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Lindblad Expeditions Holdings, Inc. (LIND)

Q4 2016 Earnings Call· Tue, Mar 7, 2017

$17.79

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Transcript

Operator

Operator

Good morning and welcome to the Lindblad Expeditions fourth quarter 2016 financial results conference call. All participants will be in listen-only mode. [Operator Instructions] After today’s presentation, there will be an opportunity to ask questions. [Operator Instructions] Please also note today’s event is being recorded. I would now like to turn the conference over to Craig Felenstein, Chief Financial Officer. Please go ahead, sir.

Craig Felenstein

Analyst

Thank you, operator. Good morning, everyone, and thank you for joining us for Lindblad’s 2016 fourth quarter and full year earnings call. Joining me today is Sven Lindblad, our Founder and Chief Executive Officer; and Ian Rogers, our Chief Operating Officer. Sven will begin with some opening comments and then I will follow with some details on our fourth quarter and full year results before we open up call up for Q&A. You can find our latest earnings release in the Investor Relations section of our website. Before we get started, let me remind everyone that the company’s comments today may include statements about expectations for the future. Those expectations are subject to known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors that may cause the company’s actual results and performance in future periods to be materially different from any future results or performance suggested by these expectations. The company cannot guarantee the accuracy of any forecast or estimates and we undertake no obligation to update any forward-looking statements. If you’d like more information on the risks involved in the forward-looking statements, please see the company’s SEC filings. In addition, some of our comments may reference non-GAAP financial measures. A reconciliation of the most directly comparable GAAP financial measures and other associated disclosures are contained in the company’s earnings release. And with that out of the way, let me turn the call over to Sven.

Sven-Olof Lindblad

Analyst

Thanks, Craig. And thank you, everyone, for joining us this morning. I am delighted to have the opportunity to talk to you today about Lindblad Expeditions, and we would like to take a few minutes to discuss the company's performance in 2016 and some of the major events of the past year that shaped this financial result. I will then spend some time devoted to the path ahead and why I frankly have never felt more confident about the long-term prospects of the company. As I believe most of you know, our reason to access public markets was to raise capital and a public currency so that we could capitalize on the growing opportunity we saw for the company to add capacity and make acquisitions to satisfy demand amongst our customers. We also discussed at the time that adding capacity in our industry has a lead time and until the capacity came online our growth opportunities and levers were frankly limited. While 2016 was a year where we made significant progress in building our platform, our management team and opportunities set for the future but we fell short of our initial financial plan for a number of reasons, all of which we have discussed previously; concerns over terrorism following the Paris bombings and Brussels terrorist attack, the incessant drumbeat and concern over Zika, which began to diminish interest for a time in tropical areas that we trade, a delay in timing of some of our marketing materials versus previous years. Interestingly given that our booking window is approximately nine months in duration these items had very little impact on the first half of 2016 as we delivered 5% revenue growth, but that was reflective of the booking strength we generated prior to November 2015. We saw a significant slowdown in…

Craig Felenstein

Analyst

Thanks, Sven. Lindblad’s sustained focus on our core mission of providing unparalleled guest experiences enabled the company to once again deliver high occupancy rates in 2016, while at the same time expanding our net yield to $976 per night despite the headwinds that were present earlier in the year. And while the full year and fourth quarter financial results reflect some of the booking softness from the first half of 2016, we finished the year with bookings ahead of 2016, including over 50% growth in December versus the same month a year ago. On a reported basis, Lindblad delivered revenue growth for the full year of 15%, while adjusted EBITDA declined 11%. These results include contributions from Natural Habitat, which was acquired during the second quarter of 2016. The Lindblad segment reported a 1% revenue decline primarily from lower other revenue for items such as airfare offers and trip extensions. Guest ticket revenues were flat year-on-year in the fourth quarter as increased rates were offset by slightly lower available guest nights, primarily due to the National [Geographic] planned repositioning during the third quarter which we talked about previously, as well as from the translation of two voyages during the year to perform necessary repairs. Occupancy for the year remained over 90%, but declined slightly from 2015 primarily due to lower occupancy on the National Geographic Endeavour in anticipation of its retirement at the end of the year. Booking on its replacement, the National Geographic Endeavour II have been very strong and we expect to see significant growth in the Galapagos in 2017, the 50th anniversary of Sven’s father’s first expedition to this amazing location. Full year adjusted EBITDA at the Lindblad segment declined by 17% primarily due to the lower revenue as well as a 4% increase in operating expenses.…

