Brian Purves
Analyst · Garo Norian of Palisade Capital
Thank you. Good morning, ladies and gentlemen and welcome to the Luxfer conference call on the fourth quarter 2015 and full year 2015. Turning to Slide 4. As previously forecast, the fourth quarter was consistent with the earlier quarters of the year, with little in the way of buoyancy, particularly in the top line. We experienced continued weak demand for automotive catalyst products and this was only partly offset by the first sales of our new SoluMag product. Overall, however, our cost-cutting actions meant that although during the last year profitability was slightly ahead of forecast. Our German operation continued to lose money during the quarter, but was closed on schedule at the end of the year. The important North American SCBA sector remains strong and the Luxfer Magtech acquisition continued to perform well, with $8 million of sales in the quarter. Adjusted fully diluted EPS of $0.27 was between $0.01 and $0.02 above consensus, although $0.04 below quarter four last year. And quarter four was again very good for cash flow. Turning to Slide 5. The North American market for self-contained breathing air kits is now strong again. We completed the rationalization of our alternative fuel business on the North American part of the alternative fuel business was profitable in the quarter. Since our last conference call, sterling has weakened. Overall, this is good news for us as it has improved the euro exchange rate. On file, this is still worse than 2 years ago, it is no longer the potential adverse in 2016 about 4 months ago, it looked like it could be. Sales of high-performance magnesium alloys continued to be lower than last year, with both military and civilian helicopter build or refurbishment rates haven’t been cut back. The situation however does appear to have bottomed out as stocks get back into balance. Using similar technology to the medical alloy, we have developed an absorbable alloy for the manufacture of down-well tools for the oil and gas industry. The advantage over traditional technology is cost saving. The alloy received its first commercial sales in quarter four and we have already received repeat orders. Turning to Slide 6. Over the year, sales revenue is down, but a very large element of this is the movement in exchange rates, with the U.S. dollar, euro and sterling having shifted quite a bit over the last 2 years, reducing U.S. dollar revenues by $25 million. The first full year of Luxfer Magtech added $15 million. But as an overall $25 million for the year, our alternative fuel revenues were down $12 million on prior year. The lower revenue, especially the lower aerospace alloys and catalyst sales could easily have driven profit down further, but cost saving actions meant that the EBITDA result is flat on prior year when adjusted for exchange rate movements. Cash flow is very much stronger than in 2014. On Slide 7, the cost savings mentioned previously included some progressive benefit of our alternative fuel rationalization on North American business, but also other overhead reductions, particularly in the cylinders and chemicals businesses. As we predicted, the North American SCBA sector bounced back strongly from the problems of 2014 being up by some 20% on prior year even though not all manufacturers received their new approvals. The Luxfer Magtech acquisition completed mid-2014 has performed to expectations and the business is now working on several exciting growth opportunities, including geographic expansion. We completed our alternative fuel rationalization program on time and to budget. On the foreign exchange rate movements, our profitability is very similar to prior years. Turning to Slide 8, our program to rationalize our alternative fuel facilities was completed as planned at the end of 2015. Poor though the market was around the end of 2014, it deteriorated further during the year as the oil price fell. We remain convinced that our decision to downsize our alternative fuel exposure was the right action at the right time. In the light of the continuing poor outlook for some sections of the market, such as bulk gas containment, we have taken quite a hefty impairment charge against our alternative fuel assets. This does not mean that we have given up on getting value for them at some point. The overall cash cost of the rationalization, mainly for severance payments, is close to the forecast given earlier this year. Our remaining alternative fuel business is focused on one dedicated plant in Calgary, producing the type 3 metal line cylinders, part of our riverside facility producing type 4 polymer line cylinders. European bus systems are being assembled at our Nottingham aluminum plant and our GTM JV has been refocused onto smaller towable gas transport modules and especially on hydrogen transport modules and fuel cells. I am pleased to confirm that the restructured alternative fuel business is profitable as we enter 2016. The financial return from this sector is likely to remain below what we would want until the price of oil recovers, but it is no longer