Stuart Miller
Analyst · Zelman Associates
Okay, good morning, and thank you all for joining us for our third quarter 2011 update. As always, I'm joined this morning by Bruce Gross, our Chief Financial Officer; Diane Bessette, our Vice President and Treasurer; and David Collins, our Controller. Additionally, Jeff Krasnoff, Chief Executive Officer of our Rialto segment, is here to participate as well. Jon Jaffe, our Chief Operating Officer; and Rick Beckwitt, our President, are available to participate by phone for the question-and-answer period, they don't happen to be here in Miami today. I'm going to begin with some brief remarks about the current housing market in general. Jeff will update Rialto's progress, and Bruce will provide detail on our numbers. And then of course, we'll open the phone line to your question. As always, I'd like to request that in our Q&A period, everyone please limit to just one question and one follow-up, so that we can be as fair as possible to everybody. In the context of what continues to be a challenging U.S. housing market, we're pleased to report our sixth consecutive quarter of profitability as we continue to position Lennar for future success. As noted in our press release, all of our business segments, Homebuilding, Financial Services and Rialto, were profitable in the quarter in spite of significant challenges. Bruce will review the numbers in a few minutes. Throughout our third quarter, we continued to see evidence that the consumer is beginning to return in earnest to the homebuilding market. Although sales price and pace are still under pressure, traffic trends have continued to improve and real, traditional primary purchasers with a real desire to purchase are showing up. The combination of home prices that have dropped to attractive levels across the country, together with interest rates on 30-year loans that are at historic lows, has made the prospect of home ownership both compelling and widely affordable. In addition, increases in rental rates that consumers are feeling and seeing in many markets are driving people to consider the stability of home ownership as it relates to housing costs over years. Finally, the millions of Americans that have either moved home, found a roommate or otherwise postponed forming a new household are beginning to consider their living accommodations, and options abound today and they are affordable. Demand remains constrained, however, by the availability of financing and general consumer confidence. Mortgage financing is still only available to the most creditworthy purchasers and an already skittish customer is being driven away from the purchase by a burdensome and invasive mortgage qualification process together with a mountain of paperwork and never-ending re-verifications. There has been a clear overcorrection that has taken place in the lending market as the ability for buyers to actually get loans is limited at best. The government remains the primary financing resource in the housing market. FHA, VA, Fannie and Freddie are the primary drivers of the housing finance market, but are constrained by government oversight and mandate that is risk adverse and primarily focused on the preservation of existing capital. Additionally, there is a prevailing desire in Washington to have the government exit the mortgage finance business. This combination of drivers is shrinking available capital needed for demand to turn into actual sales. We reviewed our last 18 months of FHA, VA and Fannie and Freddie loans, and found that the average FICO score was in the 700 range, while the average rejection was in the 650 range. Today's rigid risk matrix is severely limiting access to the market for the many customers who have a down payment, have a job, have acceptable credit and are good credit risks in a normalized environment. And while there is, of course, virtue in being risk adverse, the logical extension of where we are is that we make only one loan for $200,000 to Warren Buffett and we will never have a default. Unfortunately, we will also not have much of a housing market. Loan limits for government agencies are set to be reduced on October 1 of this year and other actions continue to hamper the expansion of credit availability. Traditional lenders are constrained by the threat of putbacks in an uncertain regulatory environment. A private securities market has not reemerged to provide needed capital for finance and likely won't become a factor until the playing field of risk identification and the legal consequence of a loan and mortgage are resolved. Initial Private Label securities are populated with loans that are of exceedingly high credit standards. Today's ultraconservative home finance environment has been a limiting factor in the normalization of demand and confidence for both new and existing homes. Free market forces are beginning to work the way they're supposed to, but they are constrained. Fortunately, there is a growing awareness in the government today that the economy and jobs are not likely to recover without a recovery in housing. I've spent a considerable amount of time recently with members of the government and am seeing a change in attitude and focus. As home prices have continued to slide and foreclosures have risen, there's a growing awareness that restricting credit at this time is not prudent. Policies to date have not worked, and we're starting to see the government reach out to a broad spectrum of industry thinkers for ideas and information on how to stabilize and stimulate housing. It seems that this is part of a process. It is slow and frustrating for sure, but trial and error will ultimately give way to the right answers. I believe that the lending log jam will ultimately be unlocked. And as lenders begin to lend again to appropriate underwriting standards, and they will, demand will be unlocked and in turn, increased sales, together with positive press, will create much-needed urgency and unlock consumer confidence in the housing sector. While the market seeks equilibrium, at Lennar, we remained focused on maintaining profitability at current levels of operation. We have sharpened our focus on our core Homebuilding business given the current economic conditions while we position for an ultimate recovery. We've just completed our third quarter operations reviews with our regional presidents. Rick and Jon have gone through the operations and business plans of each of our divisions and reviewed the performance and position of each division and their respective markets. We remain optimistic about the future of the housing market in general and about our business in particular. In almost all of our divisions, we're continuing to find that there are pockets of activity that are strong, and we've continued to make strategic purchases of new land and communities in areas that continue to produce strong margins for our homebuilding operations. These purchases are holding us in good stead today and are preparing us for even better performance as market conditions improve. In order to drive profitability in current market conditions, we've gotten each of the most important components of our operating business working well and efficiently. Our product research and reworked product offerings are enabling us to compete favorably with the existing home market and foreclosures as they are our biggest competitors in today's market. Our efficient cycle time enables us to be less reliant on standing inventories for sale and our careful negotiation of construction costs is helping us drive value-oriented sales prices which are required for sales in these market conditions. Our low inventory approach to sales and starts is working to help maintain our industry-leading margins and our carefully managed overhead levels are in line with our current volume and are working to drive a positive net margin. Our Lennar's Everything's Included marketing platform is highlighting our value-oriented offerings to our customers, and our strategic land purchasers, driven in large part by leveraging our Rialto relationships, are working to position us with low-cost lands to drive higher margins. And of course, most importantly, our extremely strong management team and associates that have driven this company through the best and the worst of times continue to be the driving force that keeps our company ahead of the market and positioned for success. Alongside Homebuilding, Lennar's Financial Services segment continued to improve its operational performance as well. Just as our Homebuilding operations have right-sized to current volume, our Financial Services group has worked hard to trim overhead in order to contribute profitably at today's volumes. Similarly, an increase in volume in the Homebuilding segment will translate into strong operational leverage for our Financial Services segment as well. And Bruce will give you some additional detail on the Financial Services segment. Our Rialto program continues to complement our Homebuilding and Financial Services activity as it also adds to our overall profitability. Except for the mark-to-market adjustment reported in the PPIP program this quarter, Rialto continues to show very strong operational performance and profitability as we continue to build that program. In the third quarter, we continued to add to our investment pool by purchasing approximately $380 million of assets or approximately $170 million of equity primarily through our Rialto opportunity fund. Additionally, we've expanded the size of that fund from approximately $370 million last quarter -- reported last quarter to almost $600 million including at closing last week. This affords us a great deal of capital to pursue the many opportunities that exists in today's distressed markets. Rialto has continued to grow, and Jeff will update you on that progress in a minute. All in all, we're very comfortable with our current position, the current position of Lennar today. We know that market conditions remain difficult and we do not believe that there's a silver bullet, quick fix out there. Accordingly, we’ve positioned ourselves to remain profitable while the market corrects and positioned to benefit from strong operational leverage when the market starts to improve. Our willingness to confront the reality of market conditions honestly and early has enabled our company to make the necessary adjustments to get to profitability in the short term while we strategically position our company for future success. Jeff?