Serge Christian Pierre Belamant
Analyst · mobile top-up isn't so good for a while. Is there a new product that might start to layer on that, that might keep the growth engine going
Thank you very much, Dhruv, and good morning to all of our shareholders. Our first quarter results will speak for themselves. $0.60 in fundamental earnings per share, which translates into a 74% growth in rand terms or 62% growth in dollar terms when compared to our first quarter 2014. Our businesses are currently firing on all cylinders, and the new opportunities we have created over the last few years are now bearing fruit. Today, Herman will provide the details of our financial performance, whilst I concentrate on 3 major issues. The first is our growth strategy going forward, the second is the new SASSA request for proposal, and the third is an update on our growing businesses. Firstly, let me point out that our strategy has always been conservative. We first and foremost focus on ensuring that the company can survive any potential disastrous event. Our risk factors certainly spell out what some of these calamitous events could be, and it is my job as Chairman of the group to guard against these eventualities if they, in fact, came. I make the statement not as a way of the warning that those calamitous events will occur but rather to give you, all, an insight in how we grow our business and make plans for the future and in response to the many questions we have received from our stakeholders. Our strategy has always comprised of both offensive and defensive components. Offense is always easier because it's clear[ph]and fresh. And realistically, the new initiatives do not work are certainly not disastrous for the company. Our offense strategy is based on creating new opportunities in different market segments in which we currently operate, thus minimizing the risks associated with single-trend business models with a limited number of customers. More importantly, we wish to ensure that [indiscernible] certain of our product reach the end of the line. In other words, reach a level of maturity whereby the growth becomes limited because of market saturation or other market boundaries such as price. But then we have new innovative products to replace them, thus creating a continuous wave of products without jeopardizing the customer base we have created over time. These new products have to be more technologically astute, quicker to develop, faster to scale and financially more attractive as it is our view that in the long term, it is volume that will drive profitability rather than either -- higher margins but with limited focused solutions. Technological innovation continuously accelerates, but it is clear that the winners are those who can continue to drive an advantage from the credibility they have earned with their customers over time, rather than complete newcomers. This is where our track record will play a huge part in our future success as the ability to deliver functional and industrial-strength solutions becomes more and more critical to any business or government venture or requirement. Our defensive strategy is far more complex, and it is based on preventing the loss of our business lines, the loss of our customers and to inhibit the moves of our competitors. This is far more difficult to achieve. For example, we made a play a few years back of financially backing a small micro-financier. This was a risky move. The reason for us to take such a risk was that the micro-financier was in the process of applying for a banking lawsuit in South Africa, a very difficult initiative to achieve successfully. Many of our business line requires a bank to operate optimally and not to be intermediated, including our SASSA business. Although we had an agreement with Grindrod Bank, we felt that it would be prudent to create a backup in which we could have our greatest stay -- say. Our investment in Fincoff [ph] paid off because the banking lawsuit was granted. And as a result of our initial decision, we now own 25% of this growing and listed financial group. Such a group can become a further uplift to our payment technological solutions, thus ensuring further market penetration in addition to our SASSA customer base. We often reinvent ourselves and, in a way, become our own competitors. This can be seen when analyzing our EasyPay numbers where airtime and activity sales, to some extent, move up to our mobile channel. This has resulted in higher sales and increases in margins that could not have been achieved by the old delivery channel. We will continue to enter into partnerships with competitors whenever we believe that the smaller part of the whole is likely to be more lucrative than the larger piece of the part thereof. Such partnerships often accelerate the scaling that is a key to capturing the market before anyone else can do so. There can be no doubt that as a result of our strategy, the company has once again delivered exceptional results. Although the company is clearly firing on all cylinders, its sustained good performances do not reflect in its share price. This mismatch continues to be instrumental to the growth in shareholders' value. The management of the company has attempted to rationalize the reasons behind this misalignment and is currently finalizing proposal that was submitted to the board for approval in the very near future to attempt to rectify this unfortunate abnormality. There is no doubt that the SASSA contract to distribute welfare grants to more than 10 million South Africans has been at the core of the share price volatility and improved performance. This is due primarily to the incessant needs that exist regarding this contract, it's longevity, ongoing profitability and a continuous legal battle that resulted from this award. 2012, Net1 won this contract for a term of 5 years because the company could deliver the most advanced technological solution available in the world. After spending in excess of $100 million to create a national infrastructure that was successfully used to capture and to impart visitor information among the 21.5 million South African visitors, the company focused its attention on cutting costs and the creation of new income stream, such as the provision of financial solutions to millions of South African citizens. The company once again succeeded admirably in both of these areas, as demonstrated by our 2013 and '14 annual results and then, of course, of Q1 of 2014, 2013. These ongoing good results have resulted in a share price appreciation that's unfortunately very short-lived. [indiscernible] to profit and exited the stock. This could possibly be explained at some point in time, but the other hand, created by return of G8 stock. But all of this is no longer a factor as stock has not been re-rated in any meaningful performance-related way. The reasons are thus far deeper rooted. The DOJ investigation into Net1 in December of 2012 created a collection of stock, and such collect became an opportunity for certain larger institutions that appreciated the fundamental value of the company's business plan and the diversification potential of our business units. This resulted in millions of shares being bought at a very low value, creating the potential for a substantial overhang over time. It appears that the majority of our stock would have to churn before one could expect a sustainable re-rating and stock value appreciation. To make things worse, SASSA has now issued a new RFP, and thus, greater uncertainty lingers over the future performance of the company going forward, specifically for those income streams that are directly dependent on this government business. More re-rating event is likely to take place for a substantial amount of time as the SASSA tender may not be adjudicated or awarded for a lengthy period of time. It must be noted that SASSA has made its intention clear that it