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Luxfer Holdings PLC (LXFR)

Q3 2021 Earnings Call· Tue, Oct 26, 2021

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Transcript

Operator

Operator

Good morning. My name is Emma, and I'll be your conference operator today. Welcome to Luxfer 2021 Third Quarter Earnings Call Conference. All lines have been placed on mute. After the speakers’ remarks, there will be a question-and-answer session. Now I’ll turn the call over to Heather from Luxfer. Heather, please go ahead.

Heather Harding

Management

Thank you, Emma. And welcome to Luxfer’s third quarter 2021 earnings call. We're happy to have you all with us today. I'm Heather Harding, Luxfer’s Chief Financial Officer. And with me today is Alok Maskara, Luxfer’s Chief Executive Officer. On today's call, we will provide details of our third quarter 2021 performance as outlined in the press release issued yesterday. Today's webcast is accompanied by a presentation that can be accessed at luxfer.com. Please note that any references to non-GAAP financials are reconciled in the appendix of this presentation. Now before we begin, a friendly reminder that any forward-looking statements made about the company's expected financial results are subject to future risks and uncertainties. Please refer to the Safe Harbor statement on Slide 2 of today's presentation for further details. Now, let me turn the call over to Alok.

Alok Maskara

Management

Thanks Heather, and welcome everyone. Before I dive into the results, I want to express my gratitude to the Luxfer team, who continued to work diligently during the pandemic to secure the material and talent needed to increase manufacturing output during the ongoing global supply chain disruptions. I also want to thank our customers for their patience and support to these difficult times as the Luxfer team races to overcome multiple unprecedented issues impacting our supply chain. Now, please turn to Slide 3, for highlights from our third quarter results. I want to highlight four key messages on this page. First, we delivered 17.4% year-over-year sales growth in the third quarter as strong demand across our end markets was aided by solid contributions from our SCI acquisition, which added 10.2% to sales. Excluding the impact of FX and the acquisition, we achieved 4.5% organic volume growth, even though we were unable to fully convert strong demand into sales, due to global supply chain constraints. Second, we generated good free cash and maintained a strong balance sheet this quarter with a net debt-to-EBITDA ratio of 0.6 times. We've returned over $5.3 million to shareholders this quarter through dividends and share buyback. We will remain thoughtful and disciplined in our approach to acquisitions while continuing to invest in automation and growth projects to increase shareholder returns. Third, we continue to make progress in reshaping our portfolio with the completion of the Superform UK divestiture. This is an important strategic milestone as we align our portfolio towards Luxfer’s differentiated technology and attractive end markets. Finally, Q3 EBITDA was flat and our margins in Q3 were lower as we face rapid inflation and incurred extra costs to combat the supply chain disruptions. We remain confident about offsetting the inflationary pressures in the medium term.…

Heather Harding

Management

Thanks Alok. I'll start the current quarter review on Slide 6 with the summary of our performance by end user market. Now, as a reminder, our sales can be classified into three key end user markets, defense, first response and healthcare, transportation, which is a combination of alternative fuel aerospace and automotive and general industrial. In the defense, first response and healthcare end market, sales increased by 6.2% for the third quarter versus the same quarter last year. We saw increased strong demand for SCBA and magnesium powders products, which were partially tempered with lower replenishment of military and disaster relief products. Sales in transportation grew 42.7% in the third quarter. The recent SCI acquisition positively impacted sales performance of this market. In addition, we generated solid growth in our auto catalyst products, driven by industry recovery and wider adoption of gasoline particulate filtration. Sales in the general industrial end-user market increased 9% in the quarter driven by the strong market recovery with most product categories within this end-market growing relative to the prior year. Now please turn to Slide 7 for a summary of our third quarter P&L results. Third quarter sales of $91.2 million increased 17.4% from the prior year with favorable FX contribution of 2.7%. The SCI acquisition added $7.9 million in third quarter sales or 10.2% of growth. Organic growth of 4.5% was largely driven by our transportation and industrial products. Consolidated adjusted EBITDA of $13.8 million for the quarter increased slightly from the prior year, despite the impacts of SCI acquisition and rising inflation. In the short-term, we were unable to fully offset strong inflationary pressures. However, we remain confident in our ability to recover margins over the long-term. Margins were also negatively impacted by mix between electron and gas cylinder segment sales. The recently…

