Terry D. Hildestad - President, Chief Executive Officer and Chief Operating Officer
Analyst · Glenrock Associates. Mr. Patterson, your line is open
Thank you, Vern. Good afternoon, I would like to thank all of you for joining us today for a discussion of MDU Resources' record third quarter results. We recorded consolidated earnings from continuing operations of $118.2 million, a $13.9 million increase from a year ago. Earnings per common share from continuing operations increased 12% to $0.64. This quarter's results and our year-to-date performance are outstanding. Our strong financial position reinforces the value of our diversified business strategy and disciplined financial management, especially at a time when our nation is facing serious economic challenges. Our Natural Gas and Oil segment, reported record third quarter earnings of $57.5 million, a 73% increase over last year's results. Contributing to their earnings improvement were realized natural gas prices that were 37% higher and 53% higher oil prices as well as a 7% increase in combined production. Our production has been impacted by the September hurricanes. The hurricanes caused significant damage to some of our non-operated offshore properties. In addition, our operated Texas properties as well as some of our non-operated onshore properties reported loss production as a result of temporary power outages and flooding. We estimate the third quarter loss production impact was approximately 500 million cubic feet equivalents. We are estimating total loss production for 2008 related to the hurricanes to be approximately 1.5 billion cubic feet equivalents considering the remaining production shut-ins in the Gulf. While it's too early to determine when the production will all be back on line, we are estimating that about 75% of the production will be back on line by year-end. During the quarter, we continued our exploration efforts in the exciting Bakken play. Despite the recent decline in oil prices, we continue to be very optimistic about this play. We consider our interest in the Bakken to be a long-term play capable of generating solid economic returns and cash flows. In our Southern acreage block, our estimated ultimate recovery reserves would continue to provide economic returns at approximately $50 a barrel. In total, we have spud 22 operated wells to date with 17 wells producing in the Bakken. The remaining wells are in various stages of drilling and completion. These wells are producing a total of approximately 1000 barrels of oil per day on a net basis. We have an additional 300 to 400 barrels of oil per day on a net basis from our non-operated wells. Our current producing wells... of the current producing wells, eight of the wells are in our Northern Bakken acreage in Burke County. These wells were completed in the Bakken formation. The initial production on these wells was lower than we had anticipated with average flow rate of 175 barrels per day for the first 30 days. We're evaluating the economics of continued drilling in the Northern acreage targeting the Bakken formation. However, we're also assessing our Three Forks/Sanish potential in this acreage block. Based on the technical data from our initial pilot holes there are indications that Three Forks/Sanish formation looks to have similar potential in this area as our Southern block. Our first Three Forks/Sanish target in the Northern block is currently drilling. Our efforts to explore the Three Forks/Sanish formation is continuing across all of our acreage. As we reported in July, our first Three Forks/Sanish formation well in our Southern acreage block, the Domaskin 11-29 had average production over the first five days following fracture stimulation treatment of 634 barrels of oil per day. We have plans to spud additional wells in the Three Forks/Sanish formation this year. In total, we expect to participate in 50 to 60 wells this year within our Bakken acreage, roughly half of these wells will be operated-wells. Now turning to the Paradox Basin, we continue to be excited about our exploration activities in this area, and if long-term potential. We're producing approximately 525 barrels of oil per day on a net basis in this basin. The region is primarily an exploratory play with multi-zone potential. We expect to spud our six wells yet this year which will be located in our Northern acreage block. In the Rocky Mountain region, we recently received permits from the Bureau of Land Management to drill on our federal coal bed acreage in Montana. We expect to drill approximately 15 wells yet this year. Primarily driven by the recent hurricanes in a lower short-term growth expectations from the northern portion of our Bakken acreage, we have decreased our combined natural gas and oil production growth guidance for 2008 to a range of 7% to 9%. With natural gas representing about 80% of our annual production, approximately one half of our natural gas is hedged for the remainder of this year. The pricing levels are attractive with a weighted average swap price of $8.91 and weighted average collar floor of $7.41 in a ceiling of $8.71. Less than 5% of our estimated oil production is hedged because of the lack of correlation with the indices. It's our philosophy to conduct natural gas and oil swap and collar derivative instruments with A-rated counterparties, and we currently have positions with five different parties. The growth potential of our natural gas and oil production operations is strong. We have over 800 billion cubic feet equivalent of proved reserves. In mid-September, we announced our estimated probable and possible natural gas and oil reserves had increased 19% to 950 billion cubic feet equipment. We hold over 1.8 million gross acres of leaseholds. In general, our properties are low-cost properties allowing for good economics. We're well positioned for long-term growth. Next, our pipeline and energy services group reported earnings of $5.7 million for the quarter. The decrease in quarter-over-quarter earnings is a result of lower storage services revenue as a result of a 28% decline in volumes transported to storage. This is partially offset by declining... these declines were partially offset with increased gathering volumes. Our pipeline group is moving forward on a number of growth initiatives. We're on schedule to increase firm capacity in eastern North Dakota by 10 million cubic feet per day. This expansion is fully subscribed and expected to be in service mid-November. We're currently adding compression and new interconnections with the northern border in the Bakken area in Northwestern North Dakota. This expansion had 32 million cubic feet of capacity per day. We expect this to be completed before the end of the year. As we announced in August, we're expanding our Grasslands Pipeline by 75 million cubic feet a day. Strong customer demand boosted the project to its full capacity of 213 million cubic feet a day. We expect this to