Frederic Villoutreix
Analyst · Drexel Hamilton. Your line is now open
Thank you, Mark, and good morning, everyone. Entering the fourth quarter, we are generally pleased with SWM's overall performance and that our third quarter and year to date earnings results were in line with our expectations. Third quarter adjusted EPS of $0.74 puts us at $2.46 and for three quarters, relative to our full year adjusted EPS guidance of $3.15, which we issued at the outset of the year. While year to date, we are performing consistently with our overall expectations, we have several noteworthy puts and takes in the business. Engineered Papers continued to perform well and is tracking better than we had originally expected. Argotec is slightly ahead of projected accretion, and currency movements versus last year have been less of a headwind than we assumed. These positive factors have been offset by sales softness at DelStar, underperformance of our Chinese joint venture and a higher tax rate. As we discussed earlier this year, earnings during the first half of 2016 were expected to be stronger than the second half, and our results is like that assessment. One prominent factor in our quarterly performance in 2016 has been LIP volume liability, as the customer driven LIP inventory builds from late 2015 and early 2016 continued to reverse during the third quarter, and this was fully anticipated. In addition, our third quarter tax rate increased significantly versus last year, and we will elaborate on that shortly as that was the largest driver of our third quarter earnings decline. Our Engineered Paper segment delivered a solid quarter, despite the expected LIP volume decline as RTL had a strong quarter. In total, our cigarette paper volumes, including our Chinese joint ventures CTM, we're down 10% in the third quarter, driven by the LIP volume decline as our customers worked through recently built up inventories. Our non tobacco paper volumes continue to show strong growth, due primarily to increases in printing and writing, as well as furniture laminates. Profitability improvements such as selective price increases have boosted the attractiveness of these typically lower margin products. Third quarter recon volumes, including our Chinese joint venture CTS, were up 31%, illustrative of the quarterly variability of this business that affects both our French mill and our Chinese JV. Significant volume growth at CTS versus last year when sales were minimal was the primary reason for the sharp overall recon increase. With respect to our Chinese JVs, third quarter performance improved sequentially compared to the second quarter of this year. Recall from our last earnings release, we had a disruption in paper JV due to changing energy regulations and the resulting impact on our JV facility. We are raising the operations and are making adjustments to improve margins under the new energy sourcing requirements. The recon JV, CTS, was solidly profitable in the third quarter, following an unprofitable second quarter, and we continue to expect a more moderate ramp towards full capacity. The transition of the Chinese cigarette industry from the growth phase to an attrition driven industry and the excess supply of cigarettes and virgin leaf are the primary factors affecting recent performance and near term expectations. While CTS' third quarter results were relatively good, we do not anticipate recovering the volume shortfall experienced in the first half of the year. Results of our multinational customers continue to indicate smoking attrition in Europe and the U.S. remains low relatively to historical norms. Regarding our RTL business, cost actions continue to play a key role in our operations, and our focus on managing capacity should help offset expected volume weakness into 2017 at our French mill. In addition, we are working on several strategic initiatives that leverage our paper and recon manufacturing assets and technology applications, and could provide meaningful opportunities within the tobacco industry as well as non tobacco end markets. Now switching to AMS, for third quarter, organic sales for AMS were down 5% and down 2% on a constant currency basis. Outside of currency, a substantial negative sales factor in the third quarter comparison related to a new product launch in the third quarter of 2015. As we mentioned last year, a customer launched a new air filtration product into the U.S. retail channel, and we supplied the filtration media. Unfortunately, the product was not successful at retail and is being reassessed. Thus the order did not repeat this year. This factor alone accounted for $1.6 million sales decrease or the equivalent of a 4% segment sales decline. For context, excluding negative currency impact and this singular product, organic sales in AMS would have increased slightly during the quarter. In addition, the exit and de-prioritization of certain low-margin industrial products continue to weigh on sales. However, reduction of these sales has a limiting impact to our bottom line, and we intend to continue strategically rationalizing [indiscernible] Lastly, we experienced a weak third quarter for reverse osmosis or RO water filtration, following a good first half of 2016 when we were fulfilling orders for new capacity in the Middle East. While our positive long-term outlook for water filtration remains unchanged, we are likely headed for a near-term low in these typically high growth end markets due in part to slower economic growth in China. As a reminder, our sales into the global RO filtration end market grew by more than 10% in 2015. On a positive note, we have seen very strong results in other filtration market segments. For example, filtration products for other liquids such as hydraulics saw solid third quarter growth. This area had previously been affected by volatility in oil, gas and mining industries, and we are seeing a recovery in these sales. Furthermore, we have solid momentum in other areas of air filtration, as well as filtration applications for semiconductor manufacturing. Argotec delivered another solid quarter of top and bottom line increases with surface protection and industrial products, both delivering high growth in the quarter. We know that if Argotec's year-over-year growth was included in our organic sales calculations, it would have more than offset a negative factor affecting DelStar's results. The nature of the various factors affecting DelStar and positive momentum in Argotec give us optimism as we conclude 2016 that AMS can resume organic sales growth next year. Regarding our 2016 strategic priorities, Argotec is on track to slightly exceed our expected accretion targets, and we are taking actions to improve DelStar's topline and margin performance. While pruning low-margin industrial sales has hampered our reported sales growth, it is strategically important as we position AMS as a high value manufacturer and keep our organization focused on growing our most profitable product lines and driving margin expansion. Our segment leadership team is also progressing on the new ERP system implementation, which we expect will streamline segment operations and unlock opportunities to improve purchasing, eliminate redundant costs, maximize capacity and efficiency of our assets, enable cross-selling and enhance our business intelligence analytics. These factors are the primary levers we believe we can pull to expand adjusted operating margins by several 100 basis points on the 13% AMS delivered in 2015. Thus far in 2016, we are making notable progress, largely due to Argotec and some synergies across AMS. However, we believe we are still only in the middle stages of delivering on our AMS strategy. I will now turn the call over to Allison.