Charles Merdian
Analyst · JPMorgan. Please go ahead
Thanks, Eric. During the quarter, we closed 1,547 homes, a decline of 38.1% primarily related to lower community count and absorptions compared to last year’s record comp. As Eric noted, 443 of our closings were sold through our wholesale business, representing 28.6% of our total closings compared to 433 homes or 17.3% of our total closings in the same quarter last year. Revenue in the third quarter was $547 million, a decline of 27.2% from last year, primarily driven by fewer home closings and partially offset by a 17.6% increase in our average selling prices to $353,635. Selling prices increased in all of our reportable segments primarily due to the quality of and our success maintaining our backlog as well as our ability to pass through higher input costs in supply constrained markets. Gross margin this quarter was 28.5%, a 160 basis point improvement over the same period last year and a new third quarter record. The increase resulted from prices and excessive costs in our backlog, lower capitalized interest expense and lower lot cost as a percentage of average sales price. Adjusted gross margin this quarter was 29.5%, a 130 basis point improvement over the same period last year and also a new third quarter record. Adjusted gross margin excludes $4.6 million of capitalized interest charged cost of sales during the quarter and approximately $1.2 million related to purchase accounting together representing 100 basis points. Combined, selling, general and administrative expenses for the third quarter were 11.2% of revenue compared to 8.6% during the same period last year. Selling expenses for the quarter were $33.9 million or 6.2% of revenue compared to 5.3% for the third quarter of 2021. The increase was primarily related to higher advertising spend and other selling related expenses as a percentage of revenues and was partially offset by lower outside commissions. General and administrative expenses totaled $27.3 million or 5% of revenue compared to $24.5 million last year. The increase was primarily driven by increased overhead expenses and terminated deal costs. We expect quarterly SG&A to vary based on revenue and initiatives undertaken to navigate the current market uncertainty. Based on our results to-date, we now expect our full year SG&A expenses as a percentage of revenue to be in a range between 11% and 12%. EBITDA for the quarter was $113.7 million or 20.8% of revenue, representing a 270 basis point improvement over the same period last year and a new third quarter record. Adjusted EBITDA was $100.8 million or 18.4% of revenue, a 130 basis point decrease year-over-year. Adjusted EBITDA excludes $14.1 million of other income and $1.2 million related to purchase accounting together representing approximately 240 basis points. The decrease in adjusted EBITDA as a percentage of revenue was attributable to an $11.8 million year-over-year increase in other income, reflecting a one-time gain on the sale of an interest rate cap prior to its expiration. Income associated with our investment in unconsolidated entities and an increase in the number of acreage home sites sold in a North Carolina community, not associated with our core homebuilding operations. Pre-tax net income was $108.7 million or 19.9% of revenue, a 300 basis point improvement over the same period last year and a new third quarter record. Our effective tax rate in the third quarter was 16.8% compared to 20.8% last year. The decrease was driven by the reinstatement of federal energy efficient tax credits on qualified homes, including the retroactive impact of credits related to closings in the first half of 2022. We plan to receive additional tax credits during the fourth quarter and now estimate our full year effective tax rate will be in the range between 21% and 22%. Our third quarter reported net income was $90.4 million or 16.5% of revenue. Earnings per share in the third quarter were $3.88 per basic share and $3.85 per diluted share. Gross orders in the third quarter were 1,951. Net orders were 1,536, an increase of 94.4% year over year, primarily due to our decision to limit sales in the third quarter of last year, resulting in a modest comp. Net orders were up 77.8% sequentially, illustrating our success driving more leads through increased advertising spend as well as our ability to implement the right combinations of incentives needed to qualify more customers. Excluding wholesale contracts written during the quarter, retail net orders were up 30% year-over-year and 20.8% sequentially. Our cancellation rate for the third quarter was 21.3% compared to 43.1% last year and 30.5% last quarter. Our backlog at the end of the third quarter consisted of 1,255 homes, valued at $428.3 million. Turning to our land position, as of September 30, our portfolio consisted of 76,453 owned and controlled lots, a decrease of 12.6% year-over-year and 15% sequentially. We ended the quarter with 60,627 owned lots, an increase of 37.2% year-over-year and a decrease of 2% sequentially. Of our owned lots, 48,516 were either raw land or land under development and approximately one-third of those lots, were actively under development. Of the remaining 12,111 of our owned lots, 8001 were finished vacant lots. We slowed our pace of starts during the quarter to align our vertical inventory with current demand. During the quarter, we started approximately 840 homes compared to over 2,300 starts this time last year and a similar amount last quarter. At September 30, we had 4,110 completed homes, information centers or homes in process. Excluding information centers and homes in process, we had 1,420 completed homes. Finally, at quarter end, we controlled 15,826 lots, a decrease of 63.5% year-over-year and 43.7% sequentially. The decrease in controlled lots primarily resulted from an ongoing assessment of our pipeline and the decision to walk from deals that no longer met our criteria or where we believe we could acquire the same or similar piece of land at more opportunistic prices in the future. During the quarter, these terminations resulted in approximately $3.1 million of costs. Turning to the balance sheet, we ended the quarter with $52.7 million in cash, nearly $2.9 billion in real estate inventory and total assets of over $3.1 billion. Total debt at quarter end was $1.2 billion, resulting in a debt to capitalization ratio of 43.4% and a net debt to capitalization ratio of 42.3%. As of September 30, we had total liquidity of $180 million consisting of the $52.7 million of cash on hand and $127.3 million available to borrow under our credit facility. We will continue to adjust inventory in line with the pace of demand in each community. And as our vertical inventory rebalances, we expect to generate positive cash flow that will further enhance our balance sheet and create additional liquidity by the end of the year. Given current market conditions, we chose not to repurchase stock during the third quarter, focusing instead on developing the land that will drive our community count growth in 2023 and 2024. At this point, I will turn the call back over to Eric.