Earnings Labs

Lincoln National Corporation (LNC)

Q3 2014 Earnings Call· Sun, Nov 2, 2014

$38.15

+3.16%

Key Takeaways · AI generated
AI summary not yet generated for this transcript. Generation in progress for older transcripts; check back soon, or browse the full transcript below.
Transcript

Operator

Operator

Good morning and thank you for joining the Lincoln Financial Group's Third Quarter 2014 Earnings Conference Call. At this time all lines are in a listen-only mode. (Operator Instructions). At this time, I would like to turn the conference over to the Senior Vice President of Investors Relations, Jim Sjoreen. Please go ahead sir.

Jim Sjoreen

Management

Thank you, operator. And good morning and welcome to Lincoln Financial's Third Quarter Earnings Call. Before we begin, I have an important reminder. Any comments made during the call regarding future expectations, trends and market conditions, including comments about sales and deposits, income from operations and liquidity and capital resources are forward-looking statements under the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. These forward-looking statements involve risks and uncertainties that could cause the actual results to differ materially from current expectations. These risks and uncertainties are described in the cautionary statement disclosures in our earnings release issued yesterday and our reports on Forms 8-K, 10-Q and 10-K filed with the SEC. We appreciate your participation today and invite you to visit Lincoln's website, www.lincolnfinancial.com, where you can find our press release and statistical supplement, which include a full reconciliation of the non-GAAP measures used in the call, including income from operations and return on equity to the most comparable GAAP measures. Presenting on today's call are Dennis Glass, President and Chief Executive Officer; and Randy Freitag, Chief Financial Officer. After their prepared remarks, we will move to the question-and-answer portion of the call. I would now like to turn the call over to Dennis.

Dennis R. Glass

Management

Thank you, Jim and good morning everyone. Lincoln had another very good quarter. You read it in the news release but it is worth repeating that we achieved record operating earnings per share of $1.56 as well as record revenues up 9%. These results are being driven in large part by strong sales, positive net flows, and market lift. Each business showed sequential earnings improvement in the third quarter, that being said our group protection business is still not where it should be but we continued to make progress particularly with pricing actions. When analyzing our strong performance, it is clear that our results tie to the demonstrated ability over time to deliver on our core strategies. Notable among them, maintaining a consistent presence in key markets which combined with distribution scale and a diversified product portfolio help us to grow sales where we want to grow them and on our terms. A laser focus on repricing products were necessary to achieve acceptable return on capital, actively managing capital as evidenced in the third quarter by repurchasing another $150 million of shares as well as the 25% increase in our common stock dividend. And finally sustaining our financial strength, which includes a healthy RBC ratio, high quality and diversified general account portfolio, and cash at the holding company. Further, our annual assumption review validated the DAC balances. In the past few weeks equity markets and interest rates have experienced significant volatility. But we have a strong franchise and our job is to mitigate effects of capital market shifts, while at the same time growing earnings and ROE. We have a good record of responding to challenging conditions and our guidance on these issues as they affect Lincoln has been spot on. We will share more detail on our overall strategy…

Randal J. Freitag

Management

Thank you, Dennis. Last night we reported income from operations of $414 million or $1.56 per share for the third quarter, up 16% from the prior year period. The quarter’s earnings that was yet another record driven by strong performance in the annuity, life, and retirement businesses. As noted in the press release we had normalizing adjustment of 12 million or $0.05 per share in the quarter primarily attributable to our annual review of DAC assumptions. Similar to last year, the DAC unlocking process had a net positive impact on the results. In total this year’s DAC unlocking resulted in a positive impact of $31 million with $6 million of the impact reflected in operating income, while $25 million occurs below the line in net income. These results underscore the quality of the DAC asset on our balance sheet and reflect the rigor applied to establishing the underlying assumptions in the respective businesses. The performance of other key financial measures remained strong including operating revenues up 9% to a record $3.4 billion while G&A net of capitalized expenses grew 4.3%. Book value per share excluding AOCI growing 9% to $48.23 and return on equity which increased to 13.4%. The investment portfolio produced excellent results in the quarter. Returns on alternative investments were particularly strong this quarter with our $1.2 billion portfolio earning an annualized return of 16%. This contributed $10 million above our expected levels to the quarters result. Income from bond and mortgage prepayments was again stronger in the quarter however, as I noted on our last call that is expected in the current environment. Net income for the quarter of $439 million benefitted from a few positive items including the unlocking I mentioned earlier that more than offset $60 million of net realized losses. These strong net income…

Operator

Operator

(Operator Instructions). And our first question comes from the line of Seth Weiss from Bank of America, your line is now open.

