Earnings Labs

Macy's, Inc. (M)

Q2 2015 Earnings Call· Wed, Aug 12, 2015

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Transcript

Operator

Operator

Good morning, and welcome to the Macy's, Incorporated Second Quarter Earnings Release Conference Call. Today's conference is being recorded. I would now like to turn the call over to your host, Karen Hoguet. Please go ahead ma'am.

Karen Hoguet

Management

Great. Thank you. Good morning and welcome to the Macy's conference call scheduled to discuss our second quarter earnings. I am Karen Hoguet, CFO of the company. Any transcription or other reproduction of the statements made in this call without our consent is prohibited. A replay of the call will be available on our website www.macysinc.com beginning approximately two hours after the call concludes. Please refer to the Investor Relations section of our website for discussion and reconciliations of any non-GAAP financial measures discussed this morning. Keep in mind that all forward-looking statements are subject to risks and uncertainties that could cause the company's actual results to differ materially from the expectations and assumptions mentioned today due to a variety of factors that affect the company, including the risks specified in the company's most recently filed form 10-K and other SEC filings. Today, we announced second quarter earnings as well as two additional initiatives that should help to enhance shareholder value and build for our future. On this morning's call, I will cover three topics, starting obviously with second quarter earnings, then the other two announcements made this morning, and conclude with our outlook for the remainder of the year. I will then open the call as always for your questions. So let's get started. In the second quarter, we reported earnings per share on a diluted basis of $0.64, which is 20% below last year. While we had expected earnings to be below last year in the second quarter, this was below what we had expected. Our performance in the first half of the year was not as strong as we had hoped, but we are cautiously optimistic about our ability to improve the sales trend in the fall season. We'll talk about that later in the call, but…

Operator

Operator

Thank you. [Operator Instructions].And we’ll take our first question from Lorraine Hutchinson with Bank of America.

Lorraine Hutchinson

Analyst

Thank you. Good morning, Karen.

Karen Hoguet

Management

Good morning.

Lorraine Hutchinson

Analyst

As you consider real estate monetization above and beyond maybe the single-store transactions, how do you think about the best use of proceeds from those transactions?

Karen Hoguet

Management

Well, as with everything, we’re looking at balancing growing the business and making the investments needed to do so along with obviously returning cash to the shareholders. So I think it would be similar to how we look at the cash flow that we generate just from the business.

Lorraine Hutchinson

Analyst

Great. And it seems like you've been able to generate a lot of this -- these new initiatives without spending a lot of incremental capital, so would you consider a larger share repurchase here if you were to get further proceeds?

Karen Hoguet

Management

Absolutely, we would consider anything, but remember all of you who follow retail know that it’s fundamentally a cyclical business. So we do want to ensure that we have the financial flexibility and access to the capital markets in all conditions. So we’ll obviously balance how we use that cash with maintaining a strong balance sheet.

Lorraine Hutchinson

Analyst

Thank you.

Operator

Operator

And we’ll take our next question from Kimberly Greenberger with Morgan Stanley.

Lauren Cassel

Analyst · Morgan Stanley.

Good morning, Karen. This is Lauren Cassel on for Kimberly. Just going back to the real estate strategy, it sounds like you are a bit more open to that subject today than in prior years. Is that a fair statement? And then you announced Brooklyn and Pittsburgh recently, so it seems like you are more open to opportunistically monetizing assets. But is there anything, other than all-time high real estate values, that has changed your thinking there?

Karen Hoguet

Management

I think that's the biggest issue. We've looked at this for many times over the years and also obviously how we can monetize assets like Pittsburgh like Brooklyn, particularly to increase the retail operation at the same time. So I think it’s really the value enhancement and some of the transactions that have been announced this year that were interesting. So I think between real estate values being high in some interesting transactions, we are taking a deeper look at the subject.

Lauren Cassel

Analyst · Morgan Stanley.

Great, thanks.

Operator

Operator

And we will take our next question from Matthew Boss with JPMorgan.

Matthew Boss

Analyst · JPMorgan.

Hey good morning, Karen.

Karen Hoguet

Management

Good morning, Matthew.

Matthew Boss

Analyst · JPMorgan.

So if you back out tourism, and we try our best to back out the friends and family, we calculate flattish to slightly positive same-store sales in the quarter. But then, in light of some of your comments on the consumer and maybe some of their changes in spending patterns, I guess as we look forward, is it more fair to think about consumer spending in department store category as more in the 0% to 1% comp run rate versus maybe 2% to 3% historical thought process or just any help you can give me around that would be great.

