Gerald P. Quindlen
Analyst · Bear Stearns
Thank you, Mark, and thanks to all of you for joining us. As this is my first earnings call since assuming the CEO role on January 1st, I'm looking forward to sharing some thoughts on priorities for 2009 and beyond, and I will do so in a few minutes. Let me begin by commenting on our Q3 results. I am very pleased with our performance in Q3. We delivered record sales, profit and gross margin, and we generated strong cash flow by continuing to focus on improving the effectiveness of our working capital. There were a number of highlights in the quarter. This was the sixth quarter in a row where we delivered a significant year-over-year improvement in gross margin. We were able to achieve this improvement even with a more promotional retail environment and more OEM in the sales mix. Our strong gross margin continues to provide us with a more powerful source of flexibility and competitive advantage and demonstrates our ongoing focus on leveraging our growing scale. We saw accelerated growth in our sales of Harmony remotes, building on the momentum we established in Q2. The balanced growth between the Americas and EMEA is a good sign that our strategy is working in both regions. I was especially pleased with our record breaking sales in mice and keyboards. While our success in these categories is nothing new after 26 years, our impressive growth demonstrates that leadership and investment and innovation stimulates strong demand and supports improved margins. It was another very strong quarter for sales of our products designed specifically for notebook users. Our notebook peripheral sales, led by the growth in cordless mice and notebook stands grew by 59% compared to the prior year. We also achieved a record breaking quarter in gaming. Now while retail was down modestly, our very strong OEM gaming sales helped drive a total increase of 43% and allowed us to achieve a new quarterly high. Through the first three quarters of fiscal 2008, our combined retail and OEM gaming sales have already exceeded the total for all of fiscal 2007. From a regional perspective, I was very pleased with the strong performance in Asia with sales up 44%. I am also glad to say that we are back on track in Japan, which had a particularly strong quarter. Now as usual, we had our share of speed bumps this quarter where things don't go as well as we would have liked. We are clearly not pleased with the lack of progress in the webcam category. Now we didn't expect to return to growth in Q3, but we had expected to build on the sequential improvement that we saw in Q2, and that didn't happen. We have lost some market share in EMEA, but the good news is that our share in the Americas has never been higher. The primary challenge in webcams remains category growth. With that in mind, we will continue to execute our three point plan that focuses on product innovation, in-store consumer marketing and leveraging partnerships such as the one with Skype that we announced in October. We expect the benefits from the Skype partnership will accrue over time and we are pleased with the initial response. We are also excited about the WiLife acquisition that we made last quarter. The WiLife solution provides an affordable, easy to install, easy to use alternative to expensive professional home monitoring services and it very nicely complements our existing video business. The integration of WiLife is nearly complete and we believe that WiLife will make a solid contribution to our video business starting in fiscal 2009. I would also add that WiLife received a very positive reception from our customers at CES. Now we have said previously that we expected to return to double-digit growth in webcams by Q4 of the current fiscal year, but it's now clear to us that it's going to take longer. It may be a few more quarters before we see it, but we are confident we will return to double-digit growth during fiscal 2009. The audio category has delivered consistent double-digit growth every quarter for the last several years and we were disappointed to see the streak interrupted in Q3. As Mark mentioned, the cost of the decline was our performance in PC headsets and iPod speakers. Remember that the headset category is closely related to video calling, and we believe that the weakness in the webcam category also had a spillover effect on our PC headset sales. We expect that as the webcam category begins to improve, we will also see an improvement in headsets. The iPod speaker decline was primarily driven by a tough comparable. The fact is our latest generation of iPod products didn't fair well enough in the highly seasonal December quarter to deliver the growth over the prior year. And this was particularly true of our replacement product for the mm50 speakers. Now the difficult comparable peaked in Q3 and we do believe the worst is behind us. As you would expect, we also plan to improve the strength of our product offerings in this category during the fiscal year... the next fiscal year. And finally, it bears repeating that this was our best ever quarter in the largest segment of the audio business, PC speakers, with sales up 22%. And I was very encouraged by the strong showing of our Squeezebox products which grew significantly versus a year ago, albeit from a small base. Now let me shift away from our Q3 results and talk about CES. As you know, we introduced several new products at CES that will begin shipping this quarter. I am obviously excited about all of them, but I wanted to highlight the three that I think provide the best example of the increasing emphasis we are placing on the digital home. The diNovo Mini is a stylish, palm sized wireless keyboard that makes it easy to control PC entertainment from the sofa. We designed this product for the increasing number of people that have connected their PC to their TV. The Squeezebox Duet features an innovative controller which includes a full color LCD screen and a compact