Earnings Labs

LXP Industrial Trust (LXP)

Q1 2016 Earnings Call· Thu, May 5, 2016

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Transcript

Operator

Operator

Greetings and welcome to the Lexington Realty Trust First Quarter 2016 Earnings Conference Call. At this time, all participants are in a listen-only mode. A brief question-and-answer session will follow the formal presentation. [Operator Instructions] As a reminder, this conference is being recorded. It is now my pleasure to introduce your host, Heather Gentry, Investor Relations for Lexington Realty Trust. Thank you. You may now begin.

Heather Gentry

Analyst

Hello, and welcome to the Lexington Realty Trust First Quarter 2016 Conference Call. The earnings press release was distributed over the wire this morning and the release and supplemental disclosure package will be furnished on a Form 8-K. In the press release and supplemental disclosure package, Lexington has reconciled all historical non-GAAP financial measures to the most directly comparable GAAP measure in accordance with Reg G requirements. If you did not receive a copy, these documents are available on our website at www.LXP.com in the Investors section. Additionally, we are hosting a live webcast of today’s call, which you can access in the same section. At this time, we would like to inform you that certain statements made during this conference call, which are not historical, may constitute forward-looking statements within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Although Lexington believes the expectations reflected in any forward-looking statements are based on reasonable assumptions, Lexington can give no assurance that its expectations will be attained. Factors and risks that could cause actual results to differ materially from those expressed or implied by forward-looking statements are detailed in today’s press release and from time to time, in Lexington’s filings with the SEC and include the successful confirmation of any lease, acquisition, build-to-suit, financing, disposition or other transaction, or the final term of any such transaction. Except as required by law, Lexington does not undertake a duty to update any forward-looking statements. Operating performance measures of an individual investment are not presented or intended to be viewed as liquidity or performance measures that present a numerical measure of Lexington’s historical or future financial performance, financial position or cash flow. Joining me today to discuss Lexington first quarter 2016, results are Will Eglin, Chief Executive Officer; Pat Carroll, Chief Financial Officer, and other executive members of management. With that, I will turn the call over to Will.

Will Eglin

Analyst

Thanks, Heather. Welcome everyone, and thank you for joining the call today. I’d like to start by discussing our operating results and notable highlights for the first quarter of 2016. We had a great quarter in which we completed approximately $65 million of non-core asset sales and raised cash renewal rent 6.5% on strong leasing volume of 1.7 million square feet. Company funds from operations were $0.30 per diluted share for the quarter, which represents 3.4% increase over fourth quarter 2015. The increase was primarily due to higher revenues associated with acquisitions, principally the Preferred Freezer and McGuire Woods build-to-suit projects completed in the fourth quarter of 2015 and the Fiat Chrysler Automobile acquisition in 2016, as well as operating cost savings. We just announced that we sold two additional assets, subsequent to the end of the first quarter, which includes the $37.5 million sale of one of our New York City land investment, at a 4.1% cap rate. Given the strong first quarter and our expectations for the reminder of the year, we are tightening our 2016 Company FFO guidance to a range of $1.03 to $1.08 per diluted share from a $1 to $1.10 per diluted share. Our new guidance still assumes we sell the remaining land investments as of June 30, 2016 as a sub 4.75 quarter cap rate. Turning to investments, in January, we closed on the acquisition of a newly constructed 190,000 square foot industrial facility in Detroit, Michigan for $29.7 million. Initial cash and GAAP yields for the asset are 7.4% and the property is 100% leased for a 20-year term to Fiat Chrysler Automobiles. During the quarter, we invested approximately $34 million in four ongoing build-to-suit projects. Our expectations are that three of these projects will be completed in 2016 and one will…

Pat Carroll

Analyst

Thanks, Will. Hello everyone. Before I get started, just a reminder that a new FASB Rule went to effect in 2015, so property sales are no longer reclassified as discontinued operations on the income statement. So, income statement fluctuations between periods generally relate to that. Gross revenues for the quarter ended March 31, 2016 totaled $111.6 million, comprised primarily of lease rent and tenant reimbursement, which represented a 3% increased compared to gross revenues of $108.4 million in the first quarter of 2015. The increase relates primarily to revenue generated from our recent property acquisitions and new leases signed offset by 2015 and 2016 property sales and lease expirations. For the quarter ended March 31, 2016, we generated Company FFO of $72.1 million or $0.30 per diluted common share, compared to $64.5 million or $0.26 per diluted common share for the quarter ended March 31, 2016. Company FFO 2016 guidance was heightened to $1.03 to $1.08 per diluted share from $1 to $1.10 per diluted share, given our strong first quarter with better visibility on the remainder of the year. This guidance assumes that the three [ph] remaining New York City land investments are sold as of June 30, 2016 at a sub 4.75 cap rate. It has been modified to reflect that we may not complete the 10 million common share repurchase authorization during 2016. Keep in mind, this guidance is forward-looking, excludes the impact of certain items, and it’s based on current expectations. For the quarter ended March 31, 2016, GAAP rents were in excess of cash rents by approximately $13 [ph] million, which relates primarily to our New York City land investment. On page 17 of the supplement, we have included our estimates of both cash and GAAP rents for the remainder of 2016 and ‘17 for…

Will Eglin

Analyst

Thanks Pat. Operator, I have no further comments at this time. So, we are ready for you to conduct the question-and-answer portion of the call.