Karen Hoguet

Management

I’m stepping back for a second. I think the real answer Matt is that we see opportunities of generating more sales from our consumers. It is clearly getting harder. As I said, there is a lot of competition for the dollar in categories other than what we sell, but we have confidence in our team to develop -- deliver the sales that we've talked about and continue to be a market leader here.

Matthew Boss

Analyst · JPMorgan.

Great. And then as we think about back stage and the potential rollout, if the fall test hits all your metrics, what options would you consider for growth next year and beyond, I guess both on an organic basis or would you also consider growing by acquisition?

Karen Hoguet

Management

Yes, I think we have to see how the test goes, but there is lots of ways that we could grow Backstage whether it would be organic, acquisition within Macy stores, there’s lots of ideas floating, but I don't want to get ahead of our test either.

Matthew Boss

Analyst · JPMorgan.

Okay. Great. Best of luck.

Karen Hoguet

Management

Thank you.

Operator

Operator

And we'll take our next question from Oliver Chen with Cowen & Co.

Oliver Chen

Analyst · Cowen & Co.

Thanks a lot Karen. In your comments on back-to-school, it sounded like you're encouraged. I just was curious about categories or things that were driving that momentum and also when you did mention the slower growth in center core, which categories are you referring to?

Karen Hoguet

Management

Well in terms of back-to-school, it's way too early to claim victory. So we do feel good based on the early start. Obviously there has been a lot of talk about denim, and we see a lot of opportunity unfolding there for back-to-school, but also for the fall season in total, but it's too early to really talk fully about back-to-school, In terms of the slower growth categories, some categories are just growing slower than they had, but still growing very rapidly, but we did mention weakness in the fashion jewelry and watch category in the quarter.

Oliver Chen

Analyst · Cowen & Co.

Okay. And Karen on the -- regarding your helpful statements on real estate, I just had a question about the bigger picture characteristics you're thinking about in terms of really maintaining your operational excellence, maintaining investment grade, thinking about your margins, and thinking about how comps are not necessarily that predictable with external circumstances. What are the constraints that you're evaluating just to ensure that you optimize any potential transaction?

Karen Hoguet

Management

Well as I said earlier to Lorraine, the key here is maintaining financial flexibility, so that if the business hits a bump, we would still have the access to the financial markets that we need to operate the business as a proxy for that. That is why we talk about remaining investment grade as being so important to the company because we want to be a strong retailer for many years to come, and so we do need to have that flexibility for the speed bumps that do happen or the cyclical nature of retail. So those are all being factored into the arithmetic as we look at opportunities.

Oliver Chen

Analyst · Cowen & Co.

And just a final question, your comment on expanded markets and same day, it sounds really competitive and really focused on thinking about fulfillment, in what inning would you say you're there and what's ahead for us to think about how you'll continue your leadership in thinking about apparel online.

Karen Hoguet

Management

Yes I think that I have no idea what inning it is because I think the game keeps getting extended. So I think we will be investing and growing this business forever, which is the exciting news and I think at the end of the day, fulfillment is really important, but it's also having the right assortment and I think our team is so good in combination with our vendor partners including private brand as having the right assortments and offering to the customer that that combined with the fulfillment opportunities, I think is going to make us a leader in this arena.

Oliver Chen

Analyst · Cowen & Co.

Thank you. Best regards.

Karen Hoguet

Management

Thank you.

Operator

Operator

And we'll take our next question from Priya Ohri-Gupta with Barclays.

Priya Ohri-Gupta

Analyst

Thank you for taking my question and thank you so much for all your comments around the end points of investment grade and maintaining balance sheet flexibility, Karen, can you talk specifically within the IG context about how important maintaining access to the commercial paper markets for you in terms of ongoing funding needs, whether you could operate service of Tier 3 issuer comfortably or whether you would prefer to have the cushion that Tier 2 provide. And then just an administrative question, can you remind us where you need your cash balance to be at a minimum level. It looks like your cash is low as it’s been since October of 2010. So just wanted some guidance on how we should think about that going forward? Thank you.

Karen Hoguet

Management

Yes, I think the key thing is having access to commercial paper is a great thing and obviously gives you flexibility and lower borrowing cost and accessing our bank facility, but we could access the bank facility should we not have access to the commercial paper market. So I can't tell you today that maintaining access is critical for the company going forward, but we’d obviously like to keep that capability because again for a highly seasonal business that becomes very important.

Priya Ohri-Gupta

Analyst

And then just cash balance question.

Karen Hoguet

Management

Yes, I don’t know how to answer that. So I think I’m just going to deflect that question.

Priya Ohri-Gupta

Analyst

Okay. Thank you.

