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LTC Properties, Inc. (LTC)

Q1 2008 Earnings Call· Tue, Jun 10, 2008

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Transcript

Operator

Operator

Good day ladies and gentlemen and welcome to the LTC Properties analyst meeting conference call. My name is Lacey, and I will be your coordinator for today. (Operator Instructions). As a reminder, this conference is being recorded for replay purposes. This presentation may contain forward-looking statements, as defined in the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Forward-looking statements involve known and unknown risks and uncertainties which may cause the company's actual results in the future to differ materially from expected results. These risks and uncertainties may include among others;[Author ID1: at Thu Jun 5 16:20:00 2008 ] general economic conditions, the availability of capital, competition within the financial services and real estate markets, the performance of tenants and borrowers with LTC Properties portfolio and other regulatory and other changes in the healthcare sector, as described in the company's filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission. I would now like to turn our presentation over to our host for today's call, Ms. Wendy Simpson, President and CEO. Please proceed.

Wendy Simpson

Management

Thank you, Lacey. Good morning or afternoon and thanks for joining us for our first quarter 2008 conference call. With me are Pam Kessler, our CFO, and Clint Malin, our Chief Investment Officer. After my initial comments, I will turn it over to Pam and she will have a few more specific comments on our financial results. Net results wise, we had an as expected quarter and we really commented on most of the activity during our year-[Author ID1: at Thu Jun 5 16:21:00 2008 ]end call. But we continue to be conservative with our balance sheet and with our investment criteria. We are however experiencing a reduction in interest income from our uninvested cash. Last year, at this time, we were getting about 5% on our uninvested cash. And this year, we're getting about 2% on our uninvested cash. So,[Author ID1: at Thu Jun 5 16:22:00 2008 ] our interest income has been going down. We do believe that we should have cash available in this credit crisis market. In that vein, Pam and I will be working during the second and third quarter to renew our line of credit,[Author ID1: at Thu Jun 5 16:22:00 2008 ] which expires in November of this year. We are confident that the credit will be available to us. But right now, we can't quote rates or terms at this time. We will evaluate the costs with other financing alternatives that might be available to us during the summer. In summary again, during our first quarter besides investing the $14.3 million at an 8.9% yield to buy back 636,300 shares of our Preferred E, we invested about $400,000 in our existing properties,[Author ID1: at Thu Jun 5 16:23:00 2008 ] which is a program we have talked about on other conference calls.…

Pam Kessler

Management

Thank you, Wendy. The year-over-year analysis, you can read in the Q, so I am just going to detail that quarter-over-quarter analysis. Revenues decreased approximately $175,000 from prior quarter primarily due to the lower interest income from our overnight investments as Wendy discussed. This is partially offset by an increase in rental revenue due to our contractual rental rate increases. Straight line rent decreased $252,000 this quarter and that straight line rent number was $953,000 for the quarter. And the lease inducement cost amortization was $162,000. Operating and other expenses decreased due [Author ID1: at Thu Jun 5 16:32:00 2008 ]to the lower restricted stock vesting. In the first quarter, we had a gain on the sale of some vacant land, a vacant parcel, part of a skilled nursing property in New Mexico. And the gain on that was $92,000. Fully diluted FFO per share was $0.51 this quarter compared to $0.46 last quarter. If you exclude the gain from the preferred stock buyback, fully diluted FFO was $0.47 this quarter. We received $1.2 million in scheduled principal payments on mortgage loans receivables. And during the quarter, shares of Preferred E stock that were converted was $91,300. And at March 31st, we still had 71,000 shares of the preferred stock remaining.

