Mercantile Bank Corporation (MBWM) Q2 2021 Earnings Report, Transcript and Summary

Good morning and welcome to the Mercantile Bank Corporation Second Quarter 2021 Earnings Results Call. All participants will be in listen-only mode. [Operator Instructions] After today’s presentation, there will be an opportunity to ask questions. [Operator Instructions] Please note this event is being recorded. I would now like to turn the conference over to Jeff Schoenborn, Lambert Investor Relations. Please go ahead.

Thanks, Gareth. Good morning, everyone. And thank you for joining Mercantile Bank Corporation’s conference call and webcast to discuss the company’s financial results for the second quarter of 2021. Joining me today are members of Mercantile’s management team, including Bob Kaminski, President and Chief Executive Officer; Chuck Christmas, Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer; and Ray Reitsma, President of Mercantile Bank, Michigan. We will review the call with management’s prepared remarks and presentation to review the quarter’s results, then open the call up to questions. However, before we can begin today’s call, it is my responsibility to inform you that this call may involve certain forward-looking statements such as projections of revenue, earnings and capital structure, as well as statements on the plans and objectives of the company’s business. The company’s actual results could differ materially from any forward-looking statements made today due to the factors described in the company’s latest Securities and Exchange Commission filings. The company assumes no obligation to update any forward-looking statements made during the call. If anyone does not already have a copy of the second quarter 2021 press release and presentation deck issued by Mercantile today, you can access it at the company’s website www.mercbank.com. At this time, I would like to turn the call over to Mercantile’s President and Chief Executive Officer, Bob Kaminski. Bob?

Thanks, Jeff, and good morning, everyone. On the call this morning, we will provide you with detailed information on the company’s performance in the second quarter. Mercantile has once again accomplished a strong quarter and along with progress being made with the COVID-19 pandemic including a widespread availability of vaccinations across the country and the reopening of the Michigan economy specifically, we remain very optimistic about our future performance. Although we have spent a better as far as the last year and a half working remotely, our dedicated teams did not missed a beat. As we continue to return to an environment of normalcy in our communities, the extraordinary work that was done by our team in 2020 and into 2021 has set the stage to allow us to remain intensely focused on our mission of acquiring new customers, and servicing existing ones to the highest level of standard. With businesses working to reopen more fully as they strive to return to pre-pandemic performance, we continue to closely monitor COVID-19-related developments, while always prioritizing the health and safety of our customers and employees. We seek to consistently find ways to operate as effectively within the current conditions and environment may be. Our full timeline of COVID-19-related activities can be found on Slide 10 of our deck. Our teams demonstrate continued resiliency and adaptability as we close out the second quarter delivering another very strong period of financial performance. We achieved net income of $18.1 million and per share earnings of $1.12, which includes a negative provision for loan losses for the quarter reflecting the continuing improvements in both current and forecasted economic conditions. Our focus on achieving strong and sustained growth has positioned us well for ongoing creation of shareholder value. Today, we also announced the third quarter cash dividend of $0.30 per share as we remain committed to delivering the consistent, high performance our shareholders have come to expect. During the second quarter, we also continued with purchases under our stock buyback program. Chuck will dive deeper into the details of our financial statements for the quarter, which again highlight our ongoing strength in mortgage banking income, sound asset quality, strong growth in core commercial loans, as well as manage overhead costs. We remain persistent in identifying new ways to improve our fee income, especially growing the bank – while growing the bank to create additional value for all of our stakeholders, especially in light of improving COVID-19 conditions, we have been able to leverage our strategic initiatives that are designed to increase market share. Over the past few months, we have seen great progress achieved by our cities and communities to resume economic activity as the effects of the pandemic subside. We remain encouraged by these steps and are enthused about our ability to meet the changing needs of our customers as we prioritize our efforts to further strengthen our relationships within these markets in support of transitions to our economic growth and recovery. Throughout the quarter, we demonstrated strong core loan growth by meeting the credit needs of our existing customers, while fostering relationships with our new and prospective clients. Our loan pipelines remain solid and our asset quality continues to be extremely strong. Our mortgage banking team continues their incredible performance in the second quarter. While refinance activity remains robust, our volume of loans to finance home purchase exceeded refinances during the quarter. We believe we are well-positioned to capturing even greater share of the mortgage banking market in upcoming periods as a result of our team’s proven record of fast, effective delivery of mortgage products to our markets supplemented by our recent strategic hires of seasoned lenders, both in our current and new markets. Ray will provide you with the highlights of the operations of our company in his comments. We are pleased with our ongoing activities to adapt industry best practices while leveraging available data to capture efficiencies, customize unique client interactions and refine our internal systems. The success of our commercial loan interest rate swap programs delivers value to our clients and help position us to improve our long-term loan yields. Our sustained growth in other key fee income categories and the increase in debit and credit card income above pre-pandemic levels demonstrates our focus on non-interest income revenue streams and our continue average to gain additional profitability for our company. Digital delivery remains a primary focus for Mercantile Bank as we look to leverage the momentum built during closures – during the pandemic when alternative delivery channels were fully implemented and successfully serves our client base. We have prudently invested in technology over the years, which continues to serve us well as we meet and exceed the evolving needs and expectations of our clients. We strive to transform our locations into customer relationship centers where routine transactions can be performed efficiently allowing staff to focus on relationship building with all clients including the explorational and fulfillment of financial service needs. Our current footprint can be viewed on Slide 3 of the deck. In closing, I want to express my thanks and appreciation to the Mercantile staffs for the dedication and excellent work during the first half of 2021. We remain committed as an organization to seizing the wide range of opportunities before us so that mean they continue our successes for the benefit of our customers, communities and shareholders for the balance of this year and beyond. Those are my introductory remarks. I’ll now turn the call over to Ray.

