Gary L. Ellis
Analyst · Deutsche Bank
Thanks, Omar. Second quarter revenue of $4,132,000,000 increased 6% as reported, or 3% on a constant-currency basis after adjusting for $123 million favorable effect of foreign currency. Breaking this out geographically: revenue in the U.S. of $2,300,000,000 was flat; while international sales of $1,832,000,000 increased 14% as reported, or 6% on a constant-currency basis. Q2 international result -- revenue results by region were as follows: Greater China grew 24%; growth in Latin America was 17%; Middle East and Africa grew 12%; growth in other Asia was 6%; Japan grew 1%; while Canada declined 1%. Europe and Central Asia grew 5% where the current economic environment and payment uncertainty continues to cause us to defer revenue in Greece, which has now accumulated to $14 million. Q2 GAAP earnings and diluted earnings per share were $871 million and $0.82, an increase of 54% and 58%, respectively, due to the settlement of our U.S. Fidelis lawsuits last year. After adjusting for certain acquisition-related items, as well as the noncash charge for convertible debt interest expense, second quarter earnings and diluted earnings per share on a non-GAAP basis were $889 million (sic) [$898 million] and $0.84, an increase of 1% and 2%, respectively. After adjusting for this onetime tax benefit we received in Q2 last year, as well as the Ardian dilution, our non-GAAP diluted earnings per share increased 8%. It is worth noting that while our non-GAAP quarterly results include the gain, acquisition costs and dilution related to PEEK and Salient, we expect the overall impact of PEEK and Salient to be neutral to our fiscal year non-GAAP earnings after including the expected modest dilution in the second half for this fiscal year. In our Cardiac and Vascular Group, revenue of $2,207,000,000 grew 1%. Results were driven by growth in Pacing, AF Solutions, Coronary, Structural Heart, Endovascular and Peripheral; offset by declines in ICDs and Physio-Control. CRDM revenue of $1,268,000,000 declined 2%. Worldwide ICD revenue of $708 million declined 8%, and we estimate that the worldwide ICD market declined in the mid to high-single digits. Our U.S. ICD business declined 12%, with the majority of the decline being driven by fewer procedures. We estimated that the U.S. ICD market declined in the mid-teens, as it continues to feel the impact from a number of factors, including the JAMA article and the DOJ investigation of hospitals that are negatively affecting procedural volumes. Despite the market slowdown, we are pleased with the performance of our Protecta ICD and Sprint Quattro defibrillation leads, and their impact on our ICD share. We sense a building enthusiasm among electrophysiologists and competitive accounts for both Protecta with its SmartShock and lead integrity monitoring technology and Sprint Quattro, with its 10 years of proven performance in a market that is increasingly concerned about long-term lead reliability. Our estimates show that our U.S. high-power share was up over 150 basis points sequentially. Protecta is continuing to partially offset the pricing pressure in the U.S. ICD market. Our international ICD business was flat. On a sequential basis, we believe we gained nearly 200 basis points of international ICD share. Pacing revenue of $511 million grew 4% in a flat market. U.S. Pacing grew 5%, and we maintained the large share gains driven by our Revo MRI SureScan pacemaker. Revo continues to demand a mid-teen percentage price uplift, which is offsetting pricing pressure in the Pacing market. Our international Pacing business grew 3%, while we estimate the international Pacing market returned to low single-digit growth. Our AF solutions business grew in excess of 50%, driven by the ongoing successful U.S. launch and continued adoption in Europe of our Arctic Front cryoballoon. We are taking share in the AF market and continue to expect this business to generate solid double-digit growth. While Arctic Front [Audio Gap] extremely well, we are working with the FDA to address the concerns raised at a recent panel on our Ablation Frontiers Phased RF system. We remain focused on obtaining the first labeled indication in the U.S. to treat both the unserved persistent and long-standing persistent AF patients. Our Cardiovascular business had another strong quarter, with revenue of $830 million growing 8%, and with 6% growth in the U.S. and 9% growth in the international markets. Coronary revenue of $376 million grew 3%. Worldwide drug-eluting stent revenue in the quarter was $192 million, including $40 million in the U.S. We continue to expect a late FY '12 approval of RESOLUTE in the U.S., which we believe will be a meaningful driver of revenue growth and share gains. To