Matthew J. Cox
Analyst · Sidoti and Company. Your line is open
Thanks Jerome and thanks to those on the call. Matson's core business has performed well in the second quarter of 2015 led by continued demand for our expedited China service, modest yield improvements in Hawaii and Guam, improvements at SSAT, and with the closing of our Alaska acquisition at the end of May, our second quarter included one month of operating results from the Alaska service. I am pleased to report that our Alaska integration is well underway and progressing as planned. We are on track to achieve our run rate earnings and cash flow accretion expectations within two years. There were however some offsets to our positive results for this quarter. We had an additional $13.5 million of largely non-recurring costs related to the Alaska acquisition and $11.4 million of costs related to our recently announced Molasses settlement which I will discuss in more detail shortly. We will also discuss our updated outlook towards the end of today's call. But I will mention now that we are raising our full year 2015 operating income outlook to substantially exceed the level achieved in 2014 exclusive of the acquisition related SG&A and the Molasses settlement cost. Before moving on I would like to briefly address the Molasses settlement we announced last week. As most of you will have seen on July 29th Matson reached a settlement with the State of Hawaii to resolve all of its civil, criminal, and administrative claims. Under this settlement Matson paid $5.9 million in cash to the State as compensation for damaged coral and lost fish as well as the States cost. Also we agreed to terminate Matson’s Molasses operations in Honolulu and committed to removing the Molasses related infrastructure which consists of risers and tanks at our Sand Island terminal. This work is estimated to cost between $5.5 million and $9.5 million. The Molasses settlement impacted operating income by $11.4 million, net income by $6.9 million, and EPS by $0.11. You will also recall that Matson had previously settled the Federal Criminal charges arising from the Molasses release for $1 million. Turning now to slide 5, you’ll see our financial metrics for the second quarter 2014. We’ve shown the respective impacts of the acquisition related SG&A and the Molasses settlement related cost on our financial performance in the stacked bar graph data with dotted lines. Excluding the acquisition SG&A and the Molasses settlement cost you can see that we continued to generate strong cash flow. EBITDA would have been $82.8 million, an increase of 41.5% year-over-year. Earnings per share exclusive of the acquisition SG&A and Molasses settlement cost would have increased by 33% from the prior year. I should also note that earnings per share was negatively impacted by an unusually high tax rate in the quarter that Joel will discuss in a moment. Slide 6, shows the same metrics on a year-to-date basis. Absent the acquisition SG&A costs and the Molasses settlement, EBITDA would have been a $149.8 million, an increase of 65% over 2014. Reported EPS was $0.79 per share, up 60% year-over-year. Excluding the acquisition to SG&A cost and the Molasses settlement EPS would have been $1.12, more than double the prior year level. All in all a solid second quarter and first half performance. Turning now to our Hawaii service on slide 7, we saw a continued yield improvement and modest West bound market growth in the second quarter. However, that growth was largely offset by lower East bound back off rate. Automobile volume declined by nearly 9.2%, a continuation of customer losses that don’t meaningfully impact our financial performance. Looking to the balance of 2015, we continue to expect a multiyear recovery in Hawaii and anticipate modest market growth for the year. You’ll recall that we had expected a containership capacity in Hawaii to increase this year with the May launch of Pasha’s new vessel, the Marjorie C. However upon delivery, Pasha slotted the Marjorie C in as a replacement for one of Horizon’s steam ships thereby removing the 5% to 10% capacity growth that we had previously expected. As a result, we expect our Hawaii container volume for the balance of the year to be higher than the second half of 2014. Slide 8 detailed some of the key metrics of the Hawaii economy with the latest forecast provided by the University of Hawaii Economic Research Corporation or UHERO. As we discussed last quarter, the residential build and recovery happening in urban Honolulu is not immediately apparent in these statistics. That’s because the building activity is largely focused on less labor intensive high rise condominium towers that are mixed use projects with the residential tower built to top of podium of commercial, retail, and parking space. These mix use projects typically follow a staged permitting approval process with commercial and residential segments permitted separately. This results in a lag between the time of project first breaks ground and when the residential permit is issued and shows up in the statistics. As shown by the decline in permitting for new residential construction in 2014 after two years of expansion. According to UHERO several projects that broke ground in 2014 and 2013 are still not counted in the published data. Together these amount to more than $700 million in value which is more than the entire value of all residential permits issued last year. That being said UHERO is expecting mid single-digit job growth for the next several years and we expect construction activity to ramp up over the next two years driving container volume growth as the high ride projects near their final stages of completion. In addition there are several new non-residential hotel and resort projects and renovations in works and continued progress on our Honolulu rail transit project, all of which have resulted in additional container volume growth. Before moving on to discuss our Alaska service results included in the second quarter, I wanted to provide an overview of the Alaska market and give some context to the business we just acquired. Turning to slide 9, Alaska is a remote, non-contiguous economy dependent upon reliable container service as a part of vital supply lifeline. Over 75% of the State's population lives in three metropolitan areas connected in a narrow corridor known as the Alaska real belt, stretching from the Kenai Peninsula to Anchorage, to Fairbanks. The Port of Anchorage is the key point of access with over 90% of the consumer goods for over 85% of the State's population. Today the Alaska