Thanks, Bob. Strong core commercial loan growth, net of PPP activities one of the central stories of the quarterly and year-to-date performance. Year-to-date core commercial loan growth is a $135 million as shown in Slide 14 comprise of $83 million in the first quarter and $52 million in the second quarter. Note that the second quarter growth was offset by nearly $20 million and payoffs related to the sale of borrowing entities. The year-to-date annualized growth rate of core loans is 11% and the quarterly growth rate is 8%. Additionally, our construction pipeline remains solid with a $167 million of commitments in commercial, construction and development loans which we expect to fund over the next 12 to 18 months representing an increase of $32 million over the prior quarter. Our current commercial past due loans at quarter end are nominal in dollar terms totaling 1.5 million representing four borrowers. Overall past due information can be found on Slide 17 and 18. Asset quality remains strong as nonperforming loans totaled just $2.7 million or 0.08% of total loans at June 30, 2021. The breakdown of nonperforming assets can be found on Slide 25 and 26. During the second quarter of 2021, we reported a negative provision expense of $3.1 million, primarily reflecting a reduced allocation associated with the economic conditions environmental factor amid a recovering economy. As you’ll recall, during 2020, we built out loan loss reserves significantly, in large part due to the unique challenges and economic uncertainty caused by the pandemic. As of June 30, 2021, our allowance for losses to total loans was 1.2% net of PPP loans. Payment deferrals at the peak of the program in mid-July 2020 impacted 738 borrowers and represented $719 million in exposure. Presently, as of June 30, there are no payment deferrals in place for commercial loans. There are extensions in place beyond that date for five mortgage borrowers representing $0.5 million of exposure as seen on Slide 11. The current deferral numbers, when combined with our expectations for no future deferral requests and their strong past due performance are positive indicators. The risk rating process depicts the portfolio with solid characteristics reflecting strength similar to that of the pre-crisis economy as seen in Slide 16. Maintaining accurate risk ratings will remain a key focus in the upcoming quarters as our borrowers continue to report results impacted by the pandemic. We continue to monitor the financial conditions and performance of the credits particularly in the following segments: hotels and lodging, assisted living, restaurants and entertainment. None of these individual segments account for more than 5% of commercial loans. The composition of these segments can be seen in Slide 13. We recorded noninterest income during the second quarter of $14.6 million, up $3.5 million or 33% from the prior year’s second quarter, which includes $1.1 million for the sale of a branch. As can be seen on Slide 21, mortgage banking of $7.7 million continues to be the primary driver of noninterest income. However, it is important to note that during the current quarter, purchase activity represented 61% of originations compared to the second quarter of last year when purchase activity represented 21% of originations as seen in Slide 24. This significant shift from refinance volumes towards purchase volume will greatly enhance our ability to sustain strong mortgage banking performance as refinance activity diminishes in future periods. July applications and backlog suggest that refinance opportunities will exist into the near future and purchase applications are at seasonally high levels. Continuing to enhance mortgage banking income through increased market share, including the expanding share in the purchase market remains a priority and we will continue to hire a proven mortgage loan originators as we are able as in the case of our new mortgage office in the Cincinnati area, which opened during the fourth quarter of 2020, in the Petoskey, Michigan loan production office, which opened during the second quarter of 2021. The primary contributors to the growth of noninterest income include, interest rate swap income, card income, payroll services, and service charges on accounts as seen on Slide 21. We reported $1.1 million of swap income reflecting interest rate risk management products put into place for clients during the quarter. Credit and debit card income increased by 39.7% on a quarter-over-quarter basis as activity within the accounts recovered from reduced activity during the pandemic and the base of activity grew as new relationships came to the bank and existing relationships were more fully developed. Service charges on accounts grew 15.7% reflecting increased economic activity and a broader base of relationships utilizing our suites of treasury management products. Payroll services income increased 9.5% as existing customers rebuilt their employment base and new relationships were established. That concludes my comments. I will now turn the call over to Chuck.

