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LTC Properties, Inc. (LTC)

Q3 2015 Earnings Call· Tue, Nov 3, 2015

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Transcript

Operator

Operator

Good day, and welcome to the LTC Properties Inc. 3Q '15 Analyst and Investor Call and Webcast. All participants will be in listen-only mode. [Operator Instructions] After today's presentation there will be an opportunity to ask questions. [Operator Instructions] Before management begins its presentation, please note that today's comments including the question-and-answer session may include forward-looking statements, subject to risks and uncertainties that may cause actual results and events to differ materially. These risks and uncertainties are detailed in LTC Properties’ filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission from time-to-time including the Company's most recent 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2014. Please also note this event is being recorded. I would now like to turn the conference over to Ms. Wendy Simpson, Chairman, CEO, and President. Please go ahead.

Wendy Simpson

Analyst

Thank you, Kate. Good morning everyone and thank you for joining us today. I'm very pleased to be able to report another active quarter for 2015 and the beginnings of an active fourth quarter. Year-to-date, we have underwritten 90.5 million in new construction and expansion projects, 75.7 million of that amount is projected to begin generating lease revenue in 2016 and 14.8 million in 2017. Year-to-date we have completed sale leaseback transactions totaling 179.4 million with lease rates between 6.5% and 10.3%. Year-to-date we have underwritten loan originations of 91 million of which 59 million has been funded. Year-to-date we have invested 20.1 million in a joint venture at a 15% preferred return, currently paying 5% cash with 10% deferred. Year-to-date we have invested 6.1 million in improvement in expansion projects at portfolio properties at lease rate between 6.8% and 19%. The 1st of October we increased our monthly dividend from $0.17 to $0.18 per month. Yesterday, we announced the expansion of our unsecured line of credit to 600 million and welcomed two new banks, Citizen's Bank and Mizuho into the line. Pam did a great job on this and she’ll have additional comments about the extended line and our comfortable liquidity and investment grade worthy financial ratios. Pam will also talk about locking rate on 100 million of senior unsecured notes and how those proceeds will be put to productive use. Subsequent to the quarter and disclosed in our press release, we have closed on additional transactions and I will not at this point feel Clint’s opportunity to talk about them during his presentation. After comments from Pam Kessler, our Executive Vice President and CFO, and Clint Malin, our Executive Vice President and CIO, I look forward to giving guidance for full 2015. At this time, I'll turn the call over to Pam.

Pam Kessler

Analyst

Thank you, Wendy. Normalized FFO increased 18.2% for the third quarter of 2015 to 26.6 million, or $0.73 on a fully diluted per share basis from 22.5 million, or $0.64 on a fully diluted share a year ago. Normalized results for the quarter exclude 537,000 of onetime costs associated with the acquisition of 142 million 10-property senior housing portfolio that we discussed last quarter. Revenues for the quarter increased 18.3%, or 5.4 million year-over-year. The improvement primarily reflects acquisitions, completed development and capital improvement projects, new leases and lease amendments, as well as increase in interest income from mortgage loans resulting from loan originations and the amendment to the Michigan loan, partially offset by a reduction in revenue from properties that were sold at the end of 2014. Third quarter interest expense was 4.3 million, an increase of 1.1 million over the comparable of 2014 quarter due primarily to greater utilization of our line of credit to fund investments and development, lower capitalized interest and the sale of senior unsecured notes. During the third quarter of 2015, we incurred acquisition cost of 539,000 compared to 2,000 incurred during the third quarter of 2014. As previously discussed 537,000 of the acquisition cost incurred in the third quarter of 2015 associated with the 142 million portfolio acquisition and has been added back to calculate normalized FFO. General and administrative expenses were 3.7 million, or 867,000 higher this quarter compared with the year ago, due to increased staffing and other costs associated with more investment activity, higher restricted stock vesting expense, and certain non-recurring expenditures. During the quarter, we recognized 674,000 in income from an unconsolidated joint venture related to a preferred equity investment made at the end of the first quarter of this year. During the quarter, we stopped deferring the non-cash…

