Jack McGinnis
Analyst · JPMorgan. Sir, your line now is open
Thanks, Jonas. As Jonas mentioned, we had a strong first quarter performance with operating profit growth of 19%, excluding restructuring charges on 7% constant currency revenue growth. Excluding restructuring charges, this performance represented strong operating profit margin expansion of 30 basis points over both the prior year and the midpoint of our guidance. Revenue growth met the top end of our constant currency guidance range. Although, our gross profit margin declined 30 basis points compared to the prior year, our SG&A costs improved as a percentage of revenue, driving the increased operating profit margin year-over-year before restructuring charges. Breaking our revenue growth down into a bit more detail, currency negatively impacted revenues by 3% and acquisitions contributed about 50 basis points to our growth rate in the quarter. Therefore, while revenues were up 4% on a reported basis, our organic constant currency revenue growth in the quarter was 6%, which after adjusting for billing days represents a 4% growth rate, reflecting the continuation of the fourth quarter billing days adjusted growth rate. I mentioned, our revenue growth met the top-end of our guidance range, this was largely driven by revenue growth in Southern Europe. On a reported basis, earnings per share of a $1.09 was $0.01 below the midpoint of our guidance range. Restructuring charges had a $0.30 negative impact on earnings per share, and excluding these charges, earnings per share was a $1.39. The drivers of this result include a $0.11 attributable to better operational performance than expected and $0.20 from lower tax rate – a lower tax rate than expected, partially offset by $0.02 attributable to other expenses, primarily comprised of a loss on an investment. The operational performance was driven by higher revenue growth and improved expense leverage. The lower tax rate resulted primarily from two discrete items, including a benefit of $0.06, resulting from new accounting for taxes on equity compensation and a benefit of $0.13 from adjustment following the settlement of tax – of a tax authority audit. Looking at our gross margin – gross profit margin in detail, our gross margin came in at 16.6%, a 30 basis point decrease from the prior year. Organically, the staffing interim gross margin had a 20 basis point unfavorable impact on overall gross margin, which was primarily driven by business mix, particularly in France, Italy, and the UK. I will cover this later as part of the segment review. Right Management contributed less to gross profit this year and this mix change reduced margin by 10 basis points. Although our solutions business had good overall growth this quarter. Our European Proservia, IT infrastructure, and end user support business experienced reduced GP margin, primarily driven from the business in France, and this contributed to an additional 10 basis points of reduced consolidated GP margin. I will discuss this further in the segment results. Currency impacts on our overall business mix had a favorable impact of 10 basis points. Next, let’s review our gross profit by business line. During the quarter, the Manpower brand comprised 61% of gross profit. Our Experis Professional business comprised 21%; ManpowerGroup Solutions comprised 13%; and Right Management, 5%. Our strongest growth was once again achieved by our higher value solutions offerings within ManpowerGroup Solutions, representing another quarter of strong constant currency double-digit growth. During the quarter, our Manpower brand reported a constant currency gross profit increase of 4%. This represents an improvement from the 2% increase experienced in the fourth quarter. Within our Manpower brand, approximately 60% of the gross profit is derived from light industrial skills and 40% is derived from office and clerical skills. Gross profit growth from light industrial skills declined 1% during the quarter, representing a slight deceleration from the fourth quarter that was more than offset by increases in office and clerical skills. Gross profit in our Experis brand increased 6% in constant currency, an improvement from the flat growth experienced in the fourth quarter. ManpowerGroup Solutions includes our global market leading RPO and MSP offerings, as well as talent-based outsourcing solutions, including Proservia, our IT infrastructure and end user support business. Gross profit growth in the quarter was up 12% in constant currency, with strong growth in all of our solutions offerings. Right Management experienced a decline in gross profit of 12% in constant currency during the quarter. This level of decline is an improvement from the fourth quarter and I also comment on this in my segment review. Our reported SG&A expense in the quarter was $661 million, including the $24 million in restructuring costs. Excluding these costs, SG&A expense was $637 million, a decrease of $5 million from the prior year. Currency changes resulted in a decrease of $16 million, which is partially offset by $5 million we spent from acquisitions and $6 million from operations. The operational impact of $6 million was favorably impacted by the timing of certain project spends and have otherwise been slightly higher had these projects occurred during the quarter. We expect to incur these additional costs in the second quarter. Similarly, corporate expenses are slightly lower in the quarter due to the timing of spend between the first and second quarters. On an organic basis in constant currency, excluding the restructuring costs, SG&A expenses were up 1% compared to the prior year. Excluding the restructuring costs, SG&A expenses