Randal J. Freitag
Analyst · Bank of America
Thank you, Dennis. Last night, we reported income from operations of $296 million or $1 per share for the first quarter. Similar to last quarter, there was very little noise in the reported results with normalized earnings coming in at $1, right on top of reported results. Overall, the results were consistent with our expectations and I described the quarter as both high quality and reflective of many themes that we have discussed over the past year. First, that we have a business model that will generate growth, even in a low interest rate environment, as demonstrated by year-over-year normalized earnings growth of 3%. Second, that our strong capital position will allow us to continue to return capital to shareholders as we executed upon another $150 million of share repurchases during the quarter. This, along with previous buybacks, led to normalized EPS growth of 12%. And third, that we would be making investments in key growth Businesses. While this is negatively impacting current earnings, it is building the platform for future earnings growth. Let me provide some color on the G&A picture. In the space, G&A increased a little over 9%. I'd note that roughly 1/3 of that increase was due to pure accounting driven noise around how on [ph] accounts and elements of differed comp with the offset to the expense coming through a lower share count. The remaining increase is made up of normal expense growth and strategic investments that we are making. Looking forward, I don't expect large increases in the strategic investment component relative to what we experienced in the current quarter. The key valuation drivers of book value and return on equity both improved during the quarter with book value per share, excluding AOCI, climbing nearly 4.5% to $37.25 while ROE came in at 11.2%. Turning to net income. We reported net income of $245 million for the quarter. The only item of note affecting net income was the unhedged NPR reserve which caused a loss of $84 million. Outside of the noneconomic accounting noise that is the NPR, our annuity hedge programs and general account both had excellent quarters. Turning in a $34 million gain between the 2 items. Turning to segment results and starting with annuities. Reported earnings for the quarter were $137 million. Revenues were flat compared to the year-ago quarter and up 6% sequentially. Expense assessment growth during the quarter was muted roughly 1% by the fact that the majority of writer fees are assessed against the guaranteed account value. This will typically produce slower growth in rising markets and a more stable revenue stream in falling markets. Interest spreads remain strong in the annuity business. Looking forward, I expect to see only minimal pressure in economic interest spreads with any decline, primarily to new business that will put on with lower required interest margins. As I've spent time with analysts and investors, it's becomes obvious that there are those who struggle with the risk-reward dynamics of the annuity business. From my seat, I want to note how comfortable I am with this business, whether it's the return profile that we've experienced over the years, the demographics that drive demand for our products or our industry-leading VA hedge program, we have shown and we will continue to show that the annuity business, if approached in the right way, is a great business. Retirement Plan Services produced another solid quarter all around. Earnings of $35 million were driven by higher account values that hit a record $42 billion in the quarter. Interest spread performance was very good during the quarter with rate cuts offsetting the impact of lower reinvestment rates. Looking forward, I'd expect to see spread compression of 10 to 15 basis points a year, but I'll remind you, that all products we sell today are sold at very low guaranteed interest rates, in the 1.5% range, and that will mitigate the impact of spread compression over time. Return on assets came in at 34 basis points for the quarter. We are seeing a shift in Retirement's business mix that will result in modest declines in ROA of 1 to 2 basis points a year. Although we expect this impact to be more than overcome through strong growth in sales and assets. Turning to our Life Insurance segment. Earnings of $142 million were flat with the prior year quarter. Earnings growth in the Life segment is muted by the removal of capital related to reserved financing transactions that we did last year. This negatively impacted the current quarter's earnings growth by 6% relative to the first quarter of 2011. Of course, we've used the capital freed up by those transactions to support the share repurchases that we've done over the last year. When viewed in total, impact has been a positive for EPS. Reported revenue growth of 7.5% was elevated by the work we did in 2011 migrating to a single valuation system. I'd put normalized revenue growth in the range of 5%, consistent with account balances that grew in excess of 5%. Interest spreads increased in the quarter relative to the fourth quarter of last year due to interest crediting rate actions taken during the quarter. Looking forward, I'd expect to see 10 to 15 basis points of spread compression, per year, in today's rate environment. This is consistent with our prior guidance on the impact of low interest rates. Group Protection business delivered a strong quarter of top line growth as premiums grew 6%. Elevated mortality caused a roughly 1 percentage point increase in the loss ratio relative to the first quarter of 2011. This pushed the loss ratio just outside the high-end of our expected range of 71% to 74%. We have analyzed this quarter's mortality experience and see this quarter as nothing other than one of those mortality blips that will occur from time to time. On the disability side, incidence has returned over long-term expectations. I see this as a positive as we look forward, although as long as the economy stays muted, I will retain a note of caution on my positive outlook. Before moving to Q&A, let me touch on a couple of additional topics. First on capital and capital management. Life company capital remained level during the quarter, at $7.6 billion, as strong statutory earnings of approximately $250 million were offset by dividends to the holding company of $150 million and a reduction in our deferred tax asset. RBC came in at approximately 500%, down slightly from year end. And cash at the holding company exceeded $800 million at the end of the quarter as we took advantage of favorable markets to prefund our third quarter debt maturity. From a share buyback front, we reported another 6 million shares for a total cost of $150 million. Looking out over the remainder of 2012, capital generation, that is benefiting from favorable equity markets and the reduced level of life sales, should allow us to exceed our original guidance for $400 million of capital management. As you know, I don't give specific at the guidance around share repurchases. Our actions over the last 1.5 years are part of an intentioned strategy. Simply put, our current capital position is very strong and we will allocate that capital to the most productive uses while still protecting our valuable franchises. Let me finish up my comments by noting that I find our current valuation to be at odds with the actions that we have taken and the results that are flowing from those actions, including: Share repurchases of $750 million over the last 6 quarters; a 60% increase in shareholder dividends for 2012; multiple price increases in life products that were particularly impacted by low interest rates; risk reduction across our general accounts that has reduced below investment grade holdings by nearly 4%; book value per share that has continued to grow over the last year despite the decision that we made to write off $750 million of goodwill at the end of 2011; and last but definitely not least, return on equity that has been steadily improving and came in at 11.2% in the current quarter. We'll continue to do the things that we need to do to produce those sorts of results going forward. And I firmly believe that will eventually be reflected in our valuation. With that, let me turn the call over to the operator for questions.