Clint Malin

Analyst

Thank you, Pam. Good morning everyone and thank you for joining us today. As Pam just outlined following our $142 million portfolio investment in the third quarter with Senior Lifestyle we continued an active quarter of investments. The two land acquisitions Pam mentioned were sourced through our exclusive development pipeline agreement with Anthem Memory Care, which brings to eight, the number of properties on our master lease with Anthem. Four of these properties are operational and the other four are in various stages of construction. We acquired a Memory Care property that Pam mentioned that was recently constructed in Jacksonville Florida and leased it to an affiliate of Clarity Pointe which brings a new relationship to our portfolio. We entered into an exclusive development and takeout financing agreement with Clarity Pointe as part of this initial acquisition. The takeout financing with this agreement is at a pre-determined price and payable upon issuance of a certificate of occupancy and a healthcare license for projects preapproved by us. Clarity Pointe relationship provides a good balance on our development and financing program by reducing construction risk exposure to LTC, while continuing to add new assets to our portfolio. Our close relationship with Prestige Healthcare sourced the two skilled nursing investments initiatives. During a meeting with Fundamental earlier this year, we discussed a mutual interest in the growing need for behavioral healthcare services to the elderly and others. Our mutual interests and close relationship with Fundamental sourced our first behavioral healthcare hospital investment, which is located in Las Vegas, Nevada. Behavioral healthcare is a segment of a needs driven healthcare delivery system, that continues to gain our interest. This investment with Fundamental provides us with an opportunity to make an initial investment in the space with an existing partner in a market where Fundamental…

Wendy Simpson

Analyst

Thank you, Clint. I'm going to ask Pam to comment on our liquidity and what we have in our plans on this additional growth, I just want to say that during Pam's comments when she talked about the senior unsecured note she gave the maturity date of a specific date, we amortize and we pay down lease notes as they go along. So it's not a wall funding date that Pam always has the final maturity date and that's how she looks at it but that's not how we negotiate these payments. So I just want to point that out. Pam, do you want to talk about other liquidity?

Pam Kessler

Analyst

Sure, and thank you. LTC is in an enviable position of having low leverage and ample liquidity to fund our current growth trajectory. We currently have 412.5 million of availability under our unsecured line of credit. Additionally, we have 33 million of unsecured debt availability under our Prudential shelf. We also have 200 million available under our ATM program and 575 million available under our shelf registration statement. At the end of the quarter, LTC's investment-grade metrics remain one of the best in the healthcare universe with debt-to-trailing 12-month normalized EBITDA of 4.4 times, a normalized trailing 12-month fixed charge coverage ratio of 5.9 times, and debt-to-enterprise value of 25.1%. I'll now turn the call back over to Wendy for closing remarks.

Wendy Simpson

Analyst

Thank you, Pam. Last quarter, I've said that we had a high probability to invest and underwrite over 400 million of 2015 transactions and I believe we will achieve that. We've often stated that the sale leaseback opportunities are bumpy in nature and this year we've seen opportunities that have executed on accretive transactions, while still underwriting development opportunities that will additionally fuel our FFO, FAD growth in future years. As Pam outlined, we've secured the liquidity needed to complete our 2015 growth as we now project. Additionally, with our ATM and our expanded bank line, we have access to liquidity for additional growth in 2016, if and when opportunities arise. I continue to believe that the 30/70 debt-to-enterprise value capitalization is not a bright line limit, but is a point of reference. We'll have to carefully evaluate our pipeline for 2016 as we approach the New Year. Back of the envelope if we use debt to fund all of our currently outstanding commitments in 2016 and spend absolutely no other growth capital, we would have a 29:71 debt-to-enterprise ratio at the end of 2016 without assuming an increase in our stock price. As a team we could not be more pleased with our 2015 year and with the plans we already have in place for 2016. At this time, I'm increasing FFO guidance by $0.02 to a range of $2.76 to $2.78. This represents an increase of $0.19 from our first fiscal 2015 guidance and does include the full impact of the $100 million draw of the senior unsecured notes that we’ll place later this month. I know we’ll have a chance to meet with some of you at the upcoming NAREIT Conference in Las Vegas, but if we do not meet you before year-end, I again look forward to talking to you early in 2016. Thank you for dialing in. And I'll now open the call to questions.

Operator

Operator

We’ll now begin the question-and-answer session. [Operator Instructions] The first question comes from Jordan Sadler of KeyBanc Capital Markets. Please go ahead.

