Randal Freitag
Analyst · Sanford Bernstein
Thank you, Dennis. Last night, we reported income from operations of $349 million or $1.08 per share for the first quarter. Overall, the quarter's strong results reflect on key themes that we have discussed in recent quarters: First, that execution of the business model and tailwinds from the capital markets will and are driving strong results across many areas, including deposits and flows, investment income, equity-based fees and an improving and solid risk profile; second, that our consistent approach to selling and distributing high-quality products with strong risk and return profiles, is benefiting the bottom line; and third, that a strong capital position is allowing us to become more proactive with our capital management activities. Strengthened investments and underwriting were the major contributors to $0.14 per share of earnings outperformance. The main contributors to the strong performance were detailed in the press release, and I will not be repeating them as I go through business unit results. Turning to interest spreads. Spreads across all businesses benefited from strong income from alternative investments and prepays. Excluding that impact, I described spreads as solid. And while spreads will not be a tailwind as we move forward, I do believe that any downside is very manageable. Consolidated return on equity for the quarter was 11.5% or about 10% after adjusting for the favorable earnings results, up from 9.5% from 2010. I'll speak to our segment ROE performance throughout my comments without the impact of corporate actions, that is, excluding goodwill, leverage and excess capital. Overall, a very strong and positive beginning to 2011, demonstrating strength and growth throughout the company. Turning to segment results and starting with annuities. Positive flows in markets produced another strong quarter, driving a 14% increase in total account balances to a record $88 billion and a 16% increase in revenues over the prior year quarter. The Annuity business reported a return on equity of 23%, 20% after normalizing earnings and up from 19% in 2010. In our Defined Contribution business, strong deposits in markets drove account value and revenue growth of 10% over the prior year quarter. The DC business reported a very strong return in equity of 18%, 15% after normalizing earnings and in line with our long-term expectations. Turning to our Life Insurance segment. Earnings drivers performed as expected, with Life Insurance in-force up 4% and account balances up 6% quarter-over-quarter. The Life business reported a return on equity of 11%, 10% after normalizing earnings and in line with our near-term expectations. Turning to the Group Protection segment. Nonmedical net earned premium grew 7%, a solid result, as some of the factors that are contributing to a challenging sales environment benefit in-force premiums. The nonmedical loss ratio of 74% is down from last year's first quarter ratio of 75% and a full year 2010 ratio of 76%. LTD incidence rates, which have been driving elevated loss ratios, came in at 3.95 per thousand in the first quarter, up from 3.57 in the first quarter of 2010 but down from 4.36 in the fourth quarter. While we continue to watch this key metric and manage it closely, we are encouraged by the improvement. Group Protection reported a return on equity of 11%, somewhat below our long-term expectations but up nicely from the 2010 full year ROE of 8%. Expense ratios in the first quarter improved over 2010 levels. As we move through the remainder of 2011, we do expect expense ratios to increase, primarily the result of growth in strategic investment-related spends across the company. We estimate the impact at $0.01 to $0.02 per share when compared to the first quarter. Let me wrap up with a few comments on risk management and capital and liquidity. Pre-DAC and pretax net realized gains or losses on investments of $6 million for the quarter were down from $59 million in the prior year quarter. Current quarter losses were focused in lower-rated RMBS and CMBS securities. While some ongoing stress will likely continue in these asset classes, we expect any stress to be at very manageable levels. The variable annuity hedge program continued its history of strong performance and ended the quarter with hedge assets of $750 million, well in excess of the hedge liability of $175 million. Estimated RBC increased from year end levels of 491% to approximately 500%, supported once again by improving credit quality and continued capital generation. Total adjusted capital of $7.2 billion was up nearly $100 million for the quarter after taking dividends to the holding company of $150 million. Quarter end net liquidity at the holding company was approximately $700 million, level with the year end amount and in excess of our targeted level of $500 million. During the quarter, we continued our capital redeployment activities with the repurchase of $75 million of common stock. Looking ahead, we expect to commit another $100 million to $150 million to buybacks over the remainder of 2011, as our businesses continue to generate free cash flow and as the environment continues to stabilize. All in all, a good quarter and a healthy position for the company at the start of the second quarter. Earlier, I referenced our improving and solid risk profile. Before we move to Q&A, let me provide some proof points around that comment without getting too exhaustive. As we have moved through and out of the financial crisis, we have repriced and restructured two of our key product lines, UL and VA, to reflect the market conditions and capital dynamics; adjusted our long-term assumptions on equity markets and interest rates, establishing DAC and reserves at conservative levels when compared to current markets; extended financing under our corporate credit facilities into 2015 and reduced its usage in support of reserve financing by approximately $1 billion; continued to allocate capital in support of the VA hedge program; opportunistically reduced risk in the general account by the purchases to higher quality securities and selling out of our more volatile holdings on pricing strength; and finally, we have built our capital and liquidity position to absorb strep conditions without disrupting ratings. Importantly, we've been able to accomplish all of these things while, at the same time, making strategic investments in our business model. With that, let me turn the call over to the operator for questions.