX-neutral basis. The slowdown in in-store QR payments and wallet transportation payments were due to seasonality plus obviously, the total or partial lockdowns that occurred by mid-March as well as the rationalization in marketing expenditures on our part. Monetization of QR payments in Brazil, where we started to charge 100 basis points merchant discount rate earlier in the year also slowed down growth. But perhaps, more importantly, lend increasing proof-of-concept to the QR network as we took this important step towards building a sustainable business model. Unique wallet payers reached a milestone, as during the quarter, we surpassed the $8 million mark, growing over 155% year-on-year on a consolidated basis. Mexico led growth with 252.8% growth and surpassed the 1 million mark in payers for a quarter for the first time. We're also pleased to announce that during the quarter, we launched Mercado Fondo in Mexico in partnership with Grupo Bursátil Mexicano, who has over 35 years of experience in the Mexican financial sector. The gradual rollout of asset management in Mexico began in mid-January and was finished by February 28. The first month of operations was in line with the results in Argentina and Brazil, in terms of user acquisition over a similar period of time since launch, capturing 5% of users with balances being transferred to asset management products. Mercado Crédito's total outstanding credit portfolio reached $177.6 million during the first quarter decreasing by 16.5% Q-on-Q as a result of the devaluation of the region's currencies. In local currency, Argentina's portfolio grew by 15.4% and was flat in Brazil and grew in Mexico by 13.1%. By the end of the quarter, the NPL ratios had not shown a deterioration due to the COVID-19 crisis. Nonetheless, to manage our exposure to merchant and consumer credits, amongst global pandemic, we slowed credit origination to both merchants and consumers significantly. As a consequence, as well as the devaluation impact of the country's currencies, we shrunk our merchant credit portfolio by 21.1%, our consumer credit portfolio by 5.2% and our mobile point-of-sale credit portfolio by 20.4% Q-on-Q in U.S. dollars. These defensive measures led to non-performing loans that were 30 days past due that represented 10.8% of total loans during the first quarter of 2020. We also recorded an $8.7 million increase in bad debt provisions versus Q4. This increase is explained for the most part due to a change in U.S. GAAP accounting norms effective January 1, where we adopted the model of current expected credit losses to account for our allowances for loan losses. Previously to the change, we accounted for loan losses using an incurred loss model, where we accounted for loan losses as we incurred them. Going forward, we will book loan loss provisions at the moment the credit is originated based on actuarial calculations and subsequently adjust those provisions as credits are repaid. With that, let me now move on to our financials for the quarter. Consolidated net revenues for the first quarter were $652.1 million, a year-on-year increase of 37.6% in U.S. dollars and 70.5% on an FX-neutral basis as we continue to optimize shipping subsidies and costs that minimize contra revenues from free shipping programs. Commerce now represents 58.4% of our total net revenues compared to 41.6% for FinTech. Gross profit was $312.8 million, with a margin of 48% compared to 50% in the first quarter of 2019. This 205 basis points margin compression was driven for the most part by warehousing costs from our fulfillment operations, partially offset by collection fee improvements and salary and wages leverage in our customer services operations. On a sequential basis, 224 basis points of margin improvement are mostly explained by declining MPOS sales costs. In the slides accompanying the presentation, we've included, as every quarter, a detailed breakdown of these, as well as the OpEx margin evolution that I'll cover quickly now. Operating expenses were $342.5 million, an increase of 51% year-on-year in U.S. dollars. As a percentage of revenues, operating expenses were 52.5% compared to 47.9% during the first quarter of 2019. These 251 basis points of margin compression are attributable primarily to increases in sales force related costs, bad debt provisions I just covered and increased marketing spend. Sequentially, there was $34.7 million of Q-on-Q improvement in operating leverage that was mostly driven by a decrease of $60.2 million in marketing expenditures, partially offset by the same bad debt charges. Loss from operations was $29.7 million compared to a loss of $68.9 million during the prior quarter. As a percentage of revenues, the loss from operations reached 4.6%, improving by 567 basis points sequentially. Moving down the P&L, the company incurred $23.6 million in financial expenses this quarter, mainly attributable to secured financial loans and interest expenses related to our payments business in Argentina. Interest income was $36.8 million, a 50.5% increase year-on-year as a result of the equity offering during March 2019, which generated more invested volume and interest gain and also a higher float in Argentina. In delivering these results, we've sought to maintain a sustainable balance between growth and investments, which for the quarter led to a net loss of $21.1 million. As I wrap up the prepared remarks, I don't want to loose sight of the extraordinary time we are living in. We thank everyone in our communities who are doing everything they can to get us through, whether it is by staying home to remain safe or by making it to work to keep our health systems and economies running. We remain committed to doing our part by empowering our merchants to continue operating, by securing deliveries of goods needed by households and by supporting the normal operation of payments and financial value chains. MercadoLibre will emerge from this situation stronger and with an even greater sense of purpose. We trust the dedication and commitment being demonstrated by our entire organization will allow us to continue executing our strategy with no significant interruptions. And in doing so, play our part in contributing to making things less difficult during these trying times. We look forward, as always, to keeping you updated on our progress next quarter, and we'd like to take your questions now.