market is well served with four weekly container ships sailing to Anchorage from the Port of Tacoma. Each week Matson offers two scheduled arrivals at Anchorage, two arrivals at Kodiak, and one arrival at Dutch Harbor. The vast majority of North bound container volume is comprised of consumables used by the region's population and businesses with the container ships arriving just in time of inventory service for many stores and businesses. South bound volume from Kodiak and Dutch Harbor is more seasonal and largely driven by the seafood industry. TOTE, our primary competitor in Alaska operates two row, row [ph] ships providing two weekly arrivals into Anchorage. Matson and TOTE also faced competition from barge services which have historically shipped lower value bulk commodities such as lumber, wallboard, and other building materials that can't accommodate a longer transit. The table on this slide shows Horizon's 2014 container volume by customer segment and provides a good representation of the types of cargo that underpinned this relatively stable market. The customer consists primarily of freight forwarders, retailers, grocery chains, food and beverage shippers, government shippers, building materials suppliers. And to give you sense of the seasonality in container volumes in Alaska, we have provided a bar graph of 2014's volume by quarter where you will notice that the second and third quarters, that is the spring and summer months are the largest contributors primarily driven by the timing of the South bound seafood trade. Moving on to slide 10, our second quarter results essentially included one month of Alaska operations which can be seen in our reported container volumes as 4800 loads for the trade. The total volume for the Alaska operation in the first half of 2015 was 34,400 containers, slightly higher than the 2014 level. The longer-term historical annual volume table demonstrates the relative stability of the Alaska trade throughout the recent economic cycles and at various commodity prices. In comparison to most other states, Alaska relies on a small number of economic drivers. There are essentially three pillars of Alaska's economy; first, is the oil and gas industry; second, is Federal and State government spending; and the third, would be the rest of the industries where fishing, tourism, and mining are the largest. As a result, the state fared much better during the great recession for the rest of the nation because of the demand for oil, minerals, and fish stayed relatively high and Alaska lacked the manufacturing, housing, or financial industry jobs that declined substantially elsewhere. Further Alaska did not experience a speculative home buying construction bubble. However, as we are seeing now, Alaska's less diverse economy also means that when one of its economic drivers is impacted negatively it can have a more noticeable effect on the State's economic trajectory. Alaska is facing some near-term economic headwinds, the most notable of which are the low oil price environment and the recently announced proposed dry down of 2,600 troops from the joint base Elmendorf-Richardson over the next two years and the not knock on effects these may have on other sectors of the economy. As a result for the second half of 2015 we expect Alaska container volume to approximate the 2014 level of 35,000 loads. Despite these short-term headwinds we remain confident that Alaska is a great market Matson, both in the short-term and the long-term. For additional background and recent forecast on the Alaska economy, we would direct you to the 2015 three year economic outlook Anchorage published on July 29th by AEDC, the Anchorage Economic Development Corporation. Turning now to our Guam service on slide 11, we saw a 4.8% decrease in container volume during the second quarter due to the timing of select shipments. For the second half of 2015 we anticipate steady economic activity and expect modestly improved volume compared to the second half of 2014 assuming no new competitor enters the market. Moving to the next slide, Matson continued to realize exceptionally strong freight rates in its China trade during the second quarter of 2015. The SCFI graph on the slide highlights the current state of the international spot market which is in stark contrast to the considerable premium Matson continues to realize for our expedited service offering. In addition, Matson achieved year-over-year increases in our annual contracted rate which makes up about 1.5 of our China business. With the resolution of U.S. West Coast port disruptions, the international carriers have been able to reestablish more reliable scheduled service. However the lingering over capacity in a market and the delivery of even larger vessels has continued to put downward pressure on the freight rates. In the current market Matson service advantage is approximately 5 to 7 days from Shanghai attributed to the unique aspects of our service. Industry leading trends at times 24 hour availability at our dedicated terminal in Long Beach and superior on time performance. In the second half of 2015, international vessel over capacity is expected to continue with new vessel deliveries outpacing demand growth. Nonetheless we expect to maintain our volume in average freight rates with high vessel utilization levels. Turning now to slide 13, SSA contributed $5.2 million to our second quarter ocean transportation operating income compared to $2.1 million contribution in 2014. This year-over-year increase can be attributed to factors related to the clearing of the international carrier backlog we discussed last quarter. The Pacific Maritime Association and the ILWU reached a tentative agreement in February and in May both parties ratified the new five year contract. Overall we expect second half 2015 profit at SSAT to exceed the second half 2014 level, as SSAT is well positioned in Long Beach in Oakland for increased lift volumes from major international carrier customers. Slide 14 highlights the results of logistics which would have shown continued year-over-year improvement had it not been for a favorable litigation settlement included in the second quarter of 2014 which was the primary driver leading to the year-over-year decline of $600,000. Also international intermodal volume was lower partially offset by warehouse operating improvements. As we look to the remainder of 2015, we expect logistics operating income to approximate 2014 levels. I will now turn the call over to Joel for a review of our financial performance and consolidated outlook for the second half of 2015. Joel?