as a percentage of revenue in the quarter improved 60 basis points to 13.4%, driven by improved operational leverage on higher revenue growth and a continued focus on operational efficiency across our businesses. We expect to recover the restructuring charges of $24 million through cost savings over the next 12 months. I will discuss the operating performance of the segments next, and as part of that, will cover the restructuring charges in more detail. The Americas segment comprised 22% of consolidated revenue. Revenue in the quarter was $1 billion, a decrease of 1% in constant currency. Profitability increased with OUP of $39 million, up 14% in constant currency above the prior year level, driven by an improvement in the U.S. OUP margin improved 50 basis points year-over-year. Growth in our higher margin solutions offerings partially offset the softness in staffing services during the quarter. The OUP increase was driven by continued strong cost management with SG&A expenses decreasing year-over-year. The U.S. is the largest country in Americas segment, comprising 64% of segment revenues. Revenue in the U.S. was $662 million, down 6% compared to the prior year, which represents an improvement from the 9% decline in the fourth quarter, driven by. an improvement in both the Manpower and Experis businesses. As we have mentioned previously, the prolonged weakness in the manufacturing side of the U.S. economy has impacted the demand for our services over the past several quarters, while the rate of decline in our professional services has been elevated in recent quarters. During the quarter, OUP for our U.S. business increased 16% to $26 million. OUP margin was 4.0%, up 80 basis points from the prior year, primarily due to strong SG&A cost management. It’s important to note that despite challenging revenue trends, our gross profit margin improved and the U.S. business continues to focus on strong pricing discipline and overall operational efficiency, as evidenced by the strong OUP dollar and margin expansion in the quarter. Within the U.S., the Manpower brand comprised 39% of gross profit during the quarter. Revenue for the Manpower brand in the U.S. was down 5% in the quarter, an improvement from the 8% decline in the fourth quarter. The industrial and office and clerical business have declined for several quarters in the U.S. However, the first quarter represented an improved rate of decline against the year-ago period. The Experis brand in the U.S. comprised 39% of gross profit in the quarter. Within Experis in the U.S., IT skills comprised approximately 70% of revenues. During the quarter, our Experis revenues declined 9% from the prior year, compared to the 14% decline experienced in the fourth quarter. Experis revenues from IT skills were down 8% from the prior year, which represented an improvement from the 14% decline noted in the fourth quarter. ManpowerGroup Solutions in the U.S. contributed 22% of gross profit and experienced flat revenue growth from the quarter related to loss of one client. Excluding this client change, solutions would have had double-digit growth. We continue to see strong demand by our clients for our higher value RPO and MSP Solutions. Our Mexico operation had revenue growth in the quarter of 9% in constant currency. The business in Mexico performed well in the quarter and we expect good growth also into the second quarter. Revenue in Argentina was up 19% in constant currency, which continues to reflect the impact of inflation. We continue to focus on margin and payment terms improvement, given the highly inflationary environment. Revenue growth of the other countries within Americas was up 6% in constant currency. This included strong growth in Canada, with constant currency revenue growth of 9%. We also saw strong growth in Peru, Central America, and Colombia. Southern Europe revenue comprised 38% of consolidated revenue in the quarter. Revenue in Southern Europe came in at $1.8 billion, an increase of 10% in constant currency. On an average billing days basis, this represented a revenue growth rate of 9%, up from the 7% average billing days basis growth rate in the fourth quarter. OUP was $81 million, an increase of 17% from the prior year in constant currency and OUP margin was 4.5%, up 20 basis points in the prior year, as efficiency improvements in operating leverage offset gross profit margin declines. Permanent recruitment growth was very strong at 12% in constant currency, an increase from the 9% growth in the fourth quarter. France revenue comprised 63% of the Southern Europe segment in the quarter and was up 9% over the prior year in constant currency. On an average daily billing days basis, this represented a 1% increase from the 8% growth rate in the fourth quarter and represents three consecutive quarters of increased growth. France gross margin has declined in both staffing and solutions Proservia business. The reduction in staffing margins is driven by business mix, as we have seen strong growth in large accounts, which is partially offset by the CIT increase effective with payroll beginning January 1. Proservia represents our IT infrastructure and end user support business, which has experienced reduced gross profit margins. Permanent recruitment growth was 2% in constant currency during the quarter, which was a slight deceleration from the 3% growth rate in the fourth quarter. OUP was $15 million, an increase of 10% in constant currency and OUP margin was flat year-over-year at 4.4%. The OUP margin trend reflects an improvement from the decrease of 20 basis points in the fourth quarter and reflects strong SG&A cost management during the quarter, with increased operating leverage