Lincoln Mali
Analyst · Litchfield Hills Research
Thank you, Dan. Good morning and afternoon, everyone. As Dan has alluded to, we're in the middle of building an integrated merchant business from 5 historical components. We are modernizing our core systems into a unified backbone, enabling our servicing staff to provide a more efficient and effective customer service. We are centralizing data, creating a 360-degree view of each merchant, and implementing AI to strengthen our risk capabilities and reduce customer friction. This enables better credit decisions and reduce fraud. Furthermore, we are leveraging these assets to drive smarter customer engagement. For an example, AI-enabled WhatsApp support and targeted cross-sell engines will simultaneously enhance the client experience, and we believe will drive higher ARPU. At an overall level, active merchants increased by 6% year-on-year. Looking at the mix of our active merchants, our community merchants grew 8% year-on-year. Last year, we restructured our community merchant sales force to allow for a more targeted distribution strategy, and we are pleased to see our community merchant portfolio increase. The number of active corporate merchants fell 4% year-on-year, primarily due to increased competition in monoline products, for an example, merchant acquiring. At the aggregate, Merchant ARPU was 7% lower than last year and driven primarily by an increase in the number of community merchants as a percentage of the total. Community merchants are growing faster than corporate merchants, and this has a predictable impact on blended economics as they generate materially lower ARPU than corporate merchants, as shown in the slide. As the community segment becomes a larger proportion of the overall base, aggregate Merchant ARPU naturally decreases even while engagement levels, transaction volumes and profitability increase. Secondly, as mentioned last quarter, the community ARPU reduction was impacted by a network-driven reduction in airtime commission rates. Since that reset, ARPU has been relatively stable quarter-on-quarter. Within the corporate space, we saw flat performance in ARPU. Our current aggregation of ARPU includes network fees that is [ interchange ] and from our corporate segment, but excludes network fees from our community ARPU. We expect to review the definition of corporate ARPU in the new fiscal year to align the treatment of network fees to community ARPU. Product penetration in Merchant was flat at 46% for 2 or more products. The merchants with 3 or more products reduced to 7%. The primary driver for this decline is due to the increase in our community merchant base who typically engage with ADP and acquiring. The total number of merchants with 3 or more products declined as we refined our lending criteria to the community merchant base. While penetration rates for multiproduct accounts have shifted over the period, we are in the early stages of our ecosystem journey. Our current performance is intentionally driven by a land and expand strategy. As seen on the left-hand chart, we have a broad base of merchants through hero products and a set of highly valued ancillary products that tie merchants into the Lesaka ecosystem. The core of our thesis remains unchanged. As product density increases, so does the value of the merchant. Within our community merchants, we can see that moving from a stand-alone solution to a [ C+ ] product proposition drives a 94% uplift in ARPU. Increasing our product penetration in community relies on Merchant's strategy to expand lending and cash to our existing community base. In the corporate segment, Lesaka experienced a 60% uplift in ARPU when our customers shift from 1 product to 2 product. We currently have no corporate clients with 3 or more products. Our industry-specific strategy in Merchant is focused on increasing our product penetration in Merchant. For example, in the restaurant and hospitality segment, we're adapting our product and sales force to be able to serve our clients with a combination of software, acquiring, lending and cash. In the fuel industry, we're developing our acquiring and software capabilities to augment our current cash and lending offerings. We believe this ecosystem product approach, coupled by a single distribution and servicing capability, will grow percentage of corporate merchants with 3 or more products in the medium term. Looking at our Merchant volumes for the quarter. Card TPV increased by 7% to ZAR 10.6 billion, with active acquiring merchants up 9% to 74,000. On the cash side, volume grew 2% with a slight increase in wallet for the quarter of 4,900. Within the base, as with previous quarters, we have seen net reduction in the corporate merchant base and good growth in the community base. The growth of our cash offering in the community merchant space has supported the strong growth in the TPV of our Alternative Digital Products, or ADP for short. As community merchants immediately digitize their cash taking in their own wallets or in the nearby merchants, they have more value in their wallets to use for airtime, electricity and voucher purchases for resale and supplier payments. ADP TPV is up 30%, reflecting traction for our offering. Following the margin compression seen within our prepaid solutions in financial year 2025, particularly airtime, we are pleased to see a normalization and return to growth in these volumes with 11% increase in prepaid solution products and a 47% increase in supplier-enabled payments. Turning to Merchant lending. Originations in quarter 3 were 22% lower year-on-year at ZAR 227 million. The comparative period in quarter 3 of financial year 2025 included unusually high spike in originations from our corporate channel, driven by fuel-related lending push and the rollout of preapproved lending offers late in the year 2024, which then originated in the quarter 3 financial year 2025. While January and February were muted, we did experience a very strong March, much of which was driven by demand in the fuel sector ahead of anticipated price increases. Our lending portfolio closed 4% up at ZAR 427 million. We are comfortable with this lending activity, and it reflects a deliberate decision to be conservative in merchant credit, whilst we refine our Merchant lending offering as part of our broader Merchant ecosystem. This is not about a lack of opportunity. It's about exercising capital discipline and protecting the long-term quality of the book. Software, particularly through our Unity platform in the hospitality space, is central to our long-term Merchant strategy. Unity is not about site growth alone. It is a cloud-native