Donna Dellomo
Analyst · Brian Nagel with Oppenheimer & Company
Thank you, Mary. And good morning, everyone. I will begin my remarks with a review of our second quarter results and then provide a framework for how we're approaching the remainder of fiscal 2023. Net sales increased $46.1 million or 45% to $148.5 million in the second quarter of fiscal 2023. The year-over-year net sales increase was driven by growth across all channels. Showroom net sales increased $29.8 million or 47.7% and $92.4 million in the second quarter of fiscal 2023. This increase was due in large part to a comparable sales increase of $19.9 million or 36.8% to $74 million in the second quarter of fiscal 2023, which is compared to $54.1 million in the prior-year period. This increase is principally related to higher point of sales transactions and slightly higher promotional discounting, strong promotional campaigns and the addition of 35 new showrooms, 14 kiosks and 2 mobile concierge as compared to the prior-year period. As a reminder, point of sale transactions represent orders placed through our showrooms, which does not always reflect the point at which control transfers to the customer and when that sales are recorded. Internet net sales, sales made directly to customers through our ecommerce channel, increased $6.1 million or 20.5% to $35.5 million in the second quarter of fiscal 2023 as compared to $29.5 million in the prior-year period, with the increase principally driven by the strong performance of our promotional campaigns. Other net sales, which principally includes pop-up shop, shop-in-shop and barter inventory transactions, increased $10.2 million or 98.3% to $20.6 million in the second quarter of fiscal 2023 as compared to $10.4 million in the prior-year period. The increase is primarily driven by a pull forward of planned openbox returned inventory transactions with Icon, our inventory barter partner. As a reminder, our inventory transactions with Icon are part of our CTC, DFL and ESG initiatives, where we repurpose returned openbox inventory in exchange for media credits, which are being used to support our advertising initiatives to create brand awareness and drive net sales growth. Additionally, we extended our Best Buy shop-in-shops by 18 locations, bringing the total count to 22 locations. These increases were partially offset by a shift in programming coupled with lower productivity of our temporary online pop-up shops on costco.com compared to the prior-year period. By product category, our Sactional net sales increased 53.1%. Our other category net sales, which includes decorative pillows, blankets and other accessories, increased 35.6% over the prior-year period. Due to the shifts in our sac promotional activity, sac net sales decreased 15.4% in the second quarter, but has increased 15.8% over the prior year six month period. We exceeded the second quarter net sales guidance we shared with you on our last call, primarily driven by the success of our Father's Day and July 4 promotional campaigns in addition to increased warehouse throughput even with increased demand. We also accelerated the majority of our full-year projected return box inventory transactions to provide us additional space for a normal growth in inventory levels prior to the holiday season. The decrease in gross margin rate of 310 basis points over the prior-year period was driven primarily by an increase of approximately 440 basis points in total freight costs, which includes inbound and outbound freight, tariff expenses and warehousing costs. These costs were partially offset by an improvement of 130 basis points in product margin, principally driven by a one-time vendor rebate related to currency impacts, lower promotional discounting and vendor negotiations to assist with the mitigation of tariffs. Our gross margin percent exceeded our guidance, driven primarily by lower inbound freight costs than we had projected as a result of less than projected volume of inbound containers received during the second quarter, which is shifting these costs to the third quarter, and a slight benefit to the inbound freight rates we have projected. We do anticipate freight rates to continue to decrease over the remainder of fiscal 2023, but because of the amount of inventory we maintain on hand to support customer satisfaction of the brand, we will not see the full benefit of the drop in these rates as compared to the prior year until the associate inventory is sold beginning late Q4 through the first half of fiscal 2024. The 38.1% year-over-year increase in SG&A was largely driven by an increase in employment costs due to new hires and variable compensation, overhead expenses and an increase in rent expense related to the addition of 51 touchpoints and higher percentage rent related to the touchpoint net sales increase. Overhead expenses increased due to infrastructure investments and selling related expenses, principally due to the credit card fees related to the net sales increase. SG&A expense as a percent of net sales decreased by 160 basis points due to higher leverage within rent, infrastructure investments, equity-based compensation, insurance and selling-related expenses, partially offset by travel and employment costs. The deleverage in certain expenses relate to the continuous investments we are making into the business to support ongoing growth. Advertising and marketing expenses increased $6.1 million or 46.4% to $19.1 million in the second quarter of fiscal 2023 as compared to $13 million in the prior-year period as a result of continued investments in marketing spend and awareness campaigns to support our sales growth. Advertising and marketing expenses were 12.9% of net sales in the second quarter of fiscal 2023 as compared to 12.7% of net sales in the prior-year period. This slight increase in basis points is due to an increase in media spends to support our net sales growth. Depreciation and amortization expense increased $1.5 million from the prior-year period to $3.1 million, principally related to the current year capital investments for new and remodeled showrooms. Operating income was $9.9 million compared to $9 million in the second quarter of last year, driven by the factors just discussed. Net interest income of $3,000 for the second quarter was a both prior-year second quarter expense