Operator

Operator

And we’ll take our next question Charles Grom with Sterne, Agee CRT.

Charles Grom

Analyst

Good morning, Karen.

Karen Hoguet

Management

Good morning, Charles.

Charles Grom

Analyst

On the tourism headwind, could you just remind us when that started last year and are we close to cycling that headwind? And I guess, in conjunction, how were trends at Bloomingdale's in the quarter?

Karen Hoguet

Management

Yes, it’s started really in December maybe late November. So it’s really the fourth quarter that we should begin to have easier comparisons. I don’t know that the international tours will get better. That’s the year rounding effect and Bloomingdale's had a disappointing quarter as well and they’re actually more impacted by the tourist slowdown as you might imagine given where the stores are then is Macy’s.

Charles Grom

Analyst

Okay. Great. And then just throughout the quarter just any sense for have comps trended by month and any early read on August.

Karen Hoguet

Management

Obviously I’m not going to comment on the early August. So that is just too early to judge and there really wasn’t much change. We obviously had a tough June given friends and family but we expected it although it was worse than we had expected.

Charles Grom

Analyst

Okay. Thanks and good luck.

Operator

Operator

And we’ll take our next question from Paul Trussell with Deutsche Bank.

Paul Trussell

Analyst · Deutsche Bank.

Good morning, Karen.

Karen Hoguet

Management

Good morning.

Paul Trussell

Analyst · Deutsche Bank.

You've touched on it a little bit, but if you can give any more detail, get a little bit more granular for us to help us make -- be more comfortable with your second-half guidance, which I believe includes a return to positive comps, flattish gross margin, and in-line SG&A dollars year over year, if I heard you correctly. Just given your prior comments regarding the consumer's preference to shopping restaurants and travel, what we already know about the promotional environment, as well as your focus on shipping and same-day shipping expansion, as well as some of the challenges you mentioned around credit card changes that will impact SG&A, healthcare, and other factors.

Karen Hoguet

Management

You’re full of doom and gloom Paul. Look we’ve tried to layout in a release and also in my comments earlier today that some of the things that give us comfort that there will be some improvement in the fall starting with all that's going on in the Omnichannel world. We think it will be very important as we go into the fall. The top door strategy that I talked about, go back and listen or read the transcript from today, but all of those things do give us the comfort that we're going to be able to deliver the fall results.

Paul Trussell

Analyst · Deutsche Bank.

Thank you. And just going back to comments you made back in February, you spoke about entering phase three, which obviously included a focus on the growth initiatives and innovation, but also doing that at the 14% EBITDA level. Has industry conditions changed in terms or your positioning changed in terms of expectations to maintain that level? Or do you still believe that is doable?

Karen Hoguet

Management

I think that level is an attainable level, obviously this year we're taking a step backwards if we take out the Brooklyn gain as you can tell from our guidance, it's obvious from the math. So you can see that, but that doesn’t mean we don’t think it's the right level to get back to and we still think that that's achievable even accelerating our growth through these new initiatives.

Paul Trussell

Analyst · Deutsche Bank.

Thank you and good luck.

Operator

Operator

We will take our next question from Jeff Stein with Northcoast Research.

Jeff Stein

Analyst · Northcoast Research.

Karen, a couple questions on the real estate transaction. Again, thank you for taking the question. So explain how you get a $250 million gain with $170 million of proceeds. I'm wondering if you're also including the $100 million that your partner is going to be contributing over the next three years. And can you quantify the EPS effect of the $250 million gain? Are you considering any tax strategies to try to minimize that and so forth? Thank you.

Karen Hoguet

Management

Well there is two different questions, yes the accounting is such that it's the $270 million, which gets you to the $250 million gain, which is approximately $0.46 a share. We are working on tax strategies vis-à-vis the cash taxes, but the book taxes would lead to the $0.46 a share impact roughly on the year.

Jeff Stein

Analyst · Northcoast Research.

Got it, got it. And I am wondering in the second quarter, did you see any boost from loyalty customers that were seeking the use of their point balances due to the transition to the Plenti program?

Karen Hoguet

Management

No, I think it too early and we didn't really expect it. I think it takes time to accumulate the points and see the value and remember we just launched it in early May. So it is going to take time. Our hope is that as the year goes on, we begin to get the benefit, but it does take time for those points to accumulate. The good news is, the good news is that we've had lots of customers far more than we had expected sign up. So at least they're interested in the program and hopefully they’ll get engaged and learn how to maximize their points and use them.

Jeff Stein

Analyst · Northcoast Research.