Thanks, Ray. As noted on slide 19, this morning we announced net income of $18.1 million or $1.12 per diluted share for the second quarter of 2021, compared with net income of $8.7 million or $0.54 per diluted share for the second quarter of 2020. Net income for the first six months of 2021 totaled $32.3 million or $2 per diluted share, compared to $19.4 million or $1.19 per diluted share during the first six months of 2020. Turning to slide 20, interest income on loans declined in the 2021 period compared to the prior year periods, primarily due to FOMC rate cuts totaling 150 basis points during March of 2020 and a low interest rate environment since that time. Interest income on securities during the 2020 period benefited from accelerated discount accretion on called U.S. Government agency bonds totaling $0.9 million during the second quarter and $2.7 million for the first six months. In total, interest income for the most recent quarter declined $1.4 million from the second quarter of 2020 and was down $4.5 million for the first six months of 2021, as compared to the prior year periods in large part reflecting a lower interest environment that cannot be fully offset with growth in earning assets. Interest expense declined in all categories during the 2021 period compared to the prior year periods, reflecting the declining and low interest rate environment. In total, interest expense declined $1.7 million during the second quarter of 2021, compared to the second quarter of 2020 and was down $4.1 million during the comparable year-to-date period. Net interest income increased $0.3 million during the second quarter of 2021, compared to the second quarter of 2020, but was down $0.5 million during the first six months of 2021, compared to the first six months of 2020. Overall, growth in earning assets was able to essentially offset a lower net interest margin. As Ray noted during his remarks, we recorded a negative provision expense of $3.1 million during the second quarter of 2021, compared to provision expense of $7.6 million during the second quarter of 2020. While the negative provision expense of $2.8 million was recorded during the first six months of this year, compared to provision expense of $8.4 million during last year’s first six months. The negative provision expense recorded during the second quarter of 2021 was mainly comprised of a lower reserve allocation, associated with the economic and business conditions, environmental factors reflecting improvement in both current and forecasted economic conditions. The relatively large provision expense during the second quarter of 2020 primarily reflected an increased reserve allocation associated with the economic and business conditions environmental factors, as well as the introduction of the COVID-19 pandemic environmental factors. We elected to postpone the adoption of CECL until January 1, 2022. However, we continue to run our CECL model concurrently with our incurred loss model. Based on preliminary results, the reserve balance under the CECL methodology would be about $6.6 million lower than our reserve balance as of June 30, 2021 as determined using the incurred loss methodology. This is an increase from the $4.9 million difference at March 31, 2021 and the $2.6 million difference at year end 2020. The primary difference between the two reserve models over the last few quarters related to the economic forecast aspect of the calculation. Under CECL, the employed economic forecast has shown significant improvement. Under the incurred model, our view of the economic and business conditions is generally positive and improving, but less though than what is reflected in market economic forecast. We will continue to assess all of the qualitative factors at the end of each quarter and we’ll adjust the loan loss reserve balance via the provision expense line item on the income statement. Continuing on slide 22, overhead cost increased $3.0 million in the second quarter of 2021, compared to the year ago quarter and increased $5.2 million during the first six months of 2021, compared to the first six months of last year. A majority of the increase in overhead cost