Seth Weiss - Bank of America Merrill Lynch

Analyst · Bank of America, your line is now open

Thank You. I am curious on commentary regarding the decision not to unlock GAAP for equity market reversions to mean assumptions and as of the second quarter I believe the buffer on the DAC asset or the amount that you would have released had you unlocked DAC was over $400 million. I suspect that when you disclose this number in the third quarter 10-Q at this level is going to look quite similar. As I believe this is the largest buffer in the last five years and with that as a backdrop maybe you could help us think through what level this needs to reach to trigger a positive unlock?

Dennis R. Glass

Management

Yes, Seth, the buffer remained largely the same in total across all the businesses that is roughly $350 million right now. That’s really in line with where it’s been for the last few periods or really not a big change in the level of buffer, it moves up some quarters, moves down some quarters. Really it is the thought that I have been talking about for some time now which is that we have a corridor process. We still remain inside that corridor and so there really was not an obvious reason to unlock the return assumption. Still very comfortable, both with our long-term return assumptions and with the reversion to the mean process that we have, the immediate reversion to mean process that we have. So very comfortable with where we are and that was the thought process that we went through Seth.

Seth Weiss - Bank of America Merrill Lynch

Analyst · Bank of America, your line is now open

Okay, great, and just to clarify on the corridor I know you have two different corridors. When you say you are within, do you mean the wider corridor or still within even the narrow corridor?

Dennis R. Glass

Management

We are towards the inside corridor, pretty close to inside corridor but [ethically] [Ph] still slightly inside [Inaudible].

Seth Weiss - Bank of America Merrill Lynch

Analyst · Bank of America, your line is now open

Great. Thank you.

Dennis R. Glass

Management

You bet.

Operator

Operator

Our next question comes from the line of Steve Schwartz from Raymond James, please proceed. Steven Schwartz – Raymond James & Associates: Hey, good morning everybody. First, Dennis you go in a little too fast for me, can you go back over the case that was lost. I think that was retirement plan services, what those numbers were?

Dennis R. Glass

Management

The net negative flow in the fourth quarter will be about $600 million, Steve, and I said that it have minimal earnings impact because inside of that net number we have retained the stable value assets which offset -- and the fees on that offset the loss of record keeping revenue. Steven Schwartz – Raymond James & Associates: Okay, so this was a -- what was the total size of it?

Dennis R. Glass

Management

The total size it was an M&A deal so it was one of the situations where we have talked about sort of a market fact that’s going on, is that a lot of the health companies are merging. And so the two health companies’ plans assets in total were about $4 billion and that is the segment of the market because it’s been pricing to begin with and because oftentimes at that size you have to make specific changes to your activities that are costly. So we don’t aggressively participate in that market. Again we are south of that in target that we go forward this mid to large. So that’s the answer. Steven Schwartz – Raymond James & Associates: Okay, the $600 million is what you expect out from that just one case, so that’s not your expectation for total outflow for the fourth quarter?

Dennis R. Glass

Management

It is pretty close to where do we expect to be in total but it is specifically the outcome. Steven Schwartz – Raymond James & Associates: Okay, great. And then if I can a couple of one offs that I am interested in, particularly with regards to you, is - the treasury I mean just a few days ago approved the use of annuities and target date funds and of course you’re a large annuity provider and you have RPS and I am wondering how you think about this?

Dennis R. Glass

Management

The product inside the retirement plan is slightly different then the individual product with respect to living benefits. And we will need to manage in total our living benefit exposure and it’s not an earnings mix issue, it’s more about the balance sheet capability to have handled living benefits. So we think it’s a good development, specifically the one that you are talking about. We have a product to participate in that marketplace and we’ll manage the overall mix of our living benefit book of business. Steven Schwartz – Raymond James & Associates: And then one more if I can. I am not sure it matters any more given the change of your life sales mix but thoughts on direct to report and the potentiality of AG47, Dennis?