Alok Maskara

Management

Thanks, Heather. Before I wrap up, I wanted to provide a summary of the opportunity for Luxfer in the coming year on Slide 12. As we enter the fourth quarter of 2021, and look forward onto 2022, we do it with a growing sense of uncertainty and concern regarding rising cost pressures and increasing supply chain constraints. However, we are stronger and more resilient today than at any other time in our recent history. Our technology and operations are aligned with secular sustainable growth drivers and we are investing in innovation to continue our growth in new products. We have a customer first focus to guide us through these challenging times. Going into 2022, we are encouraged by the robust demand level and macro environment, including the level of energy prices, which will support our growth. In addition, 2022 differentiated growth will also be driven by ongoing investment in alternative fuel and from a new product such as UGRE, which is expected to accelerate growth in the defense end user segment. And our capital deployment strategy is working as we have built a strong and flexible balance sheet, enabling us to return cash to our shareholders, while investing in organic and inorganic growth opportunities. We don’t have any near-term debt maturities, and we’ll continue to pursue bolt-on synergistic acquisition that will enhance shareholder value. While the beginning of 2022 will likely be challenging, I am confident that we are heading in the right direction. Now, please turn to Slide 13 for a recap of Luxfer value proposition. We have built a strong foundation for long-term success. We have transformed the business by lowering our cost structure and optimizing our operational footprint, bringing quantifiable savings to the bottom line. We have reshaped our portfolio, focusing on markets where our proprietary technologies add the greatest value. We are creating a winning culture, establishing processes that guide our daily activities, enabling us to excel in every part of our organization. And we have the financial flexibility to reinvest in the business and pursue bolt-on acquisition opportunities. In short, our best days are ahead of us. Once again, I want to thank all our employees around the world for safely operating our facilities during the pandemic and continuing to put our customers first, especially during the current global supply chain disruptions. Thank you for listening. We will now take questions.

Operator

Operator

[Operator Instructions] We’ll take our first question from Chris Moore of CJS Securities.

Chris Moore

Analyst

Hey, good morning. Thanks for taking, a couple of questions.

Alok Maskara

Management

Good morning, Chris.

Chris Moore

Analyst

Good morning.

Heather Harding

Management

Good morning, Chris.

Chris Moore

Analyst

Good morning. You had mentioned that you halted accepting new waters and new customers for certain products, while your ramp often suppliers there. Could you be maybe a little bit more specific on the products and really kind of what that competitive landscape looks like for those products?

Alok Maskara

Management

So let me start with a competitive landscape. I mean, these shortages and constraints are being felt by everybody in the competitive landscape. So we are not the only one facing these situations. These start-ups broadly are going to be into the core raw material that I talked about. So these are zirconium-based materials that we had highlighted in Q2, Chris, about the force majeure in one of our mines. Since then our magnesium supplier – one of the magnesium supplier has also declared force majeure and there’s been quite a few articles about the magnesium shortage starting with a province in China. And then carbon fiber has been in very short supply. So in all cases we have good relationship. We are managing to get products to satisfy current customers, but at the same time, we are unable to take new customers and specific new orders just so that we don’t disappoint anybody. So we have had to more allocation-based systems and prioritize serving our current customers.

Chris Moore

Analyst

Got it. I appreciate that. The hydrogen bulk gas transportation opportunity, in the slide, you talked about the market potentially reaching $200 million plus by 2025. There’s only a few players in this space. I know you’ve teamed up with Octopus Hydrogen. What’s a reasonable expectation in terms of market share in 2025? Could a third of that market be yours? Could it be more than that?

Alok Maskara

Management

I mean, it’s a very fast evolving market, but I think the numbers that you are looking at is probably in the right range. I mean, it’s a market new – we have been in this for a long period of time, especially given our P&G background. But I would say like, from our perspective, maybe 20% to 40% market share is a good assumption. There are other companies also focusing on it. What we are very excited about is our unique value proposition, where our cylinders can be filled faster. They can take higher temperature and we can provide overall a better value proposition to our customers. But I would say 20% to 40% market shares in the right range, Chris, but there’s a lot to be learned here, a lot to be proven.

Chris Moore

Analyst

Got it, appreciate. Last one from me. Just maybe a little bit more on the outlook for SoluMag given the steep increase in oil and natural gas prices, I’m not sure how much of a lag there is between demand and crisis improving. Just any kind of updated to us there.

