Matthew Cox
Analyst · Stephens Inc. Your line is now open
Thanks, Lee, and thanks to those on the call. Please turn to Slide 3 for my opening remarks. Matson had a good quarter with transportation results approaching the level achieved in the second quarter of last year and logistics coming in with strong results across all of its service lines. Within ocean transportation, we saw a lower revenue from Guam, partly offset by lower vessel operating costs contribution from our new Okinawa service and strong continued performance from SSAT. In the quarter, we earned net income of $32.6 million, or $0.76 per share, compared with $24 million or $0.55 per share in the year ago period. We generated EBITDA of $79.3 million in the quarter versus $85 million in the second quarter last year. Moving onto the outlook for 2018, based on the performance in the first half of the year, we are maintaining our 2018 outlook for ocean transportation and raising our outlook for logistics. For the full year 2018, we expect ocean transportation operating income to be modestly higher than the $126.4 million achieved in 2017, and in logistics we expect the year-over-year improvement in the second half of 2018 to approximate the year-over-year increase we saw in the first half of the year. For the third quarter 2018, we expect ocean transportation operating income to be modestly lower than the $51 million achieved in the third quarter last year and logistics operating income to be moderately higher than $7.3 million achieved in the prior year period. Joe will go into more detail on the financials and outlook later on in this presentation. Now on to our trade Lane services. Turning to our Hawaii service on Slide 4. Despite favorable economic conditions in Hawaii, container volume for the second quarter was flat year-over-year with no meaningful year-over-year variances in the underlying product categories. Matson's market share remain stable the quarter. Based on the volume result in the first half of the year, we now expect 2018 volume to approximate the level achieved in the prior year, which reflects continued economic strength in Hawaii and a stable market share environment. Slide 5 provides an overview of some key Hawaii economic indicators forecast by UHERO for 2018 and beyond. According to the latest forecast UHERO continues to expect relatively strong economic conditions as a result of a high level of tourism activity and favorable global economic conditions. The economic growth trend is also well supported by relatively low inflation and low unemployment. With respect to the construction industry, activity remains on a plateau as projects working towards completion are offset by new projects breaking ground. UHERO’s construction related metrics continue to suggest an improvement in activity in 2018 versus the prior year, but maintained a view of flattish growth in the medium-term. Moving on to our China service on Slide 6, Matson’s volume in the second quarter 2018 was 5.9% lower year-over-year largely due to a dry-dock return voyage in the prior year period. Despite a modest decline in the average SCFI during the quarter, we experienced a higher quarterly East bound average rate versus the second quarter of 2017. For 2018, we continue to expect Transpacific capacity to remain in excess of demand. Despite this macro backdrop, we expect demands for Matson’s highly differentiated expedited service to remain relatively strong with an average freight rate that approximates the level achieved in 2017. Volume for 2018 is expected to be modestly lower than the exceptional levels achieved last year, largely due to the negative comparison for the dry-dock return voyage volume in 2017. We expect our CLX vessels to be full for the rest of the year as time sensitive supply chains ramp up to fulfill seasonal inventory demands. Since our last earnings call the U.S. and China have each implemented tariffs on selected trade items, today there has been virtually no impact on our CLX trade lane from the tariffs implemented, but this is not to suggest that the tariffs implemented or any other trade action post this earnings call cannot have an impact. Turning to Slide 7, Matson’s Guam volume in the second quarter declined 11.1% year-over-year, primarily due to further competitive losses to APL. The overall container market was essentially flat year-over-year; our strategy in 2018 is to continue to fight to retain every single container of our customers business. Given our long history in Guam, with strong customer ties, a shorter transit time, and significantly better on-time performance record, we expect to retain an outsized market share. Now moving onto Slide 8. In Alaska Matson’s container volume for the second quarter 2018 was 0.6% lower year-over-year, primarily due to lower southbound volume, resulting from a delay in the start of the seafood season. We continue to see some signs of Alaska's economy beginning to stabilize, but await further data to confirm that a bottom in the recession has occurred. For 2018 we expect volume to be modestly higher than the level achieved in 2017 with improvement in northbound volume to be partially offset by lower southbound seafood related volume due to a moderation from the very strong seafood harvest levels in 2017. Turning to Slide 9. The Anchorage Economic Development Corporation or AEDC recently released its three year outlook. The AEDC believes they were near the bottom and that by early 2019 Anchorage's economy will no longer be in recession and this view is consistent with what we are hearing on the ground from our customers. Turning to Slide 10, in light of the increased interest in the IMO2020 Regulations, I wanted to spend a few minutes outlining our strategy for these regulations. Following the receipt of our four new Aloha and Kanaloa class vessels, Matson will be 100% compliant with the IMO2020 guidelines. For existing vessels, we are evaluating a number of options available to us to lower the post-2020 cost of fuel, some of the key risks and uncertainties we continue to evaluate include the following. Based on our conversations with fuel suppliers, it's unclear how soon the 0.5 residual fuel will be available on the West Coast. Prolonged use of a 0.5% distillate on some of our vessels could lead to higher maintenance to the engines. Also, there is currently no LNG infrastructure in the major West Coast ports and is unclear when this infrastructure may be constructed and operational. We currently operating three vessels with scrubbers in our Alaska service, based on our experience with the scrubber installation vessel performance there is a strong business case for this technology, because it is relatively short payback period. Our current strategy is to invest in the scrubber technology on the CLX string. We are committed to installing the scrubber on the first 2600 vessel while it is in dry-dock next year and we are closely evaluating scrubbers on the two sisters 2600 ships. For the remaining two vessels on the CLX string, we will evaluated as they near their regularly scheduled dry-dock dates. This will allow us time to reevaluate the scrubber installation based on prevailing options and tools present the time. As you would expect, we want to keep our options open to evaluate the best long-term solutions that make sense for Matson and its customers. Turning next to Slide 11, our terminal joint venture, SSAT continues to show strong performance. For the second quarter 2018 SSAT contributed $9.1 million compared to $6.9 million in the prior year period. The increase year-over-year was attributable to higher lift volume. For full-year 2018, we continue to expect SSAT's contribution to our ocean transportation operating income to be higher than the level achieved in 2017. There were a few key factors in support of this view including the benefits to SSAT from last year's launch of new global shipping alliances as container flows and supply chains are adjusted between West Coast terminals. SSAT's ongoing reputation as the best operator on the U.S. West coast and recent strength in import and export volumes on the U.S. West coast. Turning now to logistics on Slide 12. Logistics’ continued strong performance across all service lines driving operating income to $9.5 million in the second quarter 2018 versus $7 million in a year ago period. Our transportation brokerage business performed well, primarily due to the well-documented tightness in the trucking market, which placed Matson logistics strength in customer service. With respect to Span Alaska the business continued to show improvement year-over-year as the Alaska economy showed early signs of stabilizing. Given logistics strong performance in the first half of the year, we are raising our full year outlook for operating income in 2018, we now expect year-over-year improvement in the operating income in the second half of 2018 to approximate the year-over-year improvement in the first half of this year of $4.8 million. For the third quarter 2018, we expect logistics operating income to be moderately higher than the level achieved in the third quarter of 2017. And with that I will now turn the call over to Joel for a review our financial performance and our outlook. Joel.