Operator
Operator
Good day, ladies and gentlemen, and welcome to the Second Quarter 2016 Louisiana-Pacific Corporation Earnings Conference Call. At this time, all participants are in a listen-only mode. Later, we will conduct a question-and-answer session and instructions will follow at that time. As a reminder, today's conference may be recorded. I would like to introduce your host for today's conference, Ms. Sallie Bailey, Executive VP and Chief Financial Officer. Ma'am, please go ahead. Sallie B. Bailey - Chief Financial Officer & Executive Vice President: Great. Thank you very much, Michelle, and good morning. Thank you for joining our conference call to discuss LP's financial results for the second quarter of 2016. I am Sallie Bailey, LP's Chief Financial Officer and with me today are Curt Stevens, LP's Chief Executive Officer; as well as Mike Kinney and Becky Barckley, our primary Investor Relations contacts. I'll begin the discussion with a review of the financial results for the second quarter of 2016 and the first half of 2016. This will be followed by some comments on the performance of the individual segments and selected balance sheet items. After I finish my comments, Curt will discuss the general market environment in which LP has been operating, provide his perspective on our operating results, our capital projects and give some thoughts on our outlook. As we've done in the past, we have opened up this call to the public and are doing a webcast. The webcast can be accessed at www.lpcorp.com. Additionally, to help with the discussion, we have provided a presentation with supplemental information that should be reviewed in conjunction with the earnings release. I will be referencing these slides in my comments this morning. We filed an 8-K this morning with some supplemental information, as well as our Form 10-Q. I do want to remind all participants of the forward-looking statements comment on slide two of the presentation. And please also be aware of the discussion of our use of non-GAAP financial information included on slide three of the presentation. The appendix attached to the presentation has some of the necessary reconciliations that have been supplemented by the Form 8-K filing we made this morning. Rather than reading these two statements, I incorporate them with this reference. Our second quarter results continued the momentum which started in the first quarter. In addition to the strong results in our OSB segment, reporting a $63 million improvement in adjusted EBITDA on just over $40 million of increased sales, the Siding business reported record SmartSide volume and sales, including a 14% increase in volume from the first quarter of 2016 and 22% improved volumes from the same quarter last year. Now with that, let me go into the details. Moving to slide four of the presentation for a discussion of the second quarter and the first six months of 2016 consolidated results. We are reporting net sales of $582 million for the second quarter of 2016, an 18% increase from net sales of $493 million reported in the second quarter of 2015. In the second quarter, reported net income of $32 million or $0.22 per diluted share compared to a net loss of $20 million or a $0.14 loss per diluted share in the second quarter of 2015. The adjusted income from continuing operations for the quarter was $40 million or $0.28 per diluted share based upon a normalized tax rate of 35% as compared to a loss of $12 million or a loss of $0.08 per share reported in the second quarter of 2015. Adjusted EBITDA from continuing operations was $99 million in the quarter compared to $16 million in the second quarter of 2015. In the first six months of 2016, we recorded net income of $42 million or $0.29 per diluted share compared to a net loss for the first six months of 2015 of $54 million or a loss of $0.38 per diluted share. The adjusted income for the six-month period was $50 million or $0.34 per diluted share based upon a normalized tax rate of 35% compared to a loss of $31 million or a $0.22 loss per diluted share for the first six months of 2015. Adjusted EBITDA from continuing operations was $151 million for the first six months compared to $22 million in the first six months of 2015. Now moving on to slide five and a review of our segment results beginning with OSB. OSB reported net sales for the second quarter of 2016 of $253 million, up 20% from $211 million in the second quarter of 2015. OSB reported operating income of $44 million compared to a loss of $18 million in the second quarter of 2015. Adjusted EBITDA from continued operations was $59 million compared to negative adjusted EBITDA of $4 million in the second quarter of 2015. Sales volume in OSB were down 7% from the second quarter of 2015, primarily due to the conversion of the Swan mill to a Siding mill. And as such, those financial results are now included as part of the Siding segment. Pricing for OSB was higher by 30% which improved operating results by $59 million. For the first six months of 2016, OSB reported an operating profit of $59 million on sales of $470 million compared to a loss of $47 million on $401 million of sales in the first six months of 2015. For the first six months of 2016, we reported adjusted EBITDA of $89 million compared to negative adjusted EBITDA of $17 million in the first six months of 2015. Sales volumes were lower by 4% and sales prices were higher by 22%. The impact of the higher sales price on OSB operations was $86 million for the first six months of 2016 compared to the first six months of 2015. For both the quarter and first six months of 2016, reductions in raw material costs, higher utilization rates, as well as the positive impact of the Canadian currency on our Canadian operations improved the OSB segment's