Alok Maskara

Management

Sure. I mean, clearly oil over $70 and oil over $80 is good for our – many of our product lines, including the zirconium line and including SoluMag. And it is doing better than kind of what we would have expected from last year’s perspective. Yes, it’s still going to be in the least to say $6 million to $10 million range, this year it might be $6 million to $12 million range for now, given that the oil price spike is pretty recent and the activity is picking up. But yeah, we are definitely feeling good about it and it’s going to be a question of like how long are these prices sustain? But it’s good for SoluMag and we are definitely looking at high-end of previously communicated range, maybe a little higher than that as well.

Chris Moore

Analyst

Got it. I’ll jump back in line. Thank you.

Alok Maskara

Management

Thanks, Chris.

Operator

Operator

Our next question comes from Craig Irwin with ROTH Capital Partners.

Craig Irwin

Analyst · ROTH Capital Partners.

Hi. Good morning and Alok, I should say congratulations on a strong quarter in a difficult macro environment.

Alok Maskara

Management

Thanks, Craig.

Craig Irwin

Analyst · ROTH Capital Partners.

The biggest question you addressed thoroughly, right? The supply chain issues, particularly around magnesium. And it looks like you’re well positioned to continue the success of this quarter. So when we talked to investors the second question for this environment, the big question as they look for new ideas for their portfolios is companies that have a strong ability to pass-through costs, increases with price. So I know that you’ve been really focused on appropriately positioning the portfolio and fairly pricing things for your market. And you have consistently had a little bit of positive price over the last couple of years. Can you talk about conversations maybe that you’re having with customers about the necessity to pass-through increased costs? What is your comfort level that Luxfer should be able to sort of maintain a consistent level of profitability through pricing actions? Are there any concerns or maybe any points that gives you confidence that Luxfer will execute well on the pass-through of increased costs in this environment?

Alok Maskara

Management

Craig, I mean, clearly a topic that got a lot of attention on us, our customers, our investors. Historically, we have always talked about that cost versus inflation we are able to offset within a 90 day timeframe. This quarter you will notice we were unable to do that. Some of the cost increases in freight and magnesium were a factor of 2x or 3x in a short period of time. I think going back to our original philosophy of offsetting cost pressures or inflationary pressure within 90 days still holds true. I mean, in some cases it might extent to 120 days, but we are very confident that we’ll be able to pass-through prices. And that confidence is driven by contracts and quite a few cases which have riders and raw material, whether that’s carbon fiber or aluminum or magnesium, and also based on our customer base, which is facing inflation from all directions, not just from us. So we are very confident. This quarter we couldn’t do it, but that delay based on how steep some of the increases was, especially in places like magnesium.

Craig Irwin

Analyst · ROTH Capital Partners.

Understood, understood. My next question is about SCI. So, $7.9 million is a fantastic contribution. Obviously it’s tracking very well versus the original expectations and continues to gain a little bit of strength. Can you talk about what’s really working in there? I mean, is this the end market? Is this the product portfolio? Is it maybe product availability given that others are having issues with production? Any color you can offer would be great.

Alok Maskara

Management

Sure. I think you are right. I mean, it’s better than expected. Heather mentioned that in her comments. Support from the customer has been more valuable. We brought in and here is our expertise. We brought in better availability with our lean discipline and lean focused. And clearly the customers are very excited about it. In terms of product set, yes, it’s got some good product. That’s a good setup established base. And we have focus putting our customers first here and some of the integration work we have done, like putting them on our SAP system has also helped. There is clearly some market payments as well. In the hydrogen business, as you know, it has been growing very rapidly along with even the natural gas. So I think it’s all of those factors you mentioned, we are excited about giving more options to our customer with the spread out between the different production capabilities and different technology.

Craig Irwin

Analyst · ROTH Capital Partners.

Thank you. Then the last question, if I may. On previous calls, you’ve talked a little bit about your filtration product for the automotive catalysts space. Can you update us on the uptake with customers? And where we sit now in the adoption? Are we still in sort of very early innings there? Or the customers that will use your product, your new technology have selected it and are implementing it? And it’s the growth with those customers that that drives the revenue for the next few quarters.

Alok Maskara

Management

Yes. Craig, the gasoline particulate filtration product that we launched last year is doing quite well. We are still in the early innings as you called it. Some of the reason we did not call it out in this earnings call is given what’s happening in the automotive market. A lot of our customers are facing chip shortages and hence their overall order volume is lower than what we would have anticipated. But from penetration perspective and adoption perspective, we are very pleased and we are in the early stages. We are confident that the content per vehicle for Luxfer will go up and more than offset any decline in the internal combustion engine for the next three to five years.

