Brian Mueller
Analyst · Deutsche Bank. You may begin
Good afternoon and thank you for joining Grand Canyon University’s first quarter fiscal year 2015 conference call. In the first quarter of 2015, enrollments grew by 12.9% and net revenues grew by 15.9%. New enrollments grew in the mid-single digits and operating margins are at 28.8% for quarter one 2015. Continuing to produce these results requires expertise, hard work and especially teamwork. I want to thank our executive management team, our faculty and our staff for working in a multitude across functional ways, across many colleges and departments to provide our students with world-class educational experience. The 2014/15 traditional school year, officially ended this past Saturday with a Sixth and Final Commencement Ceremony. Going forward there are two numbers that will become increasingly important to the development of the traditional campus. First, we start to follow 2014 with approximately 11,000 campus students. After subtracting the students who graduated, approximately 85% of the total, remain in our registered return this coming fall. That means that we are now on track to graduate approximately 60% of our traditional campus students. In the case of GCU, I think [ph] it doesn’t accurately portray the future with regards to graduation debt rates. The deal [ph] was back six years to 2008 and only includes first time full time students with GCU had less than 100 of those students. Between 2004 and 2009, traditional campus student body had deteriorated in terms of quantity and quality. In fact, in 2008 there were less than 900 students on campus and the overall quality of the students was not good. Beginning in 2010, the traditional campus student body began to grow in both quality and quantity of students. Since 2010, each class has been stronger. The average income in, GPAs keep getting higher, retention rates continue to improve and the graduation rates will reflect those improvement. The other critical metric is that of the approximately 7,500 students who will return next year, over 60% will live on campus. And over 70% of our new students will live on campus. As we grow the traditional student body to over 25,000 students, keeping the graduation rate at close to 60% or better and keeping 70% of students living on campus, has a positive impact on both, the top and bottom lines as well as the overall culture of university. Average revenue per student is $11,000 for commuter students but $14,000 for resident student students since residential students pay for room and board as well as tuition. Building and managing resident halls and not outsourcing it as many universities have done, has become very important for two reasons. First, at very low room rates, the resident halls are very profitable which allows us to keep, leasing tuition. Second, it also allows us to create a vibrant campus in addition to keeping the campus very safe for students. We had another year with very low crime statistics. Given the recent publicity with regards to campus safety across the country, this has become a significant advantage for us. Outsourcing residential housing takes away a significant profit center but also takes away a university’s ability to create a safe, positive and productive environment for students. Campus life has become a major reason students are choosing Grand Canyon. Spiritual life activities, concerts, theater, dance, debate, clubs, intramurals and club sports as well as NCWA Athletics keep the campus alive throughout the week. This fall, in addition to the approximately 7,500 returning students, we are expecting 7,000 new students which would bring the total to 14,500. We are building four new six-storey residence halls with 3,200 new beds. But we’ll still have to turn hundreds of students away because of not having enough rooms. Each new dorm will have its own Academic Excellence Center that will provide high-touch one-on-one tutoring for freshmen students. Our students are coming with excellent academic credentials. About 60% will be studying in very rigorous science technology, engineering or math subject matter areas. And we’ll provide them with a tremendous amount of support as to begin their college career. The online campus has grown 10.6% to 57,450 students. The student mix continues to move in a strong direction. Our strongest online students by virtue of high graduation rates, low acquisition cost, low bad debt expense and low student default rates are our doctoral students, all master students and RN to BSN students. If you add our traditional ground students to those categories, they comprised 63.6% of the total student body in the first quarter of 2014 and are now 66.3% of our total student body. The strength of the student body increased academic effectiveness across many objective measures, increased continued commitment to student academic support services, and continued operational excellence has caused the revenue and expense areas to improve as well. There is a lot of discussion in higher education about how to lower cost in order for students to accumulate credits in their first two years. But not about the kind of educational setting and experience they need in their first and second years in order to gain the foundation necessary to get ready for demanding programs like science technology, engineering and math. Many of the proposed solutions remove the high-touch experience that many students require in order for rigorous academic study. Our model is producing low tuition rates but keeping the high-touch model in place. Whether teaching on our campus to traditional students who are 18 to 22 years old or through our online delivery model to working adult students, we are moving in a much different direction. We think that the full residential