Operator

Operator

[Operator Instruction] Our first question comes from the line of Sheila McGrath from Evercore ISI. Please go ahead.

Sheila McGrath

Analyst

I was wondering if you could provide some clarity on FFO or FAD impacts from the ground leases and also, the impact on cash flow and leverage.

Will Eglin

Analyst

Sure. The ground lease investments generated about $0.04 a share per quarter in FFO, but $0.26 of FAD. So, if you think about the sales, you annualize that FAD number is about $5.9 million. So, if we take the proceeds and reinvest in real estate, on unlevered basis, we’ll have more FAD than we do now and all the leverage from the land investments as we go on. So, we will have shared $242 million, without any negative impact on our FAD. So, in our minds, even though we would end up in the back half of the year with lower FFO that we do now, our FAD will continue to be strong and we’ll have shrunk our leverage considerably.

Sheila McGrath

Analyst

And can you help us understand the timing? So, the first ground lease sale just recently closed and what are your expectations for the balance, closing?

Will Eglin

Analyst

We’re still forecasting of a mid-year sale of the other three parcels. They are not under contract yet, but we’re making good progress.

Sheila McGrath

Analyst

Okay, two other quick questions. On the sale of the first parcel, it looks like you made money on that. Could you just discuss, may be the IRR there or how we should think about -- how that ended up?

Will Eglin

Analyst

Yes. Recall that it was a pretty highly leveraged investment, it was not a large equity investment in our part but our leveraged IRR will be in the mid 30s, on it. So, it worked quite well. The going in cap rate that we bought that asset for was 4.93 and we had a rent bump. So, the fact that we could sell it at 4.1 cap rate is a good outcome for us.

Sheila McGrath

Analyst

And last question, just on the dividend versus buyback, how are you thinking; will you refrain from a bump in the dividend or how are you thinking about that?

Will Eglin

Analyst

I don’t think they have to mutually exclusive; in fact, having executed partly on the buyback, makes it more likely that we’ll be able to return to dividend growth sooner. In June, it will be two years since we increased the dividend. We did grow the dividend pretty rapidly before that period of time, so arguably shareholders have had some front loaded yield during this two-year period. But everything we’ve done in the two years with respect to sales, investing, what we’ve done with the balance sheet has been designed to put the Company back into position, where it could increase its dividend annually with a high degree of certainty. So, we are inching close to that date, and we look forward to being able to return to that policy.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. Our next question comes from the line of Todd Stender from Wells Fargo. Please go ahead.

Todd Stender

Analyst

Just on the remaining land leases teed up for sale, just as a reminder, are there mortgages on those?

Pat Carroll

Analyst

Yes, Todd, they have about $211 million of mortgage loan.

Todd Stender

Analyst

And in general, is that more difficult for a buyer to assume a mortgage loan, just because it’s ground lease versus a traditional building sale?

Pat Carroll

Analyst

No, I don’t think the type of asset really impacted the loan.

Todd Stender

Analyst

And just as a reminder, have you guys looked at buying back shares? Is it a return that you’re looking at or is it simple as saying your shares trade below NAV and it’s just a prudent use of capital?

Will Eglin

Analyst

It’s a combination of the two. In our mind, there is a cost of shrinking the capitalization of the Company, so the discount to NAV should be very wide. And we view our share buyback program to be used during times when the market is really trading our shares poorly and there is an opportunity for us to retire stock inside at really cheap prices. So, we still have an authorization out there, and we’re very optimistic about the direction of the share price. But to the extent we find ourselves in a market that’s very weak again, we won’t hastate to buy in stock inside.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. Our next question comes from the line of Craig Mailman from KeyBanc Capital Markets. Please go ahead.

Craig Mailman

Analyst

Hey guys, just a follow on the buyback question. You guys were able to buy back 1 million shares, a pretty wide discount on that. What was the constraint on buying back even more given that discount relative to where you put capital use in the industrial asset in Detroit at 7.4?

Will Eglin

Analyst

Well, we were blacked out for earning for a good portion of first quarter and following the 10-K we were able to buy some stock, but the stock has been on an upward pair [ph] since then and we haven’t been chasing it. So, there has been many places for us to make an arbitrage in our business, one is selling assets and buying in stock, but we can also make an arb selling assets into the auction market this year and selectively committing to some build-to-suit opportunities as well.