of $46,000. Before we turn our attention to net income, net income per diluted share and adjusted EBITDA, please refer to the terminology and reconciliation between each of our adjusted metrics and the most directly comparable GAAP measurements in our earnings release issued early today. Net income was $7.1 million or $0.45 per diluted share in the second quarter of fiscal 2023 compared to net income of $8.4 million or $0.52 per diluted share in the prior-year period. During the second quarter of fiscal 2023, the company recorded $2.8 million for provision of income taxes as compared to $500,000 for the second quarter of fiscal 2022. The increase in income taxes is primarily driven by the increase in the effective tax rate to 28% in the second quarter of fiscal 2023 from 5.8% in the second quarter of fiscal 2022. This is due to fiscal 2022 having the benefit of the release of the valuation allowances on the company's net deferred assets. The valuation allowance was fully released as of the end of fiscal year 2022. We generated adjusted EBITDA of $14.1 million in the second quarter of fiscal 2023 as compared to $12.4 million in the prior-year period. Adjusted EBITDA rate exceeded expectations, driven by the higher gross margin percent, partially offset by an increase in SG&A related to the increase in net sales, as well as a conscious decision to reprioritize spend from the second half of the fiscal year, which is advertising and marketing, and increase investments surrounding supply chain technology, including a new POS system, and resources to support the continued growth of the business. Turning to our balance sheet. Inventory increased 95% year-over-year and we feel very good about both the quality and the quantity of our inventory. Our evergreen in-stock inventory is a competitive advantage and is not comprised of seasonal merchandise. Therefore, we do not run the risk of being overstocked or having to be promotional to reduce inventory levels. Our inventory levels are in line with our annual projections and our goal to support our growth and maintain industry-leading in-stock positions, with nearly half of the increase in year-over-year ending balance sheet inventory cost related to increased freight. The increase in inbound freight costs reflect the impact of the continued global supply chain situation. We expect that the rate of the year-over-year increase in our total inventory balance will moderate by year-end. We ended the second quarter with $17.7 million of cash and cash equivalents and $36 million in availability on a revolving line of credit with no borrowings. Please refer to our earnings press release for other details on our second quarter fiscal 2023 financial performance. Regarding our outlook, we continue to operate in a dynamic environment with a wider range of potential outcomes as it relates to fiscal 2023. Given this, we are not providing formal guidance, but we'll provide you a framework for how we are approaching fiscal 2023. For fiscal 2023, we reiterate what we shared with you on our first quarter earnings call, which was more than 25 planned showroom openings and continued infrastructure investments to support the substantial multi-year growth opportunity that lies ahead. Even with all of the headwinds the furniture category is experiencing, our competitive product advantage and in-stock inventory position provides us the confidence to reiterate the net sales and gross margin framework for the year that we shared on our first quarter earnings call. In a scenario where net sales growth for the fiscal year is in the previously discussed low 30% range, third quarter and fourth quarter net sales growth would be approximately 15% and 23%, respectively. The expected moderation in sales growth rate in Q3 from the levels we just reported is principally related to increased throughput and acceleration of returned open box inventory transactions in Q2 representing approximately $9.5 million in net sales, as discussed earlier. While we continue to expect gross margin rate to be approximately 300 basis points below fiscal 2022. The decline is expected to be approximately 574 basis points in Q3 and 40 basis points in Q4 over the prior-year quarters. In Q3, we are estimating an increase in total freight costs over the prior year of approximately 400 basis points, primarily related to higher outbound last mile fuel surcharges and higher inbound freight costs incurred in the first half of fiscal 2023 as compared to the prior year. As a reminder, inbound freight costs are capitalized in inventory and amortized to the P&L based on projected weeks of supply of inventory. This aligns the cost of the inbound freight to when the inventory is sold. Product margin is also estimated to decline by approximately 174 basis points related to higher promotional discounts than prior-year period. As John and Mary mentioned, we have reprioritized and accelerated certain infrastructure spend around supply chain, technology and resources to support our strategic growth roadmap. As a result of this reprioritization, while adjusted EBITDA for fiscal 2023 is projected to grow in dollars over the prior year, we expect adjusted EBITDA margin rate to decrease slightly by approximately 100 basis points for fiscal 2023. Q3 is projected to decrease approximately 1,210 basis points and Q4 is projected to increase approximately 735 basis points over the prior-year quarters. The Q3 decrease is related to the gross margin and incremental infrastructure investments discussed, which principally impact third quarter adjusted EBITDA margin rate. The increase in Q4 over prior year is due to expected leverage of operating expenses with the seasonally higher sales volumes and higher sales growth rate. So, in conclusion, we are pleased with our second quarter fiscal 2023 results that exceeded our expectations from a net sales and operating profit perspective. Despite the challenging macroenvironment, our team continued to execute against our growth strategies and operate the business with discipline. We are confident in our positioning for the second half of the year, and we will continue to capitalize on the attractive opportunities we see for growth and market share gains. With that, we would now like to turn the call back to the operator who can open it up for questions. Operator?