But what I was referring to, I am sorry if I wasn’t clear, the old Star Rewards program, I guess those points had to be used by the end of May.

Karen Hoguet

Management

Correct.

Jeff Stein

Analyst · Northcoast Research.

So if you had any balance left over, you would lose those or a customer for example where they were trying to build up points and get certificates to use before they lost everything. That's kind of what I was referring to.

Karen Hoguet

Management

I don't think that that happened. I think we did a very good job communicating with those customers, but I don't think it helped sales in the quarter.

Jeff Stein

Analyst · Northcoast Research.

Okay. And one real quick one, I am a joint venture with China, the $25 million investment your share, does that comprised or is some of it going through the P&L?

Karen Hoguet

Management

No, Jeff as I said, there is an immaterial impact on earnings in the quarter, sorry, in the fall.

Jeff Stein

Analyst · Northcoast Research.

Okay. Great. Thank you very much.

Operator

Operator

And we'll take our next question from Michael Binetti with UBS.

Michael Binetti

Analyst · UBS.

Hey, good morning, Karen. Could you help us talk a little bit about I think you commented that and I apologize if I missed anything that you're getting it back to flat gross margins in the second half. Just seems like as eCommerce gets bigger and the inventories are a little high, you got new initiatives like same day delivery and then slower sales to tourists or at least your third quarter, which I am assuming has a low return rate. Are some of the underlying drivers on the gross margins helping you to get back to flat that you can maybe point out to us?

Karen Hoguet

Management

Yes, just we believe that that's doable given the mix of the business and what we expect to happen. eCommerce is not a negative to gross margin. So yes, delivery expenses, but again we think we've planned it properly and we'll see.

Michael Binetti

Analyst · UBS.

Okay. So on the -- if we just tried around some of the math on Brooklyn it looks like it was about a $0.45 listen in the numbers, maybe I am off on that, but that's a pretty significant reduction excluding Brooklyn on a smaller sales adjustment. Can you tell us about the SG&A from here in the second half and how flexible the planned spending is in the second half if there is another downside scenario for you there or the industry or for you? Will there be a similar level of deleverage on sales in the back half?

Karen Hoguet

Management

Well, we're always trying to reduce expense when we see sales decline and SG&A was not up that much this year. So I am not quite sure what you're referring to. Obviously if sales are down, you are going to deleverage, but we're always looking if sales aren’t materializing to trying to offset or minimize the impact of that with expense and I think that will continue into the back half of the year.

Michael Binetti

Analyst · UBS.

Okay. And then just one final one, you've been helping us with your comments on real estate for several quarters now. I was just wondering if you with your longevity in the industry, can you talk about even though real estate values are peaking now, what any hesitations you may have at this point as you dot the eyes on how you're looking at anything you may do as you maybe look at what kind of financial obligations it will create for the retail business longer term, thanks?

Karen Hoguet

Management

Well I don't know that the word is hesitation. I think it's just making sure that the total fixed cost that we put on the business whether it would be interest expense or rent expense is appropriate given EBITDA that we expect to generate through all cycles. So I wouldn't use the word hesitation. It just has to all work together.

Michael Binetti

Analyst · UBS.

Thank you.

Operator

Operator

And we'll take our next question from Bernard Sosnick with Gilford Securities.

Bernard Sosnick

Analyst · Gilford Securities.

Yes Karen, mention was made about consumer spending on all the categories that are sold in department stores and of course Macy's has made adjustments through the addition of athletic footwear, you're bringing in tuxedos. But the one thing that you mentioned just a while ago was perhaps a licensee for electronics, could you speak about what the options are for bringing in a categories that are more in the forefront of consumer spending especially among young shoppers?

Karen Hoguet

Management

Sure. We're continuing to look at options for that. So that’s clearly on the radar screen. We're also trying to bring in products. So for example wearable tech is something that we're bringing in. Products like Fitbits and things like that. So we are trying to bring products into our assortment that fit that need and also still explaining opportunities vis-à-vis license partners.

Bernard Sosnick

Analyst · Gilford Securities.

Thank you. The second question that I have is in regard to the expense control. Of course sales were down in comps in the second quarter, which was a surprise, but in the first quarter you said that you were surprised by the weakness of sales but didn't have as much option to play with expense levels as you might have in the second quarter. Of course there was the addition of Bluemercury. But I didn't see as much adjustment in expenses as I thought might have occurred, given your prior history of making such adjustments quickly.

Karen Hoguet

Management

Well, remember we are also investing in Omni channel, which we think is critical and obviously sales -- digital sales are growing quite rapidly. So it would be wrong to start making that investment. We also obviously have to start-up expense associated with Backstage. So those are things that would be wrong to stop doing. We obviously could have, but not the right answer for the business over the long term.