is in salary and benefit cost, which were up $2.1 million and $3.6 million during the second quarter and first six months of 2021 when compared to the respective 2020 period in large part reflect an increased health insurance cost, annual merit – employee merit pay increases, and a lower level of deferred salary costs related to PPP loan originations. In addition, we accrued for our bonus programs during the second quarter and first six months of 2021, which we did not do in the first half of last year given the onset of the Coronavirus pandemic. Continuing on slide 23, our net interest margin was 2.76% during the second quarter of 2021, virtually unchanged from the first quarter of 2021, but down 41basis points when compared to the second quarter of 2020. Compared to the second quarter of last year, the yield on earning assets decreased 65 basis points, while the cost of funds declined 24 basis points for the most recent quarters. The yield on loans declined during the second quarter of 2021 by four basis points from that of the first quarter of 2021. As seen on Slide 12, net fee income accretion of $2.9 million during the second quarter was almost identical to that of the first three months of the year. As of quarter end, unrecognized PPP net fee income totaled $6.2 million, a vast majority of which is related to our PPP Round Number Two fundings. Our net interest margin continues to be negatively impacted by a significant volume of excess on-balance sheet liquidity depicted by low yielding deposits with the Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago. The excess funds are a product of increased local deposits, which are primarily a product of Federal Government Stimulus programs, as well as lower business and consumer investing and spending. Total local deposits increased $276 million or 8% during the first six months of 2021, and are up $1.1 billion or 42% since year end 2019. Approximately, two-thirds of the growth in local deposits over the past 18 months is comprised of increased noninterest-bearing checking account balances. Overnight deposits averaged $610 million during the second quarter and first six months of 2021, substantially higher than our typical average balance of around $75 million. This excess liquidity lowered our net interest margin during the second quarter and first six months of 2021 by about 35 basis points to 40 basis points. We expect the level of overnight deposits to stay elevated well into the foreseeable future. The cost of funds has been on a improving trend, primarily reflecting the falling interest rate environment and we expect that trend to continue throughout the remainder of 2021 as time deposits originated in a higher interest rate environment in prior periods mature. As shown on slide 27, we remain in a strong and well-capitalized regulatory capital position. The Tier 1 leverage capital ratio was 9.5% and the total risk-based capital ratio was 13.1% as of June 30. The Tier 1 leverage capital ratio continues to be impacted by the PPP loan portfolio and excess liquidity with no similar impacts on the risk-based capital ratio as both components are assigned a zero percent risk weighting. The total risk based capital ratio was $110 million above the minimum threshold to be categorized as well capitalized. We repurchased about 229,000 shares for $7.3 million at a weighted average cost of $31.99 per share during the second quarter of 2021 bringing our year-to-date total up to 347,000 shares for $10.9 million at a weighted average cost of $31.28 per share. During the second quarter of 2021, our Board of Directors approved a new $20 million stock repurchase plan as we were close to exhausting our then outstanding plan. With this new authorization, as of June 30, we had $17.3 million available in our stock repurchase plan. In closing, we are pleased with our operating results during the first six months of 2021and financial condition as at quarter end and believe we are well-positioned to continue to navigate through the unprecedented environment created by the Coronavirus pandemic and other events. Those are my prepared remarks. I will now turn the call back over to Bob.