Dennis R. Glass

Management

Yes, so you’re referring specifically to the progress that’s being made in the discussion of the use of captives on a go forward basis. Steven Schwartz – Raymond James & Associates: Yes, that’s right.

Dennis R. Glass

Management

Lincoln has taken the lead with a couple of other life companies in discussing this with the regulators. My first point would be that there is firm agreement that any changes will only be perspective changes with respect to captives, and so the industry's existing captive arrangements will remain in place. To your point, the change in our mix reduces the need for us to do additional captive financings but remember we do them both on term business and guaranteed universal life. So we will be increasing our terms sales a little bit more. But in total we don’t have as much need for the captive arrangements as we’ve had in the past. Having said that I think even the new rules that will apply to captives once they are put in place will benefit -– we will be benefitted by using captives to again even though it will be a smaller amount than we’ve done in the past. Steven Schwartz – Raymond James & Associates: Okay, thanks, Dennis very much.

Operator

Operator

Our next question comes from the line of Jimmy Bhullar from JP Morgan. Please proceed. Jimmy Bhullar – JPMorgan Chase & Co.: Hi, first on the retirement business. Overall obviously your results are pretty strong but retirement flows were weak, so just wondering if you could talk about whether this is just an aberration and a normal volatility in the business or is it related to the competitive environment especially in the large - mid to large case markets? And then secondly on your actuarial review, can you just talk about what your interest rate assumptions are that are better than your accounts and how whether or not you changed them this quarter?

Dennis R. Glass

Management

Okay, I’ll take the first question. Let me emphasize the positives first and then come back to the mid to large which is more neutral. We did see significant growth in small case sales. We saw a significant growth in the recurring deposits in both the large case -- mid to large and small case so that’s all positive going in the right direction. We had said in the past and it continues to be the case that the mid to large case marketplace is a bit more competitive than small case market. And so it’s tougher to win. Having said that I’d also take you back a couple of quarters and remind you that we upgraded substantially our technology but while we are in that phase of installing a new administrative platform, the consultants -- I don’t want to say put us in a -- took us off the list completely but they didn’t advocate Lincoln as much when you were in a transition from one administrative platform as we were in that transition to a new administrative platform. So just in the last 15 to 18 months, the consultant community which is where you get your mid to large case business has put us on the list more often and I think that our position in the market is growing, the recognition of Lincoln is growing, and that we’ll see better results in the mid to large case market over time. Having said that, it’s still a very competitive market. We have as I mentioned in my notes, we have a pretty significant pipeline of sales but we have to get out and win that business to convert it into real sales. So dynamics are different but we are optimistic that the steps that we are taking, the investments that we are making will move sales and that [goes] [ph] up over the next several years.

Randal J. Freitag

Management

Jimmy, its Randy on your second question. Point out that there are two aspects for the interest rate assumption. First, there is the process we go through every year where we reset the beginning rates and what’s other taker to the current interest rate environment. And we did that, we do that every year, and we did that again this year. That was a modest negative impact inside of the overall unlocking process. So of course we did that. Second component is the longer-term interest rate assumption, 575 for life insurance, 525 in the annuity business in our case, and we did not change that. We are still very comfortable with that long-term assumption. I remind you that we agreed to that assumption over a period of many years 6 or 7 years I believe. So Dennis mentioned we currently are investing money at 430 and when you think about our blending of 525, 575 you are really talking about our rate increase expected over the next 6 years of 125 basis points or so. You know that’s really not that dramatic an increase its inline with a lot of expectations I see whether I’m talking to our asset managers whether I am looking at expectations in Federal Reserve or for what the treasure rates may ultimately do or whether I am looking at the forward curve. So very comfortable with long term rates. We did not change them this year. Jimmy Bhullar – JPMorgan Chase & Co.: And then the increase in rates assumed is that gradual overtime or is it more front end of back end both?

Randal J. Freitag

Management

It’s a linear rate. Jimmy Bhullar – JPMorgan Chase & Co.: Okay, that’s helpful, thank you.