Bernard Sosnick

Analyst · Gilford Securities.

And finally in the first quarter you said that the decline in tourism hit comp store sales by about 50 basis points.

Karen Hoguet

Management

No, we said a point

Bernard Sosnick

Analyst · Gilford Securities.

A point, okay. I'm glad you corrected that. What would be the impact in the second quarter?

Karen Hoguet

Management

A point it's about the same.

Bernard Sosnick

Analyst · Gilford Securities.

Which, to me, implies that tourism was down around 20% tourists sales. Is that a reasonable estimate?

Karen Hoguet

Management

We’re not giving that number.

Bernard Sosnick

Analyst · Gilford Securities.

Okay. Thank you very much.

Karen Hoguet

Management

You bet.

Operator

Operator

And we’ll take our next question from Stephen Grambling with Goldman Sachs.

Stephen Grambling

Analyst · Goldman Sachs.

Hi, good morning.

Karen Hoguet

Management

Good morning.

Stephen Grambling

Analyst · Goldman Sachs.

Good morning. So following up on Matt's earlier question on off-price, I'm just curious what are some of the learnings that you are getting from the pilots that is giving you confidence in the further expansion? And then kind of as a secondary question…

Karen Hoguet

Management

Well they haven't opened yet. So there is really no learning yet.

Stephen Grambling

Analyst · Goldman Sachs.

I guess I was just referencing the comments in the press release. But I guess the other question is just on the supply chain side. What would potentially have to change to support additional stores? Is there any thought process on additional CapEx needed to support that expansion as it relates to next year?

Karen Hoguet

Management

Obviously if we’re going to expand it, we will obviously map out the investment needed and plan accordingly.

Stephen Grambling

Analyst · Goldman Sachs.

Okay. And then I guess the second would be a follow-up on Jeff's question on the Plenti sign-ups. What are you seeing from those customers relative to the Star Rewards?

Karen Hoguet

Management

What do you mean relative to the Star Rewards?

Stephen Grambling

Analyst · Goldman Sachs.

I guess do you see incremental spending on certain categories or how are they responding?

Karen Hoguet

Management

Well I think the key thing is we talked about the fact that proprietary penetration is up in part because of the Plenti program taking hold. So I think that's a good sign.

Stephen Grambling

Analyst · Goldman Sachs.

Okay. Thanks so much.

Operator

Operator

And we will take our next question from Joan Payson with Barclays.

Joan Payson

Analyst · Barclays.

Hi good morning, Karen. You mentioned the acceleration in inventory growth earlier. Is there any way to quantify how much of that growth is the early pull-forward of that new seasonal product?

Karen Hoguet

Management

No it’s actually hard to do so, I was trying to do the same thing last night because I thought somebody might ask. So I don’t know the answer. It is the good chunk of it over and above the sales expectations are as we go into the spring season -- I’m sorry, into the fall season.

Joan Payson

Analyst · Barclays.

Okay, great. And then, with some of the categories that you are investing in the most right now, including active wear and dresses, could you talk about how those are performing versus other categories? And also is that more of a this year focus or is it also a long-term investment?

Karen Hoguet

Management

No it’s a long-term investment and we talked about them as being strong categories. I guess didn’t call out dresses this quarter, but it has been in prior quarters and still does well. So we think it’s long-term and not just something that's happening this fall season. And so we’re investing more and more in the whole health environments arena. You'll see us do more in that and obviously dresses plays into the wedding strategy in addition to just social dresses in total, junior dresses relating to prom, all kinds of things as we're building more business with the Millennial customer.

Joan Payson

Analyst · Barclays.

Okay. Great.

Karen Hoguet

Management

They are long-term as well as short term.

Joan Payson

Analyst · Barclays.

Thanks. And my last one is just about the upcoming openings of those off-price stores. Are there any changes that are going to be made to the surrounding or overlapping full-price stores in the same markets, either in terms of assortments or promotional activity?

Karen Hoguet

Management

Not anticipated at this time.

Joan Payson

Analyst · Barclays.

Great, thank you

Operator

Operator

And we’ll take our next question from Bob Drbul with Nomura Securities.

Bob Drbul

Analyst · Nomura Securities.

Hi Karen. Good morning.

Karen Hoguet

Management

Hey Bob.

Bob Drbul

Analyst · Nomura Securities.

Just a couple of questions from me. The first one is are you seeing any change -- when you look at the consumer interest in the branded national brands versus private brands, is there any change within your mix on that standpoint? And when you look at the overall sales results, are competitive pressures impacting your business at all any differently than they have over the last several quarters?