wishes to take over the payment function as soon as possible or certainly by April of 2017. Management is part of this offensive and defensive strategy and, over time, grows a number of businesses that our government independent. These businesses are not also African-based in order to guard against taxing- and currency-related risks and that mature to the extent that they now form a substantial portion of the company's EBITDA. These businesses incorporate EasyPay, KSNET, SmartSwitch, Namibia and Botswana, FIHRST, crypto solutions, VVC card solutions, VTU and, of course, a range of both our related applications. These businesses are driven by technology, can operate in both developing and developed regions and can scale extremely rapidly under the right management focus. These businesses should be driving much higher price multiple than reflected in our current share price. But because they are part and parcel of Net1, they are relegated to the overall low Net1 earnings multiple. Management believes that this income can be solved in the short to medium term, and more on the subject will be disclosed as soon as possible. Management will continue to focus on creating and growing shareholders' value. I will now make a few remarks on the SASSA tender for the request for proposal that it is called. As we have disclosed, a new RFP was issued, and bidders are required by December 12 to submit their proposals. No information regarding the content of the RFP or any that is associated information can be released by bidders without the express permission of SASSA. Although we have asked for this permission as we are both a U.S. and RSA-listed entity, such permission has not yet been granted by SASSA. Suffice it to say we will be submitting a bid as we believe that our solutions is robust, convenient as well as cost-effective that's been published with SASSA, it said billions of rands and continues to do so as a result of our technological products and of the rational management and abilities. There is no doubt that our response to the RFP would have to be more aggressive in terms of both prices and functionality, but we feel confident that we will continue to play a significant role in this critical government initiative. Management has created a war room in order to respond to this new RFP and hope that our lateral solutions will be well received by SASSA during the evaluation and adjudication processes. You will have noted from our financials that a number of our businesses continue to perform admirably. The first is KSNET that has had a very good quarter as a result of its management strategy to address the needs of smaller merchants rather than to focus entirely on large retail chains that command a huge discount for their transaction in return for the transaction volume. In fact, the smaller merchants can create the same volume of transactions as a chain store but are not individually as demanding as the large retailers and, by definition, remove the concentration risk inherent in larger-capital ones. We are of the view that this trend will continue as we have positioned ourselves as a major player in this underserved market segment. The second is our Financial Services business that incorporates micro loans as well as life insurance products. This business goes from strength to strength based on the facts that we offer the most affordable products available in the market. We have shied away from long-term and larger-amount loan as our goal remains to provide financial assistance to the poorest of the poor but only for specific and focused reasons such as food, medical expenses, educational requirements, clothing, nutrition, electricity, communication and other critical products that the most vulnerable require to survive or improve their lives or better their children. Microfinance has been under attack from many NGOs as, at first glance, it seems unjust or unethical to grant a loan to a person that is indigent. We agree with this social responsibility and moral conundrum, and as such, we will continue to ensure that our loan products are focused on alleviating poverty rather than to fuel it. We understand, however, that the most indigent and vulnerable will, at some point in time, require some sort of financial assistance in order to simply survive, put food on the table, allow their children to study or take an elder to receive medical attention. It is a difficult path we have to walk on, but the company's vision has not changed over the last 20 years, and that is to provide a full range of financial, socially responsible financial services to all, regardless of their social or economic circumstances. The third business unit that is growing exponentially is our mobile division. This is a set of assets such as our SIM licensing and production business, our virtual top-up or VTU product and, of course, our mobile solutions branded as Umoya Manje in South Africa, Pasavute in Malawi or VCpay elsewhere in the world. I'm pleased to say that we have now reached the 6th million mobile plan in South Africa alone. These plans utilize our prepaid products, such as airtime and electricity, as well as our banking products, such as my account, my loan and my deductions. We continue to sign up in excess of 95,000 new customers a month, distributed as follows: airtime usage, around 40%; electricity, 25% and growing faster; and banking services, 35% and growing at an incredible rate. In Malawi, for example, our advanced airtime product is going from strength to strength, where [indiscernible] 14 million vouchers this quarter, a 51% increase on last quarter. Since the commencement of this business 6 months ago, more than 1.7 billion [indiscernible] of prepaid electricity and prepaid air card has been sold in our system. The ARPU for this product has now reached the $1 mark per user per month. In Algeria, we have recently signed an SLA for the creation and distribution of prepaid electricity vouchers as well as advanced data. This is made possibly due to the versatility of our VTU product, which is utilized extensively in Africa. Filling electricity lack [ph] through vouchers is a breakthrough, which indicates the willingness of large institutions to use our services to provide a myriad of financial services that are not of their own making, such as, for example, airtime. Recognizing the size of the Nigerian population, we believe that this breakthrough will then fuel our African mobile initiatives. Our SIM licensing businesses continues to outperform the business objectives we have set. We are now the leading provider of SIM licenses in the Philippines. We have grown by more than 56% from last year and are now supplying our SIMs to a number of card manufacturers and [indiscernible] throughout the world. Finally, earlier today, we announced the launch of our VCpay product in India under the brand name Smartpay. We are excited of this breakthrough as this product is integrated [ph], it can address the massive Indian online payment market that has been estimated to reach more than USD 30 billion by 2016, but its current position is approximately USD 13 billion. The opportunity for VCpay continues to create business to us, and we are currently working on numerous proposals, some of which will then likely become a reality. To ensure that our international expansion is accelerated, we have incorporated a Net1 subsidiary in the United Kingdom and are relocating some of our executives to London to kickstart and drive the business with voracity. . To conclude, we expect the company to continue to perform but, more importantly, to arrive at a solution that will ensure that shareholders' value is realized. We have been able to grow our top and bottom line but, unfortunately, not a straight line. And we now intend to find solutions that will rectify this unfortunate misalignment. Thank you very much for your time today, and Herman, over to you.