Dennis R. Glass

Management

Thank you.

Operator

Operator

Our next question comes from the line of Suneet Kamath from UBS, please proceed. Suneet Kamath – UBS Great, thanks. Good morning. Just a quick follow up on the corridor for Randy. I think in your answer to Seth’s question you’d said 350 million is the mean reversion but I believe that’s just for the annuity business and if there is another bit in retirement and life bringing the total to 425 is that right?

Randal J. Freitag

Management

No, the 350 is in total but it’s roughly 280 in the annuity business and 70 million in the other two businesses. Suneet Kamath – UBS: Okay, because I am just looking at the page 46 of your Q from last quarter and I say 350 pretax annuities, are we doing pretax versus after tax, is that the difference?

Randal J. Freitag

Management

No, I am talking pretax. Those are the actual numbers this quarter. You got to remember that we go through in the unlocking process and everything and those impacts can change modestly overtime. 350 total. Suneet Kamath – UBS: Okay, got it. And then on your comment about the strain, the 100 million less of strain. Frankly it’s good to see that finally coming through. Is that in the quarter or that’s for the full year and is that a pretax or after tax kind of number?

Randal J. Freitag

Management

It’s an after tax annualized impact and simply that -- you remember in years past I’ve been very clear that the strain on new business, life insurance new business is roughly a dollar for each dollar of sales. When you look at what was the mix of business we are selling today, it’s roughly $0.85. So $0.15 of less strain for $1 sales and if you look at the level of life sales we have you get to $100 million of less annual strains. I would also note that you really see in that and the results also. So if you look at our DAC operating earnings year-to-date we are right about $750 million. We were at $250 million in the third quarter and that’s up over previous year. So you are really seeing that impact in our results. Suneet Kamath – UBS: And are you expecting that 100 million as we look forward over the next couple of years, how much is -- how significant of a change are we going to see to that number or you kind of that’s your base line at this point?

Randal J. Freitag

Management

I am not going to go beyond saying that we have 100 million right now. I mean the mix of business that we sell going forward we’ll be what it is. But we’ve talked about the repricing of the products, the fact that our mix today is less capital intensive, lower level of GUR (ph) sales being the primary driver there. Dennis talked about, we will see term sales continuing about a little bit but I don’t think you are going to see a dramatic change. Suneet Kamath – UBS: Okay, that’s helpful. And then just the last one on the re-pricing, you know, Dennis I think you’ve talked about 12% to 15% unlevered returns for most of your businesses, ex annuities, can you give us a sense of what interest rate assumption is sort of embedded in that 12% to 15% pricing return.

Dennis R. Glass

Management

Let me come at it in a different way. And say that the 12% to 15% of course is a curve in it and it has periodic payments in the pricing. Even if you took today’s yield curve, we’d still be in that range that I talked about. Suneet Kamath – UBS: Okay, but I guess if we are assuming a rising rate environment eventually at some point down the road, if you kind of pricing for current rates then obviously there should be some upside potential to that 12% to 15% unlevered return?

Dennis R. Glass

Management

Yes. Suneet Kamath – UBS: Yes, you said yes, right?

Dennis R. Glass

Management

Yes, I am sorry I moved away from the speaker there. Suneet Kamath – UBS: That’s alright, thanks very much.

Operator

Operator

Our next question comes from the line of Tom Gallagher from Credit Suisse, please proceed. Tom Gallagher – Credit Suisse: Good morning, few questions first one, Randy within your separate accounts is the mix rate within durable annuities, is the mix now roughly half equities, half fixed income, and balanced funds is that about right or can you tell me what it is if it’s not?

Randal J. Freitag

Management

Tom, I don’t know the exact mix that way. What I do know there is that our overall equity mix inside of all the funds they were as managed or directly chosen by the client is in the 65% range. Then the balance would be in long-term bond funds or have some alternative investment options in there. Tom Gallagher – Credit Suisse: Got you, so 65 equities and 35…

Randal J. Freitag

Management

Roughly. Tom Gallagher – Credit Suisse: Roughly, okay. And to circle back to the whole review process and future assumptions. I guess the one that I still struggle with and maybe you could just help me think through philosophically where your head is at on this, is assume separate account returns and the fact that I think Lincoln is one of the few companies that hasn’t reset the fixed income, assume return component just given where rates are, and I believe you’re still at 8 for a blended average long-term return assumption. So how are you thinking about balancing out where we are with interest rates and why that assumption hasn’t been reset?

