Mark de Raad
Analyst · Piper Jaffray
Thank you, Joe, and good afternoon, everybody. For the fourth quarter, total product revenue rose 14% to $105.6 million versus $92.6 million in the year ago period. Growth was driven by a 17% rise in product revenue to $93.8 million, partially offset by a 3% decline in royalty revenue to $11.8 million. As Joe indicated, our fourth quarter SET revenue grew 14% to $85.4 million. Note that in the year ago quarter, we included almost $4.3 million in previously deferred SET revenue. So excluding this deferred revenue from the year ago quarter, our fourth quarter 2010 SET revenue actually rose more than 21%. This performance was achieved despite the well documented declines in hospital procedure volumes, the continued existence of third-party reprocessing activity and a still aggressive pricing environment, including the pricing impact of some new large contracts that we closed and installed in the second half of 2010. Nevertheless, sequential and year-over-year trends for our core business are positive and signal continued share gains. Rainbow revenue also showed solid advances in the quarter, up 44% to $8.4 million versus the prior year ago quarter. Importantly, we saw growth in both our Rainbow measurement, software and sensor revenues. Continued increases in our quarterly sensor revenues are indicative, we believe, of the continued expanded use of our various Rainbow measurements, including total hemoglobin. This growth occurred despite our decision in December to voluntary recall the Pronto-7 Rainbow 4D Sensors, which precluded any additional Pronto-7 device or sensor sales starting in mid-December. Encouragingly, since our 8K announcement in which we estimated that we might incur between $500,000 to $700,000 in cost associated with this recall, most of our limited market release customers have indicated a strong preference for retaining their devices while they wait for a replacement sensor. As a result, we recorded only $115,000 in cost related to the recall, of which approximately $100,000 was recorded as a reduction to Q4 Rainbow revenues. While our year-over-year increase was strong, our sequential revenues declined, as we expected, due to the large Rad-57 Rainbow SET shipment we made to the U.S. Marine Corps in Q3. Our end user or direct business, which includes sales through just-in-time distributors, grew nearly 20% in the fourth quarter to $77.4 million versus $64.6 million one year ago. This direct business represented 83% of product revenue versus 80% in the year ago quarter, and therefore, conversely, OEM revenues represented 17% compared to 20% in the same year ago quarter. While our OEM board shipments have continued to account for much of the strong Q4 and full year 2010 driver growth, more of the sensor-related revenues are moving through our direct business. And this, along with the usual seasonal strength in our direct business, contributed to the year-over-year increase in direct revenues as a percent of total product revenues. Looking at sales by geography, U.S. product revenue rose 17% to $66.8 million compared to the same period last year with both acute and alternate care channels contributing significant growth. Once again, if you remove the $4.3 million in deferred revenues from the prior period, our year-over-year U.S. product revenue growth was actually up 27% and reflected a very nice sequential rebound from Q3 2010. Product revenue outside the U.S. totaled $27 million, up 15% in both actual and constant currency basis dollars. Japan and the Europe, Middle East, Africa regions were particularly strong contributors. International product revenue was approximately 29% of total product revenue in the fourth quarter, which was unchanged from the prior year quarter. Our gross profit margin was 66.5% in the fourth quarter, down slightly from 66.7% in the same period last year due primarily to a higher mix of OEM board revenue and lower margins associated with the MX Rainbow SET boards and some impact related to a number of hospital contract renewals, which are priced at 2010 sensor prices. While the overall pricing environment in 2010 has remained relatively consistent, contract renewals often result in slightly lower sensor pricing than in the prior contract period. The total gross profit margin including royalties was 70.2% in the fourth quarter of 2010 versus 71.1% in the 2009 fourth quarter. The decline is a result of the same items that I just noted as well as the slightly lower royalty revenue versus Q4 of 2009. On a GAAP basis, fourth quarter 2010 operating expenses were $52.5 million, including approximately $1.8 million in onetime marketing related spending. Recall that we received $30.8 million in the first half of 2010 following our settlement award in our antitrust lawsuit win against Nellcor, a division of Covidien. In February 2010, we indicated that we plan to reinvest approximately $15 million of this award during 2010 to fund special marketing and clinical research programs and to establish the Masimo non-profit foundation, which we did in the first quarter. Including the $1.8 million in the fourth quarter, total 2010 onetime marketing and other related spending amounted to $14.7 million, of which $10.3 million was used to establish the new Masimo Foundation. Excluding the onetime items, fourth quarter 2010 total operating expenses were $50.7 million, up 14% from $44.5 million in 2009's fourth quarter, due primarily to increased payroll and related expenses associated with the planned rise in selling, general and administrative staffing levels, higher travel expenses related to additional sales reps and their increased travel activities and increased legal expenses related to ongoing litigation activity. Also included was $8.3 million in R&D expenses, which was down from the $8.9 million in the year ago quarter due primarily to lower project-related costs and the impact of a $489,000 onetime grant received in Q4 pursuant to a new federal government grant program. Foreign currency exchange rates reduced fourth quarter 2010 operating expenses by approximately $200,000 compared to 2009's fourth quarter. GAAP operating income for 2010's fourth quarter was $21.6 million. Excluding the onetime marketing and other related expenses, adjusted operating income was $23.4 million, up 9% from $21.4 million in the year ago period. Fourth quarter net income benefited from a drop in our effective tax rate to 23.5% compared to 32.2% in the year ago quarter. A combination of factors contributed to the decline in our fourth quarter tax rate, including the December 2010 enactment of the R&D tax credit, which allowed us to take the full year's benefit in the fourth quarter. Increased OUS revenue and resulting profitability as well as the release of previous tax provisions, following the expiration of statutes of limitations on various prior potential tax liabilities. We finished the fourth quarter