Earnings Labs

Alliant Energy Corporation (LNT)

Q2 2022 Earnings Call· Fri, Aug 5, 2022

$72.31

-0.14%

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Transcript

Operator

Operator

Good morning, and welcome to Alliant Energy’s Conference Call for Second Quarter 2022 Results. This call is being recorded for rebroadcast. At this time, all lines are in a listen-only mode. I would now like to turn the call over to your host, Zach Fields, Investor Relations at Alliant Energy.

Zach Fields

Management

Good morning. I would like to thank all of you on the call and on the webcast for joining us today. We appreciate your participation. Joining me on this call are John Larsen, Chair, President and CEO; and Robert Durian, Executive Vice President and CFO. Following prepared remarks by John and Robert, we will have time to take questions from the investment community. We issued a news release last night announcing Alliant Energy’s second quarter 2022 financial results. This release as well as an earnings presentation will be referenced during today’s call, and are available on our Investors page of our website at www.alliantenergy.com. Before we begin, I need to remind you that the remarks we make on this call and our answers to your questions include forward-looking statements. These forward-looking statements are subject to risks that could cause actual results to be materially different. Those risks include, among others, matters discussed in Alliant Energy’s press release issued last night, and in our filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission. We disclaim any obligation to update these forward-looking statements. At this point, I’ll turn the call over to John.

John Larsen

Management

Thanks, Zach. Hello, everyone. Thank you for joining us today. We had another exceptional quarter delivering strong financial results and we’re reaffirming our 2022 earnings guidance range of $2.67 to $2.81. And given our strong start to the year, we are currently trending to the upper half of that range. Similar to other calls, I’ll share some highlights from the quarter and then turn it over to Robert to recap key financial results and regulatory progress. I’ll start with an update on our Clean Energy Blueprint. You may recall the topic of discussion last quarter was the potential for added tariffs to our projects. Given the strong need for our planned solar resources and the benefits to our customers, we have continued our momentum on executing our planned projects. I’m pleased to share that we have made excellent progress in advancing solar projects in both of our states. Let me share some of the key milestones we have achieved recently. We executed a tax equity partnership covering four solar projects that will go into service this year. We have received approval from the Wisconsin Public Service Commission for the entirety of our nearly 1.1 gigawatts of planned solar in the state of Wisconsin. And we have all 16 sites that make up our overall 1.5 gigawatts of solar additions across both Iowa and Wisconsin under site control. That momentum will continue into Q3 with our Bear Creek project scheduled to go into service soon and the final panel installation occurring at our Wood County project. I could not be prouder of our team as they continue to advance this important part of our strategy. We are also proud of the positive recognition we’ve received for our use of a skilled union workforce as we build out these projects and how…

Robert Durian

Management

Thanks, John. Good morning, everyone. Yesterday we announced second quarter 2022 GAAP earnings of $0.63 per share, compared to $0.57 per share in the second quarter of 2021. Our utility earnings increased year-over-year driven by higher AFUDC earnings attributable to increasing solar construction activities, higher electric and gas sales and the timing of income taxes. These increases in earnings were partially offset by higher interest expense. For the year, we are reaffirming our 2022 earnings guidance range of $2.67 to $2.81 per share. And as a result of strong sales year to date, combined with our employees continued focus on managing costs, we are currently trending towards the upper half of our 2022 guidance range. In the second quarter, we experienced strong electric sales driven by warmer than normal temperatures throughout our service territories and our continued trend of better than expected temperature normalized sales. This continued strength in electric sales has resulted in first half 2022 temperature normalized sales more than 2% above the first half of 2021 with our second quarter temperature normalized sales 3% higher than last year. This strength was reflected in all electric customer classes in both states and most pronounced in sales to residential and commercial classes. We continue to see strong customer growth at our Wisconsin utility and a continued pandemic recovery, particularly in customer facing businesses, such as entertainment, education and recreation. These sales results are indicative of the strength of the economies in Wisconsin and Iowa and are helping offset the impact of current cost trends. Turning to our solar investments. As John mentioned, we are moving forward on our planned solar projects without major delays. We have maintained strong momentum on these projects through proactive, procurement and panel deliveries and solid progress with our construction activities this summer. We are…

Operator

Operator

Thank you, Mr. Durian. [Operator Instructions] And we’ll take our first question from Julien Dumoulin-Smith with Bank of America.

Unidentified Analyst

Analyst

Hey, good morning, everyone. This is Darius on for Julien. Thank you for taking my question. First one, if I may just around the potential IRA legislation, I realize it’s fairly preliminary and you noted in the comments you’re continuing to evaluate. Just curious if you have any preliminary thoughts as to impact on items such as credit metrics, FFO to debt, anything along those lines that you could potentially speak to.