on improved revenue growth, which offset the gross margin declines. Revenue in Italy increased 16% in constant currency to $294 million and represented a growth rate of 12% in constant currency on an average daily basis. This represents very strong revenue acceleration from the 3% average daily basis constant currency growth rate in the fourth quarter. Business mix change is associated with the growth has resulted in reduced staffing margins, which have been partially offset by very strong permanent recruitment growth. Specifically, permanent recruitment fees increased 23% on a constant currency basis over the prior year. OUP growth was up 17% in constant currency to $18 million. During the quarter, the OUP margin expanded by 10 basis points to 6.2%, as strong SG&A cost management and operating leverage offset gross margin declines. We’re very pleased with the strong performance in our Italy business and based on the March billing days adjusted exit growth rate of 16% constant currency revenue growth, we expect it to continue into the second quarter. Revenue growth in Spain was up 6% over the prior year in constant currency and reflects one-month of operations of the recently completed IT professional services acquisition, which expands our Experis capabilities in that market. On an organic constant currency basis, the revenue growth rate was 4%. Adjusting for average billing days, the constant currency growth rate was 1% in the quarter, reflects a deceleration from the fourth quarter growth rate of 5%. The decline is largely the result of timing of certain client business during the quarter and we expect increased average daily growth for Spain in the second quarter. SG&A cost management during the quarter drove significant OUP dollar and margin expansion. Our Northern Europe segment comprised 26% of consolidated revenue in the quarter. Revenue was up 9% in constant currency to $1.2 billion. On a billing days adjusted organic constant currency basis, Northern Europe had a 3% constant currency growth rate, which represented a deceleration from the 6% organic constant currency growth in the fourth quarter. The slower rate of revenue growth was primarily driven by declines in the UK, which was partially offset by stronger growth in Germany. OUP came in at a $11 million in the quarter, or $34 million before restructuring cost. OUP was up a 11% in constant currency and OUP margin was flat before restructuring charges. The restructuring charges in the quarter primarily relate to severance cost incurred in connection with the further integration of the 7S acquisition in Germany. Branch and back office optimization in the UK and management and back office optimization, along with the integration of the 2016 IT professional services acquisition in the Netherlands. Our largest market in Northern Europe segment is the UK, which represented 31% of segment revenue in the quarter. UK revenues were down 4% in constant currency and down 7% on a billing days adjusted basis, representing a further decline from the 2% decline in the fourth quarter. Conversely, permanent recruitment fees increased in the quarter at a 2% constant currency growth rate. As we mentioned in previous quarters, in the UK, the market for our Manpower staffing business weakened in 2016, especially across some of our larger accounts. And our business following the improvement in the fourth quarter experienced a slight further decline in the first quarter. The Experis business following a decline in the fourth quarter experienced the further decline in the first quarter. And both the Manpower and Experis business in the UK were experiencing some reduced demand within our largest accounts, as our clients are focused on optimizing operational cost expenditures. We expect this level of average daily revenue decline to continue into the second quarter. Revenue growth in Germany was up 17% on a constant currency basis in the first quarter, or up a 11% on an average billing days basis, which represents an increase from the 9% growth in the fourth quarter. The increased growth in Germany is being driven by revenues from our Proservia business line, following significant new business in the third quarter of 2016. In the Nordics, following the return to revenue growth in the fourth quarter, we continue to grow revenues in the first quarter albeit at a lower level on the billing days adjusted basis. The constant currency revenue growth rate of 12% in the quarter represented 4% growth on an average daily basis. Organically, the constant currency average daily revenue growth was 2%, which was the deceleration from the 7% growth rate in the fourth quarter. Norway and Sweden are currently performing well and we expect to see increased average daily revenue growth in the second quarter. Revenue in both the Netherlands and Belgium continue to be strong at 20% and 10%, respectively, and organic constant currency adjusted for billing days. In the Netherlands, our reported growth rate reflects the 2016 IT professional services acquisition. Other markets in Northern Europe had a revenue increase of 6% in constant currency, as growth in Poland and Ireland more than offset declines in Russia and a few other markets. The Asia Pacific Middle East segment comprised 13% of total company revenue. In the quarter, revenue was up 8% in constant currency to $632 million, or 7% after adjusting for billing days, representing a slight increase from the 6% average daily growth in the fourth quarter. Permanent recruitment growth was strong at a 11% in constant currency. The restructuring charges in the quarter related to Australia and include severance and to a lesser degree real estate cost associated with office