Thank you, Chuck. And that concludes management’s prepared comments and we will now open the call up for the question and answer period.

[Operator Instructions] The first question is from Brendan Nosal with Piper Sandler. Please go ahead.

Hey. Good morning, guys. How are you?

Good morning.

Good morning.

Good. Maybe just want to start off on this quarter’s strong commercial loan growth, I think you definitely stand up for new folks where that will do – are continuing to struggle to see in good loan growth. So, just kind of curious to hear from you guys, where it came from this quarter and what you are hearing from commercial customers at this point?

Yes. This is Ray. I’ll address that. The pandemic and the PPP program gave us the opportunity to really put out money where our model is, so to speak is it relates to the community banking proposition. And the service and support that we demonstrated through that process, not only to our existing clients, but also to clients that we hit and calling on previously we had not done business with, we deliver in a way that really show that we do what we say we are going to do and we act with speed and precision and those things have been very warmly received in the marketplace. And we’ve been able to increase our market share and get some prospects over the sense of new customers based on those interactions. And that activity is – has been strong and it’s not concluded yet. We have more runway with similar types of activity. So, we expect to continue to grow our commercial core outstandings in a similar fashion going forward to the way we have in the first two quarters of the year.

Alright. Fantastic. That’s helpful color. And then, maybe as a follow-up, just on loan growth more broadly, something that is different this quarter than in recent ones. I don’t think you guys putting more one to four family production on sheet. So I was kind of curious what drove that decision? What is the appetite to put more residential production on sheet going forward? And then, how that ties into your thoughts about kind of total loan growth for the next couple of quarters?

Yes. This is Chuck. I can address the mortgage loan and I’ll Ray to speak on the growth in commercial loans. But on mortgage loans, what we have done in the last quarter was what we have been continuing to do is we sell a vast majority or virtually all of our fixed rate mortgage loans. But when we do our loans which are typically five one and seven one arms, we generally put those on the balance sheet. So, the growth that you happen to see in the second quarter is just more of a reflection of the originations that we did in the quarter, the composition of those originations. And I think – at least as we sit here now, we’ll continue to employ that methodology going forward.

Got it. Alright. Fantastic. Thank you for taking the questions.

Thank you.

The next question is from Damon DelMonte with KBW. Please go ahead.

Hey. Good morning. Hope everybody is doing well today.

Hey there, Damon.

So, first – thanks. First question is regarding the outlook for the margin, Chuck. I think you laid out a good backdrop of what’s going on and everything. So, it’s probably fair to say that you are going to continue to see some modest erosion on the core margin over the next couple quarters before maybe finding a footing by the end of the year. Is that fair?

Yes. I think that’s a pretty good conclusion there, Damon. I think the margin spend in the mid 2.70%s, so far this year, I think primarily because I expect a little bit of - or some drop in PPP fee income accretion. I think we are looking at a margin probably closer to 2.65%, 2.70% for the rest of this year. There is a lot that goes into that. It’s certainly the excess liquidity that calculation that I just provided assumes that excess liquidity stays unchanged and of course that remains to be unseen. But we’ll obviously see over time. So, it’s such a little bit of a reductions and softness in the back half of this year. But we’ll see what happens as we go forward especially in regards to the excess liquidity, which again is really backed by the growth of local deposits that we’ve seen. And we do have some pretty relatively significant run-off of managed funds, broker deposits and some FHLB advances as we get into late this year and throughout a good chunk of next year.

Got it. Okay. Thanks. And then, with respect to the outlook on credit, I mean, I don’t think we get much better than what you guys are putting up the numbers right now. So, as we think about the loan loss provision going forward, obviously you are going to have a good pipeline for the loan growth. Do you feel that on a net basis, you’ll need to provide something for loans? Or do you feel that any reserve release can be kind of scooped up with what you would provide for that new loan growth and it would kind of be close to zero or negative again?