Jordan Sadler

Analyst

I guess I would like to finish off -- sorry start off where you guys finished off, which was on guidance. If you could just sort of walk us through what maybe some of the puts and takes might sequentially Pam or Wendy I guess the $0.71 that’s in at the midpoint of guidance versus sort of the 73 normalized that you did this quarter. I mean I understand you have this loan closing, but obviously you closed quite a few of investments during the quarter, around mid-quarter, so I feel like you have this upward momentum. Anything else we’re missing?

Pam Kessler

Analyst

Jordan this is Pam. Guidance includes every investment that we have announced as of today so it includes all the 10-property portfolio and Wisconsin, it includes the development projects that are projected to come on line and all the loans that we have originated and funded.

Jordan Sadler

Analyst

Right, and [Multiple Speakers].

Pam Kessler

Analyst

No additional investments are assumed.

Jordan Sadler

Analyst

The only real drag sequentially is the additional 100 million of notes that you'll be taking down?

Pam Kessler

Analyst

Exactly yes, yes.

Jordan Sadler

Analyst

Right.

Pam Kessler

Analyst

And some of the investments if you look at the slides on Page 6 I am sorry 7 of the supplemental that gives an indication of when we expect to fund some of the developments. So if your model is coming up not in the range that we project, it maybe that you're being aggressive on fundings.

Jordan Sadler

Analyst

And it does not include to be clear the 23 million that Clint mentioned of SNFs that are expected to close by year-end right?

Pam Kessler

Analyst

Correct.

Jordan Sadler

Analyst

And then just last, come back to leverage the 30:70, 29:71 numbers are helpful. Do you have those estimates on a debt-to-EBITDA basis? I thought I heard year-end ’16 but I might have misheard that Wendy when you were talking about the 29:71 so that was ’15 or ’16? But the few that are debt-to-EBITDA base that would be helpful?

Wendy Simpson

Analyst

It's ’16, the 29:71 was in the end of ’16. And that debt-to-normalized EBITDA would be around five times or slightly elder.

Jordan Sadler

Analyst

And is there a limit on the debt-to-EBITDA basis that you guys are targeting at this either lightly or firmly at this point?

Wendy Simpson

Analyst

The targeting is around five times it is kind of when you are at the 70:30 or around five times, at least in our projections that’s how it shakes out.

Jordan Sadler

Analyst

And then lastly I was just looking at one of your SNFs Slinger sequentially saw occupancy slip from 70 to 61 and any sort of color there that you might offer?

Clint Malin

Analyst

Sure Jordan this is Clint. That’s actually the property that I've referenced in my prepared remarks, where Fundamental has secured a contract with United Healthcare that they think is really going to drive the occupancy at that community.

Operator

Operator

The next question comes from Paul Morgan of Canaccord. Please go ahead.

Paul Morgan

Analyst

May be you could talk a little bit about your pipeline in terms of the mix. May be first of all I guess the share of it that is with your existing operators versus maybe potentially you could be seeing investment opportunities with other operators that might be a result of deals from other REITs or other investors who are more constrained than you are? And then I guess second just in terms of the mix between private pay and SNFs and other?

Clint Malin

Analyst

Sure Paul, I can answer that. This is Clint. Right now in our pipeline, everything right now is sourced through existing relationships that we have in the portfolio and to break that down right now are in property type 45% of that would be memory care, 26% would be AL memory care and 29% would be skilled nursing. And then breaking it down 65% would be acquisitions, 25% would be loans -- I'm sorry 25% would be development and 10% would be loans.

Paul Morgan

Analyst

So, does that mean that -- I mean how should we think about behavioral facility, I mean, it sounds like there is none of that in your pipeline, but I know you are interested in the segment, I mean how should we think of there being a sense for more activity like that next year? Just nothing that has kind of gotten to you qualified as officially being in your pipeline here?

Clint Malin

Analyst

It's something that we have leased as I mentioned in my prepared remarks, and that's interesting for us, we've looked at its fragmented market to needs driven it just happened that we were at a meeting with Fundamental and talking about our interest as I mentioned and they have a unique opportunity in the Las Vegas market that they have a large presence in that market it fit into an existing master lease so that was very much an opportunistic investment that we ran across, I think it's something we're continuing to explore and find out more about but it's something that definitely has interest to us in pursuing that space.