Karen Hoguet

Management

Actually in terms of the change in mix and consumer view towards national versus private brands we are really not seeing anything in that arena. And in terms of competitive activity, the answer really is no. We're really sticking to our playbook and don’t think that that’s had a big impact. Obviously we're reporting first. So we'll learn a lot more over the next couple of days and next week. On the Bloomingdale side, I would say the upscale world has gotten a lot more promotional. So for Bloomingdale the competitive activity as probably a bigger fact then it would have been in the case of Macy’s.

Bob Drbul

Analyst · Nomura Securities.

Got it. And in the back half of the year, is the credit income level expected to continue to be higher?

Karen Hoguet

Management

Yes just not the third quarter.

Bob Drbul

Analyst · Nomura Securities.

Okay. And then last question I have is you called out a medical benefit expense. Can you just elaborate a little bit what's going on there? I think that's the first time you've called that out.

Karen Hoguet

Management

Well there is two things happening. One is I think we’ve talked for a long time about the pressure of higher medical cost which I think is probably impacting most companies/ What’s different about this year is we’ve gone to a consumer directed plan and as part of that and this is probably more detail than you need. We've helped to fund the HSA accounts for our employees and so there was more expense in the second quarter than it would have been last year. So part of it is timing, but we also expect a big increase in medical expense for the full year as well.

Bob Drbul

Analyst · Nomura Securities.

Thank you very much.

Operator

Operator

And we’ll take our next question from Stacie Rabinowitz with Consumer Edge Research.

Stacie Rabinowitz

Analyst · Consumer Edge Research.

Good morning. I actually had two, if you don't mind. The first was just with the AUR decline you saw this quarter; is that coming from -- what portion of it is coming from the markdowns due to the ports, a potential mix shift?

Karen Hoguet

Management

It’s mostly due to the clearance activity, again mostly driven by the ports as well as the weaker sales earlier in the year.

Stacie Rabinowitz

Analyst · Consumer Edge Research.

Okay. And then my second question was actually around the Bluemercury openings in the Macy's stores. Are there any plans to put in some of the spa and services businesses?

Karen Hoguet

Management

I don’t believe so in the first four, but we are absolutely considering that.

Stacie Rabinowitz

Analyst · Consumer Edge Research.

Great. Thank you so much.

Operator

Operator

And we will take our next question from Matt McGinley with Evercore ISI.

Matt McGinley

Analyst · Evercore ISI.

Good morning, Karen. My first question is on the SG&A. I just want to make sure I have this right. Ex Brooklyn, your SG&A in the back half should be at around the same rate or the same dollar basis as you had last year?

Karen Hoguet

Management

I was doing it on dollars.

Matt McGinley

Analyst · Evercore ISI.

Okay, good. Then in the second quarter and you listed all the growth drivers and obviously there was a lot of spend in this quarter as it related to that. But was that spend more heavily weighted in the second quarter than we would see in the third and fourth quarter that would have caused more deleverage in this quarter versus other quarters this year?

Karen Hoguet

Management

Well Backstage opens. So that would obviously be less of a factor as they are beginning to generate sales and margins. Bluemercury would be similar and the Omni channel investment is going to continue through the year.

Matt McGinley

Analyst · Evercore ISI.

And then I think last quarter in the fourth quarter you said that there was a renewed focus on these top 150 stores in the platinum 30. Was there any real difference that you saw in terms of the comp rate in the quarter between the top 150 and all of the other stores?

Karen Hoguet

Management

Well there is a complicating factor if you're relating to the tourist stores. So a lot of those top stores are impacted by the declines in international tourist. So if you take the tourist impact, I think the answer would be yes, but obviously with the tourist impact, those stores are getting hit harder.

Matt McGinley

Analyst · Evercore ISI.

Okay. Great. Thank you.

Operator

Operator

And we will take our next question from Dana Telsey with Telsey Advisory Group.

Dana Telsey

Analyst · Telsey Advisory Group.

Good morning, Karen.

Karen Hoguet

Management

Good morning, Dana.

Dana Telsey

Analyst · Telsey Advisory Group.

Can you give us an update on the single view of inventory and how the progress is being made there? And lastly, on the weakness in jewelry and watches that you had mentioned, do you think of that as related to tourism, related to product trends? How would you describe that? Thank you.