Randal J. Freitag

Management

Well, it hasn’t been reset because we are very comfortable with our long-term earn rate assumption. And I am not going to dig down into the pieces of fixed income or equity but overall our long-term rate assumption for the various cohorts of business range from 7% to 9%. 7% for the more recent business, 9% for the older business. Weighted average of those is 8.2%, when you factor in the 14% immediate reversion to the mean that brings the overall average down to 7.4%. So very comfortable with those levels. In fact I’d looked at some recent proprietary information, return information from across the industry and those numbers Tom are really not out of lack with any of our major peer companies. So I am very comfortable, it seems that they are right in line with the industry. When I look at a high level and try not to get down into the weeds of this component there or that components this. So once again very comfortable and it is consistent with what I see across the industry. Tom Gallagher – Credit Suisse: Understood. Another question I had, that’s been coming up recently is several European insurers and reinsurers who have big U.S. operations have had mortality issues whether it’s embedded value or specific accounting charges. There has been I would say significant weakness here. And now you all just went through an annual review process and you didn’t find any issues, can you help shed some light on what you think might be different for Lincoln versus some of these other competitors of yours?

Randal J. Freitag

Management

Well you know that in the first quarter this year we had elevated mortality talking specifically in – business individualized business. Last two quarters mortality comes right along with their expectations. So, we invest pretty consistent with what we see historically, typically the fourth quarter, if you want to use history as your reference it would typically be a little better quarter for mortality. So that’s -- our experience has been in line with what we’ve experienced in years past. Inside of the assumption review, once again I didn’t talk about assumption by assumption by assumption its particular impact. We reset our mortality consistent with what our experience are these days. And in total I talked about what the overall impact of the unlocking were. So we haven’t seen a dramatic change in our mortality and I am not really familiar with what you are referring to in terms of what the European insurers are seeing. But we’ve updated our DAC assumption for our experience today and the impacts are what I just talked about. Tom Gallagher – Credit Suisse: The Europeans having been flagging late 90s to mid 2000s issues in particular some guarantee -- some 10 year level term resets and adverse experience there and then they have also flagged incidence of increased suicides, I’ve heard some of them have flagged. So I don’t know if any of those issues you’ve noticed anything on any of those fronts.

Dennis R. Glass

Management

Tom what makes it difficult for us to comment on your question is that we don’t know what mortality assumptions they had themselves in place at that time. You recall there was a period of time where the direct writers were reinsuring a 100% of their -- almost a 100% of their mortality because the reinsurers were so aggressive. It’s just very hard for us to comment on somebody else's experience because I believe it has an element of what they thought it should have been right. Tom Gallagher – Credit Suisse: Dennis that’s a very fair point and then that’s a good segue into my last question which is I know I think this is several years ago you all had put out some information that showed your actual to expected for mortality was exceptional. I think it was in the 70% to 80% range and that could very well explain why you are not having issues because your accounting was very conservatively looking at that issue. Do you have an update on where that stands actual to expected mortality?

Randal J. Freitag

Management

Actual to expected mortality experience of course it is going to bounce around year-to-year but there hasn’t been a material change from where we were two three years ago Tom. Tom Gallagher – Credit Suisse: So it is in -- Randy, would you say in that 70% to 80% range, its broad but is that directionally right?

Randal J. Freitag

Management

Tom I think somewhere along the way we recast the denominator, so expect a level for the older business. I mean talking about the really old business. So I think factually if you look at those numbers it’s more like the mid 80s. Tom Gallagher – Credit Suisse: Mid 80s, okay. Thanks a lot.

Randal J. Freitag

Management

You bet.