Wendy Simpson

Management

Thanks Pam. Just to reiterate, we have still our unsecured line totally available that is $90 million. It expires in November of this year. There are no restrictions on us drawing on it for any reason right now. So, if we had a large transaction that we wanted to do, the line is totally available or I believe that the capital markets are still smiling on REITs and healthcare REITs. I understand Omega did a deal this morning in the equity sector and we would raise equity if it paid and we can see where the money was going. So, in terms of the credit crisis or the credit crunch right now, I don't see it impacting our company. At this point, we still have about $30 million on our balance sheet. Closing these two transactions by the end of the quarter will use up a significant amount of that cash. I would be happy to draw on the line to do other transactions and we're not reluctant to do that. We are reluctant to do an equity or a debt issue right now without use of proceeds and absorb the negative arbitrage until we could invest the money. So, we have opportunities in front of us. The company continues to be cautious. We are making what we thought we would be able to do at approximately $10 million a quarter. And at this point, I see no reason to change the guidance of the company and we just look forward to being able to convert these opportunities into closed transactions. Lacey, I will take any questions now.

Operator

Operator

(Operator Instructions). And our first question will come from the line of Tony Howard with Hilliard Lyons. Please proceed.

Tony Howard - Hilliard Lyons

Analyst

Good morning Wendy and Pam.

Wendy Simpson

Management

Hi Tony.

Tony Howard - Hilliard Lyons

Analyst

First, a clarification, on the 10-Q on page 8.

Wendy Simpson

Management

Okay, hold on. Pam? Moving it.

Pam Kessler

Management

Yes.

Tony Howard - Hilliard Lyons

Analyst

Okay. You mentioned then the acquisition of the Ohio property and then you mentioned at the same time that there is an agreement to spend up to $2 million to rebuild,[Author ID1: at Thu Jun 5 16:35:00 2008 ] I guess[Author ID1: at Thu Jun 5 16:35:00 2008 ],[Author ID1: at Thu Jun 5 16:35:00 2008 ] [Author ID1: at Thu Jun 5 16:35:00 2008 ] [Author ID1: at Thu Jun 5 16:35:00 2008 ]this facility.

Wendy Simpson

Management

Right.

Tony Howard - Hilliard Lyons

Analyst

I guess part of my question is how should we model this $2 million as far as near-term projections?

Wendy Simpson

Management

I'm going to have Clint answer that because he's working with the operator. I know the operator had identified several pieces of land in Ohio. We contacted KeyBank, who is familiar with Ohio about the value of land in Ohio but Clint, would you --?

Clint Malin

Analyst

Tony, I will give you some guidance on that. Ohio is a certificate of needs state. So, there's a regulatory process that would have to go through. And right now, the plan is to file that certificate of need application by June 1st. I think it's usually a three or four-month process to [Author ID1: at Thu Jun 5 16:36:00 2008 ]gain approval. But I would imagine that construction will probably begin probably say six months to seven months from today when it will start being used. So, it will be the latter part of fourth quarter.

Wendy Simpson

Management

The latter part of the year, the latter part of the fourth quarter.

Tony Howard - Hilliard Lyons

Analyst

Okay. Thanks Clint. In that same paragraph then, you mentioned as of March 31st you have remaining under these agreements $2.5 million. I am a little confused as far as what that represents?

Clint Malin

Analyst

That's just what remains of the existing commitments we have outstanding.

Pam Kessler

Management

Are you wanting to know how to model that? Is that your question?

Tony Howard - Hilliard Lyons

Analyst

Well, not only that but where is this $2.5 million? Is that part of the $2 million you are talking about as far as rebuilding this building?

Pam Kessler

Management

No, we have got about $1.6 million of that is one property in Ohio that is currently under construction and that will probably be done -- or it's remodeling.

Clint Malin

Analyst

That is a remodel project and that probably should be completed in the next probably three to four months.

Tony Howard - Hilliard Lyons

Analyst

Okay.

Pam Kessler

Management

And then the rest of it are little, little transactions.

Tony Howard - Hilliard Lyons

Analyst

Okay. And then under Section 7, I guess is page 12. Pam, you have like 10 or 15 different commitments. What is the total commitment that LTC is required to finance over the next several years?

Wendy Simpson

Management

Yeah. Our total commitments is it -- you are using this schedule, Pam?