put the U.S. opportunity in perspective, in Europe, where RESOLUTE is approved and we have more competitors than in the U.S., our DES share is nearly double our U.S. share. In markets where we have regulatory approval for both our Resolute Integrity drug-eluting stent and the Integrity bare-metal stents, Medtronic holds the market-leading coronary stent share position. And we expect to drive growth by taking share when these products become available in new markets. Turning to Ardian. We continue to make progress on this multibillion-dollar opportunity in hypertension, and are tracking to our expectations of generating $30 million to $40 million of revenue in FY '12. On the commercial front, we introduced our SYMPLICITY system into new centers in Europe, the Middle East and Asia, and remain focused on the expanding reimbursement in 2 additional countries. Structural Heart revenue of $266 million increased 8%, driven by strong growth in transcatheter valves. We continue to split the transcatheter valve market with our competitor and have clear market leadership in the largest TCV segment, transfemoral implantation. In addition to being the only device with CE Mark approval for the sub-claiming approach, CoreValve recently became the first-and-only device to receive CE Mark approval for direct aortic implantation, which is gaining considerable attention from cardiac surgeons as an alternative to the trans-aid [ph] implantation as direct aortic does not require an incision into the heart. We are seeing strong interest in our new 31-millimeter CoreValve, and we expect CE Mark approval for our 23-millimeter CoreValve in the second half of FY '12. In the U.S., we are pleased with the great progress of our CoreValve pivotal trial. We expect to finish enrollment in the extreme risk arm by the end of the calendar year and the high risk arm by next summer. In addition, we started our CoreValve pivotal trial in Japan earlier this month. In surgical heart valves, we grew 4% on the strength of our mechanical valve portfolio. We estimate we gained 300 basis points on mechanical valve shares sequentially. Turning to Endovascular and Peripheral. Revenue of $188 million grew 20%. In the U.S., revenue growth of 33% was driven by the continued success of the Endurant abdominal stent graft. Endurant is having strong sales growth in markets around the globe, and we continue to expand into new markets, including recent launches in France, Mexico and Japan. In Peripheral, our drug-eluting balloons had strong double-digit growth, and we received FDA approval last month for our Assurant Cobalt Iliac Stent. Physio-Control revenue of $109 million declined 3%. After adjusting for resuming shipments in Q2 last year, following a supply-constraint issue, the business grew 7%. Last week, we announced our intent to sell Physio-Control to Bain Capital, and we expect to treat Physio-Control as a discontinued operation in our financial statements starting in Q3. The deal is expected to close in the first calendar quarter of 2012, and we expect to use most of the proceeds to offset any potential dilutive impact from this transaction to FY '12 non-GAAP earnings per share. This transaction is reflective of our ongoing commitment to evaluate our portfolio of businesses and divest nonstrategic assets as necessary. Now turning to our Restorative Therapies Group. Revenue of $1,925,000,000 grew 4%. Growth was driven by another quarter of solid performance in Surgical Technologies and Diabetes, as well as improved growth in Neuromodulation, offset by challenges in Spinal. Spinal revenue of $839 million declined 3%. The global spine market remains challenging, with global growth in the low-single digits and the U.S. market declining in the low-single digits. In the U.S. market, mid-single-digit-pricing declines continued to offset low single-digit procedure in mix growth. Although the market continues to be challenged, our Spinal business grew 8% in the international markets on the strength of new products. In Core Spinal, which includes Core Metal Constructs, IPDs and BKP products, revenue of $631 million declined 3%. Core Metal Construct products declined 1%, but we were encouraged to see growth of 5% sequentially as we continue to ramp up the rollout of our new products, including VERTEX SELECT, ATLANTIS VISION ELITE and Solera, our flagship posterior fixation system. In the U.S., Solera is growing nearly 10% and is garnering a mid-teens price uplift. We launched Solera Sextant, our minimally invasive product late in Q2 and plan to roll out Solera 5.5 and 6.0 to address the complex deformity segment, as well as POWEREASE, the industry's first powered-instruments solution for Solera later this fiscal year. We expect Solera will continue to become a