Dave Bourdon
Analyst · Jamie Perse with Goldman Sachs
Thank you, Ken. I am very pleased to participate in my first LifeStance earnings call. I joined this company because of its unique market position, compelling mission, significant growth opportunity, and talented team. I look forward to working with our team to increase our financial discipline and improve our annual and multi-year planning processes so that we can consistently deliver on our commitments. Now, turning to our fourth quarter performance. LifeStance delivered strong top line results. Revenue of $229 million increased 21% year-over-year, with the outperformance in the quarter primarily driven by higher than expected clinician count and productivity. Visit volumes of 1,487,000 increased 16% year-over year. Total revenue per visit increased 4% year-over year to $154. Our revenue is a function of visit volumes and total revenue per visit. Therefore, we look forward to reporting these metrics on a quarterly basis going forward. Historical information, beginning with the first quarter of 2022, is provided in the earnings materials posted to our website. For the full year, we delivered revenue of $860 million, up 29% year-over-year. Additionally, the better-than-expected top line results flowed through to Center Margin. Center Margin of $63 million in the quarter increased by 16% year-over-year. Full year Center Margin of $237 million grew 18% year-over-year. Adjusted EBITDA of $10 million in the quarter was at the high end of our guidance range, and included investments across the business such as growing our revenue cycle management team. These investments were accelerated, and as a result, G&A was higher than previously expected. For the full year, adjusted EBITDA was $53 million, representing 6.1% of revenue. Turning to liquidity. In the fourth quarter, we generated positive free cash flow of $26 million, and $36 million in cash from operating activities. As Ken mentioned, these positive improvements in cash flow were driven by improved collections. We are encouraged by this progress and see it as a tangible return on our investment in this team. Our DSO fell by 8 days quarter-over-quarter, and I’d like to highlight that each one of these days represents roughly $2.5 million. Additionally, capital expenditures were consistent with our strategy of moderating the pace of de novo center openings. We exited the quarter with cash of $109 million and net long-term debt of $225 million. We have additional debt capacity from a delayed-draw term loan of $66 million as well as a $50 million revolving debt facility, providing us with sufficient financial flexibility. In terms of our outlook for 2023, we expect full year revenue of $980 million to $1.02 billion, Center Margin of $270 to $290 million, and Adjusted EBITDA of $50 to $62 million. Our annual guidance assumes year-over-year revenue growth driven primarily by higher clinicians and visits combined with a modest increase in the total revenue per visit. Otherwise, we are assuming generally consistent operational performance year-over-year. Our guidance also contemplates a revenue split of roughly 50/50 in the first and second half of the year due to seasonality. We expect G&A to grow at a higher rate than revenue as we invest in strengthening the business, which is depressing margins year-over-year. For the first quarter, we expect revenue of $242 to $252 million, Center Margin of $62 to $69 million, and Adjusted EBITDA of $7 to $12 million. We expect first quarter adjusted EBITDA margins to be down sequentially due to payroll taxes and seasonality related to some of our services due to the reset of patient deductibles. We also expect incremental G&A expenses in the first quarter, driven by additional investments to support the business. We then expect margins to improve for the remainder of the year, resulting in modestly more earnings in the second half versus the first half of the year. Additionally, we expect stock-based compensation expense of approximately $90 to $110 million in 2023, including approximately $25 million from the new 2023 grants. For the year, we are expecting M&A spend of approximately $40 million, inclusive of up to $20 million in earn-outs from prior years’ acquisitions. We continue to have a strong balance sheet and do not anticipate the need to raise capital in 2023. We expect to have negative free cash flow in the first half of the year, primarily driven by two factors: first, compensation costs such as higher payroll taxes, bonus payments and the funding of the 401(k); and second, temporarily higher DSO driven by an increase in patient responsibility as deductibles reset in January. We expect to generate positive free cash flow in the second half of the year with the absence of these first half costs, along with DSO improving from first quarter levels. As Ken highlighted, we believe it’s imperative to make strategic investments in those areas which will deliver significant long-term benefits that enable LifeStance to better serve our patients, clinicians and team members, while achieving operating leverage as we continue to grow. We have identified three critical investments that will occur over the next 24 to 36 months. These investments are, one, implementing an HRIS system to effectively manage the entire lifecycle of our employees, two, implementing a technology platform that enables credentialing and onboarding of clinicians, and three enhancing our electronic health record or EHR experience. We will identify the non-recurring spend for these strategic initiatives as a discrete add-back item to calculate Adjusted EBITDA. Once implemented, the ongoing costs will come through as G&A. We are in the planning and implementation phases of the HRIS and the technology platform that supports credentialing and onboarding. We expect those to be completed in the next 12 to 18 months with a cost of approximately $6 to $8 million. Of this, $2.5 to $3.5 million will be recognized as G&A expenses with the remainder in CapEx. We anticipate that the majority of the investment will be incurred this year. The EHR initiative is in the very early stages of discovery. We expect to use most of 2023 to evaluate a range of options, from collaborating with our current vendor to implementing an alternative vendor solution. We will update you when we provide 2024 guidance on our path forward, estimated costs and timeline for the EHR initiative. All in all, 2023 is going to be a busy year. We are ambitious, we are committed, and we are going to execute on our key initiatives. We know there is significant growth ahead, and we are building this company for a long and bright future. We will make the necessary investments along the way to ensure we fully capture that opportunity. In regards to our outlook through 2025, we expect organic revenue to deliver mid-teens annual growth for the next 2 to 3 years, with potential future M&A being incremental to that level of growth. We expect material Adjusted EBITDA margin expansion in 2024 and 2025 with a trajectory to double digit margins by the end of 2025. The improvement from current levels will be driven by rate improvement with payors, operating leverage, and growth of higher margin mental health offerings, such as neuropsych testing and group therapy. We expect to be free cash flow positive for 2025 to fund both organic as well as moderate M&A growth. With that, I’ll turn it over to Danish for additional color with respect to operations.