Matt Audette
Analyst · William Blair. Your line is now open
Thank you, Mark. And it's good to speak with everyone on the call today. Before we get into the quarter, I just wanted to remind everyone of our long-term financial objectives. We want to grow assets organically and benefit from market growth. Grow gross profit faster than our assets, and be disciplined on expenses to drive greater operating leverage. We also want to maintain a strong balance sheet while staying dynamic in our capital allocation. And keep in mind that our results will naturally vary somewhat from quarter to quarter, given the seasonality of our business, but we feel that we made progress on these goals in Q2. And if we can continue this momentum over the long-term, we believe we will create significant shareholder value. Now let's get into our Q2 results. We are pleased that we delivered another strong financial quarter despite the volatile environment. Commissions and advisory fees were up sequentially, as were sponsor revenues. And core G&A declined, as we remained disciplined on expenses. At the same time, the advisor payout rate increased as expected, and ICA yield decreased as an Anchor Bank contract phased out. As a result, we generated $0.53 of earnings-per-share in the second quarter. Let's now discuss our Q2 results in greater depth, starting with assets. Brokerage and advisory assets were $488 billion, up $9 billion or 2% sequentially. Net new advisory assets were $2.8 billion in Q2, up from $2 billion in the prior quarter. Assets are the key driver of our financial results, and we had good momentum in Q2. Additionally, net new advisors were 100, a good improvement in both recruiting and retention. Now turning to gross profit. It was $345 million in Q2, down $11 million or 3% from Q1. The decrease was mostly driven by seasonally higher advisor production bonuses and the ICA Anchor Bank contract wind-down, both of which were expected. As for commissions, they were $446 million in Q1, up $9 million or 2% sequentially, as both sales and trails grew in the quarter. Sales commissions were up, as some retail investors came back into the market following first quarter volatility. And trails also continue to grow faster than sales, as our brokerage business shifts to a more recurring revenue stream. As we look at our products, commissions grew across the Board – almost for every single product, including variable annuities and alternative investments. Turning to advisory fees, they were $323 million for Q2, up $4 million or 1% from Q1. However, I would highlight that we had a non-recurring benefit of $11 million in the quarter. Excluding this benefit, advisory fee revenue would have been down by $7 million or 2%. However, the impact to our P&L was relatively small, as the payout on this item was $10.5 million. So the net benefit to gross profit was just $500,000. Additionally, our advisory assets grew organically at a 6% annualized rate, primarily driven by growth in our hybrid platform. As a reminder, most of our economics for hybrid advisory assets show up in attachment revenue, not advisory fees. Turning now to our payout rate, it was 86% in Q2, up from 84.1% in Q1. Several factors drove this increase. First, our advisor production bonus expense grows through the year as production grows, with the biggest jump typically in Q2. And that drove about half the increase. Second, as investors returned to the market, our commissions grew at a faster rate than advisory fees in the quarter. The payout rate on commissions is higher than advisory fees. So the shift in that mix drove the base payout rate up. Third, our non-GDC sensitive payout increased as assets in our advisor deferred compensation plan grew with the S&P 500 Index. And just a reminder that this piece does not impact the bottom line, as there is an equal and offsetting amount in other revenue. Next, let's talk about asset-based fees, which include sponsor and cash sweep revenues. Sponsor revenues were $97 million in Q2, up $4 million from the prior quarter, as average assets increased sequentially. Cash sweep revenues were $41 million in Q2, down $3 million from Q1, driven by lower balances and ICA yield. Investors started to move money back into the markets in Q2, following first-quarter volatility. And this drove down cash sweep balances from 6.4% of brokerage and advisory assets last quarter to 6% in Q2. As for second quarter yields our average money market yield was 37 basis points, up by eight basis points sequentially. This is due to money market funds that were gradually reinvested in higher-yielding holdings after the December Fed rate hike. Our ICA average yield was 63 basis points, down by six basis points from Q1, as an Anchor Bank contract phased out. Additionally, we continued to actively manage our ICA portfolio, which includes more than 30 bank contracts. And as an Anchor Bank contract phased out, we place those funds elsewhere, and we were able to get better yields than we anticipated. As we look forward to the rest of 2016, let me first expand on Mark's comments about our new DCA offering. The fees we earn on DCA are based on the number of accounts – not balances, like in ICA or money market funds. So the fees we earn in DCA can be more volatile than our ICA or money market fees. Also, the fee can increase meaningfully more with rising Fed rates than money market rates can, which positions us well when interest rates rise. With the creation of this new program, we now have three cash sweep offerings: ICA, DCA, and money market. So in Q3, we will start to report our balances and yields for each of these offerings, and today we will share our outlook for their yields in the second half of the year. We have now completed a wind-down of the ICA Anchor Bank