of 2010 with GAAP EPS up $0.26, including approximately $0.02 in onetime marketing spending. Due to rounding issues this quarter, as evidenced by our $0.2649 GAAP number, our adjusted EPS, which excludes the onetime marketing expenses, rose $0.03 to $0.29, representing a 26% increase from the $0.23 in the fourth quarter of 2009. In addition, I'd also like to remind you that the additional SEDLine operating expenses, which were not included in our 2010 financial guidance, reduced our adjusted fourth quarter 2010 GAAP and adjusted EPS by nearly $0.01. In the interest of time, I won't go through the 2010 results in detail but rather, note the highlights and point you to today's press release and the soon to be filed Form 10-K for more complete information. Total 2010 revenue grew 16% to $405.4 million, including a 19% rise in product revenue to $356.4 million. Our SET business grew 15% to $323.5 million in 2010, while Rainbow grew 69% to $32.9 million. Revenue from our direct and distribution channel rose 17% to $283.2 million, while OEM revenue grew 25% to $72.8 million. The 2010 product gross profit margin of 66.4% was slightly below our 66.6% product gross margin in 2009 as the benefit of higher margin Rainbow revenue was offset primarily by a higher mix of OEM board sales and MX board sales and the 2010 manufacturing transition costs we incurred in the first half of 2010 that we noted in some of our prior quarterly earnings calls. We finished 2010 with adjusted operating expenses of $195.5 million, excluding the Covidien antitrust award and related onetime marketing and other related spending. This was up 17% from $166.6 million in 2009 and was due primarily to increased payroll and related expenses due to higher selling, general and administrative staffing levels, as well as increased sales, related travel expenses and increased legal expenses related to ongoing litigation activity. Fiscal 2010 GAAP operating income rose 29% to $106.2 million. Excluding the Covidien antitrust proceeds and onetime marketing and other related spending, 2010 adjusted operating income rose 10% to $90.1 million compared to $82.2 million in fiscal 2009. Our full year 2010 effective tax rate was 31.8% versus 34.3% in 2009, reflecting the positive impact of a higher mix of profits from our international operations, a higher favorable impact of the 2010 R&D tax credit and the release of previous tax provisions following the expiration of statutes of limitations on various prior potential tax liabilities. That brought fiscal 2010 GAAP EPS to $1.21 and adjusted EPS, excluding the impact of the $30.8 million Covidien antitrust settlement less the $14.7 million in onetime marketing related expenses, to $1.03, which was up 17% versus 2009. Moving now quickly to the balance sheet. As of January 1, 2011, total cash, cash equivalents and short-term investments were $88.3 million compared to $189 million at year end 2009. This decline is the result of $162 million in dividends that were paid during the year, offset by a net $16.1 million and net cash received from the antitrust award, less the onetime marketing expenses and cash generated from our operations. At January 1, 2011, our DSO was 48 compared to 44 in January 2, 2010. December 2010 inventory turns declined to 2.8% from 3.4% at year end 2009 due primarily to our decision to carry additional inventory for some large recent customer implementations. Now I'd like to take just a moment to discuss the 2011 guidance we provided in today's press release. Overall, we believe our 2010 performance underscores the fundamental strength of our business model as we manage through what is still a challenging macro environment for our hospital customers. However, our 2011 guidance assumes stable industry conditions as the year progresses as well as stable foreign exchange rates and tax laws. With that having been said, we expect 2011 product revenues to be between $415 million and $430 million, including Rainbow revenues of approximately $40 million to $50 million. These projected 2011 Rainbow revenues include the assumption that the Pronto-7 sensors will not be available until the end of Q2 2011, which Joe will discuss in a moment. As we have indicated previously, we do not plan to break out individual Rainbow revenue numbers by parameters until one parameter equals at least 10% of total product sales. Moving on, as a result of the recently amended agreement with Covidien, we now expect our 2011 royalty revenues to range between $31 million to $33 million, bringing total revenue guidance to a range of $446 million to $463 million. We expect 2011 product gross margins to be in the range of 65.5% to 67.5%. Due to some short-term absorption issues in Q1, we may see a slightly lower margin in Q1, although we then expect slightly higher margins throughout the rest of the year. In addition, there are investments we intend to make in our worldwide manufacturing operations this year, which may have some limited downside impact on overall 2011 gross margins. However, we believe these investments, which will be made in 2011 and into 2012, will provide us with the ability to continue to lower the total cost of manufacturing in the future. Our guidance assumes 2011 operating expenses in the range of $210 million to $215 million, up at the midpoint about 8.5% over our adjusted 2010 operating expenses of $195.5 million. As Joe alluded to earlier, this projected operating expense range includes costs associated with our previously stated goal of reinvesting a portion of the recently renegotiated Covidien royalties. In comparison, we grew total operating expenses by 17% in 2010. We believe the significant decline in the growth rate of operating expenses is consistent with our previously stated goal of lowering the overall growth rate in our 2011 operating expenses. Importantly, we now expect our 2011 effective tax rate to be between 28% to 30%. This is a lower rate than our historical rate and is primarily related to the success of our international realignment structure, which as you may recall, we established in Q4 2008. This structure and the concurrent growth in our OUS business will drive a significant reduction in our overall 2011 effective tax rate. In addition, in 2011, we will be benefiting from the new tax law changes and other U.S. and OUS revenue mix shifts that will also contribute to our lower projected 2011 effective tax rate. Please note that this tax rate forecast is based on various assumptions, including stable foreign exchange rates, no changes in tax laws and does not include the impact of any possible onetime items. In summary, based upon these product and royalty revenues, gross margin, gross profit margin and operating expense and tax rate forecasts, we now expect 2011 earnings per share to be in the range of $1.17 to $1.25, assuming weighted outstanding shares of approximately $61.3 million. With that, I'll turn the call back to Joe.