Earnings Labs

MasterCraft Boat Holdings, Inc. (MCFT)

Q4 2023 Earnings Call· Wed, Aug 30, 2023

$23.30

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Transcript

Operator

Operator

Good day, and thank you for standing by. Welcome to the Q4 2023 MasterCraft Boat Holdings, Inc. Earnings Conference Call. At this time, all participants are in a listen-only mode. After the speakers' presentation, there will be a question-and-answer session. [Operator Instructions] Please be advised that today's conference is being recorded. I would like now to turn the conference over to Tim Oxley, Chief Financial Officer. Please go ahead.

Tim Oxley

Analyst

Thank you, operator, and welcome everyone. Thank you for joining us today as we discuss MasterCraft's fiscal fourth quarter and full year performance for 2023. As a reminder, today's call is being webcast live and will also be archived on our website for future listening. With me on this morning's call are Fred Brightbill, Chief Executive Officer and Chairman; George Steinbarger, President of Crest; and Bobby Potter, Vice President of Strategy, Investor Relations. Fred will begin with a review of our operational highlights from the fourth quarter and full year. I will then discuss our financial performance. Then I'll turn the call back to Fred for some closing remarks before we open the call for Q&A. Before we begin, we'd like to remind participants that the information contained in this call is currently as -- only as of today, August 30, 2023. The company assumes no obligation to update any statements, including forward-looking statements. Statements that are not historical facts are forward-looking statements and subject to the Safe Harbor disclaimer in today's press release. Additionally, on this conference call, we will discuss non-GAAP measures that include or exclude special or items not indicative of our ongoing operations. For each non-GAAP measure, we also provide the most directly comparable GAAP measure in our fiscal 2023 fourth quarter earnings release, which includes a reconciliation of these non-GAAP measures to our GAAP results. There is also a slide deck summarizing our financial results in the Investors section of our website. As a reminder, unless otherwise noted, the following commentary is made on a continuing operation basis. With that, I'll turn the call over to Fred.

Fred Brightbill

Analyst

Thank you, Tim, and good morning, everyone. We concluded fiscal year 2023 by delivering a record performance of $662 million in net sales, more than $131 million of adjusted EBITDA and $5.35 of adjusted earnings per share for the full year. These outstanding results represent a third consecutive record setting year for net sales and earnings. Our strong operating performance resulted in the highest cash flow for any year in the company's history, as we generated more than $136 million of operating cash flow, driven by strong earnings and diligent working capital management. We are proud of our team and their outstanding work. Fiscal 2023 was a dynamic year for our businesses. We began the year in an environment of very low dealer inventories, uncertain retail demand, continuing but easing supply chain disruption, and emerging economic headwinds. We were early to identify and discuss this changing environment beginning with our initial guidance last September. Our goals for the year included fully restocking our dealers in advance of the summer selling season, maintaining healthy dealer inventories, and maximizing our financial performance. As the year progressed, we closely monitored the environment and adjusted production plans accordingly. By the fiscal third quarter, we've succeeded in recycling dealer inventories to what we considered optimal levels. Through the fiscal third quarter, retail activity performed closer to the upper end of our range of potential outcomes. Prevailing expectation for a return to more historical seasonal demand patterns provided us with cautious optimism for retail sales in the all-important fiscal fourth quarter and summer selling season. Historically, 40% to 50% of annual retail sales occur in our fiscal fourth quarter. Weather adversely impacted retail sales early in quarter and sales did not recover by the end of the quarter. As a result, retail sales for our fiscal…