financial results as compared to similar periods in 2015. Moving on to slide six for the results of the Siding business. This segment includes our SmartSide and CanExel Siding products, as well as OSB produced on one line at our Haywood, Wisconsin facility. Siding reported net sales for the second quarter of 2016 of $207 million, up 26% from $164 million in the second quarter of 2015. Siding reported operating income of $42 million compared to operating income of $29 million in the second quarter of 2015. Adjusted EBITDA in the quarter was $49 million compared to $35 million for the same period last year. SmartSide volume was up 22% from the prior year and 14% sequentially. Sales prices for SmartSide were down 2% due to changes in product mix with individual prices remaining relatively flat. For CanExel, sales volumes increased 24% due to increased demand, primarily in Europe. Sales prices were lower by 3% due to the impact of the Canadian dollar. Based upon Canadian dollar selling prices, prices for CanExel were 2% higher than the same period in 2015. We produced approximately 53 million square feet of OSB in this segment during the second quarter of 2016 as compared to no OSB production in the second quarter of 2015. The Siding segment reported sales of $389 million for the first six months of 2016, an increase of 15% from $337 million reported in the first six months of 2015. The Siding segment reported operating income of $69 million for the first six months as compared to $62 million in the first six months of 2015, and adjusted EBITDA of $84 million as compared to $73 million of adjusted EBITDA in the same period of 2015. SmartSide sales volumes were up 11% and sales prices were down 2% for the first six months of 2016 compared to the same period in 2015. Please turn to slide seven of the presentation which shows the results for our Engineered Wood Products segment. This segment includes I-Joists, Laminated Strand Lumber, Laminated Veneer Lumber, OSB produced at our Houlton, Maine facility, plus other related products. This segment also includes the sale of I-Joists and LVL products produced by the Abitibi joint venture or under a sales arrangement with Murphy Plywood. The Engineered Wood Products segment recorded sales of $78 million in the second quarter of 2016, up $6 million from the second quarter of 2015. The EWP segment earned operating income of $0.5 million in the second quarter of 2016 compared to a loss of $2 million in the second quarter of 2015. For the second quarter of 2016, adjusted EBITDA from continuing operations improved to $4 million as compared to $1 million in the second quarter of 2015. Volumes of I-Joists were up 13% while volumes of LVL and LSL were up 3% compared to the same quarter last year. Pricing was up 6% in LVL and LSL and up 5% in I-Joist. For the first six months, sales were $150 million, up from $137 million in the first six months of 2015. The segment's operating loss in the first half of 2016 was $2 million as compared to a loss of $6 million for the first half of 2015. And adjusted EBITDA improved to $5 million from breakeven for the first six months of 2015. Moving on to slide eight of the presentation. For the quarter, our South American segment recorded sales of $41 million as compared to $39 million in the second quarter of 2015. Operating income was $7 million as compared to $2 million in the second quarter of 2015, and adjusted EBITDA improved by $5 million from the second quarter of 2015 to $9 million in the second quarter of 2016. Volumes in Chile were up 14% and flat in Brazil compared to the same quarter last year. On a U.S. dollar basis, pricing was flat in Chile and up 4% in Brazil. In local currency, Chile's pricing was up 10% with the same quarter in 2015, and Brazil's pricing increased 20%. For the first six months, our South American segment reported sales of $72 million as compared to $75 million over the first six months of 2015. Operating income of $12 million compared to $4 million for the first six months of 2015, and adjusted EBITDA increased to $16 million from $9 million in the same period of 2015. Total selling, general and administrative expenses were $47 million in the second quarter of 2016 compared to $38 million in the same quarter of 2015. For the six-month period, our selling, general and administrative expenses were $89 million for 2016 compared to $77 million for the first six months of 2015. For both the quarter as well as the six-month period, the increase in selling, general and administrative expenses was primarily due to increases in certain management incentive accruals and higher sales and marketing related expenses. Please refer to slide nine of the presentation. As of June 30, 2016, we had cash, cash equivalents, investments and restricted cash of $495 million. Working capital was $700 million, net cash of $135 million. And in addition to the $495 million of cash on our balance sheet, we have $200 million of availability on our credit facility. Capital expenditures for the first six months of 2016 were $51 million. We generated operating cash flow of $104 million for the first six months of 2016 and generated net cash flow of $40 million for the first six months of 2016. We are continuing to project capital expenditures for 2016 of $120 million to $130 million, of which approximately $60 million is for growth projects, and the other $60 million to $70 million is associated with maintenance projects. And now I'll turn the call over to Curt for his comments. Curtis M. Stevens - Chief Executive Officer & Director: Thank you, Sallie. Good morning, and thanks for joining us on today's call. As usual, I'll start with our safety performance. Through the first half of the year, our total incident rate or TIR, was 0.31 and the