Craig Irwin

Analyst · ROTH Capital Partners.

Excellent. Well, congratulations again on the quarter. I’ll hop back in the queue. Thanks.

Alok Maskara

Management

Thanks, Craig.

Operator

Operator

We’ll go next to Sarkis Sherbetchyan with B. Riley Securities.

Sarkis Sherbetchyan

Analyst

Hi. Good morning and thank you for taking my question here.

Alok Maskara

Management

Good morning, Sarkis.

Sarkis Sherbetchyan

Analyst

Alok, you mentioned – the press release mentioned adjusting inventory to maintain service levels. Are you kind of temporarily increasing working capital here to essentially secure supplies wherever you can? Is that kind of the read-through there?

Alok Maskara

Management

Heather, do you want to take that?

Heather Harding

Management

Yes. Good morning, Sarkis. Certainly on a lot of these key raw material input that Alok mentioned, yes, in some cases we have increased our working capital, certainly we’re still happy with the performance level and it’s well within the range that we’ve set for ourselves of 20% to 23%. But we have prioritized our customers first in this area. And so there have been instances where we are implementing some increases in inventory level, the key raw materials to make sure that we have availability and conserve customers in these critical applications.

Sarkis Sherbetchyan

Analyst

Yes. That makes sense. I guess my broader question unrelated to this would be going forward, would you think that some of these key materials deserve a larger capital allocation on the balance sheet in the event that some of these supply chain hiccups continue in future periods? What are your thoughts around that?

Alok Maskara

Management

Sure, I’ll take that one, Sarkis. Sarkis, I would say no, there's not going to be a structural change in a majority of our raw material sources tend to be local. We buy aluminum from Canada, magnesium in U.S. – for U.S. So most cases, I do think there'll be a temporary spike in inventory just because of the extended lead time and driven by just freight delays and availability. But in the long-term to Heather's earlier comment, we stick to the 20% to 23% affordable operating working capital as a percentage of sale. And we do things returning back to normal by second half of next year.

Sarkis Sherbetchyan

Analyst

That was very helpful. And I noticed, you speak to pricing actions offsetting the inflation in the medium to long-term. I think well, what also would be helpful is if you can maybe put a timeline for that. I think you mentioned typically it's a 90 day cycle might extend 120 days. I guess in this current environment, when do you think pricing starts to catch up to the inflation that you're experiencing to at least, be able to defend what you're typically able to earn?

Alok Maskara

Management

Sure. So I think right now, we have already done quite a few practicing changes. So for example, on freight, we have to implement surcharges right at the end of Q2. Even on magnesium and aluminum, based on significant changes in LME, we have done price changes. We hope to catch up by end of Q4 to pricing versus inflation. In some cases, the contract allows to do it early, some cases to do it late. If materials don't continue spiking, which is what our expectation is, seemed like we have reached more stable environment recently. And in some cases it's going down, I think by end of Q4, we should be caught up, Sarkis.

Sarkis Sherbetchyan

Analyst

Very helpful. And I think the final one that I had, you call out accelerating investments in automation and digitization. I think this is the question that I've kind of tried to ask in a few different calls. Obviously, the labor shortage might be accelerating this area, any more color or thoughts around how quickly you anticipate on improving automation, and digitization in the manufacturing floor. What the spend levels would be like any kind of incrementals there would be very helpful.

Alok Maskara

Management

Sure. So I think the two incrementals, we would look at, from a CapEx perspective, it will still be the same range we have talked about Sarkis, so those were baked. In this year is running a little bit low and that's because many of our even automation orders are being delayed, given the chip shortage and the supply chain issues. But I think we stick with a $10 million to $12 million in CapEx. On the overall R&D spend, we are right about 1%. I mean, our goal is to take that higher over the next three to five years. And we will be called at a number of two, five years from now. So you can see a small incremental increase on that, but these are not big numbers. A lot of this is going to be about redeploying our resources, our way from projects that are not working and businesses that are no longer with Luxfer, more towards automation and growth in businesses that are growing and delivering good value. So the CapEx would remain about 10 to 12, higher than this year because the sales just going to be artificially lower as we couldn't get many of the equipment that we ordered.

Sarkis Sherbetchyan

Analyst

That's very helpful. That's all for me. Thank you.

Alok Maskara

Management

Thanks Sarkis.

Operator

Operator

We'll go next to Phil Gibbs with KeyBanc Capital.

Alok Maskara

Management

Good morning, Phil.