Operator

Operator

And our next question comes from the line of Randy Binner from FBR Capital Markets, please proceed. Randy Binner – FBR Capital Markets: Thank you very much. I wanted to just kind of dig into the group piece and just get some color or updates on a few items. I guess one is just on the continued elevation of claims if you can kind of share with us whether that’s an incident or recovery or other item. I think mainly between those two items that claims have been bouncing around kind of three last four quarters. So maybe we could start there and just get a feel for how those items are evolving as you continue to address this block?

Randal J. Freitag

Management

Randy, I think consistent with my comments that you continue to see some volatility from quarter-to-quarter. This particular quarter as I mentioned the LTD experience on the downside was driven by recoveries that were little lower than we have been experiencing but on the other hand incidents that came right in line with our a longer term expectations. I’ve got sort of the opposite of what you saw last quarter. So you are seeing some volatility quarter-to-quarter. The other thing I mentioned is just around claims management. You think about what our core mission in claims management is, it is too properly pay claims and then help people get back to work. And as I mentioned we continue to do the things we need to do to make sure we can do that, right. We are growing as a company so we need to keep adding staff. The nature of claims change all the time so we need to make sure we’re giving our staff the proper training they need to properly adjudicate clients. And then we need to make sure they have the best tools available so, we just invested in new claims management system. So you are going to see quarter-to-quarter volatility but I think we are doing things we need to do overtime to make sure that we are getting the best outcome. Randy Binner – FBR Capital Markets: Is there a way, I mean, I guess your business is growing you mentioned that’s why you are adding claims staff, is there a way to kind of quantify how much bigger the staff is on a per claim basis or per unit basis versus where it was before?

Randal J. Freitag

Management

You know Randy, I wouldn’t look much different then what our premium gross was 7% in the quarter, 9% year-to-date I believe. And as we grow, we’ll have more claims and we would need more staff to manage those claims. Randy Binner – FBR Capital Markets: Okay, I was reading it as more like a build out of the staff but I guess you are saying it’s increasing with the size of the book?

Randal J. Freitag

Management

Absolutely. Randy Binner – FBR Capital Markets: Okay and then last I guess – I think that low double-digit price increases were expected there going forward. I guess to me that seems a little bit higher than what we’d expect and what we are seeing from others. Can I just get a -- get more color on how that’s going to phase in and how you think that might match up versus competitors?

Dennis R. Glass

Management

Sure, as a reminder what I was talking about we have a big renewal book that comes in the first quarter of 2015, right. So first quarter is our biggest part of the year. And when you think about renewals, so when we are looking at renewals for that period we are now targeting low double-digit price increases for that renewal book as opposed to the mid-to-upper single digit price increases that we have been targeting this year. So that’s what I am referring to when I talk about low double-digit increases. And I guess it’s pretty obvious but it depends when you are trying to compare that against what the other competitors are saying, where they are starting from in terms of the need to increase prices. Were they higher than us to begin with so again I think it’s something that’s very hard to mathematically compare. Randy Binner – FBR Capital Markets: Right.

Randal J. Freitag

Management

I’d never said any price increase is easy but in total I believe you described the market as broad, sweet, accepting of the price increases that we are putting in the marketplace and that we are not seeing large swing and persistent difference. Randy Binner – FBR Capital Markets: Okay and another detailed question, I may have missed this in the call but variable income or your non-core income from investments I think was higher in the quarter. Did you quantify what that was, kind of above plan for the quarter for the overall complex?

Randal J. Freitag

Management

First off I wouldn’t describe it as non-core, alright. So it’s part of what we do. We have about $1.2 billion alternative investment book which is split between private equity and hedge funds that we’ve talked about, a longer term strategy to grow about a little bit maybe another couple hundred million dollars over the next couple of years. So it is core to what we do. It added $10 million to the bottom-line in the quarter. Randy Binner – FBR Capital Markets: $10 million above what you would normally expect from that alternative book?

Randal J. Freitag

Management

Exactly right. I should have clarified that, above what we would normally expect. Randy Binner – FBR Capital Markets: Yes, I know this is noncore but alternative is definitely the right word, that’s what I was looking for, thanks so much.

Randal J. Freitag

Management

You bet.