Craig Mailman

Analyst

Okay. And then just one quick one on Detroit; is that CPI based rates?

Will Eglin

Analyst

No, that’s a flat rent and it was the build-to-suit that we committed to probably a year in advance of when we closed this, Craig. So, it’s not like the acquisition just showed up in December last year when our stock was very cheap, we’ve actually have been committed to at a previous time.

Craig Mailman

Analyst

And then could you just talk your comment that the build-to-suit market’s maybe moved 100 basis points in your favor? Can you just expand on that; are there any specific markets where it’s happening; is industrial only or other pockets?

Will Eglin

Analyst

No, in the last six months, we’ve committed to two new transactions and in each case, we got -- going in cap rate was 90 basis points to 100 basis points higher than it would have been a year ago. So, it’s just a handful of cases. So, we’ll see where the market goes but that part of our business has become better for us compared to a year ago.

Craig Mailman

Analyst

Was there anything special about those cases given industrial cap rates are more broadly have in some markets compressed further or kind of stayed flat, anything going on there?

Will Eglin

Analyst

One was an office building and one was an industrial. I think it’s -- the forward commitment market anytime there’s concern about the nature of credit markets, the direction of interest rate et cetera; pricing moves in our favor just because it’s risky for builders not to try to lock in their profits or early. So, we’ve seen a little bit of that; it’s good for our business and hopefully we’ll see more opportunity in that list.

Craig Mailman

Analyst

And then just lastly, can you talk about the profile of the buyer on the [Indiscernible].

Will Eglin

Analyst

Not specifically, but that type of investment tends to be popular with pension funds and family office type investors.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. Our next question comes from the line of John Guinee from Stifel. Please go ahead.

John Guinee

Analyst

I’m not sure if I’m the right person but I’ll try. First, why the 8.30 a.m...

Will Eglin

Analyst

We just wanted to get the call done before the market opens.

John Guinee

Analyst

Is this going to be the new format?

Will Eglin

Analyst

Yes.

John Guinee

Analyst

Alright, you guys get up earlier, okay. And what was lease term say of that 2.9 million, which asset was that?

Will Eglin

Analyst

It’s on a combination of assets, John. When a tenant exercises a lease termination, [ph] many times they exercise it but they still have lease term left meaning they have to pay the money maybe a year or 18 months in advance. So, in the gap, you have to spread it out over the life of the lease, or the remaining lease term. So, it’s a handful of them and it’s -- the ones that we talked about, generally the fourth quarter of last year that we disclosed for the lease determination, maybe. So, it is like five or six tenants.

John Guinee

Analyst

We apologize for not remembering those tenants from the last year’s call. Can you run through, just looking at pages 28 and maybe 32, run through your major tenants and what you think is going to happen in terms of renewal extension, move-outs et cetera? The office is on page 28 and the industrial is on page 31.

Will Eglin

Analyst

Yes. What we’ve said for 2016 is that there will not be leasing activity. There are several properties that we think will be in the disposition program that’s in office. We mentioned Michelin in industrial as vacancy in July and the other industrial property at the end of this year we think will want to extend.

John Guinee

Analyst

How about 2017, any clarity there?

Will Eglin

Analyst

Well, it’s a little premature. Typically we would go lease-by-lease later in the year, but a half dozen of those leases are in negotiation for renewal presently.

John Guinee

Analyst

Good. Okay, I have one more question. I can’t remember what it is, but thank you.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. Our next question comes from the line of Gene Nusinzon from JP Morgan. Please go ahead.

Gene Nusinzon

Analyst

Thank you. Can you just give a rundown of cap rates and opportunities in the market? We are seeing some compression in the net least base, some of your competitors.

Will Eglin

Analyst

Well, in the forward market, which is our focus, we think we have seen a little bit of widening compared to a year ago. I’ll say that on the sales that we have been executing, we have done very well so far, candidly. And if we can get the parcels of land sold in Manhattan that will mean two-thirds of our program will be basically done in the first half of the year, and we will have executed at prices that are better than we thought when we gave initial guidance. We have seen interest rates come back down and spreads start to tighten in the debt area, so that typically given the net lease properties are our long-term lease assets that are very much like bonds that tends to mean that cap rates can compress some.

Gene Nusinzon

Analyst

And focusing on the expense line item, as you sell some presumably vacant buildings, what can we expect a run rate coming towards the end of the year?

Will Eglin

Analyst

The expenses on the industrial facilities vacant, honestly it’s not a lot; it’s multi-tenanted. But I think from a standpoint of tenant reimbursement left the operating expenses, so we look at as a net number, for 2016 the number could be $18 million or $19 million on a net basis.