Pam Kessler

Management

Yeah, the total commitments are $14.9 million if you're looking at what total commitments are outstanding. But as you will notice in the footnotes, several of those like Alterra that has been a commitment for a long time and they have not given us any indication that they're going to exercise that commitment. However, the SEC rules require that we give you all of our commitment. I think, if you're just looking at modeling, the $2.5 million that we had in that footnote on page 8 that you discussed, that is what we believe is going to be spent over the next nine months.

Tony Howard - Hilliard Lyons

Analyst

Okay. That's very helpful.

Pam Kessler

Management

So, I would use that number for modeling. The commitments in contingencies on Footnote 7, those are really just regulatory required…

Wendy Simpson

Management

But we are committed.

Pam Kessler

Management

Yes, we are committed.

Wendy Simpson

Management

We are committed, so,[Author ID1: at Thu Jun 5 16:39:00 2008 ] I mean,[Author ID1: at Thu Jun 5 16:39:00 2008 ] we have to keep that in mind with our cash flow.

Pam Kessler

Management

Exactly.

Wendy Simpson

Management

But all of them are at 10% or higher commitment yield.

Tony Howard - Hilliard Lyons

Analyst

Wendy, you mentioned as far as the outlook for acquisitions and this was a lot better. You mentioned some fairly large numbers of $200 million or so. But if you were to narrow that down to what you would consider your area of comfort, what would be like a good dollar amount for that?

Wendy Simpson

Management

Well, we still like the smaller transactions, the $5 million to $10 million transaction. But I think we would do between $50 million and $75 million if we came across the right transaction. We are willing to look at -- I know we can raise money to do a $200 million transaction. But it would -- we still would like to work on these smaller transactions where you can convert them, take less risk under one transaction and add FFO to the company.

Tony Howard - Hilliard Lyons

Analyst

Okay. Final question is, can you give me the rationale for repurchasing a Series F versus repurchasing the common stock?

Wendy Simpson

Management

Yeah, we were getting a better yield on the Fs at that time. It was just a yield issue. And there was a block. So, if somebody had come to me with a block of common with the same yield, I would have done the common. B[Author ID1: at Thu Jun 5 16:43:00 2008 ], b[Author ID1: at Thu Jun 5 16:43:00 2008 ]ecause the preferred can stay out there forever if we want to.[Author ID1: at Thu Jun 5 16:43:00 2008 ] B[Author ID1: at Thu Jun 5 16:43:00 2008 ]b[Author ID1: at Thu Jun 5 16:43:00 2008 ]ut it was price and yield at that time.

Tony Howard - Hilliard Lyons

Analyst

But the Series F, I guess is callable sometime next year?

Pam Kessler

Management

It is callable late February of next year right.

Tony Howard - Hilliard Lyons

Analyst

And what is your idea of what will [Author ID1: at Thu Jun 5 16:43:00 2008 ]happene[Author ID1: at Thu Jun 5 16:43:00 2008 ]d[Author ID1: at Thu Jun 5 16:43:00 2008 ] for the rest of the Series F?

Wendy Simpson

Management

I don't know. It will depend on our financing costs as it goes forward. We have run a couple of models. We have run a model of,[Author ID1: at Thu Jun 5 16:44:00 2008 ] if we issued equity now and held the equity and waited to call them in February and it is highly dilutive at this point. So,[Author ID1: at Thu Jun 5 16:44:00 2008 ] even though our equity is high, our stock price is -- I don't want to say it's high based on everything else. [Author ID1: at Thu Jun 5 16:44:00 2008 ], b[Author ID1: at Thu Jun 5 16:44:00 2008 ]B[Author ID1: at Thu Jun 5 16:44:00 2008 ]ut it is a good price at which to issue equity. I just would not do a dilutive -- that big of a dilutive transaction for our common shareholders. So, we are looking at it all the time Tony. We know it's out there. We know it is 8% money. And if we can get better percent money when it gets closer, we certainly would consider calling them, calling a part of them.

Tony Howard - Hilliard Lyons

Analyst

Okay. Thank you.

Operator

Operator

And our next question will come from the line of Peter Costa with FTN Midwest Securities. Please proceed.

Peter Costa - FTN Midwest Securities

Analyst

Hi guys.