rolling 12-month TIR was at 0.36. I continue to be extremely proud of all of our employees who recognize the value of being safe, have committed to it and act accordingly. Today I'll be providing comments on our results and accomplishments during the last quarter and first half of the year, discuss key demand drivers, provide an update on our capital planning, including a potential Siding expansion, and give you my views on the outlook for the rest of this year and into next year. Sales in Q2, as Sallie just reviewed, were 18% better than Q2 of last year and produced net income of $32 million and EPS of $0.22. This was significantly better than Q2 of last year due to greater demand, leading to higher OSB prices, better Siding volumes and lower manufacturing costs across all of our businesses. For the third consecutive quarter, all business segments recorded positive adjusted EBITDA that totaled nearly $100 million for the company in Q2. EBITDA improved by $83 million over Q2 of 2015, and by $52 million compared to last quarter. In OSB, Random Lengths reported North Central 7/16's Q2 price was 17% higher than the first quarter, and MP averaged a 10% increase due to regional differences and lower premiums on flooring. However, when coupled with lower costs, our EBIT margin improved from 13.8% last quarter to 17.4% this quarter. In Siding, our SmartSide revenues grew 26% versus the same quarter last year, and adjusted EBITDA was just short of $50 million, a 42% improvement. In EWP, we were EBIT positive for the quarter and EBITDA was almost $4 million compared to $600,000 in Q2 of last year. In South America, overall sales were a bit higher, but EBITDA more than doubled. On year-to-date results, our sales are up 13%. Net income was $42 million compared to a loss of $54 million last year and adjusted EBITDA was $151 million, an improvement of $129 million. In Sallie's review, she did discuss the expected capital expenditures for 2016. I want to give you a little bit more color on this. One of the projects currently underway will be to more than double the production capacity of our fire retardant OSB product, FlameBlock. Today, we have used a contract manufacturer for the coating. We have licensed this technology from this very important vendor and are nearing the completion of a $15 million post-processing facility located at our Clark County, Alabama site. This should be operational near the end of this quarter and will provide us with lower-cost production, improved logistics and greater geographical diversity for this important growth product. At our Board meeting last week, we did present three capital projects to our Board, which were approved. The first was a maintenance project to rebuild the press at our Jasper, Texas mill. This $15 million to $17 million project will take place in the first half of next year. We have done similar projects at Roxboro, Hanceville, and Sagola, and we currently have a similar project at one of our lines in Hayward that will begin later this quarter. You have heard me talk about a third mill in Chile for several years. After an arduous and lengthy environmental permitting process followed by detailed engineering, our Board did agree to go ahead with this $60 million to $65 million project, which should come online late next year or early 2018. Like our two prior mills in Chile, we will be repurposing owned equipment from a few of our shuttered OSB mills. This expansion will take place on our existing Panguipulli mill site in Southern Chile. The third capital discussion was more of a work in progress as we continue to plan for the next increment of Siding capacity. Based on our current projections, we will need additional capacity around the end of 2018. If we are converting an existing mill, we will need about 9 to 12 months for the conversion. If we're building a new mill, this timeframe extends to more than two years. There are a lot of factors that need to be considered when making this decision: the expected growth rate and product mix of our Siding business; availability, cost and species of the wood; competitive logistics; a trained and available workforce; available incentives; the overall business climate; and forecasted currency rates. When considering existing mills, the options with LP are limited due to our existing products and customers that we need to satisfy, the location of those mills, the wood supply to that mill and the actual build configuration. Logically, we are also considering OSB mills owned by others, and this exploration is ongoing. For the new mill option, we have done quite a bit of work on the potential Siding and have preliminarily concluded that the Iron Range in Northern Minnesota makes the most sense. We have been working with the State of Minnesota and the economic development group for that region, the Iron Range Resources and Rehabilitation Board, or IRRRB, on possible site selection and incentives. They have been great partners to us in this effort. To-date, the legislature and the IRRRB have combined to offer significant incentives that are greatly appreciated and help to make this alternative much more competitive. At our Board meeting, we discussed this status and requested funds for long lead time items and continuing engineering while we are completing the evaluation of all of our known alternatives. We do not currently have an estimated capital cost as this will be dependent on a number of factors that have not yet been decided. However, it is most likely that little will be spent in 2016, with spending beginning next year and accelerating as we go into 2018. With the improvement in our earnings and a continued positive outlook for housing, we are increasingly getting questions on the balance sheet, liquidity and our plans for