Yes. I think, certainly, we expect net loan growth as we go forward excluding PPP of course and that will require some level of reserves. I guess, the major question of course is, what ends up happening with the environmental factors as we go forward. While we improve the economic and business conditions trend, we improved it from severely deteriorating to moderately deteriorating. So, we’ll continue to assess that one. It certainly seems like we are on a good trajectory there. The numbers are kind of very difficult to assess given the poor economic conditions of this year and obviously some level of recovery in this year. And it seems like everybody has got an opinion on that. Historically, the Fed seems like, they are pretty confident that the inflation that we are seeing in some of these numbers are like we’ve ever seen before as in their terminology is transitory and it seems like many economists agree with them and none of us sitting here at this table are economists. But when we look at the volume of the money supply, for example, it’s up 30% with all the stimulus, that money is never going to leave the economy. And to us, not just this on the economic forecast seems, that seems inflationary to us. So, I think we all agree that there is some level of transitory inflation in there. But we are somewhat skeptical about the inflationary expectations going forward. The reason why I bring that up is because that environmental factor is economic and business conditions and inflation is certainly a big component of that. Lastly, we still have the COVID-19 factor in there. Obviously, we all hope one day that we can take one that out. That was obviously meant to be more temporary than permanent of course. There is a couple of things going on there. Of course, what’s going on with COVID-19 itself and you read the news as much as anybody else to see what’s going on there and the ups and downs that we continue to see. But I think it’s also one of the things that we look at with that factor is, with the tremendous amount of stimulus that’s been provided over the last 12 to 15 months, is that hiding some stress that’s out there within the economic environment and including our own loan portfolio. That’s obviously with our loan review and our lenders themselves we continue to discover the loan portfolio to understand the impact that COVID-19 on all of our borrowers. But that’s just kind of one of those question marks that we have going out. So, that’s why we still have that factor in there and so we are confident that the impacts are known. And obviously gone at some point, we’ll likely continue to keep that factor in there. So, I bring up those to factors, because those are probably the two that will be a driving force of any reserve release as we go forward. And what to see at the end of each quarter we’ll assess that and make any determinations. My guess would be that if we do release any reserves such related to those two factors that the release will be a larger number than what the reserve increase would be associated with new credits.

And I’ll – on that by just going back to the basic premise of the reserve or the point of the reserve that looks that our asset quality and that continues to be extremely strong as Chuck mentioned, we are continuing to remain vigilant and examine the portfolio looking for any signs of distress and we are very pleased with the performance of our client base throughout the pandemic when it started last year continuing into this year. Customers are dealing with their challenges which relates in a lot of occasions to the labor market and some of the challenges that we all know are going on there. But continue to do the things that they do – it needs to do to keep their companies performing as strong as they can as we continue to fight through towards the end of this pandemic.

And I guess, just lastly, the ruling of the CECL and as I mentioned in my prepared remarks, we are going to be adopting CECL on January 1 of next year and at least as of January 30, there was about $6.5 million difference between our reserve now and the lower amounts that, at least again as of June 30 CECL was indicating our reserve to be.

Got it. Okay. That’s great color. That’s all I have for now. Thank you very much.

Thanks, Damon.

The next question is from Daniel Tamayo with Raymond James. Please go ahead.

Hi, good morning guys. Thanks for taking the questions.

Good morning.

First, maybe if you can quantify perhaps the pipeline. I know you mentioned it’s going to – it’s remained solid, but kind of relative to prior periods if that’s something that you guys do on a regular basis.

Yes. This is Ray. The commercial pipeline is very, very similar to what it’s been over the first two quarters. And the mortgage pipeline actually dipped a bit at the beginning of the quarter and has recovered to equal to the prior part of the quarter and beyond. So, it’s a little bit stronger than what we were experiencing, say, in April. So, that kind of gives you a bit of color on where we are relative to historical pipeline levels.

