R. Stewart Ewing
Analyst · Nomura Securities
Thank you, Glen. I'll spend the next few minutes reviewing some of the financial highlights for the fourth quarter, and then I'll provide an overview of the guidance that we included in our earnings release issued earlier this afternoon. Now turning to Slide 10. First, in order to provide more relevant comparisons, I'll be reviewing the financial results on a pro forma basis as if Qwest and Savvis were fully included in the results for all periods. As you can see, we generated strong operating revenues and solid cash flows during the fourth quarter. For fourth quarter 2011, operating revenues were $4.653 billion on a consolidated basis, slightly above the top end of our guidance for the quarter, representing a 3.2% decline from pro forma fourth quarter 2010 operating revenues and a sequential increase of 0.4% compared to the prior quarter. Strategic revenues grew 4.7% to $2 billion, while our legacy revenues for fourth quarter were $2.2 billion, a decrease of 9.5% from pro forma fourth quarter a year ago. On a full year basis, operating revenues declined 3.8%, which was a little better than an anticipated 4% year-over-year decline and a nice improvement over the approximately 5.6% decline in pro forma operating revenues for 2010. You will recall when we reported earnings last quarter, we outlined and spoke about adjusted diluted earnings per share, similar to what other companies in our industry have done following a major acquisition. Adjusted diluted EPS excludes acquisition integration costs and any other special items that may occur during a given quarter. It also excludes the noncash impact of the amortization of intangibles and the noncash impact to interest expense of the assignment of fair value to debt outstanding from the application of business combination accounting rules to recent acquisitions. Adjusted diluted earnings per share were $0.55 for the fourth quarter. Excluding a $30 million additional noncash employee benefit cost due to changes in the discount rate and actuarial assumptions, the adjusted diluted EPS was $0.58 for the quarter. Total cash operating expenses increased 1% in fourth quarter 2011 compared to pro forma fourth quarter a year ago, with the synergy achievement and any other cost reductions offset by additional noncash employee benefit cost driven by the reduction of the discount rate and the actuarial assumptions and higher-than-anticipated network expenses and customer premise equipment cost that more than offset lower salaries and wages, marketing and advertising expenses. We generated solid operating cash flow of approximately $1.85 billion for the fourth quarter, especially if you consider that we incurred the approximately $60 million of higher-than-anticipated operating expenses during the quarter. Additionally, we achieved free cash flow, which is defined as operating cash flow less cash paid for taxes, interest and capital expenditures and additional adjustments to other income, of $515 million during the quarter. Our strong cash flows continue to provide us the financial strength and flexibility we need to capitalize on opportunities and meet the challenges that arise and take advantage of opportunities that arise to drive long-term shareholder value. Now turning to Slide 11. I'll begin the operating segment discussions today with our Regional Markets Group. Further, I want to remind you that we will be providing revised pro forma segment financials when we report first quarter 2012 results, reflecting the transfer of legacy Qwest data centers to the Savvis operating group, which we accomplished as of the first of the year. Regional Markets Group generated $2.24 billion in operating revenues, which represents a decrease of 3.9% over pro forma fourth quarter a year ago. Strategic revenues grew to $761 million in the quarter, up 5.8% pro forma year-over-year. Legacy services revenues for the segment declined $136 million or 8.6% from pro forma fourth quarter 2010. Our total segment expenses in RMG declined 2.7% to $991 million from pro forma fourth quarter 2010. Our expense reductions for the fourth quarter compared to previous year were mainly driven by synergy achievements, which were partially offset by costs related to the rollout of our Prism TV product in additional markets during the year. Moving to Slide 12. Our Business Markets Group generated $947 million in operating revenues during the fourth quarter, which represented a decrease of 3.3% from pro forma fourth quarter 2010. Excluding the decline in data integration revenues, the total percentage decline for the quarter was only 1.2%. Fourth quarter strategic revenues increased by $12 million or 2.8% to $446 million from pro forma fourth quarter 2010, driven primarily by Ethernet and MPLS services. Excluding low-speed private line, strategic revenue grew 7.8% from the year ago period. Legacy revenue