optimizations. OUP was $20 million in the quarter, or $21 million before restructuring costs. OUP increased 10% in constant currency and OUP margin increased 10 basis points on that same basis, driven by strong SG&A cost management. Revenue growth in Japan was up 3% on a constant currency basis, representing a slight decrease from the growth of 4% during the fourth quarter. Permanent recruitment growth was very strong at 15% in constant currency. OUP was flat on a constant currency basis. Revenues in Australia and New Zealand were up 4% in constant currency. But adjusting for billing days, this represented a 2% average daily revenue growth rate and a continuation of the growth rate experienced in the fourth quarter. Revenue in other markets in Asia Pacific Middle East continued to be strong, up 15% in constant currency. This was the result of the strong double-digit growth in a number of markets, including Korea, India, Thailand, and Singapore. Our Right Management business continue to slow in the first quarter, as expected, based on the non-recurrence of certain outplacement activity. During the quarter, revenues were down a 11% in constant currency to $56 million, following a 14% decline in the fourth quarter. OUP decreased 6% on a constant currency basis to $9 million, as SG&A reductions help to offset the impact of revenue reductions. OUP margin increased 90 basis points to 15.8%, representing strong cost management and declining revenue environment. Now, I’ll turn to cash flow on balance sheet. Free cash flow, defined as cash from operations less capital expenditures was very strong for the quarter at a $180 million. This includes the sale of the 2016 France CICE tax credit in March for a $144 million. Excluding CICE sales, free cash flow remained strong for the quarter at $36 million compared to $5 million in the prior year. At quarter-end, days sales outstanding was slightly better than the prior year level with an improvement we have today. Capital expenditures represented a $11 million during the quarter, which was down $6 million from the prior year, primarily due to our investment recruiting centers in the year-ago period. Cash used for acquisitions in the quarter represented $25 million. During the quarter, we purchased 576,000 shares of stock for $57 million. As of March 31, we have 4.2 million shares remaining for repurchase under the 6 million share program approved in July of 2016. Our balance sheet was very strong at quarter-end, with cash of $724 million and total debt of $834 million, bringing our net debt to $109 million. Our debt ratio is a very comfortable at quarter-end, with total debt to trailing 12 months EBITDA of 1.0 and total debt to total capitalization of 25%. Our debt and credit facilities have not changed in the quarter. At quarter-end, we had a €350 million note outstanding with an effective interest rate of 4.5% maturing in June of 2018, and a €400 million note with an effective interest rate of 1.9% maturing in September of 2022. In addition, we have a revolving credit agreement for 600 million, which remain unused. Next, I’ll review our outlook for the second quarter of 2017. Excluding restructuring charges, we are forecasting earnings per share to be in the range of $1.67 to $1.75, which includes a negative impact from foreign currency of $0.08 per share. Our constant currency revenue guidance range is for growth between 3% and 5%. The impact of acquisitions represent 70 basis points of the growth rate in the second quarter. If there is one less day in the second quarter year-over-year, this represents a billing days adjusted organic constant currency growth rate of 5%, which is an increase from the underlying growth rate of 4% experienced in the first quarter. From the segment standpoint, we expect constant currency revenue growth in the Americas to be flat with Southern Europe growing in the high single-digit range, Northern Europe growing in the flat to low single-digit range benefiting about 2% from acquisitions, and Asia Pacific Middle East growing in the mid to high single-digit range. We expect the revenue decline of Right Management in the low double digits. On a regional basis, difference in billing days will have an unfavorable impact on revenue growth of about 2% in the Americas, 1% in Southern Europe, 4% in Northern Europe, and 1% in APME. Our operating profit margin should be up slightly, compared to the prior year, reflecting improved revenue growth in operating leverage, which will offset lower gross margin. As I mentioned earlier, we experienced some lower SG&A in corporate spend in the first quarter, attributed to timing between the first and second quarter, which we expect to incur in the second quarter. We also expect to invest in additional resources during the second quarter and countries experiencing high revenue growth. We expect our income tax rate to approximately 37%. As usual, our guidance does not incorporate additional share repurchases and we estimate our weighted average shares to be 68.2 million, reflecting share repurchases through March 31. Lastly, in addition to the restructuring charges we recorded in the first quarter, we will have additional restructuring charges in the second quarter of approximately $11 million. These primarily relate to the U.S. and include back office optimization activities, which include leveraging technology enhancements and to a lesser degree Right Management’s delivery model optimization activities. And in the Netherlands, additional integration activities related to their 2016 acquisition. We’re not currently planning any additional restructuring charges during the balance of 2016. With that, I’d like to turn it back to Jonas.