John Larsen

Management

Yes. Hey, good morning, Darius. Thanks for the question. I’ll maybe just share a few comments and let Robert hit on the credit metrics. One thing I’ll mention there were really three items in the previous build, back, better that we were advocating for the solar PTCs standalone storage and then direct pay. And largely from our read of that, certainly it’s not at the finish line. Those three things are in there. So as we noted, I think it gives us flexibility, not necessarily what we’re going to do. I think our plan remains very solid, but maybe in some of the financing as you noted. Also I think with the standalone storage, we’ve got so many sites that we’re developing with solar and others. We’ve got a lot of flexibility as to where we can locate storage. So think of some of that value stacking and maybe Robert, if you want to talk a little bit about the positive credit metric aspect of it. I’ll turn it to you.

Robert Durian

Management

Well, thanks, John. Yes. For the most part, we haven’t been prepared to disclose any specific details. But I think directionally, you can think of this, giving us an opportunity to actually increase our rate base, an opportunity to lower customer costs and an opportunity really to improve our cash flow metrics. When you think about the transferability of tax credits, not only the ones that we may generating from our new solar projects, but from our existing wind projects we see a pretty good opportunity to increase our cash flow over the next several years as a result of those provisions. When you kind of combine that with the fact that we do not think we’ll be subject to the 15% minimum tax based on our current income levels, we actually think it’s going to be pretty positive all around when it comes to customers, shareowners and debt holders, so pretty encouraged by the legislation.

Unidentified Analyst

Analyst

Great. Thank you very much. If I could take that one step further, I guess, as it relates to your equity needs across the forecast period over the next several years, it sounds like, if you have improving cash flow that could potentially mitigate some of those needs.

John Larsen

Management

Yes. I think you spot on Darius. As Robert noted, it’s likely that this could move us more towards ownership so increased rate base. So we’d certainly take a look at that, but also with the cash aspect of this, it can tend to balance out a bit. But anything you want to add with that, Robert. I think you’re spot on Darius.

Robert Durian

Management

I think you hit the key issues.

Unidentified Analyst

Analyst

Okay, great. That’s super helpful. One more, if I can just on the pension. Any impact from higher pension plan expense, I think it’s something that you alluded to in the previous update, just given the moves both in interest rates and also in asset values. Just curious if there’s any update there. I think in the past you’ve said that WPL there’s a deferral mechanism, so the impact would be mostly at IPL. I’m just curious if there’s any update you can provide on that front.

Robert Durian

Management

No. I think you’ve summarized it well, Darius. I think when we look at it, we’re similar to other utilities where we’ve experienced the impact of the lower and expected returns on our plan assets so far this year. And this will be partially offset by the impact of the rising interest rates that would reduce our pension obligation at our next measurement date, which would be at the end of 2022 here. So we won’t know the exact impact of the 2023 pension costs until we get to the end of the year. But as you indicated, I’d say we’re partially, but not fully insulated from the earnings impact of pension. When you think about the deferral order in Wisconsin that should fully insulate us, but in Iowa we will be subject to some level of cost. But we do have the ability to capitalize a portion of those pension costs, usually about 30% to 40% on an annual basis as part of our labor overhead process. And as we kind of think about the long-term impacts of this, while we may see some impact in 2023 we would expect that all of these costs will be reflected in our next rate reviews in both Iowa and Wisconsin. So there should not be any long-term earnings impact as a result of this.

Unidentified Analyst

Analyst

Got it. That’s very helpful. Thank you. And I’ll pass it on here.

Operator

Operator

We’ll now take our next question from Michael Sullivan with Wolfe Research.

Michael Sullivan

Analyst · Wolfe Research.

Hey everyone. Good morning.

John Larsen

Management

Good morning, Michael.

Michael Sullivan

Analyst · Wolfe Research.

Hey, John, just wanted to circle back to kind of what got discussed in the Q&A on the last call. Can you just clarify, so on the solar plans, is everything back to fully on track, including those 500 megawatts in late 2023 that seem to be facing some uncertainty? And then I think during Q&A you had indicated that that uncertainty may put you towards the lower end of the growth rate temporarily. Is that still the case, or should we think of all that as kind of resolved now?

John Larsen

Management

Yes. We’re – short answer, our solar projects are moving quite well and as planned. So we’re very comfortable with the progress we’re making on all of our solar projects.

Michael Sullivan

Analyst · Wolfe Research.

Okay. And on the growth rate, should we still think of some pressure potentially in the near-term or you think you’re kind of firmly back at the midpoint?

John Larsen

Management

Yes. The long-term 5% to 7% and certainly the impact of what we saw on possible delay of the solar, that projects that’s certainly not going to be a driver to that. So, the typical drivers as you have Michael with O&M or others, but we feel good about our cost management. I might note that our sales have been very strong. In fact, we’ve seen probably the strongest sales temperature normalized that we’ve had in over a decade. I think the second quarter this year was 3% higher than last year, which was up over the previous. So it’s a great tailwind. And as Robert noted and probably both of our comments, the IRA provides another pretty solid tailwind for – there’s certainly macroeconomic issues that we’re all facing, but it’s nice to have a couple of really solid tailwinds as well.

Michael Sullivan

Analyst · Wolfe Research.

Okay, great. Thanks. And then can you just review rate case timing plans in both states and whether or not the coal retirement delays has any impact on that?