for BMG declined from fourth quarter 2010 by $22 million, primarily due to ongoing migrations of customer acquisitions, applications from legacy, LAN and voice products to next-generation IP and Ethernet solutions. While data integration revenues decreased $22 million or 12.7% due to the unusually higher results for fourth quarter 2010. Our total segment expenses in BMG increased by 1.7% to $587 million from pro forma fourth quarter 2010 as we experienced higher expenses related to CPE and an increase in the number of sales professionals. Moving to Slide 13. Our Wholesale Markets Group generated $955 million in operating revenues, a decrease of 4% from pro forma fourth quarter 2010 as access in long-distance revenues continue to decline, but were partially offset by wireless carrier bandwidth expansion during the quarter. Strategic revenues for WMG grew 5.4% to $564 million from fourth quarter 2010, primarily driven by continued strong data transport demand from wireless providers. Our legacy revenues declined by about 15% to $390 million. Now turning to Slide 14, in our Savvis segment. Savvis generated $260 million in operating revenues, representing an increase of 3.6% from pro forma fourth quarter revenues of $251 million. This growth comes primarily from year-over-year increases of 12% in managed hosting and cloud services revenues with total hosting year-over-year growth of 7% and a slight decline in network services. Savvis' operating expenses were $208 million in the fourth quarter compared to $193 million in pro forma fourth quarter 2010. This increase of 7.8% is driven by additional cost to support revenue growth across staffing, expansion of data centers, third-party services and sales and marketing. As shown on Slide 15, we continue to meet our integration objectives and achieve all our synergy targets as we realize the benefits of the Embarq, Qwest and Savvis acquisitions. We completed the integration of Embarq during the fourth quarter and achieved our targeted annual run rate synergies of $375 million. With respect to Qwest, we ended 2011, having achieved an annual operating expense synergy run rate of approximately $235 million or about $35 million better than our expected year-end 2011 exit run rate, primarily due to achieving certain synergies earlier than anticipated. In total, we expect to achieve an annual operating expense synergy run rate of $575 million from the Qwest acquisition and anticipate reaching that synergy target over the next 2 to 4 years. During the fourth quarter, we successfully completed the conversion of the Qwest financial and HR systems as we had planned and previously discussed with you. Slide 16 addresses our 2012 guidance. For first quarter 2012, CenturyLink projects total revenues of $4.58 billion to $4.64 billion and operating cash flow between $1.84 billion and $1.90 billion. Adjusted diluted EPS is expected to be $0.57 to $0.63 per share. For full year 2012, CenturyLink expects operating revenues of $18.2 billion to $18.4 billion, representing an annual decline of 1.5% to 2.5% from 2011. Continued successful execution of our local operating model, further investment in broadband and IPTV video and key initiatives in the business markets and managed services areas will fuel further revenue improvement in 2012. We estimate operating cash flow of $7.4 billion to $7.6 billion and adjusted diluted EPS to be in the range of $2.25 to $2.45. We expect to generate free cash flow of $3.2 billion to $3.4 billion. Capital expenditures are expected to be slightly below 2011 and range from $2.6 billion to $2.8 billion, excluding approximately $100 million of integration-related capital. To elaborate on the expense portion of our full year 2012 guidance, we continue to take costs out of our business through synergies and other incremental expense cuts. At the same time, we're investing both capital and operating dollars in other growth areas of the business. While this causes our expense trends to not reflect the cost management that we've undertaken, we believe these investments are important to achieve our fundamental goal, which is profitable top line growth. Our 2012 EBITDA expectations reflect the combination of factors: Incremental synergy achievement of $250 million in 2012; ongoing cost management initiatives aimed at streamlining processes and rightsizing our support structure; continuing disciplined investments in strategic growth initiatives, including IPTV expansion, fiber-to-the-node and fiber-to-the-tower footprint expansion; business markets growth initiatives and hosting and managed services. We expect to exit the year with $450 million in run rate synergies from the Qwest acquisition on the path to deliver the full $575 million we have previously communicated. That concludes our prepared remarks, so at this time, I'll ask the operator to provide instructions for the Q&A portion of the call.