the cash. I wanted to provide you with my thoughts. As Sallie mentioned in her review of Q2 results, we ended the second quarter with $495 million in cash, cash equivalents, investments and restricted cash. In South America, we did use some of our cash within Chile to prepay about $7 million on existing debt. Tied in with the third mill in Chile, we have been working with our local banks to put in place financing within Chile to fund the construction. You will probably see this early next year. So what are we going to do with the cash? Our first priority is to invest in our current facilities to lower costs, allow for the manufacture of value-added products and increase our flexibility to shift the product mix to what is being requested by our customers. The examples include the FlameBlock line under construction in Alabama that I just mentioned. We are installing a small I-Joist line in Chile to give us additional flexibility within South America. And we continue to make investments in our Siding mills to increase our flexibility. The next priority is to invest in new facilities to meet anticipated demand. Earlier, I discussed the addition of a third mill in Chile and the exploration of where new Siding capacity will be installed. These projects all have returns in excess of our 16% hurdle rate. We do continue to explore acquisitions that will add to or complement our existing businesses. Finally, our Board continues to discuss returning cash to shareholders via a dividend or share repurchase. As we continue our string of profitable quarters, adding a dividend will certainly be considered. We do have a current share repurchase authorization in place, but we have not yet purchased any shares under this authority. Let me shift to talk about the housing market. The Q2 news from the housing market was good, but it did reaffirm that we'll likely be in the 8% to 10% annual growth rate for starts over the next few years. While not as strong as been forecast, this actually bodes well for both homebuilders and suppliers to the building industry. Housing starts in the first half of this year are up with 7% compared to the same period last year. However, the good news for LP is that single family starts actually increased 13% during these same periods. More of our products are consumed in a single family start than a multi-family start, as mentioned last quarter. The consensus for 2016 now stands at 1.206 million, 9% higher than last year, and 1.34 million for 2017, an 11% increase over this year's forecast. In June, I did attend the Policy Advisory Board meeting of the Harvard Joint Center for Housing Studies where we previewed the recently released State of the Nation's Housing 2016. While this report looks broadly at housing, home ownership rates, financing affordability, rental markets and housing challenges, the key underpinning to their forecast is demographics and household formation. This group believes that demographics alone will drive the addition of more than 13 million households in the next decade. Their conclusion, I quote, "Factoring in the need to replace older units and meet demand for vacation homes and other uses, housing construction should average 1.6 million units a year over the next decade." I like the way they're thinking. Other positive housing related data, new home sales rose 3.5% in June, the fastest rate since February of 2008. Sales of existing single family homes ran at an annual rate of $4.5 million in May, up 4.7% compared to May of 2015. On the financing side, the average 30-year fixed rate mortgage was at 3.42% for the week ended July 15. Retail sales for building materials, garden equipment supply dealers was 7.7% higher in the first half of 2016 versus 2015. In Canada, second quarter housing starts were at a seasonally adjusted rate of 198,000, unchanged from the first quarter but up about 3% from Q2 of last year. So as I look to the rest of the year and into 2017, to achieve the forecasted 9% growth in housing starts with the first half being at 7%, we will need to see an acceleration in activity in the second half of the year. Based on our conversations with builders and the demand we are seeing for our products, I'm optimistic that this will happen. I believe that the concerns about labor and land availability for both builders, uncertainty in relative lending standards for buyers and the impact of the upcoming election on our nation, and more specifically on consumer confidence, have been built into this reduced housing forecast. If the news is better on any of these fronts, we could see an upside in activity. For 2017, I agree that we'll see a 10%-plus growth in housing starts driven by increased household formations and some wage growth. Specific to LP, we have seen further increases in OSB pricing with Random Lengths reporting current levels at 16% higher than the average 7/16 North Central price in Q2. At our Siding business, we are on track to achieve volume growth of 12% to 14% on a year-over-year basis with strong activity in all of our market segments. As I mentioned last quarter, stronger single family starts is driving demand for EWP. Additionally, the trade actions that could occur in October related to the expired softwood lumber agreement could also be beneficial for EWP later this year and into 2017. South America, I expect good OSB and Siding demand in Chile throughout the year. For Brazil, we will continue to focus on export opportunities as these are generally priced in U.S. dollars and we can benefit from the weak Brazilian currency. With that, let me turn it over to Sallie for question-and-answer. Sallie B. Bailey - Chief Financial Officer & Executive Vice President: Great. Thanks, Curt. Michelle, if you please, we'd like to go to the queue for questions.