Wendy Simpson

Analyst

Fundamental first started talking to us about this probably two or three year ago, where they got into the Geri-psych are, they've opened a Geri-psych hospital in New Mexico which they I think either renovated or built from scratch. So, they had already advanced their interest in the Geri-psych program and have the opportunity and have hired some executives with background in psychiatric services in Nevada and we'll be using those people to help build out a platform for themselves. We're looking at this opportunity the same way we looked at the memory care opportunity, we're looking for operators who are just beginning to develop a platform we've had the great opportunity to meet with a couple of newer companies that are forming, there's lot of venture capital behind these companies. Clint and Brent and I went out there and looked at a standalone property in the City of Chicago. So we're approaching this the same way we approach the memory care as looking for operators who already have a platform, have a knowledge of the business and are building a business and there are some new assets out there that we think will enhance our portfolio if we decide to go into this, one of the great things about the opportunity that Fundamental has given us is if is this standalone hospital will have its own standalone financials, we will have an opportunity to look at the various programs that can be provided within the facility, the margins that can be provided within the facility and use that as a guideline as we look at more opportunities in this asset class.

Paul Morgan

Analyst

And then just my other question is obviously a lot of banks about the supply side in the context of assisted living in particular, your coverage was stable but maybe you can provide a little color about what your operators are seeing, and what you are seeing within your portfolio and then in terms of development funding both for assisted and memory care, is it changing your appetite or kind of the development component of your investment as you look into next year?

Clint Malin

Analyst

Sure this is Cling, as it relates to -- we're very cognoscente obviously of supply and what's happening and we look at it market-by-market and we stay in touch closely with our operating partners, and where they are at and that's one of the reasons in my prepared remarks, I mentioned about our Denver properties. We have not seen any challenges with Anthem in those properties we have an AL memory care property in Wichita with Oxford that's maintained still at 100% occupancy. So with the properties we have with the exception of the one in Slinger which I discussed, we really have everything at that or ahead of projections on the development side. We've spent a lot of times at sourcing and identifying relationships with operating companies to source these developed projects and at this point, probably we have identified those relationships, and we're going to be to the extent we grow in development it is going to be within those relationships, most likely and on a -- it is going to be a very disciplined approach that we've done so far and we're not getting ahead of ourselves, but we do recognize in certain markets there could be the potential for oversupply, I think you guys talked about on a nationwide basis but there are certain markets where there are still opportunities and there is other markets where there is over building.

Operator

Operator

The next question is from Michael Carroll of RBC Capital Markets. Please go ahead.

Michael Carroll

Analyst

Wendy, can you talk a little bit about on LTC's investment activity and why it has accelerated this year? is management doing something different and do you think this type of activity can continue into 2016?

Wendy Simpson

Analyst

Well Clint has finally realized that his job depends on doing acquisitions now. We just had opportunities as I said. It's what opportunities have been presented to us, what we've been able to go out and source our -- we really make it clear so our operators that we want to help them grow, and as you look at most of our activity this year, they've been with operators who have experience with us in the past. Do I think we can do it in 2016? As I sit here right now I don't see the pipeline in 2016. And we really run this business to be able to not have to do anything. So if the opportunities aren't there in 2016 for additional growth. As I said in my beginning remarks we already have growth booked on our balance sheet that will start providing revenue in 2017 just from our development activities, and these things that we’re doing later in this year. So I don't predict that we’re going to do another 400 million or anywhere near that for 2016 until we see our pipeline improve or increase during the year. And because I don't see it right now, I don't see a huge need to go out and give additional liquidity, but if the need arises I think we have the liquidity and the opportunity to get the capital that we need.

Michael Carroll

Analyst

And then how do you think about the same concentration with Senior Lifestyle and Prestige. Are you hesitant to expand those tenants going forward?

Wendy Simpson

Analyst

Well in the Prestige area specifically I think they're fantastic operators and they have such a great growth trajectory, not our problem. But what we look at is the fact that they have to be booked at loans. And we’re very concerned not concerned but aware of loans to equity investments to be an equity REIT. So a huge investment in Michigan with Prestige an additional huge investment would probably not be something that we could easily do. And relative to Senior Lifestyle, they're going to be diluted as we get more activity and book some more of our development projects. So I'm not concerned with Senior Lifestyles right now.

