Dave Goodin
Analyst · Bank of America
Thank you, Jason, and thank you, everyone, for spending time with us today and for your continued interest in MDU Resources. We’ve had a solid start to the year, reporting top line revenue growth across all segments, with both of our construction businesses reporting record first quarter revenues. As expected, we did experience and continue to experience inflationary pressures. However, we are encouraged by record construction backlog and the various growth opportunities at our regulated businesses. We are proud of our team’s ability to continue to execute on its business plans to provide strong results while navigating through inflationary and supply chain challenges. To summarize activity by business segment, I’ll start off with the regulated energy delivery businesses. Utility reported higher earnings on a combined basis for the quarter as it continues to experience strong customer growth across the service territory. Our customer base grew 1.7% on a year-over-year basis, and we expect this growth to continue at a pace between 1% and 2% compounded annually over the next five years. We also expect rate base growth at 5% compounded annually over the next five years as well. And this is driven primarily by investments in system infrastructure upgrades and replacements to safely meet customer demand. This business continues to seek regulatory recovery for the investments associated with providing safe and reliable electric and natural gas service to our growing customer base. In March, our natural gas utility filed a multiparty natural gas rate settlement in the state of Washington that would increase revenue by approximately $10.7 million annually, which is approximately 4% higher than current rates. A hearing on the settlement is set for June 1st. You can read more about this and our other regulatory filings in our Form 10-Q filed this morning. At our electric utility, construction is soon to commence on Heskett Station Unit IV, which is expected to be in service during the first half of 2023. Heskett IV, as a reminder to those, is a natural gas peaking unit that will aid in partially replacing needed capacity with the retirement of our coal-fired Heskett Station Units I and Unit II, which in the first quarter this year were retired, and the coal-fired Lewis & Clark Unit number 1, which was retired in the first quarter of last year. I would also like to recognize the efforts of our many employees who worked tirelessly to restore power to customers in Northwest North Dakota who were impacted by the recent major snow and ice storms. These storms caused widespread power outages and significant damage to the Company’s electric transmission and distribution system, and we had at one point over 18,000 customers out of service. Our teams have restored power to all communities as of last weekend and continues storm damage repair and cleanup activities. Again, we thank our employees for their hard work and our thoughts are also with our customers impacted by this event. At our pipeline business, we also had a solid quarter. As Jason noted, this business recorded higher transportation revenues related to the North Bakken Expansion that was placed into service here just on February 1st. This project is well-positioned in the Bakken and can be readily expanded in the future for forecasted natural gas production growth. In addition to that opportunity, we are excited about the multiple pipeline expansion projects on the horizon such as the Wahpeton Expansion project in Eastern North Dakota, which is expected to be in service in 2024, pending regulatory approval. This project involves constructing approximately 60 miles of 12-inch pipeline from our existing facilities at Mapleton, North Dakota, down to Wahpeton, North Dakota. And while it had some 20 million cubic feet per day of natural gas capacity as is expected to cost approximately $75 million. In the more near term, this business has entered into long-term customer agreements for four additional projects. Pending regulatory approval, these projects are expected to be completed here in later 2022 and into 2023, and combining to add some incremental 300 million cubic feet per day of natural gas transport capacity to the system. Now, I’d like to move on to our construction platform. At our Construction Services Group, we had record revenues during the quarter with growth at nearly all its business lines, underscoring this business’ capabilities to perform a diverse range of projects. We continue to see strong demand for utility-related work as initiatives for grid hardening and optimization projects take shape. We’re also excited about the increasing demand for renewable projects as well as higher institutional demand in the education and government sectors. Although earnings were down during the quarter compared to the prior year’s record first quarter earnings, we’re also optimistic about the rest of ‘22 and beyond. Construction services ended the quarter with an all-time record backlog now standing at $1.67 billion. This is up 31% from the prior year. And we have numerous projects underway across all of our markets, which are expected to contribute to the 2022 results. We expect revenues at this business to be in the range of $2.2 billion to $2.4 billion with margins comparable to 2021 levels. And with our ability to successfully attract and retain a skilled workforce which now numbers over 8,300 employees across the footprint, which is up nearly 900 from the same time a year ago, we are well positioned to complete these projects safely, efficiently, on budget and on time. And finally, turning to our construction materials business. We also had record revenues in this business, in part from contributions from recent acquisitions and increased product pricing. However, this business recorded a larger seasonal loss, reflecting higher fuel materials and labor-related costs across all product lines as the Company continues to experience inflationary headwinds during the first quarter. As previously mentioned, this business is increasing pricing to offset these inflationary pressures. And while the impacts to those increases were somewhat muted due to the typical low sale volumes during the first quarter, we expect to see the benefits from higher prices as the construction season progresses throughout the year and sales volumes ramp up, especially in our northern tier markets. Through its successful first quarter bidding season, Knife River increased backlog 15% from the prior year to now standing at $940 million. Given the strong backlog and record first quarter revenues, we are increasing the revenue guidance by $150 million to a now range of $2.45 billion to $2.65 billion, with margins slightly lower than 2021, reflecting the current inflationary environment. Knife River is working hard to attract and retain a strong, skilled workforce, and through the use of its 270-acre training center in the Pacific Northwest is providing training needed for new entrants to the construction industry as well as continuing education for industry veterans. The Knife River Training Center, which celebrated its grand opening just last Thursday on April 28th, features an 80,000 square-foot heated indoor arena for training on trucks and heavy equipment and an attached 16,000-foot square office classroom and lab facility. The accreditation program for the CDL driving school at this facility is complete, which will provide much-needed professional drivers for our operations. Turning and looking forward, both our construction materials and construction services business are very well positioned to benefit from the Infrastructure Investment and Jobs Act, which we anticipate will begin to positively impact bidding opportunities here later in 2022 and going forward. Both of these businesses are also actively seeking acquisition opportunities that are complementary to our existing businesses and to increase market presence. Future acquisitions are not included in our stated guidance and would be incremental to our 2022 results. This completes our individual business unit discussion. Now, looking ahead, we are affirming our 2022 earnings guidance in the range of $2 to $2.15 per share, with EBITDA guidance in the range of $900 million to $950 million. We have a robust capital plan with $770 million planned for 2022 and nearly $3.1 billion over the next five years. These capital expenditures include line-of-sight opportunities such as the Heskett Station and other infrastructure development at the utility, expansion projects at the pipeline and ongoing equipment replacements at our construction businesses. As always, MDU Resources is committed to operating with integrity and with a focus on safety while creating superior shareholder value as we continue providing essential services to our customers and delivering on our mission of Building a Strong America while being a great and safe place to work. I appreciate your interest in and commitment to MDU Resources and ask now that we open the line to questions. Operator?