Wendy Simpson

Management

Hi Peter.

Peter Costa - FTN Midwest Securities

Analyst

You talked about on the last call a facility in Georgia that you were getting close to on a $2.5 million facility.

Wendy Simpson

Management

Yes, that's the one we are talking about that we're almost –

Clint Malin

Analyst

This is Clint. Actually, we've had conversations with the tenant in the past couple of weeks and we are working on finalizing a lease amendment to make that happen. And we are hopeful they can commence the project probably in the next month or so.

Peter Costa - FTN Midwest Securities

Analyst

Okay. So that is the same?

Wendy Simpson

Management

Yes, that's the same one.

Clint Malin

Analyst

That's correct.

Peter Costa - FTN Midwest Securities

Analyst

And then we talked about the prices of facilities versus what you would like to pay versus where the rents are in this $200 million book that you're talking about of transactions that are out there. Are you seeing anything move at this point even if it's not exactly in the book at prices that you find attractive? Or do you think there's going to be a softening anytime soon? How close are we to where the [[Author ID1: at Thu Jun 5 16:46:00 2008 ]bid ask[Author ID1: at Thu Jun 5 16:46:00 2008 ]][Author ID1: at Thu Jun 5 16:46:00 2008 ] comes together?

Wendy Simpson

Management

Well, we look at every transaction that comes out and certainly Omega's recent announcement of the deal that they did in Maryland and -- Ohio and Maryland.[Author ID1: at Thu Jun 5 16:47:00 2008 ],[Author ID1: at Thu Jun 5 16:47:00 2008 ].[Author ID1: at Thu Jun 5 16:47:00 2008 ] [Author ID1: at Thu Jun 5 16:47:00 2008 ]I haven't seen those properties,[Author ID1: at Thu Jun 5 16:47:00 2008 ] but I am not sure we would have paid $80,000 a bed and had debt service of,[Author ID1: at Thu Jun 5 16:47:00 2008 ] how much did we calculate,[Author ID1: at Thu Jun 5 16:47:00 2008 ] about $751 per bed month? But they have done a transaction that is a high per bed transaction so people -- that is the latest comp out there. We don't have a $50,000 a bed or $60,000 a bed. A[Author ID1: at Thu Jun 5 16:48:00 2008 ], a[Author ID1: at Thu Jun 5 16:48:00 2008 ]nd it is certainly on a market by market. But as I said, people have told us that there is a lot of transactions people are working on but nothing has -- not nothing has closed,[Author ID1: at Thu Jun 5 16:49:00 2008 ].[Author ID1: at Thu Jun 5 16:49:00 2008 ] Omega obviously closed something,[Author ID1: at Thu Jun 5 16:48:00 2008 ] but we don't hear about a lot of closes. The operators, I think are still looking for a high price. I am hoping it comes, if we are willing to come down a little on our hurdle rate and they're willing to come down a little on their price, we're getting closer. Pete, I think we are getting closer.

Peter Costa - FTN Midwest Securities

Analyst

How much lower would you go on your hurdle rates? Where would you let that get to?

Wendy Simpson

Management

Well, you know, we would probably get to about 9% and we are looking at adjusting as I said our lease provisions. Because for the last several years, we've had a standard up and that is why we have got straight line lease payments and negotiating with the operators and saying let's peg something at your net revenues. So,[Author ID1: at Thu Jun 5 16:50:00 2008 ] if you win big, we will win a little and put a floor and a ceiling on it. So,[Author ID1: at Thu Jun 5 16:50:00 2008 ] we are looking at those opportunities to maybe the deal is not going to be hugely accretive initially. But the upside would be a little better than our 2% to 2.5% upside yield. So [Author ID1: at Thu Jun 5 16:50:00 2008 ],[Author ID1: at Thu Jun 5 16:50:00 2008 ] [Author ID1: at Thu Jun 5 16:50:00 2008 ]I think that gets us closer to what the people are looking for. We just still want our operators to be very successful. We don't want to set a lease or a loan where they don't have an upside. So, we are willing to come down a little and we are willing to work with them on lease terms a little. So,[Author ID1: at Thu Jun 5 16:51:00 2008 ] I think we're closing the gap.

