Gregory S. Marcus
Analyst · Texas Capital
Thanks, Chad. Good morning, everyone. When we were together last quarter, we shared that our summer was off to a solid start in both of our businesses. In theaters, a more diverse film slate was bringing out audiences for a series of solid performances. In hotels, we were gaining momentum as we entered the third quarter, and we're well positioned with several newly remodeled properties in our portfolio. As the rest of the third quarter played out, we saw some divergence between the results of our 2 divisions. In theaters, we saw a late summer movie season that included several films that performed well and met our own expectations, but it lacked a runaway hit blockbuster film that we've had the last couple of years, and the film mix was challenging for our markets. In hotels, our team executed exceptionally well, capitalizing on both group and leisure demand and delivered a quarter that outperformed our competitors in the nation, overcoming a very difficult comparison to our record third quarter results last year. As I will discuss today, while the overall result was a mixed quarter compared to our own expectations, there were many positives that we think will benefit us in the long term. I'll start with our theater division. In a quarter where there has been much industry discussion about a national box office that was down nearly 12%. I'd like to step back for a moment with some perspective and start with a few things that we thought were positive. First of all, we have good product supply with 32 wide releases in the third quarter this year compared to 29 last year. The film slate was less concentrated, and many of the smaller and midsized pictures actually performed better on average than they performed last year. When you get past the top 6 movies in the quarter, the average box office gross per film for the next 14 films in the top 20 was up over 11%. We believe this illustrates that there is an important role for small and midsized films in theatrical. And contrary to some of the narrative in the trade press, audiences want to come out to see these movies in theaters. Second, there were several films that outperformed expectations. James Gunn's Superman opened to $125 million domestically achieving over $350 million in box office during its domestic run and grossing over $600 million globally. More importantly, the success of this DC franchise film sets up a promising outlook for future sequels with more DC adventures on the horizon. Zach Cregger's horror hit Weapons crossed $100 million in domestic box office in just 2 weeks and its way to over $150 million for the run. The Conjuring: Last Rites smashed box office records with both the highest domestic and global opening for a horror film going on to become the highest grossing film in The Conjuring series. Demon Slayer: Infinity Castle broke the anime record with a $70 million domestic opening and has continued to play strong to become the highest grossing international movie ever in the U.S. with a domestic run now of over $132 million. These were all great results for these films, and they illustrate the audience appeal for a wide range of content across genres. So where did the summer box office come up short compared to last year? We think it ultimately comes down to a couple of simple factors. First, we didn't have a breakout smash hit this year that was the musty film of the summer, as we've seen in the last 2 years, the #1 film in the third quarter last year, was Deadpool & Wolverine. And in 2023, it was Barbie with both films grossing approximately $630 million domestically in the quarter. As I discussed earlier, the #1 film in the quarter this year, Superman was a great success for many reasons, but at $350 million, its gross was approximately $280 million lower. We've been in this industry for a long time, and this dynamic with varying levels of box office hits from year-to-year isn't new. It's just the nature of our business. Second and the third quarter, the summer box office was lighter on family films, a genre or we typically outperform. Last year, our top 5 films in the third quarter included Despicable Me 4 at #2, and Inside Out 2 is the #5 film, which was the second quarter release that carried over and held strong into the third quarter. This contributed $183 million to the third quarter domestic box office. This year's third quarter did not have a family animated film on the top 5 and didn't benefit from carryover of family films released in Q2. Again, this isn't really a new phenomenon, but it did create a tough comparison to last year, particularly for our circuit, which historically has outperformed on family films. Chad discussed the factors we believe are impacting our box office growth relative to the nation and while we underperformed the nation by just under 4 percentage points. This was primarily due to our strong outperformance last -- in last year's third quarter, coupled with a film mix this year that didn't include many family films. I'm pleased to share that we continue to make progress on optimizing prices to capture premium during peak periods and maintain the right balance of value-oriented options for more price-sensitive customers during lower demand periods. As expected, our admission per caps improved during the third quarter as we implemented blockbuster pricing on high-demand films and continue to adjust pricing for our Everyday Matinee program. We expect continued growth in our admission per caps for the next several quarters. We're looking forward to an exciting fall and holiday film slate with Wicked: For Good, Zootopia 2, Five Nights at Freddy's 2, The SpongeBob Movie: Search for SquarePants and Avatar Fire and Ash, just to name a few. Advanced ticket sales of Wicked: For Good have been strong and are currently trending over 3x ahead of presales for last year's Wicked. As we look ahead to next year, the 2026 film slate features major franchises, including Spider-Man: Brand New Day, The Super Mario Galaxy Movie, Moana Jumanji 3, Moana, Jumanji 3, 2 different movies, Toy Story 5, Megameno, Mega Minions, The Mandalorian and Grogu, Dune, Messiah; and Avengers: Doomsday just to name a few. There are many more great films coming noted in today's earnings release, the 2026 film slate continues to fill in and the early indication is that while there are a similar number of franchise films in 2026 compared to this year, the grossing potential of 2026 franchise is greater based on the historical predecessor box office performances. The 2026 slate currently includes 4 films where the predecessor earned over $500 million at the domestic box office