Karen Hoguet

Management

Yes, in terms of single use of the inventory I would say it's progressing. As I mentioned earlier there has been a steeper learning curve on that subject as well as the restructure than we had expected. So I don't think we're getting the full benefit of having that single view of the inventory, which again for people who aren’t as close to the details is that we merge the inventories that is in the warehouses for a direct to consumer business plus the stores so that our planners are able to better allocate merchandize across warehouses and stores. It has helped us to begin to improve turnover as well as obviously help margin and more importantly get goods closer to the consumer. Having said that I would say we're in the early innings of maximizing the opportunity there. So I think that's still ahead of us as we go forward. In terms of the weakness in watches and jewelry, I think it's sort of all of those things and as you recall and as we talked earlier we've actually started a test where we're trying to intensify our business not only in the fashion jewelry and watches, but also find that we think may address some of this weakness as we go forward.

Dana Telsey

Analyst · Telsey Advisory Group.

Thank you.

Operator

Operator

And we'll take our next question from David Glick with Buckingham Research Group

David Glick

Analyst · Buckingham Research Group

Thank you. Good morning, Karen. Most of my questions have been answered. Had a couple follow-ups. How do you -- with the additional proceeds from the sale of the Brooklyn store, how do you look at the buyback for this year in terms of what you are anticipating? Obviously, your EBITDA projection is lower today as well, but how do we think about the buyback for the year? And then, secondly, didn't talk a lot about some of the other categories. You mentioned some of the strong and weak, but in general you talked about center core. But how about ready-to-wear, home, and men's in terms of how they are trending and what the prospects are going forward? Thank you.

Karen Hoguet

Management

In terms of the buyback as with every year we look at our cash flow and look at what's the appropriate leverage ratios and we utilize our cash appropriately. Obviously with this transaction happening at the end of the year, unlikely to have a big impact on the buyback in '15 more likely beginning of '16, but obviously that's incremental cash that can be used to buyback more stock. In terms of the other categories, ready to wear continues to be tough with exceptions of areas like active, denim doing better, dresses doing a little bit better. Men's, I would say was mixed, but with a lot of strength in some parts. Home we talked about the big ticket areas being very strong furniture and mattresses and actually we've started a pilot of a new approach to soft home, which appears to have a lot of promise. So we feel good about the prospects for that business as we move forward into the fall season.

David Glick

Analyst · Buckingham Research Group

Then just a quick follow-up. Obviously the EBITDA projection down this year. How do you look at that shortfall and how quickly you can recover that going forward? Obviously some of the headwinds this year are transitory, some are not. But as you look at your EBITDA level coming out of the year, how quickly are you looking at making up that operating shortfall?

Karen Hoguet

Management

That's a big question of the day. We're looking at that as we're speaking today. So I don't know the answer to that yet.

David Glick

Analyst · Buckingham Research Group

Thank you very much. Good luck in the second half.

Karen Hoguet

Management

Thanks David.

Operator

Operator

And we'll take our next question from Richard Jaffe with Stifel Nicolaus

Richard Jaffe

Analyst · Stifel Nicolaus

Thanks very much and I'm really excited about the opportunity in China and the initiative. I'm just wondering about the magnitude, that is to say the size of the offerings, the breadth, the depth, where the inventory is going to kept. Will you be doing fulfillment in China? And will the online experience be very similar to what we see here, or are you creating a unique experience for the folks in China?

Karen Hoguet

Management

I think those are all the questions we're still trying to answer. For this fall it will be relatively limited assortment and the goods will be in Hong Kong, but over time, assuming it works well, the idea would be to have the goods house in China hopefully at some point and see how much of the website we need to modify to fit the consumer in China. We're not going into this thinking we know all the answers and that's why we're taking sort of a test and learn approach because we know the Chinese consumer is different both in terms of merchandized taste but also how they interact online and so again we're going in with an open mind and not assuming we know all the answers. The good news is with Ken Anderson running it, who as I mentioned earlier was the founder of macys.com and has been there since up until the last couple of months. I think we're in very good hands for trying to switch through how to build this business appropriately.

Richard Jaffe

Analyst · Stifel Nicolaus

I think so, too. What will Fung Retail's contribution be in this process, either dollars or expertise?

Karen Hoguet

Management

The dollars obvious, but there is a great deal of expertise. They obviously understand the Chinese customer in ways that we don't yet and they are terrific business people. So we're really very excited about the partnership and think that they're going to add a lot to the strategy and also helping us execute. They have great capabilities as I think you all know, not through Fung Retailing but through Lee and Fung, which will also have access to in logistics HR and all of these subjects that are going to be so important to the success of this venture.

Richard Jaffe

Analyst · Stifel Nicolaus

I look forward to it. Thank you.