John Larsen

Management

Sure. Maybe turn that, Robert, you want to give a quick overview on rate case?

Robert Durian

Management

Yes, sure. Michael, maybe starting in Wisconsin here, the rate case scheduled for Wisconsin would indicate another rate case for 2024, 2025 to keep on our two year cycle. And the change in the retirement dates for the Columbian Edgewater facility would not impact the timing of those rate cases. So think of 2024 and 2025, the next one in Wisconsin. For Iowa, we’re continuing to watch these cost trends. Historically, we were trying to stay out a little bit longer in Iowa, but we may be inclined to come in a little bit sooner now, maybe as early as 2023. So that’s still to be determined. And what that might look like in the future as far as whether it’s a future historical test year. But all indications are from a cost since we probably would be coming in a little bit earlier and maybe as early as the 2023 time period.

Michael Sullivan

Analyst · Wolfe Research.

Okay, great. Thank you.

John Larsen

Management

Thanks, Michael.

Operator

Operator

[Operator Instructions] Our next question will come from Andrew Weisel with Scotiabank.

Andrew Weisel

Analyst

Hey, good morning guys.

John Larsen

Management

Good morning, Andrew.

Andrew Weisel

Analyst

First question is at WPL, I think you mentioned the 300 megawatts of capacity, I guess you’ll file for that kind of any day now. Any updated thoughts on what that’s going to look like?

Robert Durian

Management

Yes. Our teams are really putting the finishing touches on that plan filing for additional resources. And again, as I indicated in my prepared remarks, Andrew, this is largely intended to replace the capacity that we expect to be sold off to some of our Wisconsin utilities at the West Riverside facility. So think of that as we’re probably filing that sometime in the next 60 days. And we’ll be providing some more details regarding the specifics of that filing when we get to the next earnings call in November.

Andrew Weisel

Analyst

Okay, great. Next, a couple questions on the coal plants. Can you talk about the O&M impact? I think you alluded a little bit to higher O&M kind of offset by the avoided capacity costs. Robert, can you maybe just talk a little bit about some of the numbers behind that and how that would impact rates between now and the next rate case that you just alluded to?

Robert Durian

Management

Yes. So maybe to kind of break it up into two different pieces, so yes, as you indicated that we will experience both O&M and capital cost to continue these facilities to operate over the next couple of years. We do have a deferral mechanism available to us in the last rate case for the 2022 and 2023 rate case that allows us to defer those costs until we get to the next rate case cycle in 2024. So we’re not expecting that O&M to have any earnings impact to us. And then as far as the capacity cost that we’ll be mitigating for our customers that usually flows through as a fuel cost. And so we’ve reflected that into the latest filing that we put in front of the commission for the 2023 fuel costs. So all in all think of this as earnings neutral, given that deferral mechanism for the O&M and capital costs. And you’ll see hopefully some modest benefits when we think about our fuel costs for 2023 that are really helping us keep those rates flat from 2022 to 2023.

Andrew Weisel

Analyst

Okay, great. That’s helpful. And then how do you expect the units to run as they transition to becoming capacity resources? I understand that MISO determines the dispatch, but are you expecting a gradual declining capacity factors or more like an abrupt change at some point?

John Larsen

Management

Yes. I think on that one, Andrew it maybe a little bit yet to be determined, but right now we don’t see those units operating in any significant way in the market. So just think of them as that reserve capacity for reliability for our customers. We’ve retired a lot of coal plants previously and transition them and they all have a little bit of a different path. So we’ll monitor that and make the right decision for our customers.

Andrew Weisel

Analyst

Sounds good. One last one, if I may. Given the strength of the year to date results, have you started to pull some expenses forward from 2023 or beyond to help customers and better position yourselves financially? Or are you waiting to get through this summer before you reinvest?

John Larsen

Management

Yes. That’s more the latter Andrew. We usually have about 40% of our earnings are in Q3. And so we typically about this time of the year, we’ll give a little indication of trending to the upper lower half, and then usually wait until the end of the third quarter before we do any potentially narrowing or guidance change. So we like to get through that third quarter before we do that.

Andrew Weisel

Analyst

Just to clarify, I wasn’t asking about guidance. I was asking about your O&Ms and how potentially like accelerating, feed trimming or programs like that.

John Larsen

Management

Yes. Got it. Sorry for that. Also pretty heavy potential for storm season here during Q3. So while we’re certainly looking at the potential for that, I think we want to be fairly conservative in our approach and make sure we’re prepared for storms or any unexpected here for the summer months.

Andrew Weisel

Analyst

Very good. Thank you for the details.

John Larsen

Management

You bet.

Operator

Operator

And it appears there are no further telephone questions. I’d like to turn the conference back to Mr. Fields for any additional or closing remarks.

Zach Fields

Management

This concludes Alliant Energy’s second quarter earnings call. A replay will be available on our investor website. Thank you for your continued support of Alliant Energy and feel free to contact me with any follow-up questions.

Operator

Operator

And once again, that does conclude today’s conference. We thank you all for your participation. You may now disconnect.