I think, despite the fact that we’ve enjoyed and produced some very strong core loan growth, the great work of our lending teams have been able to replenish and remain – make that pipeline remain at the levels that Ray was talking about. Again, despite those strategic initiatives, the work of our staff to gain a new client acquisition and to keep that pipeline at a really solid number despite what we’ve already put on the books.

Terrific. And then maybe changing gears here, just around the remaining repurchase authorization of the $17.3 million. How are you thinking about utilizing that? Is that something you would expect to utilize somewhat regularly? Or is that something you’d look at to be more of an opportunistic from a capital management perspective?

Yes. I think we look at it more as opportunistic. Certainly, the price of our stock is going to be a driving factor in what we are doing. For most of the year, we’ve been kind of in the low 30s and that we’ve been buying back somewhere between $100,000 and $125,000 a day in stock, about 4,000 shares on average. Clearly, at levels that we are at right now, we would get more aggressive and – which we will come out of our blackout period on Friday. We are in plan right now and continuing to buy every day in a relatively modest way. But it’s going to be price-driven, and the lower the price, the more aggressive we are going to be. And that’s kind of what we’ve been doing really since late last year. And we’ll likely continue to do to going forward. We feel really comfortable with our capital position and we want to take advantage of that opportunity.

Alright. That makes sense. Thanks for taking my questions.

Thank you.

You are welcome.

The next question is from John Rodis with Janney. Please go ahead.

Good morning.

Hey, John.

Good morning.

Hey. Chuck, maybe just a question for you on expenses. They were up little bit over $26 million for the quarter. Can you just talk about your thoughts there going forward? And I know that you mentioned the bonus accrual this quarter. Was there any catch-up against in this quarter as far as that impact?

Yes. On the bonus, say that one first, the bonus accrual was the same in the second quarter as it was in the first quarter. It continues to reflect our expected payout under our various bonus programs that we have in January of next year. So that’s unchanged. When you compare to the first quarter, again when you look at last year, we didn’t accrue for any bonuses in the first or second quarters although we did later in the year. One of the drivers of noninterest expense is our mortgage commissions and of course, we’ve already talked plenty about the mortgage area which is doing great. So that does spillover into the overhead cost components. The other, probably the really driver right now is on our insurance – our health insurance costs. We are a self-insurer although we do have cap insurance per employee, as well as in aggregate cap for the entire bank. One of the things we started seeing that late last year has really continued throughout definitely in the first six months of this year is some increase claims activity. Some of it COVID-related. Some of it just normal type activity. But as we see the claims coming in with our legally invoice, we did increase our accrual at the end of the first quarter by putting an additional $250,000 in. And then, during the second quarter, we continued to see the increase in claims and so we put an additional – I think about $600,000 in, compared to what we typically would. So about $350,000 over the first quarter. So, we’ll see where that goes. We continue to increase our monthly accruals on that and reassess where we are at, at the end of each quarter. As we speak, we are caught up, but again, the trends are not what we want to see. But hopefully that turned here in the back half of the year. As far as guidance, if you will, I think the overhead cost for the third and fourth quarters will be closer to what we saw in the first quarter. I think what you see the increase in the second quarter is more of a blip if you will. And especially with our expectation that in the back half of the quarter, we will – we expect to see lower mortgage banking activity income. As Ray mentioned, over almost two-thirds of it now is purchased. And as we get into the back half, especially the fourth quarter, we would expect a decline there just from a typical seasonality standpoint.

Okay. So Chuck, if I heard you right, so it sounds like, closer to $25 million for the next two quarters?

Yes. Closer to the first quarter, yes.

Yes. Okay. Okay. Thank you.

Thanks, John.

The next question is from Bryce Rowe with The Hovde Group. Please go ahead.

Thanks. Good morning.

Good morning.

Good morning.