Operator

Operator

And our next question comes from the line of John Nadel from Sterne, Agee, please proceed with your question. John Nadel – Sterne, Agee & Leach, Inc.: Hi, good morning everybody. I had two questions one, I just want to talk about indexed universal life for a few minutes or at least get your thoughts on this, and it seems like this has become a much greater percentage UL that is of overall industry wide retail life insurance sales over the last couple of years. And we’ve heard that regulators are starting to take a closer look at this product as a result and maybe some of the sales illustrations and practices now that it’s reached that level. I know it’s not as big a percentage of your life sales but I am just wondering whether you are hearing that same thing and how you think Lincoln is prepared in handling some of the investment returns that are being illustrated?

Dennis R. Glass

Management

Let me sort of paint a broad picture. Index universal life is a good product and by and large the illustration industry wide has been reasonably responsible, but there is some outliers. And importantly I think the illustration generalizing here that illustration that are being used today don’t produce much more upside than what the customers have actually seen over the last decade or two in this product. Again I am being very general. With the changes in the capital markets and how index UL is crediting your rate mechanism is being reviewed and is in fact it’s being looked at for the last three years. And so it’s probably true that well, let me say it differently what’s come out of this three year review is suggesting some guard rails here, there, and yonder to be more clear with the customer the range of outcomes that you might get from this crediting rate mechanism. So I think it’s healthy for the industry to go through this. There is some tug and pull between parts of the industry on what the guard rails should actually be. But this is in my view a positive discussion from the perspective that we want to make sure industry wide that all of the illustration, whether it’s for index universal life or whole life policies provides the customer with a range of expectations about the future that are appropriate, and again that there is appropriate guard rail so that the industry in total is illustrating in a way that’s good for the consumer. John Nadel – Sterne, Agee & Leach, Inc.: Got it, okay and guard rails I assume Dennis that you mean you know limitations on the upper boundary on illustrated investment returns?

Dennis R. Glass

Management

Yes, that’s exactly right and this is all very technical but over the last couple of years if a particular portfolio of investments produced much higher returns than the S&P 500 and a particular company happen to have that as their base in what they conveyed to their customers, what the customers got maybe exactly what was illustrated. But I think in general, the view is that we should sort of tighten the guard rails so that there is not sort of a unique situation that for a short period of time produced above expectation that over a long period of time you might otherwise see. John Nadel – Sterne, Agee & Leach, Inc.: Very helpful, thank you and then you also mentioned Dennis up front in your commentary a recent volatility in the markets and obviously managing Lincoln through periods like this. I was thinking about the volatility over the last couple of weeks you know really related to some of the volatility managed funds and you guys have seen a good inflow of assets into your introduced volatility managed funds and I think the industry has as well. I am just wondering more color than anything else over the last few weeks, how have you seen those funds performing, are they doing what you expect them to do such that you don’t need to have the hedging program as robust outside of the funds?

Dennis R. Glass

Management

I think the answer to that is generally yes, but protected funds overlay on the underlying sub accounts is performing according to expectations. And I would add to that the protective funds is volatility overlay is really a very long term concept. And so in any particular quarter if the overlay produced better or worse results then you might expect, that’s just a quarter. And it is just, as we’ve looked at and believe me we are looking at this very closely, we are satisfied that the overlay is doing what it should do. Again we look at it over a full market cycle, not a two or three week period. And the answer to your other question, the overall hedge program is still robust and it is less costly because of the overlay to Lincoln.

Randal J. Freitag

Management

And certainly I’m not trying to draw any conclusions from a couple of weeks but these types of products seem to be relatively early in their life cycle. So just wondering how they performed, what really was the most volatile period we’ve had in probably about a year so. John Nadel – Sterne, Agee & Leach, Inc. Thank you.

Operator

Operator

At this time we have no further questions in the queue and I would like to turn the call back over to Jim Sjoreen for closing remarks. Please go ahead sir.

Jim Sjoreen

Management

Thank you, operator. We want to thank you for joining us this morning. And hope you will join us again at our conference or analyst, investors, and bankers on the morning of November 20th. The conference will be available via live webcast as will the conference material on the day of the event. Again thank you and we will be available for any follow-up calls. Have a good day.

Operator

Operator

Ladies and gentlemen, thank you for attending today’s conference. This does conclude today's program, you may all disconnect and have a wonderful day.