Operator

Operator

Thank you. [Operator Instruction] Today's first question comes from Greg Badishkanian of Citi. Please go ahead.

Unidentified Analyst

Analyst

Hi, guys this is actually Fred Whiteman on for Greg. I was just hoping you could rationalize sort of walk us through I think you said you were 82% booked for 2017 versus 86% last year. I know that you gave some figures on the prepared remarks about recent trends. I think you said January and February were up and December was up 15%. Could you sort of bridge those two numbers along some of the stronger recent commentary that you outlined?

Craig Felenstein

Analyst

Sure. So, the real key for 2017 in terms of where we are versus 2016 is that we have a significant amount of additional inventory in 2017. And that really is predominately due to two items. The first is the launch of the National Geographic Quest which will launch at the end of June of the current year. So, that will provide us with significant amount of capacity and inventory in 2017. And we also have additional voyages on our charters in Cuba in 2017. In the current year of 2016, we only had about one month in December and in 2017 we will have the Cuba expeditions for the first three months as well as December for this year. So, I think that's the first thing and the second thing that I would talk to is that the booking trends have as Sven mentioned been really strong since April of the last year. Since that point we have seen year-on-year growth in every single month. Since that point that growth has continued in the early part of this year in January and February and as of today we are not seeing any sign of slowing down. Obviously we will keep you guys updated on how we are doing as the year progresses but right now we feel very confident about our ability to reach our financial targets for the full-year.

Unidentified Analyst

Analyst

Okay, that makes sense. And then, if you look around the overall industry, we have seen some improving trends for North America source business to Europe. Is that sort of consistent with what you guys are seeing relative to just I know you have a longer booking window but should that benefit year-over-year.

Craig Felenstein

Analyst

So, what we did for 2017 based on what happened in 2016, what we are seeing in 2016, we reduced our inventory in continental and Southern Europe. We did not know how long the effects would last of the sort of downward pressure in Europe and we moved the Orion in particular more into the northern parts sort of the Arctic and sub Artic parts of Europe. And so, the balance between the two having reduced the inventory in continental Europe and the migration further North has turned out to be a good combination of inventory. And in general, as Europe from everything I have heard in the industry, the interest in Europe is certainly increasing over what it was in 2016 where there was a huge amount of downward pressure.

Unidentified Analyst

Analyst

Okay, great. Then just one last one, could you just talk about the early feedback from the Cuba itineraries?

Sven-Olof Lindblad

Analyst

The early feedback from the Cuba itineraries has been frankly mixed. Cuba is a complex country to operate in. I believe we've had a very strong on the ground presence our own presence working with the Cubans too and with the folks we have chartered the ship from to operate there. It has been a lot of work but that the level of work is diminishing as we sort of get our arms around the realities of the system if you will which is inconsistent at best and needs a lot of focus in order to keep it arm tracked. But we feel good about it. It is not to be underestimated that working there is complex.

Unidentified Analyst

Analyst

Okay, great. Thank you.

Operator

Operator

[Operator Instruction] Today's next question comes from Chris Woronka of Deutsche Bank. Please go ahead.

Chris Woronka

Analyst

Hey, good morning guys. I wanted to ask you on that data point you gave out on the $8 million being ahead of $8 million on bookings, is that if we kind of normalized that and we took out Quest, Cuba and Orion and kind of looked at maybe same-store that's possible with that Would that number still be positive or would it be closer flat?