compared to only 1 such film in 2025. Moving to our Hotels and Resorts division. You've seen the segment numbers, and Chad shared some additional detail on the performance metrics, including our outperformance to the competitive sets. We expected this quarter to be a challenging comparison to last year for the hotel division, given the significant impact the RNC had in our Milwaukee hotels in the third quarter last year. And I'm thrilled to share that our teams met the challenge and delivered absolute growth to overcome a tough comp. The RNC was an extraordinary period -- extraordinary event for our largest market, and we back out the RNC impact from our prior year results, our core business performed very well. In particular, 2 of our newly renovated properties, Grand Geneva Resort & Spa and Pfister hotel benefited from our investments in renovations and great execution by our teams to deliver outstanding results this quarter. There were several notable items in the quarter that I'd like to highlight. Average daily rates during the quarter were generally strong, with rate growth at 4 of our 7 hotels when adjusted for the prior year RNC impact. We have been successful in achieving higher rates at our hotels with newly renovated room product, including the Pfister, Grand Geneva Resort & Spa and Hilton Milwaukee. Occupancy remains strong with occupancy growth at 6 of our 7 hotels the combination of strong ADR and occupancy growth resulted in our properties once again outperforming their competitive sets with impressive RevPAR growth of 7.5% when adjusted for the prior year impact of the RNC. Group business during the quarter was stable. And as we approach the end of the year, our group room revenue bookings for full year fiscal 2025 or group pace in the year for the year are running slightly behind where we were at this time last year, which includes the RNC Group business last year, even more encouraging. Group room pace for 2026 is running approximately 14% ahead of where we were at this time last year, for the next year out with banquet and catering revenues similarly running ahead of last year's pace. The current state of our hotel business remains stable and consistent with our view last quarter. While some markets have seen some more significant leisure softening, our owned portfolio has generally performed well. Leisure transient demand remains soft in some markets around the country. But our hotel portfolio has not seen significant signs of softening or significant cancellations of group business. We believe our upper upscale positioning, drive to market locations and a broad segmentation lessening our exposure to any one type of customer. We'll see less volatility if further economic soften occurs. There remains an increased level of economic uncertainty compared to where we were a year ago. And if we begin to see softness, we are prepared to react and adjust quickly. Our operations team is continuously focused on labor efficiency, and we've developed a strong track record of successfully managing through a changing demand environment. Finally, I'd like to close with our views on capital allocation and returning capital to shareholders. For the last couple of years, we've made significant reinvestments in our assets. And as Chad discussed, we expect to move past this heavy CapEx cycle next year as we shift back to a more typical maintenance and ROI CapEx mix. We're seeing great results from our renovated properties, and we believe these investments will continue to have attractive long-term returns. On the growth front, we continue to look for opportunities to deploy capital to grow both of our businesses with value-accretive investments. We have confidence in our businesses and a strong balance sheet that allows us to move quickly when we see good opportunities. And we have a history of executing when they arise. To the extent that we don't see attractive investments that are actionable, we expect to return excess capital to shareholders through share repurchases or dividends. As Chad described in greater detail, we repurchased over 5% of our outstanding shares through opportunistic share repurchases since we began repurchasing shares in the third quarter of 2024. Between cash dividends and share repurchases, we have returned over $25 million or approximately $0.80 per share to shareholders in the last 4 quarters. This morning, we announced that our Board of Directors has approved a 4 million share increase in our current repurchase authorization, bringing our current share repurchase authorization to 4.7 million shares in the absence of growth investments with attractive returns, we will continue to use this authorization to opportunistically repurchase shares and return capital to shareholders. And this new authorization will give us the flexibility to move quickly as opportunities arise. Throughout our company's history, we've taken a balanced approach of investing in long-term growth opportunities while returning capital to shareholders, and you should expect us to continue to do both going forward. It won't be all of one or the other. We continue to pursue growth opportunities in both of our businesses, and we're generally opportunistic investing where we see value and attractive returns, whether it be in new deals or in buying back our stock as we've done recently. Finally, tomorrow marks an important milestone in our history. On November 1, 1935, my grandfather, Ben Marcus, founded, but became the Marcus Corporation with the purchase of a single screen movie theater in Ripon, Wisconsin. During the month of November, we will celebrate the company's 90th anniversary, and our theme for the year has been the spirit of entrepreneurship. One of the guiding principles that my grandfather and Dad instilled in all of us in our company's future will be built on that same entrepreneurial legacy. We are called on to push, change and evolve because as we know, from our 90 years of history, the only constant has changed. I'm excited to celebrate our 90th anniversary with our associates who, by the way, my grandfather taught us, our most important asset. As we both recognize our achievements and look ahead to a future that will continue the legacy of these great businesses for many years to come. Before we open up the call for questions, I want to conclude my remarks by saying thank you to all the hard-working associates of the Marcus Corporation. I don't want to ever take for granted what each and every one of them does to contribute to the success of both of our businesses. Thank you. With that, at this time, Chad and I would be happy to open the call up for any questions you may have.