experience for 18-year old students including on-campus living, small class sizes, one-on-one tutoring and mentoring is more important than it ever has been as long as it remains affordable. Our classes on ground are taught with an average class size of 25, where professors know each student by name and a great deal about who they are as people. There are one-on-one tutoring services available throughout the campus including in some resident halls. And every student is assigned a personal counselor who will assist them in finding the right program, in developing their class schedules and in building the most efficient financial package. In our online classroom, many classes are taught by full-time faculty where there is an average class size of 15. There is a focus on vibrant in-class discussions led by faculty, and students are required to complete a great deal of writing throughout the program. There is a tremendous amount of resources put in the relationship of writing and the ability to develop critical thinking skills which are highly valued by employers. Writing is an important part of all our programs whether deliver in a classroom or online, but is best supported only when there are small class sizes. We are applying a great deal of technology to curriculums, instruction, assessment and counseling but not at the expense of small class instruction one-on-one in tutoring and mentoring. Net revenues were $194.1 million in the first quarter of 2015, an increase of $26.7 million or 15.9% from a $167.4 million in the prior year period. Operating margin for quarter one 2015 was 28.8% compared to 25.9% for the same period in 2014. It is important to note that tuition and housing has been frozen for six years on our ground traditional campus, and there was no increase in tuition for the online campus in the past two years. Net income was $34.2 million for the first quarter of 2015 compared to $26.3 million in the prior year period. After-tax margin was 17.6% compared to 15.7% for the same period in 2014. Instructional cost and services grew from $70.7 million in the first quarter of 2014 to $78.7 million in the first quarter of 2015, an increase of $8 million or 11.3%. This increase is primarily due to the increase in number of faculty and staff to support the increasing number of students attending university as well as increases in occupancy expenses and depreciation expense due to the additional ground campus buildings opened in the fall and higher instructional supplies and related expenses. As a percent of revenue, IC&S decreased 1.7% to 40.5%, due to the decrease in our bad debt expense as a percent of revenue from 2.3% of revenue in the first quarter of 2014 to 2% of revenue in the first quarter of 2015, as well as our ability to leverage our infrastructure over higher enrollment. Admissions advisory and related expenses decreased 1.1% to 14.6%, primarily due to our ability to leverage our admissions advisory personnel across an increasing revenue base. Advertising as a percent of net revenue increased 30 basis points from 10% in quarter one 2014 to 10.3% in quarter one of 2015. The slight increase is the result of continued focus on brand advertising in the Southwestern United States region. Marketing and promotional expenses as a percent of net revenue decreased 20 basis points from 1.1% in the quarter one of 2014 to 0.9% in quarter one of 2015. General and administrative cost as a percentage of revenue decreased from 5.1% in quarter one of 2014 to 4.8% in quarter one of 2014, primarily due to our ability to leverage the fixed cost structure of our general and administrative expenses across an increasing revenue base. We are continuing to pursue a myriad of approaches to stimulating the economy and driving increased prosperity to West Phoenix. We continued our launch of the largest corporate habitat for humanity project in the country through this program and plan to update and improve 700 homes in our neighborhood in the next four years. The first 30 homes were completed in the first quarter of 2015 involving over 300 students, faculty, and administrative volunteers. I’m also very pleased to report that our three year cohort default rate for the 2012 cohort has dropped to 11%. And our 2013 cohort is tracking to be even lower. Our two year default rate for the 2014 cohort which is no longer officially reported, but we can calculate it based upon information we receive from our lenders was 6.5%. This reflects the quality of our student body and the rise in graduation rates across all sectors of our student body. As a result of the above, net income increased from $26.3 million in the first quarter of 2014 to $34.2 million in the first quarter of 2015. I want to give you an update on what has happened since the last call regarding our back to not profit status. The work of transitioning from a for-profit to a non-for-profit entity is ongoing. The model that management initially pursued is not likely to happen for a variety of reasons. However, management is continuing to look at other possibilities where we think could have potential. We don’t have any details to discuss at this point but we believe we should know more one way or the other at the time of our second quarter conference call. As we move through this process, I want to continue to emphasize that nothing about our strategic plan will change whether we stay as a for-profit publicly traded university or become a not-for-profit university, although if our tax burden is lifted it increases our capacity to continue to invest in educational infrastructure and to lower tuition. With that I would like to turn it over to Dan Bachus, our CFO to give a little more color on our 2015 first quarter, talk about changes in the income statement, balance sheet and other items.