Craig Felenstein

Analyst

Hi, this is Craig. Thanks for question, Chris. It's a hard question to answer because obviously the guess that are both on those vessels may have opted for some of our other itineraries if they had decided to travel with us but just from a pure math perspective if you take out the out of that you just mentioned you probably would be pretty close to where you were at the same point a year ago and actually a new factor in that's for when you factor in Quest. If you factor in the Orion we certainly would be ahead, so that the cancellation on Orion certainly had presented a headwind for us looking at 2017. And if you if the Orion hadn't happened and you didn't have the Quest and you didn't have Cuba you would still be ahead but that's obviously a lot of conjecture into that statement.

Chris Woronka

Analyst

Sure, understood. And then on that have -- this will be your first full-year of ownership. Can you maybe give us a little color on where you are in terms of some of this thing? I know they are operating pretty autonomously but in terms of some of the things you guys are benefits you guys are thinking of taking up, kind of where are you in that process and what do you how do you see that unfolding this year?

Sven-Olof Lindblad

Analyst

So, one of the things that we believed would be the case and has proven out is that our traveler and that expeditions traveler and the Nat Hab traveler are very similar types of people and they have a great and strong allegiance to the company's they do business with. And so, we have found that the ability to cross sell has been increasing in terms of those results. And we really haven't yet made that effort fully but we intent to accelerate that effort this year because we are doing a multitude of tests on their side and on our side to see what the response was about this concept of cross over. So, our travelers actually quite omnivorous from the perspective of this isn't the only kind of travel they do and so they do like to take as far as they do like to do things that are different in the nature space. And so, this is proven to be I think advantageous because now when a traveler of ours wants to go to East Africa let's say on a safari they go with Nat Hab and all likelihood rather than somebody else and so it keeps it, hence the term keeping it in the family. So, that is a primary benefit. Also we are going to be developing land-based programs that we will more aggressively offer our past guest audience under our brand in order to expand that net interest. So, it's a there is a bit of learning curve about adaption between two companies that have very loyal customers followings but the key is that the inclinations or the interest and the economics are rather similar.

Craig Felenstein

Analyst

And just to add to that. We are also very fortunate that Nat Hab has some great ideas through Ben Bressler, the founder and CEO are now in a position where we are able to fund some of those capital expenditures. So, we have a rigorous program overview of those capital expenditures but we are also able to take advantage of accelerating their growth. So, there are some exciting ideas coming up with regard to potential for that business in its own right and we are excited by those opportunities because there will be crossover as Sven mentioned.

Chris Woronka

Analyst

Great. Thanks, that's helpful. I guess just one more for Craig I suppose. Well Craig, what are you thinking in terms of oil and kind of FX baked into the guidance?

Craig Felenstein

Analyst

Sure. So, from a fuel perspective, we are expecting there would be an increase in 2017 versus 2016. We are not going to talk specifically about how much we assume but obviously given where prices are today we don't expect them to stay at these low levels. Hopefully they do and that will be a opportunity for us but we certainly don't anticipate that being the case throughout 2017. So, on the fuel front that's where we are. On the FX front, I think it's important to know that the majority of our revenue, the vast majority of our revenue is actually in US dollars. So, there really is not any large impact to revenues from the currency perspective. On the cost side, about 90% plus of our cost are also in US dollar. There is some cost in Euros that obviously is susceptible to any foreign currency fluctuations. But given the amount of impact that we see from US dollar revenue of the cost, we don't bake in any kind of currency fluctuations into our forward looking expectations.

Chris Woronka

Analyst

Okay, very good. Thanks guys.

Operator

Operator

And ladies and gentlemen this concludes our question-and-answer session. I would like to turn the conference back over to the management team for any final remarks.

Sven-Olof Lindblad

Analyst

Thank you everybody for joining us today. We appreciate your time and if you have any follow-up questions, please feel free to give me a call in our office in New York. Thanks.

Craig Felenstein

Analyst

Thank you.

Operator

Operator

And thank you gentlemen. Today's conference has now concluded. We thank you all for attending today's presentation. You may now disconnect your lines and have a wonderful day.