Operator

Operator

And we'll take our next question from Michael Exstein with Credit Suisse

Michael Exstein

Analyst · Credit Suisse

Thank you, Karen. Two quick questions. Number one, can you talk about the decision to eliminate the friends and family in the quarter? And are you going to add one in the second half of the year to offset it? Secondly, in terms of the gross margin decline, was there any mix shift impact on your gross margin, or was it just purely clearance more inventory at the end of the quarter?

Karen Hoguet

Management

So in terms of the margin, it was not a mix shift. It was purely clearance of inventory. And in terms of the decision to eliminate the friends and family, obviously in hind side, I am not sure it was a good one, but we're not adding an event to offset it.

Michael Exstein

Analyst · Credit Suisse

Okay. Thanks so much.

Operator

Operator

And we'll take our next question from Wayne Hood with BMO Capital Markets

Wayne Hood

Analyst · BMO Capital Markets

Yes Karen, I just had two real estate questions and then a working capital question. I guess on the real estate side, on the Brooklyn transaction, does that preclude you from eventually vending the owned piece into a REIT with a joint venture partner at some point in the future?

Karen Hoguet

Management

No, it does not. We still own the part of the store that we're operating.

Wayne Hood

Analyst · BMO Capital Markets

Okay. So that's still a potential outcome. The second I guess for you, and the Board and Terry, as you think about what's going on with real estate today, there's an element of surfacing the value the way you've done, but there's also throwing it in to or entering into a joint venture relationship with a JV partner that could grow. And I'm wondering as they think about that, broadly speaking, does it not to provide a growth silo for you eventually by partnering with a joint venture partner that could not only monetize your real estate, but go out and buy other assets to grow buy. And you could lever off of that in a way that you were not able to create a silo in the past.

Karen Hoguet

Management

I think the answer is we've said as we're looking at all options, obviously that's one of the options that we're looking at.

Wayne Hood

Analyst · BMO Capital Markets

Okay. And the last question I guess is on working capital. You mentioned a little bit about inventory. Can you talk a little bit about where you think inventory will be at the end of the third or fourth quarter? And maybe if you can dive into where you think working capital might be by the end of those periods, if at all.

Karen Hoguet

Management

I think on a comp basis, I think it will be up at the end of the year, but less than it is right now, but I can't give you a forecast at this point precisely.

Wayne Hood

Analyst · BMO Capital Markets

Okay. Great. Thanks Karen.

Operator

Operator

And we'll take our next question from Laurent Vasilescu with FBR Capital Markets

Laurent Vasilescu

Analyst · FBR Capital Markets

Good morning. Following upon Joan's question, can you provide a bit more color on how your athletic business is doing? Was there a pickup on -- over the first quarter? And are you seeing any particular strength in footwear versus apparel, men's versus women's, and any call outs on particular brands?

Karen Hoguet

Management

We don't discuss particular brands and I would say the whole business has done very well first quarter and second quarter, men's, women's apparel, footwear etcetera. So we feel very good about that business.

Laurent Vasilescu

Analyst · FBR Capital Markets

Okay, great. And then, with the resurgence in denim sales are you seeing consumers trading away from any other categories?

Karen Hoguet

Management

Well obviously if you're buying denim, you're probably not going to buy the same bottoms that you had been buying. The good thing for us is that denim comes at a higher AUR and also requires different tops and footwear to go with it. So it could be a really good trend for us assuming it continues

Laurent Vasilescu

Analyst · FBR Capital Markets

Okay, great. Best of luck.

Karen Hoguet

Management

Thank you.

Operator

Operator

And we'll take our next question from Todd Duvick with Wells Fargo.

Todd Duvick

Analyst · Wells Fargo.

Karen, good morning. Appreciate you getting us in. Just a follow-up to several of the previous questions. As you look at real estate opportunities or potential real estate opportunities, does your too forward of 2000 publicly stated lease adjusted leverage that's still hold or could that potentially change?

Karen Hoguet

Management

It does still hold. Could it potentially change, I guess so, but remember as I said repeatedly, financial flexibility and access to capital markets is really critical for us. So that will obviously always be a factor.

Todd Duvick

Analyst · Wells Fargo.

Got you. Thank you very much. Appreciate it.

Operator

Operator

And we have no further questions. And I would now like to turn the conference back over to Karen Hoguet for any additional or closing remarks.

Karen Hoguet

Management

No, I just want to say thank you everybody for your interest, your support and if you have further questions, obviously let me know, let Matt know and we'll do our best to get back to you as quickly as we can. Thank you.

Operator

Operator

And this concludes today's conference. Thank you for your participation. You may now disconnect.