larger part of our mix and drive growth as we roll out additional sets. At MAST, we also announced our new MAST MIDLF procedure, a solution for minimally invasive lumbar fusion surgery through a midline laminectomy approach. In Q2, we were pleased by a $101 million jury verdict that found a competitor infringement on 3 of our patents. We remain committed to vigorously defending our intellectual property. In BKP, revenue declined 8%. While we continue to face procedure and pricing pressures in the VCF market, our recently launched Xpander 2 balloon has strong adoption in its first full quarter. Biologics revenue of $208 million declined 4%. Sales of INFUSE declined 16% in the quarter, which was similar to the upper-teens decline we saw on Q1 following the publication of The Spine Journal articles in June. Despite pressure on INFUSE, we were encouraged to see double-digit sequential growth in other Biologics. Our acquisition of Osteotech contributed $26 million in revenue and MagniFuse growth has accelerated following the recent INFUSE decline. Turning to Neuromodulation. Revenue of $421 million increased 6%, driven by double-digit growth in DBS Inter Stim. In pain, the RestoreSensor spinal cord stimulator, with our proprietary AdaptiveStim technology, continues to perform well in Europe. Last week, we announced the FDA approval for RestoreSensor, and we expect this breakthrough technology to drive growth and take share in the U.S. market. In Uro/Gastro, the U.S. launch of InterStim Therapy for bowel control continues to go well and is contributing to the success of InterStim. Diabetes revenue of $367 million grew 10%, driven by double-digit growth in insulin pumps and CGM. Our international Diabetes revenue grew 15% as we continue to see adoption with the Veo pump with its novel Low Glucose Suspend feature. In addition, our recently launched Enlite Sensor continues to see success in international markets with very positive feedback on its improved comfort, accuracy and ease of use. Surgical Technologies revenue of $298 million grew 20%, including $21 million from our new Advanced Energy business, which is comprised of our acquisitions of PEEK and Salient. Excluding Advanced Energy, Surgical Technologies had strong organic growth of 11%. We are excited about the addition of Advanced Energy growth business and its platform technologies to Medtronic, including the recently FDA-approved Aquamantys 3 system. Surgical Technologies has strong performance in the U.S. capital equipment, driven in part by the decision we made this summer to merge our NT and navigation sales forces to strengthen our account coverage. We are also continuing to see solid growth in disposables, especially in EMT [ph] power and monitoring. Turning to the rest of the income statement. The gross margin was 75.5%, compared to 75.4% in the second quarter of last year. We continue to expect our gross margin for the remainder of the fiscal year to be in the range of 75% to 75.5%, as we continue to offset pricing pressure through our $1 billion cost of goods sold reduction program. Second quarter R&D spending of $379 million was 9.2% of revenue. We remain committed to investing in new technology development and evidence creation to drive future growth and continue to expect R&D spending in the range of 9% to 9.5%. Second quarter SG&A expenditures of $1,437,000,000 represented 34.8% of sales, a 30 basis point improvement from the second quarter last year. It is important to note that incremental bad debt expense included in our SG&A this quarter in international and Diabetes had a 40 to 50 basis point negative impact, which also had a little more than $0.01 negative impact on our earnings per share. We believe the Diabetes issue, related to a system changeover, is behind us. However, we remain cautious on the possibility for incremental international bad debt expense going forward, given the current economic conditions in Europe. We continue to focus on several initiatives to leverage our expenses, while at the same time investing in new product launches and adding to our sales force in faster-growing businesses and geographies. We expect SG&A spending to be in a range of 33.5% to 34% for the full fiscal year. In an effort to improve disclosure to investors, we continue to break out the noncash amortization expense as a separate line item from net other expense on our income statement. Amortization expense for the quarter was $86 million, compared to $85 million in the second quarter last year. For the rest of FY '12, we would expect amortization expense in the range of $85 million to $90 million per quarter. Net other expense for the quarter was $142 million, compared to $9 million in income in the prior year. The year-over-year increase in expense