a drain on the group. Slide 9, following consultation, we agreed with the trustees of our main UK defined benefit plan that the plan would close to future accrual from this coming April. In the future we will also use CPI, the UK government’s preferred measure of inflation, to inflate pensions and payment. CPI is typically around 0.75% lower than the now discredited RPI. These changes have a material beneficial impact on the calculation of the actuarial deficit, which from the trustees’ point of view makes the position of the plant more secure. The $18 million benefit, as shown on the quarter four result and reduces the long-term deficit that we have to finance by the same amount. Slide 10, while we bought just under $2 million worth of shares in quarter two, Q2 inside information being around, we made no further purchases in quarter three or quarter four. Since year enter, where we opted back in the market of a purchase of about $6 million worth of shares. We are now in the process of pursuing Molycorp Canada in the UK Intellectual Property Court over an infringement of our G4 process patent. Unfortunately, as with most court processes, we are unlikely to see a quick resolution. On Slide 11, the now redundant Redditch site once home to BA Tubes Limited, which we discovered after we acquired it in 1996, was contaminated has been a perennial item on our list of environmental issues. After extended negotiations, we have now sold the property to a specialist buyer who will remediate the land and sell it on for development. The consideration of $3 million now received is approximately $2 million over book value and we have recorded the sales the post balance sheet event. Turning to the revenue slides on Slide 12, stripping out last year’s remaining surcharge and also exchange rate movements and the Luxfer Magtech acquisition, underlying sales are down in the quarter by 11.6%. The main issue in quarter four, as in quarter three was a drop in the sales of automotive catalyst material. While some of this can be attributed to the market, a slowdown in China and the problems of Volkswagen Group, we have recognized that we have lost market share and we are now taking steps to recover that, including working on mix generation product. Slide 13 on cylinders, after adjusting for exchange rate movements, the cylinder business was 8.5% down on prior year. By the fourth quarter of 2014, the North American SCBA market had partly recovered, so the main difference is a shortfall in our alternative fuel revenues. Sales of medical cylinders, particularly in Europe however, were also lower and Superform had lower tooling sales this time last year, when they were unusually high. Slide 14 and our strategic growth projects. While magnesium alloys for civil aircraft, most of our effort is now being directed towards expanding our capabilities to provide the alloy in whatever form the industry needs to make switching to our material both easy and cost effective. The so called buy-to-fly ratio has become increasingly important, as fuel costs for airlines have fallen. We were delighted last week to be able, for the first time to name our biotechnology partner for the bio-absorbable alloy. The German headquartered BIOTRONIK is one of the world’s leading manufacturers of cardio and endovascular implants. We very much hope that they have agreement that we can name them is a saying that they are getting close to product launch of this important product for us. On medical oxygen delivery systems modifications to our innovative in-house system, now branded IOS and incorporating our SmartFlow regulator and designed for frail-category home oxygen therapy patients have been completed and the device is again undergoing testing. We anticipate IOS as this is now called being on sale in the second half of this year. While our major focus remains on high-pressure oxygen cylinders, we have noted growth in sales of portable oxygen concentrators, or POCs. These devices are more expensive than cylinders and requiring batteries heavier, but they do not require refilling. Accordingly, we were pleased to reach agreement with Precision Medical, a Pennsylvania-based leading medical equipment supplier to manufacture a Luxfer branded POC for sale in several European markets. The POC will be sold alongside our cylinders and IOS package in the name to the same customers. Alternative fuel, although the CNG market is depressed, it is important that we maintain a product advantage to preserve our smaller scale business. We have been working on our next generation of Type 4 cylinder, which has a unique interface between the liner and the balls and is much lighter than even our own current range. This product is now available, but will be formally launched in May. Although the CNG market remains problematic, the use of hydrogen is now growing rapidly. I hope some of you spotted that several ZeroSet fuel cell pods manufactured by our Luxfer GTM joint venture provided power for the fan village at the Super Bowl last month. And now, Andy Beaden will take you through some of the detail on the quarter three slides.