platform that enables the Merchant ecosystem and sets the platform for multiproduct penetration at scale. Approximately 50% of all Unity clients are fully integrated into our acquiring proposition with 80% of all new software clients on board utilizing Unity. In conclusion, we are laying the foundation for a stronger, scalable business through platform consolidation, data and AI investment, and integrated product strategy. Consumer had another excellent quarter with an 81% increase in segment adjusted EBITDA. As expected, our KPIs have all shown impressive increases with active consumers up 19%, ARPU also up 19% and cross-sell success continuing its upward trend. Active consumers now stand at over 2 million with a permanent grant recipients of 1.7 million, representing a 14.6% market share. Looking forward, our medium- to long-term expectation is that we could reach a 25% market share, based on our current growth trajectory and distribution plan. Encouragingly, in quarter 3, only 3 players showed growth during the quarter, of which Lesaka grew the largest. Net additions in quarter 3 were almost 26,000, more than double our nearest competitor, demonstrating the strong brand and product fit we have developed in this segment. Importantly, growth is not dependent on competitor dislocation alone. There are approximately 150,000 new grant entrants every month, and our expanding distribution footprint positions us strongly to capture a disproportionate share of these new customers. By June, we expect to have increased our footprint to a further 30 community sites and a further 15 new branches. This expansion materially strengthens our access to both urban and rural grant recipients and support sustainable organic growth. Our ARPU has increased by 19% year-on-year to ZAR 99 per month, driven by continued engagement and cross-sell success. At the end of quarter 3, 20% of our active consumer base was utilizing our full product suite, up from 17% last year, with 50% of our base having 2 or more products. This consistent increase in our product penetration rate is a clear demonstration of the power of our value proposition and superior distribution capabilities within the segment and is a clear indication of our ability to continue to grow. Our lending product has been the key driver of our Consumer division's financial performance. In the third quarter, we originated approximately ZAR 856 million, representing a 33% year-on-year increase, with the outstanding book growing 73% to around ZAR 1.4 billion. This momentum reflects the successful rollout of our 9 months loan product, which now represents nearly 50% of all new lending originations. We expect this to continue increasing, supporting growth in both book size and average tenure. We are also evaluating a modest increase in maximum loan values and repayment terms to meet customer demand, while maintaining our disciplined risk framework. We have a deep understanding of our lending base with a high proportion of originations to repeat and long tenured customers. This supports effective credit scoring, provisioning and product development. The portfolio continues to perform within normal parameters, and our 6.5% provision level remains above the observed risk experience with any refinement to be communicated transparently at the end of the year. Turning to our funeral and pension plan insurance business. We delivered another very strong quarter. Gross premiums written grew by 38% to ZAR 146 million, while in-force policies increased by 34% to 704,000. We have recently started rolling out insurance policy sales to non-Lesaka consumers within Lesaka ecosystem. This represents a significant opportunity with an estimated 3 million grant recipients currently uninsured. We are leveraging our existing distribution network and sales force to access this market efficiently. While the initiative is not yet financially material, it is strategically important and directly aligned with our purpose of extending affordable financial protection to underserved communities. Our insurance product is a key driver for compounding our product penetration in the short to medium term. As we increase our attachment rates of insurance at the time of client onboarding and we increase our stand-alone insurance sales, we do expect the collection rate to moderate to circa 90% over time. Importantly, we believe this will still result in a net positive gross written premiums for Lesaka. We believe the overall quality of our insurance book will continue to remain high and compare favorably against the wider insurance market. The Consumer division continues to demonstrate strong momentum with resilient growth drivers, effective last-mile distribution and clear product relevance. By leveraging our technology and distribution network in tandem, we are confident that Consumer will remain a core engine of value creation for Lesaka, delivering both financial performance and meaningful impact for the communities we serve. I will now move on to the performance of our Enterprise division. The Enterprise division continued to make solid progress this quarter, contributing ZAR 35 million or about 10% to group adjusted EBITDA. Strategic progress is evident in ADP TPV for the quarter, which increased 19% year-on-year. Bill payments were up 12.5% to ZAR 9 billion. And prepaid solutions grew by more than 50% to ZAR 2.8 billion as we continue to expand our collector and receiver ecosystem. As highlighted in previous quarters, we've also partnered with several key players, increasing our distribution and collection footprint. We are now seeing the growth from our channel partners, driven by targeted marketing campaigns. Our ADP take rate improved by 22% to 1.3%. As a reminder, we earn a fixed fee per bill payment transaction. However, we earn a commission on TPV for facilitating buying and selling of prepaid solutions. As the business scales the prepaid solution offering, we will see a product blend leaning towards an ad valorem revenue model. In Utilities, TPV increased 18% to ZAR 477 million on a like-for-like basis with active meters rising to 368,000. Excitingly, in quarter 4, we will launch an electricity advance product to our utilities customers. This product will allow Lesaka utilities customers with active meters to load electricity when they are short of funds by an interest-free facility. The business model is simple as we will charge a flat fee for the service and recover the advance from future purchases. We look forward to sharing more information as the product rolls out through the base. Thank you. That concludes our operational review. I will hand back to Ali now for the outlook.