Matt Cox
Analyst · Stephens
Okay. Thanks, Lee, and thanks for those on the call today. I'm going to start on Slide 3 with a quick recap of our third quarter results. We had a solid performance in Matson's Ocean Transportation and Logistics businesses as strong economic and business trends in the second quarter continued into the third quarter. The year-over-year increase in Ocean Transportation operating income in the quarter was primarily driven by continued strong demand for our expedited ocean services, including the new China, California Express or CCX. In our domestic tradelanes, we continued to see strong demand with higher year-over-year volumes compared to the largely pandemic reduced volumes in the third quarter of last year. Logistics operating income for the third quarter increased year-over-year as a result of continued elevated goods consumption, inventory restocking and favorable supply and demand fundamentals in our core markets. The supply chain environment continues to be one of widespread congestion at many key points within ocean and overland transportation. We remain focused on what we do best, which is maintaining fast, reliable trade lane services and helping our ocean transportation and logistics customers manage through this difficult period of congestion. Lastly, towards the end of the presentation, I'll review our sustainability strategy in light of our recent release of our supplement to the sustainability report, which can be found on our Web site. There are a number of key items in the report that I wanted to walk through, some of which have financial considerations. And with that, I'll now go through our tradelane services, so please turn to the next slide. Hawaii container volume for the third quarter increased 11.5% year-over-year and was 10.6% higher than the results achieved in the 2019 period. The increase year-over-year was primarily due to higher retail and hospitality related demand due to the continued rebound in tourism and the Hawaii economy compared to the pandemic reduced volume in the year ago period. Domestic visitor travel to Hawaii remained strong throughout much of the third quarter 2021 until the end of the quarter when the state's efforts to address the spread of the COVID-19 delta variant, including the governor's request in late August to defer travel plans, led to a softening in airline passenger traffic. As a result, we experienced a modest negative impact in freight demand late in the quarter. Please turn to the next slide, where I'll comment on the current business trends in Hawaii. The chart on the right shows visitor arrivals and the unemployment rate from the beginning of the year through September. The significant increase in visitor travel to the state, driven predominantly by US mainland visitors, has powered a resurgence in the tourism industry and consequently, in the state's economy and led to a decline in the state's unemployment rate. In the near term, the Hawaii economy may experience a brief slowdown as a result of the state's response to the COVID-19 Delta variant and the related impacts on tourism trends. In July 2021, total visitor arrivals was approximately 12% lower than in July 2019. And in August and September, this gap widened to 22% and 31%, respectively, as an effect of the governor's plea to visitors in late August to defer travel plans. On October 19th, the governor announced that nonessential travel to Hawaii can resume on November 1st, so there's an expectation that tourism activity should increase heading into the holiday season. UHERO's latest forecast captures the near term negative effects of the state's response to the COVID-19 Delta variant and impact on tourism as well as other macroeconomic factors. As compared to UHERO's forecast in May, the current forecast shows a modestly lower GDP growth trend and an unemployment rate for 2021 and 2022 that are 100 and 200 basis points higher respectively. UHERO continues to expect that a full return to pre-pandemic conditions may take several more years. To give you a sense of the volume trend one month into the fourth quarter, our westbound container volume in October increased approximately 2% year-over-year, primarily due to higher retail and hospitality related demand. Year-over-year growth was muted by the pullback in tourism as a result of the governor's request to defer nonessential travel. Moving to our China service on Slide 6. Matson's volume in the third quarter 2021 was 21.7% higher year-over-year, primarily due to the volume from the CCX service and volume from an extra loader. The total number of Eastbound voyages in the China service increased by six year-over-year, of which five were from the CCX voyages and one from the extra loader. Matson continued to realize a significant rate premium in the third quarter 2021 and achieved average freight rates that were considerably higher than the year ago period. Volume demand in the quarter was driven by e-commerce, garments and other goods heading into peak season. We continued to see sustained and elevated consumption trends and low inventory levels drive increased demand for our expedited ocean services. I'll now comment on the business trends, so please turn to Slide 7. For October 2021, eastbound container volume was higher year-over-year by approximately 11% due to the addition of CCX volume, partially offset by one less CLX+ sailing this October as a result of timing. Currently, in the transpacific tradelane, we're seeing supply chain congestion due to a combination of ongoing elevated consumption trends, inventory restocking and bottlenecks at critical points for both ocean and overland transportation. Retail and e-commerce demands remained strong. And it continues to be a very challenging inventory replenishment environment for retail, in particular, as evidenced by the trend in US retail inventory to sales ratio, as shown in the chart on this slide. With respect to retail and e-commerce, we're seeing a high level of demand for our China ocean services to expedite freight to the US West Coast for Black Friday, Cyber Monday and late holiday shipping. We're also seeing some customers plan ahead for freight delivery before the Lunar New Year period. All elements of the supply chain infrastructure from origination in China to the distribution points in the US are in chaos, and we're working very hard to help our customers navigate through this exceptionally difficult period. We're also intensely focused on maintaining our industry leading ocean transportation transit times and fast cargo availability of our CLX, CLX+ and CCX services. Looking ahead, we expect elevated consumption demand and inventory restocking to remain largely in place at least through midyear 2022. As we work towards the new normal, we'll have the CCX in place for as long as this peak supply chain demand environment remains in place, which may be until the middle of '22, but we don't believe the CCX will be a permanent service for Matson. We will continue to adapt all of our ocean expedited services to the demand from our customers and we're prepared to move on opportunities to drive further organic growth. Turning to Slide 8. In Guam, Matson's container volume in the third quarter 2021 increased 14.6% year-over-year, primarily due to the higher retail related demand compared to the pandemic reduced level in the year ago period. The volume in the third quarter was 17% higher than the result achieved in the 2019 period. The Guam economy is recovering slowly as tourism remains constrained. Subsequently, the economic recovery trajectory remains uncertain. For the month of October, our westbound container volume increased approximately 11% year-over-year. Moving now to Slide 9. In Alaska, Matson's container volume for the third quarter of 2021 increased 10.7% year-over-year. The increase was due to the addition of volume from the Alaska, Asia Express, higher northbound volume primarily due to an additional sailing and higher retail related demand and higher southbound volume. In the near term, we expect improving economic trends in Alaska. But the recovery trajectory continues to remain uncertain, particularly given the seriousness of the COVID-19 Delta variant outbreak in the state. For the month of October, our northbound container volume was approximately flat year-over-year as retail related demand remained elevated. Turning next to Slide 10. Our terminal joint venture, SSAT, contributed $13 million in the third quarter 2021 compared to $7.7 million in the prior year period. The higher contribution was primarily result of higher lift volume as a result of the significant year-over-year increase in import volume into the US West Coast from China. And currently, we continue to see elevated import volume into the US West Coast, which we expect to translate into a high level of lift activity for SSAT. Turning now to Logistics on Slide 11. Operating income in the third quarter came in at $16 million or $4.1 million higher than the result in the year-ago period. This increase was primarily due to higher contribution from supply chain management and transportation brokerage, where we saw elevated goods consumption and inventory restocking, in addition to favorable supply and demand fundamentals in our core markets. In October 2021, we saw supply chain management and transportation brokers continue to benefit from elevated container volumes in Southern California, in line with the trends in the US West Coast import volume. And with that, I will turn the call over to Joel for a review of our financial performance. Joel?