contract at the end of Q2. Therefore, if Fed rates remain the same, we would expect ICA yields in the mid-to-high-50 basis point range in the second half of 2016. As for the roughly $8 billion of balances now in DCA and money market funds, those yields are inherently harder to predict. DCA is a new offering, but we anticipate it will improve our gross profit modestly at current Fed rates. For money market funds, we expect yields to decline slightly due to money market reform, as money moves into lower-yielding government money market funds. But taken together, we anticipate an average yield across DCA and money market balances in Q3 that's relatively similar to our money market yield of 37 basis points in Q2. And while the economic benefit for us of the DCA offering is relatively small at current Fed rates, I would emphasize that DCA yields can rise far more than money market yields can. And this would benefit both eligible retail clients and our gross profit. Turning now to transaction and fee revenues, they were $102 million in Q2, down $1 million sequentially. Q1 volatility, and therefore transaction volume, were quite elevated. So in Q2, our transaction volumes came down to a more normalized level and as a reminder, our largest advisor conference of the year, FOCUS, is in Q3, so we expect conference revenues will increase by approximately $6 million sequentially. Let's now move on to expenses, starting with core G&A. In Q2, core G&A expense was $168 million, a decrease of $7 million from Q1. We continue to prudently manage our expenses while making priority investments in areas such as service and technology. And part of this is getting more productive and efficient across our organization. The Q2 decrease was primarily driven by our expense management efforts that kept most costs flat, supported by lower seasonal compensation-related expenses. In building upon what Mark said, we were really pleased with our progress on expenses. We started the year with expectations for core G&A of $715 million to $730 million, which was a growth rate well below the prior year. Given our progress in the first few months of the year, we lowered our outlook to $705 million to $720 million at our Investor Day in May. Since then, we have continued to make progress on productivity and efficiency, and we are now comfortable tightening our core G&A outlook to $705 million to $715 million. As for our promotional expenses, they were $35 million in Q2, down $1 million from Q1. Conference expenses declined sequentially, but transition assistance increased, given our stronger recruiting quarter. As we think about Q3 promotional expenses, transition assistance will vary based on our level of recruiting success. We also expect our conference expenses will be up approximately $10 million sequentially, due to FOCUS. We anticipate these costs will be partially offset by roughly $6 million of increased conference revenue, as I mentioned earlier. Moving to regulatory expenses. Q2 totaled $6 million, up $4 million from Q1. The majority of this difference was due to Q1 nonrecurring recoveries from prior matters totaling $3 million, but we did not have similar recoveries in Q2. Looking forward, these expenses are quite difficult to predict, especially on a quarterly basis, but we continue to expect full-year 2016 regulatory expenses to decline meaningfully from prior-year levels. Now on to capital management. We are focused on maintaining a strong balance sheet. Our credit agreement net leverage ratio was 3.7 times in the quarter, below our target of four times. We are also holding additional cash on the balance sheet that, if factored in, would make our leverage ratio 3.2 times. And if the current macro environment and equity levels hold, our leverage ratio could decrease slightly in the second half of the year. As for capital allocation, we did not have any share repurchases in Q2, but we continued to return capital to our shareholders through our dividend, which provides a strong yield. And while we remain cautious on share repurchases, our sentiment here is improving. We view our shares as an attractive return, given where they are trading. And we are focused on finding the right mix of maintaining balance sheet strength and deploying capital to maximize value for shareholders. Our focus is on maintaining flexibility to come back to the market when the environment is more stable. Finally, I just want to remind everyone of the seasonality of our business. Q1 and Q2 are typically our best EPS quarters of the year, while Q3 and Q4 are typically lower. For gross profit, we anticipate lower ICA yields now that the wind-down of the anchor bank contract finished in Q2. And our advisor production bonuses typically grow through the year. For expenses, we have our largest advisor conference in Q3, and our DOL implementation costs will be concentrated in the second half of 2016. This is part of the reason we have been so focused on delivering our productivity and efficiency savings, like we did in the first half of the year. So all of these things are expected and planned, but we anticipate that they will lead to lower earnings in the second half of the year. In closing, we are pleased with our business performance, our ability to gather assets and recruit advisors, and our focus on expense management. Our priorities remain to grow assets, grow gross profit faster than our assets, and be disciplined on expenses to drive greater operating leverage. And we also want to maintain a strong balance sheet while maintaining or while staying dynamic in our capital allocations. If we continue our momentum from the past two quarters, we believe we are well on our way to creating significant shareholder value. With that, operator, please open the call for questions.