Tim Oxley

Analyst

Thanks, Fred. Focusing on the top-line, net sales for the full year were $662 million, an increase of $20.4 million or 3.2%. This increase was primarily due to higher prices, partially offset by decreased unit volumes, increased dealer incentives, and changes in model mix. Dealer incentives include higher floor plan financing cost as a result of increased dealer inventories and interest rates and other incentives as the retail environment becomes more competitive. For the year, our gross margin was 25.6%, a decrease of 60 basis points when compared to the prior year. Lower margins were mainly due to higher costs from inflationary pressures, higher dealer incentives, lower cost absorption due to decreased production volumes and changes in model mix, partially offset by higher prices and improved production efficiencies. Operating expenses were $52.8 million for the year, up $800,000 from the prior year. SG&A expenses as a percentage of net sales remained relatively flat as we prudently managed cost. Turning to the bottom-line. Adjusted net income for the year increased 1.8% to $95 million, compared to adjusted net income of $93.3 million for the prior year. Adjusted net income per share increased 6.8% to $5.35, compared to $5.01 for the prior year, and was computed using the company's estimated annual effective tax rate of 23%. The increase in adjusted net income per share was primarily due to higher short-term investment income and reduced share count as a result of our share repurchase program. Adjusted EBITDA increased about 1% to $131.5 million for the year compared to $130.5 million in the prior year. Adjusted EBITDA margin was 19.9%, down 40 basis points from 20.3% in the prior-year period. As for the fourth quarter results, net sales were $166.6 million, a decrease of $30.7 million or 15.5% compared to the prior-year period. The…

Fred Brightbill

Analyst

Thanks, Tim. Our business performed extremely well during fiscal 2023, delivering a third consecutive record setting year for net sales and earnings. We generated nearly $136 million of operating cash flow, the highest-ever cash flow in the company's history. We've returned 46 -- $48 million of excess cash to our shareholders over the course of the last two fiscal years using our share repurchase program, and we have authorized an additional $50 million program. Our strong brands recently announced exciting and innovative model year 2024 product lineups. We have an enviable balance sheet providing us with financial flexibility to ensure sound operations through the business cycle and affording us with the opportunity to pursue our strategic initiatives. In short, we are executing well despite the dynamic and uncertain macroeconomic environment. We look forward to delivering strong results while maintaining the commitment to the pursuit of long-term growth opportunities and thereby generating exceptional shareholder returns. Operator, you may now open the line for questions.

Operator

Operator

[Operator Instructions] The first question comes from Craig Kennison with Baird. Your line is now open.

Craig Kennison

Analyst

Hey, good morning, and thank you for taking my question. You had talked very clearly about inventory and the opportunity to restock the channel. Last year, I think you said 1,400 units. How much -- or how many units do you think you're heavy by at this point? And are there categories where you think you're particularly heavy?

Fred Brightbill

Analyst

Craig, let me frame it this way, maybe. As you think forward next year in terms of retail versus wholesale, and that differential, I would expect us to pull down inventory by 900 units, kind of split between almost evenly between Crest and MasterCraft. In terms of particular categories, it's not concentrated in any particular area. We do -- we very carefully manage our retail distribution and sold units. So, really don't have any particular area where there's been any accumulation.

Craig Kennison

Analyst

And I guess I'm curious what your dealer feedback is. I imagine they're facing elevated floor plan costs. Are they telling you they want to reduce inventory? Or is this more based on what looks like a conservative retail forecast on your part?

Fred Brightbill

Analyst

Oh, you've been in the industry long enough to know, we finished the summer selling season and nobody really wants to take on significant inventory in that second fiscal quarter. We do it through our programs, right? So that's an area where dealers carry that and we're able to level production. And then, as we get into the following selling season, right, then that's typically what ideally, if they had their druthers, they'd like to ramp up their inventory availability. We smooth it out with our program and we're very, very sensitive to our dealers as partners' long run and their financial health. So, that's why we eased off the throttle very early and leveled out our production throughout the year, take some pressure off of them.

Craig Kennison

Analyst

And I guess if I could squeeze in one more. Tim, as we think about lower production, to what extent does that lower production weigh on your gross margin outlook?

Tim Oxley

Analyst

Yes, it's significant. It's probably in the neighborhood of just on overhead absorption, 400 basis points. And obviously, we do leverage some on our operating expenses as well.