If, I think, I sort of I asked this question on the first quarter conference call. But just curious how you are thinking about these cash balances relative to the securities portfolio and you made the comment in your prepared remarks and you expect liquidity to remain elevated. So, I am wondering if you are going to continue to add the securities portfolio here and is there a certain level? Is it a percentage of assets that you kind of target from – for a ceiling on those purchases? Or is that also a more opportunistic along with some other things that we’ve talked about this morning?

I think overall, we generally – historically run our investment portfolio at about 12% or 13% of securities. We had allowed that to go down about 9% or 10% and this would be excluding PPP broaden either sense. So we’ve been building that back up I think we are getting closer to the high end of that. We do plan on continuing to buy securities and build that and support that investment portfolio. It’s not going to be like we are going to dump half of our excess liquidity into the securities portfolio. But we will be probably regular investors there. What we have been buying is what the portfolio was and what I expect we will continue to buy and that continues to be government agency bonds and municipal bonds issued from entities in the State of Michigan. And we are not doing anything different buying the same type of bonds. We are not extending the maturities, the duration at all. The agencies which is the bigger dollar amounts. We continue to buy primarily in the 3 to 7 timeframe. And basically just maintaining a ladder. So, when we get into those years, we’ll have a good level of cash coming off and we can continue to manage our interest rate risk position and margins when we get into those periods. My comment about the excess liquidity staying relatively unchanged, I think that has more to do just with the local deposits that has created that excess liquidity and it’s more of the question of what our depositors do on the business side to the degree that they are going to invest in their businesses, expand their businesses. On the consumer side, what are their spending habit is going to be? Whether they are going to purchase or are they going to start spending that on leisure activities, which of course lot of this is driven by COVID. In regards to the businesses, I am sure it’s this way throughout the country, but certainly here our businesses continue to struggle to find employees. So any opportunities that they might see with the opportunity to expand the business is somewhat tampered by the fact that they can’t find the employees to support that – those expansion opportunities. We’ll see, we know that customers are buying equipment. Historically, that would have been mostly financed. But what we know especially on the lower end of the equipment purchases, what we are seeing and what we are hearing is that they are just using deposits. So, maybe there is some - much future decline there. But on an overall basis, it’s going to be driven by what the local deposit – what the depositors do with their funds at least in the next six to 12 months.

Okay. That’s helpful. And then, maybe a question here on PPP balances and obviously, you saw even some of the Round Two PPP loans, get for given here in the second quarter. What are your expectations? I mean, what are you hearing from those customers in terms of what their plans might be to pursue the forgiveness round?

Yes. I think we are already seeing here, as we saw – as we noted on Page 12, we’ve already had about $30 million as of June 30 of forgiveness. And so that has already started. As you would expect, some customers are quicker to apply for forgiveness and use those funds as they need to. And of course, then we have the Federal government involved and they need to do their processes. And I will just say, without seeing any more that has been very, very inconsistent on a day-to-day, week-to-week basis as to when we actually get paid and when they process those applications. So, we can look at the trends on a longer term basis and see what’s going on and try to project what we see going into the future. But it is – like many other things, it is hard to predict. We are down really on our PPP Round Number One. We had as of June 30, only 237 loans remaining to give forgiven. And that is obviously declining almost on a daily basis. So, it’s hard to tell. I would say that, a good chunk of that would be gone by the end of the year. But we certainly expect to have PPP balances especially from Round Number Two on the books at year end and then hopefully paid off in full by the end of the first quarter. So, those are my thoughts.

Okay. And you did say, Chuck, $6.2 million remaining on the fee side – to deferred fees?

Yes. $5.9 million of that Round Two. Just about $300,000 on Round One.

Okay. Great. Thanks so much.

Welcome, Bryce.

This concludes our question and answer session. I would like to turn the conference back over to Bob Kaminski for any closing remarks.

Yes. Thank you very much for your interest in our company. We look forward to speaking with you next at the conclusion of the third quarter. And we hope the rest of your summer is enjoyable. The call is now concluded.

The conference is now concluded. Thank you for attending today’s presentation. You may now disconnect.