is primarily a result of the losses from our hedging programs, which were $84 million during the quarter, compared to $48 million in gains in the comparable period last year. As you know, we hedge much of our operating results to reduce volatility in our earnings. Net other expense this quarter also includes $28 million in expense from the Puerto Rico excise tax, which is almost entirely offset by our corresponding tax benefit I will discuss in a moment. Looking ahead, based on current FX rates, we anticipate Q3 net other expense will be in the range of $85 million and $105 million, including hedging losses in the range of $30 million to $40 million. For FY '12, we expect net other expense will be in the range of $405 million to $455 million, which includes hedging losses in the range of $190 million to $230 million based on current exchange rates. Net interest expense for the quarter was $38 million compared to $67 million in the prior year period. Excluding the $21 million noncash charge for convertible debt interest expense, non-GAAP net interest expense was $17 million. At the end of Q2, we had approximately $9 billion in cash and cash investments and $10 billion of debt. For FY '12, we anticipate non-GAAP net interest expense in the range of $60 million to $70 million. Let's now turn to our tax rate. Our effective tax rate in the second quarter was 17.3%. Excluding the impact of onetime items, our adjusted non-GAAP nominal tax rate in Q2 was 17.6%. Included in this rate is the $25 million tax benefit associated with the U.S. foreign tax credit from the Puerto Rico excise tax, which mostly offsets the charge recorded in other expense. Also included in the tax rate for the quarter is a $17 million net benefit associated with the resolution of certain income tax audits, changes to uncertain tax position reserves for the quarter and the finalization of certain tax returns. This onetime tax benefit of more than $0.01 would basically offsets the impact from our incremental bad debt expense I mentioned earlier. For FY '12, we expect an adjusted non-GAAP nominal tax rate in the range of 19% to 19.5%, which includes the tax credit associated with the Puerto Rico excise tax. In Q2, we generated approximately $1 billion in free cash flow, defined as operating cash flow minus capital expenditures. We expect to generate $4 billion in free cash flow in FY '12, and remain committed to returning 40% to 50% of our free cash flow to shareholders. During the first half of FY '12, we have paid over $500 million in dividends and repurchased $600 million of our common stock. As of the end of Q2, we had remaining authorization repurchase of approximately 80 million shares. Second quarter average shares outstanding on a diluted basis were 1,063,000,000 shares. Let me conclude by commenting on our revenue outlook for the remainder of fiscal year 2012. We believe a constant-currency revenue growth rate of 1% to 3% from continuing operations is reasonable for the second half of FY '12 as we continue to execute in slower markets. While we cannot predict the impact of currency movements to give you a sense of the FX impact if the exchange rates were to remain similar to yesterday for the remainder of the fiscal year, then our FY '12 revenue would be positively affected by approximately $290 million to $330 million, including a positive $20 million to $40 million impact in Q3. Our FY '12 revenue outlook assumes our CRDM and Spinal businesses combined continue to decline in a low-single digits on a constant-currency basis. Our outlook continues to assume that the rest of the businesses combined continue to grow in the mid to high-single digits on a constant-currency basis. Turning to our guidance on the bottom line. We believe it is reasonable to continue to expect non-GAAP diluted earnings per share in the range of $3.43 to $3.50, which includes approximately $0.04 to $0.06 of dilution from the Ardian acquisition. After adjusting for the Ardian dilution and the $0.10 of onetime tax benefits we received in FY '11, our guidance implies FY '12 earnings per share growth of 6% to 9%. While we don't provide quarterly guidance, we would point out that Q3 has typically had similar earnings per share to Q2. And therefore, we'd not be surprised to see some models shift a couple of pennies from Q3 to Q4. As in the past, my comments and guidance do not include any unusual charges or gains that might occur during the fiscal year, nor do they include the impact of the noncash charge for convertible debt interest expense. With that, Omar and I would now like to open the phone lines for Q and A. [Operator Instructions] If you have additional questions, please contact our Investor Relations team after the call. Operator, first question, please.