Peter Costa - FTN Midwest Securities

Analyst

The last time percentage rents worked well is when you go back to nursing homes getting paid extra money for Medicare for rehab and the whole sub-acute thing started up. Do you see some kind of phenomenon in reimbursement that it's going to make percentage rents attractive again?

Wendy Simpson

Management

Well, that would be in a facility that wants to buy on the future because it is not 100% occupied or 90% occupied. We would not do it on a facility that was 93% occupied. So it would be based on a facility that somebody wanted to buy because they saw an upside and wanted us to pay a little bit of that upside in the price. So, you are right. It wouldn't make sense and it wouldn't be a proper risk underwriting to just base it on a property that is already full.

Peter Costa - FTN Midwest Securities

Analyst

Got it.

Wendy Simpson

Management

But what would be full for a SNF is over 90% because of the man/woman issue of putting people in the same room and that sort of thing. So, no. Right now, people are looking to sell properties on [Author ID1: at Thu Jun 5 16:52:00 2008 ]the next two years of projections,[Author ID1: at Thu Jun 5 16:52:00 2008 ] which are just phenomenally profitable even though they've never been able to be that profitable themselves. So that is a good point,[Author ID1: at Thu Jun 5 16:52:00 2008 ] P[Author ID1: at Thu Jun 5 16:52:00 2008 ]p[Author ID1: at Thu Jun 5 16:52:00 2008 ]eter. We wouldn't base a price on something that is almost full and hoping that they can bring in new types of revenue or that Medicaid will not cut the rates when you look at the states, who are projecting huge deficits. But we want to put all of these things in our negotiating ability so that we can be there in the market.

Peter Costa - FTN Midwest Securities

Analyst

Okay. Thank you very much.

Wendy Simpson

Management

You are welcome.

Operator

Operator

(Operator Instructions). Our next question will come from the line of Jerry Doctrow with Stifel Nicolaus. Please proceed.

Jerry Doctrow - Stifel Nicolaus

Analyst

Thanks. Hello everyone. I just wanted to cover a couple of things Wendy. A lot of it has already been gone over. Just on Medicaid/Medicare a little bit. You sort of touched on it just now saying some states running big deficits. It was discussed on the ACP call the other day. And I think you also had said that your rent per bed basically is low enough that you don't think you are going to be impacted. I was wondering if you can just give me a little more color and so your sense of Medicare/Medicaid reimbursement and maybe a little bit more color on why you don't think you guys are at risk.

Wendy Simpson

Management

Well, we are at risk because everybody is at risk but I think we have less risk than most people because of our lower bed rates and that is basically why I am saying that. Plus, we have many different states. We don't have a -- our concentration in SNFs is with Preferred Healthcare who has properties in many different states. They seem to be doing very well on our properties. What I am hearing,[Author ID1: at Thu Jun 5 16:54:00 2008 ] relative to the Medicaid cuts, we had of course an Audit Committee call before we did this call a couple of days ago. And talking to Boyd Hendrickson, who is an operator of Skilled Healthcare, he is not predicting any Medicaid cuts in the states that he is working in,[Author ID1: at Thu Jun 5 16:55:00 2008 ] which includes California. Even though California has a huge deficit, he is still comfortable in California. I'm kind of glad we don't have a lot of investments in California. We have heard that of course the State of Florida is proposing some changes and we don't have a lot of SNFs in Florida either. But the SNFs we have, I know the operator is making a great deal of money. So, a cut would not be considerable to him. And I have not -- the State of Texas seems to be fine, an oil state. We have got quite a bit of SNFs in Texas, Kansas. We have not heard anything on. We don't have a lot in the industrial states like Michigan or Illinois or Indiana. We do have a concentration, not a concentration, but we have a few SNFs in Ohio,[Author ID1: at Thu Jun 5 16:56:00 2008 ] that Ohio is experiencing probably one of the highest foreclosure rates. We haven't heard and our primary operator of SNFs in Ohio is so tied into the state, I mean,[Author ID1: at Thu Jun 5 16:56:00 2008 ] I think he gets up and reads the minutes from the day before, and he has not at all indicated that he expects that Ohio is going to cut their Medicaid rate. But it's where the states are going to look and where the federal government is going to look, whether the federal government is going to include or continue to do the bed tax which is something that I hear they're going to look at. But nobody has indicated that there is a definite cut coming. I think everybody is poised to prepare for a little bit of a cut,[Author ID1: at Thu Jun 5 16:57:00 2008 ] as well they should. Almost everybody is going to have to contribute. I don't think the government is going to do something as drastic as they did back in the late '90s.