be in service in August of 2009 at a cost of approximately $28 million. These are all examples of solid growth, organic growth opportunities. Our Interstate Pipeline system runs through the heart of the active energy producing regions. This group is very focused on capitalizing on opportunities in the region. Our construction materials and contracting business continues to be affected by the economic downturn, primarily as it relates to the residential market. Earnings for the third quarter were $33.6 million, compared to $50.4 million reported one year ago. In response to the residential market decline effects on its business, this group has been able to adjust its cost structure. They are focused on finding the best opportunities and shifting resources to optimize our workforce and our equipment usage. The group has shifted resources to niche work providing products and services for energy projects. We have several infrastructure projects for wind farms, refineries, geothermal plants and power plants, where we provide concrete and other aggregate products and services. Couple of examples of energy work of the group is doing work for a large refinery in Port Arthur, Texas where they're utilizing several ready-mix trucks from other regions of the company. They've also recently completed a 6000 cubic yard pour at the main Dakota Power Cooperative station in North Dakota. We are pleased that our backlog position of $557 million has improved from a year ago. With the decline in available private work, our mix of business has changed. At year-end 2006, 60% of our backlog was public work. As September 30th, public work represented 78% of our backlog total. Certainly Federal and State funding is a key ingredient in driving public infrastructure spending. We were quite pleased that the State of Minnesota recently approved the bill adding $650 million per year in infrastructure spending; that's a ten-year program. We are hopeful more states will follow. On the federal front, the six-year $286 billion federal bill Safety Lieu [ph] is set to expire in September of 2009. Work has already begun on its replacement. As has been the historical trend, it is expected that the new federal transportation bill will be larger than the current bill, which was 31% higher than the predecessor bill. Typically, during recessionary periods, the Federal Government tends to inject more dollars into infrastructure and transportation funding as stimulus for job creation and an economic boost. Our understanding is that there are already serious discussions on a second stimulus bill that would place a heavy focus on infrastructure. This group completed one acquisition this past quarter, acquiring Ideal Contractors in September. Ideal is a producer of construction aggregates and is a construction contractor headquartered in Idaho Falls, Idaho. This acquisition complements our existing operations in Boise. In total, our construction materials has approximately 1.2 billion tons of strategically located aggregate reserves. These assets are necessary for America's future infrastructure needs and will provide long-term value for our company and shareholders. Now turning our attention to the exceptional performance by our construction services segment, earnings for the quarter were $16.3 million, a 19% increase over quarterly earnings record from year ago. This group continues to successfully execute on its strategy utilizing the talent and expertise of their employees as they focus niche markets and projects that provide solid returns. This past quarter, 125 employees from the construction services group traveled to Texas and Louisiana to help our restore power after the hurricane. September 30, work backlog of $608 million is off some from last year's backlog of $826 million which was near record levels. We're pleased that this group added a couple of large jobs into backlog this past quarter; one project involves work on the Right Peterson Air force Base Human Performance Wing in Dayton, Ohio. The second large contract is a data center near Kansas City for a major bank. These are quality jobs that have the necessary funding in place. On a year-to-date basis, construction services earnings have improved by 21% compared to a year ago. Our construction services group's disciplined business focus on monitoring its markets and its cost and looking forward to identify the most profitable niche opportunities is reflected in these strong results. Our team of employees are our continuing this razor-like focus to best position themselves for the future. Next, our electric and natural gas utilities reported earnings of $3.4 million compared to earnings of $1.2 million for the same period in 2007. The earnings growth primarily reflects higher electric retail sales margins and energy-related service margins. We're very pleased that on October 1st, our utility group completed the acquisition of Intermountain Gas Company. Intermountain Gas currently serves more than 300,000 customers in 74 communities in Idaho. This business is a great fit for our utility operation and offers additional growth opportunities. Recent customer growth in this area has been approximately 4.5%. This group has grown substantially. Just two years ago, we served approximately 370,000 customers in five states and had a rate base of approximately $350 million. Our utility customer base now is approximately 930,000 customers in eight states and our net investment and rate base has almost tripled to nearly $1 billion. Our utility operations continue to play a critical role in our corporation providing reliable and steady earnings and cash flow. MDU Resources continues to be financially sound. Our balance sheet is in excellent condition. Cash flows from operations have been strong. We do not currently have plans to issue equity through a public offering for the remainder of the year. This past August, we increased our quarterly common stock dividend by 6.9% to $15.05 per share or $0.62 on an annualized basis. This is the 18th consecutive year of dividend increases and accomplishment matched by only 3% of U.S. companies. We are very proud of our long history of consistently rewarding our shareholders with a growing dividend while also retaining earnings to fund growth. Primarily as the result of significant decreases in natural gas and oil prices, we have lowered our 2008 earnings per share guidance to a range $1.95 to $2.10. We continue to expect 2008 to be a very successful year for MDU Resources. MDU Resources has been providing goods and services essential to our country for 84 years. We have weathered previous economic downturns coming out stronger than when we said before. Our unique and balanced portfolio of assets coupled with our team of talented employees positions us well for a long-term growth and stability. Thank you for your time today, and we'd be happy to open the lines up for questions, at this time. Operator? Question And Answer