Phil Gibbs

Analyst

Hey, good morning.

Heather Harding

Management

Good morning, Phil.

Phil Gibbs

Analyst

So I look on the magnesium side, you certainly source more locally versus China but there are challenges in both regions as well. I mean, you mentioned a force majeure and spot pricing for magnesium is spiked in recent weeks. Do you have contracts with your magnesium suppliers that subdue or temper the spot price increases? Do you have fixed price contracts, things of that nature that will cap potential momentum in the raw material?

Alok Maskara

Management

We do, Phil. So I think if I think about magnesium, our biggest focus is availability right now and making sure that we can serve customers demand. As we have previously disclosed for large defense contracts with typically do back to back pricing. So in terms of take the risk away from price inflation that we are facing like right now. So for large defense contracts, that's what we landed up doing. For more commercial magnesium, our contracts are not as long, but that’s still typically at least a year long type contract. So large defense will be big three type contracts and commercial would be like one year contracts. The price went through a peak it's come down since then. We are optimistic that trend will continue. We are actively working with our suppliers, both in the U.S. and in China to make sure there's appropriate materials. We always long on these materials so they can know we have material in inventory we have material on order. And the full impact of this will probably not be known until early Q1. When I think things will be more stable, but this has happened before. And as a business, we are used to managing through disruptions like this. This one is probably a little bit more severe than what we had faced in the past.

Phil Gibbs

Analyst

So assuming, let's just say, assume supply stays reasonably constrained for a few months, three months, maybe four or five months, however long it lasts. And you said, you're tempering your order book with some of your customers, particularly in the magnesium space. So is there a cap on how much volume you could ship in, in that business until these things alleviate, is it 80% of normal, 90% of normal? How do we think about that?

Alok Maskara

Management

Yes. Hard to give a number, Phil, because I think right now we have enough magnesium to satisfy customers’ need at least until the end of the year, clearly working through. And we usually buy only 90, 120 days in advance and clearly working through options for January, February. The orders and – new customers that we are not taking right now is like probably in the 10%, 20% range. So yes, maybe the 75%, 80% number is the right number, good change when Q1 comes around. Right now, there's still a lot of uncertainty, which is probably more unnerving, but we are serving our current customers and working pretty aggressively with all suppliers to ensure appropriate supply going into 2022 as well. In the broader magnesium market, Phil, we are a small user and we are very high end user. So compared to some of the other folks who use magnesium for aluminum and others, we are confident we'll be able to supply secure supply faster than they would.

Phil Gibbs

Analyst

Thanks Alok. And on the zirconium side, it sounds like those supply chain issues are on the mend. I mean, I think the impacts were felt in the third quarter for what – from what you said, maybe a little bit in the fourth, but supply there sounds like it's improving?

Alok Maskara

Management

Definitely improving. The core supplier, RTZ has restarted the mine, we have qualified alternate suppliers as well, and we have reformulated our processes to use some intermediary. We're not back to 100%, Phil, but the concern is much more muted right now compared to what it was at the end of Q2.

Phil Gibbs

Analyst

Okay. And then my last one is just on cash restructuring costs. What's the outlook for Q4 for cash restructuring. And what should we anticipate for 2022 because I know you said you had pushed them out. Thanks so much.

Heather Harding

Management

Yes. I'll take that one. So certainly, as we looked through our past restructuring needs, based on the situation, as you may recall, Philip's primarily French related and based on the status and the slow timeline and pace at which that is resolving, we've basically pushed most cash restructuring costs that we had planned for that into 2022. I believe our last guidance we had said it could be, I think it was $16 million to $20 million and that's primarily been pushed now into 2022. We'll have to look at that phasing as we get into the next cycle and see where we are with that case.

Phil Gibbs

Analyst

So $16 million to $20 million in total for 2022?

Heather Harding

Management

Yes, that was the amount that was left. And we have now pushed that out of this year. It would likely be next year, but again, we'll have to look at the specific quarterly phasing of that because I don't have better clarity on when that might get settled. Yes. I just know it's not likely to reoccur this year.

Phil Gibbs

Analyst

Okay. Thanks so much.

Alok Maskara

Management

Thanks Phil.

Operator

Operator

An encore recording of this conference call will be available in about two hours. Telephone numbers to access the recording will be available on the Luxfer website at www.luxfer.com. Thank you for joining us today. The next regularly scheduled call will be in February of 2022 when the company discusses its 2021 full year financial results. This ends Luxfer conference call.