receiver, enabling people to wirelessly browse, select and play their digital music from the palm of their hand on their existing stereo speakers anywhere in the home. And finally the Harmony One. It's our newest, advanced universal remote that makes controlling home entertainment even easier with a full color touch screen, an intuitive button layout and an exceptionally comfortable user friendly design. This remote, priced at $249, is the result of our most comprehensive research and development undertaking ever. We asked our customers how we could improve their experience using our remotes, and the final product reflects their input. Upon introduction at CES, each of these products received multiple awards and enthusiastic reviews from the press. All of them are focused on taming the complexity of the digital home by simplifying the user experience while also giving them increased convenience and control. The success of our Harmony remotes demonstrates that this combination has provided us with a strong competitive advantage and we plan to build on it in the future. I had the opportunity to spend time with many of our customers at CES and I was clearly pleased to hear their positive reaction to all of our new products. They recognized the value we bring in addressing the digital home and they are looking forward to continuing partnering with us as we expand our offerings in this space. I do want to briefly share some of the key areas that I intend to focus on in my new role as CEO. I obviously have a number of strategic priorities, but driving continued profitable, double-digit growth is absolutely at the top of the list. There are several supporting priorities that I have to ensure that this happens. Product innovation is clearly the key to that growth and this is the area that will continue to receive a significant amount of our attention. I am committed to managing our resources to ensure that our product teams have the funding they need to develop our future products. The Logitech brand continues to service well in numerous markets around the globe, but there is definitely room to take it further. I am excited about the number of opportunities we see to increase the value of our brand from a competitive, a channel partner and a consumer experience perspective. In addition to leveraging the still sizeable growth opportunities in the more mature markets in the U.S. and Europe, taking advantage of the significant opportunities in emerging markets is another key to our future growth. We have established a very solid presence in hot growth areas such as Eastern Europe, Asia and Latin America, and the results in recent quarters have validated our strategy. I am confident that we will continue to benefit from our ability to tailor our approach to these markets to match their various stages of market development. And finally, acquisitions. Acquisitions have played an important role in our growth as a company to this point and will continue to as we move forward. Last year's acquisition of WiLife was the most recent example of an acquisition where we believe we can add substantial value. The strength of our balance sheet gives us the flexibility to act whenever we identify a target that we believe we can leverage to increase shareholder value over the long term. That brings me to our outlook, starting with the current fiscal quarter. The macroeconomic picture has obviously received a great deal of attention in the media in recent weeks. What we saw in Q3, and still see today as well, is sustained, strong demand for our product, especially those that feature meaningful innovation. In fact, if you look at our Q3 results, the substantial growth in mice, keyboards and the relatively high priced Harmony remotes offers compelling evidence that there is strong demand in the market for our products. Where the demand has actually been weaker is in categories such as iPod speakers or PC headsets where we believe a less than enthusiastic response by consumers to the innovation in those products rather than macroeconomic conditions was the primary cause of the slowdown. That has been our experience in the past and we don't expect it to be different as we move forward in the current environment. In the near term, we do see several positive signs. Our retail bookings through the first two weeks of the quarter are well ahead of the same period last year. We also see evidence that channel inventory levels are quite reasonable for this time of the year. Therefore, for the full fiscal year, we continue to target 15% growth in sales and we've increased our operating income target growth... income growth target from 20% to more than 20%. We continue to expect that our gross margin will be above the high end of our long-term target range of 32% to 34%. For fiscal 2009, which ends on March 31, 2009, we've established preliminary targets of 15% growth in both sales and operating income. Now naturally our first order of business is to focus on the current quarter and on achieving the targets for the current fiscal year that I have just shared with you. Once fiscal 2008 is behind us, we will discuss in more detail the expected product and operational drivers of our fiscal 2009 performance. In summary, Q3 was our best quarter ever and it clearly demonstrated the power of our diversified portfolio from a product and a regional perspective. We're pleased that the value of our market leading innovation combined with our ability to align our operating expense growth with our gross profit growth has positioned us to exceed our original full year target for operating income growth. I look forward to a successful conclusion to fiscal 2008. So, at this point, I would like to open the call for your questions. I've actually asked Guerrino to join Mark and I. Feel free to ask any one of the three of us a question. Please follow the instructions of the operator. And with that, I will turn the call back over to the operator. Question And Answer