Craig Kennison

Analyst

That helps a lot. Great. Thank you.

Operator

Operator

Please stand by for the next question. The next question comes from Joe Altobello with Raymond James. Your line is open.

Martin Mitela

Analyst · Raymond James. Your line is open.

Good morning. This is Martin Mitela on for Joe Altobello. I was wondering if we can get a little bit more color around the tightening credit standards and how that's affecting. Is it the consumers or is it also the dealers as well?

George Steinbarger

Analyst · Raymond James. Your line is open.

Hey, Martin. It's George. I think it's -- principally when we talk about this credit standards, we're really talking about the consumer. We've seen the tightening standards, both increasing pricing and then also limiting people's ability to actually get financing to close on some boat deals. So, it's a combination of both the pricing, and that's impacting the monthly payments that consumers are getting quoted from the banks and the dealers based on the rate they're getting, but also, in some cases, we've seen some consumers not be able to get financing due to lenders being more aggressive with their underwriting standards.

Martin Mitela

Analyst · Raymond James. Your line is open.

Got it. And just moving on to Aviara. I know you have a new model out. How does that expand its addressable market? And how is the pricing compared to some of the competitors?

Fred Brightbill

Analyst · Raymond James. Your line is open.

It'll be priced competitively with the premium offerings in that category, the luxury day boat, and in this case, the expanded surf-centric capabilities. In terms of addressable market, I mean, it's a [permeated] (ph) volume typically within boating as size decreases. So, as we move down into lower size ranges, there are many more units down there available. We're very excited about that market and the opportunity. It's a big part of Aviara's growth for this year, particularly in the second half of the year.

Martin Mitela

Analyst · Raymond James. Your line is open.

Got it. Thank you very much, guys.

Operator

Operator

Please standby for the next question. The next question comes from Drew Crum with Stifel. Your line is open.

Drew Crum

Analyst · Stifel. Your line is open.

Okay, thanks. Hey, guys, good morning. So, you noted a variety of retail scenarios, including units being down in the mid-teens range. Can you address how you're approaching price this year? And then, I guess just from a phasing perspective, what does your forecast assume? Are you assuming things get progressively worse as you move through the year, or they moderate? And then I have a follow-up.

Fred Brightbill

Analyst · Stifel. Your line is open.

Let me start with pricing. Think about low- to mid-single digits as a range of price increases, pretty similar, pretty tight across our brands. So, back to kind of pre-COVID type levels of price increase for us. I'm sorry, the second question was?

Drew Crum

Analyst · Stifel. Your line is open.

Yes. Fred, just what you're assuming from a phasing perspective as you move through the fiscal year as far as retail is concerned?

Fred Brightbill

Analyst · Stifel. Your line is open.

Yes, I think that's important. We're looking at this current environment and the uncertainty and the headwinds and assuming the current conditions continue. So, what's really important here is how you think about the next summer selling season. And if that -- if in fact, we're through the worst of the economy, and there's some uptick, if we're through with rate increases and potentially, there's even a rate decrease by then, I think we've got upside, but we did not build that into our plan. Our plan assumes kind of this continuing malaise, if you will, of not better and not dramatically worse, just kind of continuing to slug along as we are.

Drew Crum

Analyst · Stifel. Your line is open.

Got it. Okay. That's helpful. And then just a quick follow-up. Can you comment on your share performance with the MasterCraft brand over the last 12 months in the most recent quarter, if you have that available? Thanks.

George Steinbarger

Analyst · Stifel. Your line is open.