Jerry Doctrow - Stifel Nicolaus

Analyst

Okay. And you guys don't disclose coverage because I understand you have got a lot of -- there are smaller operators that are unaudited. If I am thinking about that where coverage numbers we've seen for others are probably between 1.5 and as high as 1.8, 1.9 --?

Wendy Simpson

Management

If we added back everything those others add back, we would be comparable.

Jerry Doctrow - Stifel Nicolaus

Analyst

Okay. You got my question. Okay.

Wendy Simpson

Management

We would be comparable on an overall -- [Author ID1: at Thu Jun 5 17:00:00 2008 ]not[Author ID1: at Thu Jun 5 17:00:00 2008 ] an overall, now maybe not so much on the ALFs with Assisted Living Concepts. If I gave you the coverage ratios on my ALFs and I could take out Assisted Living Concepts, I would say great. But Assisted Living Concepts as I mentioned they are not doing all that well in terms of the properties. At o[Author ID1: at Thu Jun 5 17:01:00 2008 ]O[Author ID1: at Thu Jun 5 17:01:00 2008 ]ne group of properties is doing well. The other group of properties is not doing so well. I'm not concerned about our ability to collect our rent or get value on those properties.

Jerry Doctrow - Stifel Nicolaus

Analyst

Right. Okay. And then just two other things. Dividend policy, you popped up the dividend I think earlier in the year. How frequently would you say it gets reviewed and do you look at it in terms of just a ratio of FFO or FAD?

Wendy Simpson

Management

We look at it more as a ratio and if for some reason we get a lot of transactions. But I think our policy is probably once a year which would be in January again we would talk about it. Right now, it looks like this is a good ratio and a good payout for this year and we still do it monthly. So, I am not predicting any dividend changes.

Jerry Doctrow - Stifel Nicolaus

Analyst

Okay, thanks. And then the last thing I had for you or for Pam. The level of G&A was a little bit higher first quarter I think than we had expected and I was just wondering if there is a good run rate either quarterly or for the rest of the year?

Wendy Simpson

Management

Our run rate -- the first of the year, we have all the payroll taxes. We had a lot of state taxes that we paid and we do not amortize them over the 12 months of the year. And I think our run rate is $1.5 million.

Jerry Doctrow - Stifel Nicolaus

Analyst

Okay. So from here on, we would be at $1.5 million a quarter.

Wendy Simpson

Management

$[Author ID1: at Thu Jun 5 17:03:00 2008 ]1.5 million[Author ID1: at Thu Jun 5 17:03:00 2008 ] to $[Author ID1: at Thu Jun 5 17:03:00 2008 ]1.6 million[Author ID1: at Thu Jun 5 17:03:00 2008 ].

Jerry Doctrow - Stifel Nicolaus

Analyst

Yeah, okay. Okay, I think that's all for me.

Wendy Simpson

Management

All right, thanks…

Operator

Operator

(Operator Instructions). And at this time, we have no questions in queue. I would like to turn the conference back over to Wendy Simpson for closing remarks.

Wendy Simpson

Management

Thank you Lacey and thanks everybody for joining us for this call and we look forward to talking to you at the end of the second quarter. Have a good day. Bye-bye.

Operator

Operator

Thank you for your participation in today's conference. This concludes your presentation. You may now disconnect. Good day.

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Analyst

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