Gene Nusinzon

Analyst

Okay. And are there any credit issues in the portfolio that you can bring to our attention?

Will Eglin

Analyst

All our rents have been selected, we do have one tenant in one property that’s about $165,000 a month in rent who during the quarter we did restructure their payments from payments in advance to payment in reared; they have paid to-date. But that’s the only one, I’d say the portfolio from a credit standpoint that we are looking at.

Gene Nusinzon

Analyst

Thanks. Final question, are there any step up in the leases that we shouldn’t anticipate this year, maybe going into next or step down for that matter?

Will Eglin

Analyst

Most of our -- about 80% [ph] of our leases now have some level of step up. They generally range from 1.5 to 2. So, I think from a broad standpoint, you can look at it that way. I don’t think there are any significant step downs this year.

Gene Nusinzon

Analyst

Just contractual rent bump, okay.

Will Eglin

Analyst

Yes, or flat.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. Our next question comes from the line of Jamie Feldman from Bank of America. Please go ahead.

Jamie Feldman

Analyst

I think you said you feel pretty good about the investment pipeline for the build-to-suit. Can talk more about the size of that pipeline? And then, as you are thinking of our projects, just how do you think about the geographic diversification for the portfolio going forward? I know the one you signed this quarter is in Alabama, just how should we think about that?

Will Eglin

Analyst

Well, right now, we have about $100 million for delivery to finish funding next year, which is not sizable, that’s in addition to $250 million or so that we’re committed to fund in the last nine months this year. So, the pipeline is not growing hugely but it is growing selectively where we think we can find high quality assets. In the case of the Alabama facility, it’s rare to find a 25-year lease with such a sizable credit behind the lease and with annual escalation. So, this huge value in the 25-year lease in that case, and we will continue to build out our build-to-suit business, will probably become more diversified over time from a location standpoint but that will be driven by where corporations want to build and how long the lease they are willing to commit to.

Jamie Feldman

Analyst

So, I think the current -- investible pipeline, I know you are not going to ramp it so much, but when you look at the landscape, how vacant this business be or what sort of annual start level you think you can maintain?

Will Eglin

Analyst

Well that will be dependent on our own liquidity and balance sheet capacity and cost of capital. But we did $500 million worth of business last year and it’s not a stretch; it’ a very large market and there is a lots of opportunity for us.

Jamie Feldman

Analyst

Okay. And then just going back to Will’s comment or Pat’s comments on the guidance, so I mean it sounded like you had good first quarter, maybe some of the sales are weighing on the back half. Could you just kind of walk through the moving pieces that get you to pretty much keep your midpoint in line with where you were?

Will Eglin

Analyst

Yes, I mean the real question, Jamie, will be what to review with cash in the back half of the year, because the disposition program combined with a little bit of long-term financing likely results in cash increasing in the second half of the year. And we’ve assumed that cash is not invested in our guidance. So, if we can find good opportunities with cash to work, whether that’s in further buyback or other investments, that will be swing factor with respect to how the second half of the year turns out.

Jamie Feldman

Analyst

Okay. So, where is your guidance now assumed for like year-end cash balance or excess cash?

Will Eglin

Analyst

Over $200 million.

Operator

Operator

[Operator Instruction] Our next question comes from the line John Guinee from Stifel. Please go ahead.

John Guinee

Analyst

How does this 30, 27, 25, 24 sound good for a quarterly, first quarter 30, second quarter 27, third quarter 25, fourth quarter 24?

Will Eglin

Analyst

We don’t give quarterly guidance, John.

John Guinee

Analyst

Well, you could if you wanted to.

Will Eglin

Analyst

We could if wanted to, but you’re I think very capable of following the Company based on our discloser and our comments.

John Guinee

Analyst

Well, it looks like you have some steady deliveries of your build-to-suit in 2Q, 4Q, 1Q 2017. So, it looks like there is just a momentary low before access [ph] gets; is that in early or late 4Q stabilization?

Will Eglin

Analyst

November…

John Guinee

Analyst

November, okay. And then essentially story here on the arb is you’re going to sell at a 4.75 cash cap rate; is that roughly a ‘14 GAAP cap rate, to buy at about an eight?

Will Eglin

Analyst

That’s about right. And John, keep your eye on FAD, because our FFO has been obviously inflated by the GAAP revenue on the ground lease investments. So, you’re right to point out that FFO will be lower in the back half of this year compared to now but the underlying cash flows of the Company should be solid.

Operator

Operator

Ladies and gentleman, we have no further questions in queue at this time. I would like to turn the floor back over to management for closing comments.

Will Eglin

Analyst

Thanks again, everyone. And if you have any questions, please don’t hesitate to reach out to us.