Operator

Operator

The next question is from Rich Anderson of Mizuho Securities. Please go ahead.

Rich Anderson

Analyst

Do you remember an estimate on how initially dilutive your development business is I realize it is long-term it's not, but there is some drag at the start, is that not correct?

Wendy Simpson

Analyst

Yes that’s correct Rich. I have not quantified it, but yes I mean intuitively for 18 months you're putting out cash and you're not getting a return on it until so you vote so from a top-line earnings yes, yes.

Rich Anderson

Analyst

And in terms of like a broad industry kind of perspective, we've been doing a lot of work on this bundling -- with these pilot program CMS is undertaking, a lot of it aimed at obviously reducing cost but in some ways reducing admissions to skilled nursing facilities and other post-acute facilities. I am wondering to what degree that concerns you about your business. And if any of your operators are in the early stages of adjusting to maybe what could be a new paradigm in their space?

Clint Malin

Analyst

Sure and Rich this is Clint. It's something we’re always cognoscente of, and I think that what the alternate payor system is I mean that is uncertain I mean I think it is obviously going to be driven towards efficiencies and value-add into the system. And so what we’re doing in partnering with our skilled nursing providers is working with those regionally based providers that understand their markets that are investing in human capital and technology to become more efficient, because they know it's going to be, it's going to further overtime drive to results oriented performance. So I think the system is going to change overtime, but the question is what will it change to? Who becomes the bundler? How does that get allocated? But we do think that the regional based providers are the ones that can become connected in their marketplaces and participate with those health systems to be that low cost provider.

Rich Anderson

Analyst

And Wendy it sounds like well not your biases towards development versus acquisition, but you don't know what your pipeline will look like next year. But just if you had a full range of menu available to you, do you have any specific bias as it relates to acquisitions versus development versus debt financings although it sounds like the latter you probably don't want to go down the road too much more. Any comment on that?

Wendy Simpson

Analyst

I think I’d prefer like 60% sale leasebacks to 40% development. I would like to see more development opportunities in the skilled nursing area, because I think that’s a group of assets that really needs some new stuff being built. And I think we’re talking to a couple of people about doing some replacement projects or de novo projects but not far enough along the line. So, I really would like to see because we have done so much development in the last couple of years and I'm not to be able to say we'll start development if we see over development and prices going so high. And so, it would be great if we had much more opportunity in the sell leaseback area.

Rich Anderson

Analyst

And then last question, you mentioned you do all your development funding with debt next year you get to 29% leverage is there -- and I understand also it's not what I understand but it is kind of a point of reference, but is there a trigger point as you are approaching 30 like, do you start to say well we are at 24-25 of it because you don't want to make a rash decision, at the 11th hour you are probably gradually approaching, so is 25 kind of and just so you can get overly simplistic there but is 25 the number where you start to say okay, let’s start to strategize because we might have more stuff coming and we should start thinking about some type of equity raise because it is getting closer, is that kind of how you think about it or is it just too simple not as simple as that?

Wendy Simpson

Analyst

No, no, no. That's how we start thinking about it, and then we look at where our stock price is and whether the next opportunity to buy is equity worthy as opposed to debt worthy and look at recent deals that have been done and how much of a discount they have taken and how oversubscribed they are the whole thing. We have danced around doing additional opportunistic equity in the last several weeks, last several months because we are at a point where I think if we had a big pipeline, we might look at doing equity. So, it is so at this point that we’d looked at it but there has to be so much accretive investments in front of us for us to do it right now or any given time but it is...

Rich Anderson

Analyst

Understood. [Multiple Speakers]

Wendy Simpson

Analyst

And we've got this nice little ATM thing out there.

Rich Anderson

Analyst

And what about asset sales?

Wendy Simpson

Analyst

We're looking at, there is a few assets in our portfolio that we're looking at and discussing with -- our first option is to go to the operator, and say, hi, how would you like an opportunity to really be the owner of this property? And so there are a few opts and I don't know Clint wants to talk about any specifically there is a…

Clint Malin

Analyst

There is a handful that we're working on, things that we're having discussions with existing tenants and so I think that you will probably see in '16, starting to recycle capital on a few one-off assets here and there.