Hey, Drew. So, the June data is still preliminary, but based on the preliminary data on a rolling 12 basis, MasterCraft is flat, if not, maybe slightly down a couple of basis points there. We think that will improve as more states report and the June official data comes out. Our view on market share is we try to take a more long-term view. And if you look more long-term historical, the MasterCraft brand has actually been the leading brand in the ski/wake category for the last six years. So, we're pretty proud of that sustainability. And I think when you look at some of the competitors that are seeing market share growth, in some cases, they're actually coming off with market share losses over the last couple of years. So we're looking at market share more on a long-term sustainable and profitable nature, which has been consistent with our view of market share since we've gone public.

Drew Crum

Analyst · Stifel. Your line is open.

Yeah. Okay. All right, thanks, guys.

Operator

Operator

Please standby for the next question. The next question comes from Eric Wold with B. Riley Securities. Your line is open.

Eric Wold

Analyst · B. Riley Securities. Your line is open.

Thank you. Good morning. A couple of questions. I guess one kind of a follow-up on prior comments kind of around demand levels and consumers' kind of inability to get some credit financing returns they want. Are you able to tinker around with any kind of promotional activity or discounting kind of throughout the quarter or into this quarter that could give you some, I don't say confidence, but just some insight into if you discounted enough or got prices down at a certain level, you could actually drive demand, it could have really boost demand at a level that was still profitable for you? Or is it really just -- it's tough to get down to a level right now where consumers are that really can drive that level of interest?

George Steinbarger

Analyst · B. Riley Securities. Your line is open.

No, I mean, I would say, Eric, we have certainly utilized discount or programs with our dealers and partner with our dealers to help them move inventory. And I would say we've seen pockets of strength where we've seen that really help move the needle in retail. We've seen other areas where we haven't seen it move the needle as much. And I think part of that is where a lot of it depends on where the competitors, what their positions are in certain geographies and how aggressive they're being. So, you really have to look at it on a market-by-market basis and really adjust to what the competitors and the local dealers are doing. So, we will continue to utilize programs as an avenue to help our dealers sell through the inventory they have and help them enter into the next selling season in a more healthy position and, obviously, willing to take more boat orders. And so, we'll continue to tinker with those. I think interest rates right now is probably the biggest opportunity where we can get more creative and try to help our consumers with finding a monthly payment price that suits our budgetary needs, and that's certainly something that we've -- we'll continue to look into and have an opportunity.

Eric Wold

Analyst · B. Riley Securities. Your line is open.

Thanks, George. And then last question. you mentioned some opportunity to expand Aviara domestically and internationally, enter the distribution. Given your outlook for the retail demand environment for fiscal '24, what is your desire to expand the dealership network for Crest this year? And kind of what's baked in there for either Crest and Aviara, given that malaise for the fiscal year?

George Steinbarger

Analyst · B. Riley Securities. Your line is open.

Yes. So Eric, on the Crest front, we're still seeing strong interest from dealers to add the Crest brand. We added about 25 dealers last year -- last fiscal year, and our plan this year is to continue to add distribution. Some of that's distribution we've been talking to for a while and others, we continue to have discussions. Obviously, some dealers are coming into the new relationship with Crest, with maybe a little heavy inventory on some of their other products. So, we're working through that, but still seeing really positive willingness to take on the brand and we're excited for getting into some markets where we've not previously had distribution or strong distribution. On Aviara, I would say the interest level remains very strong. We've gotten a lot of interest from dealers internationally and in some domestic markets where MarineMax doesn't have a location. And so, we're pursuing those aggressively. We think the product that we're offering at Aviara, there's nothing like it in the marketplace. And with the introduction of the new 28 product, that only further expands the addressable market of new dealers that are interested in carrying the brand. So, very excited about the growth opportunities we have in distribution with Aviara.

Fred Brightbill

Analyst · B. Riley Securities. Your line is open.

That was launched recently and extremely well received. We are -- I couldn't be more optimistic about that product offering and the expansion.

Eric Wold

Analyst · B. Riley Securities. Your line is open.

Perfect. Thank you, both.

Operator

Operator

I show no further questions at this time. This concludes today's conference call. Thank you for participating. You may now disconnect.