Wendy Simpson

Analyst

Yes, we've got a couple of assets that either have just one operator or an operator that has a couple of assets and while they're covering well and provide good cash flow it is that type of asset that the operator might be able to get HUD financing for and so we're looking at a few assets to turn into cash.

Operator

Operator

[Operator Instructions] The next question is from Daniel Bernstein of Stifel. Please go ahead.

Daniel Bernstein

Analyst

So I also wanted to ask on construction, we've heard construction cost rising. Have you seen any impact on your IORs or thoughts about construction given increasing construction cost is there going to be a limit on how much construction you or your partners want to do or is that overwhelmed by other factors at this point?

Clint Malin

Analyst

Hi Dan this is Clint. Good question, we are definitely seeing that whether it's land, labor materials. We are seeing a rise in prices it depends on what markets but it still in a number of the projects we're looking at, and they still make sense but it is something we're definitely seeing and the question is, how much in certain markets is it increasing, but that's pretty consistent to a certain extent there is definitely an uptick in construction costs.

Daniel Bernstein

Analyst

And then in terms of the pipeline and what assets you are seeing out there we have heard a little bit more about re-trading of assets big deals that might have fallen through or are you seeing some more opportunities that have in the pipeline and again at a very preliminary obviously for '16 but anymore opportunities that might have slipped through the fingers of other buyers in the last couple of months or quarters that maybe now coming back to you?

Clint Malin

Analyst

We have definitely seen and heard of deals that have fallen out, things that we've looked at and -- or things that then subsequently fallen out or things that we've seen in the year ago or so that have comeback around I think at this point, it is -- sellers aren’t at a point where they're willing just to reduce the pricing yet, and we've obviously been in a great position this year where we've not had -- we are not going to be sure we had to force ourselves to any deals and we've obviously always been very prudent in how we underwrite, but I think in '16, it's likely to see some deals that will come back on the market and our hope is that those will be better priced, so that is…

Daniel Bernstein

Analyst

Has there been any indication of any re-pricing or cap rates moving back higher whether it's seniors or SNFs or elsewhere is it…?

Clint Malin

Analyst

Not yet.

Daniel Bernstein

Analyst

It seems to me that they have been pretty flat but there is some more reiterate I would think of -- would start to see signs of cap rates back up?

Clint Malin

Analyst

We're hopeful on '16 maybe that will surface but not yet.

Daniel Bernstein

Analyst

And then on the behavioral property if we can -- behavioral is a pretty wide ranging set of modalities. So is this substance abuse or is it psychological behavioral in that sense just trying to understand a little bit more what you bought with Fundamental?

Clint Malin

Analyst

It is pretty much BJPsych at this property.

Daniel Bernstein

Analyst

Okay, okay.

Clint Malin

Analyst

Yes but Dan we’re talking to other people that we -- other groups have talked about I mean it does range from Geri-psych to chemical dependency, to adolescent programs to PTSD veterans program. So there is a large slot and we've seen some operators that we've talked to where they don't want to rely upon on just general side they want to look at diversifying their hospital and providing services to different patient profile. So different operating companies have different perspectives on which type of resident they want to focus their operations on.

Daniel Bernstein

Analyst

And then in terms of the credit line, it is $187 million on the line. Now you're going to term out 100, are you comfortable keeping that 87 still out on the line are you going to look to term that out pretty quick as well say when we get into 2016?

Pam Kessler

Analyst

Hi Dan it is Pam. I think we’re comfortable keeping that amount on the line. And we just extended the line to a capacity of 600 million so I could see us going up to half of that.

Daniel Bernstein

Analyst

And so okay so you can go up half of that before you go ahead and term out okay. That’s really all I have. Thanks for taking my call.

Operator

Operator

There are no other questions at this time. This concludes our question-and-answer session. I would like to turn the conference back over to Wendy Simpson for closing remarks.

Wendy Simpson

Analyst

Thank you, Kate and thank you all for joining us today. And again if you're at NAREIT and we have a chance to meet we would like to talk to you individually and if we don't we’ll talk to you in February I guess. Thank you. Bye-bye.

Operator

Operator

The conference has now concluded. Thank you for attending today's presentation. You may now disconnect.