Jeff Vanneste
Analyst · RBC Capital Markets. Your line is open
Thanks, John. Lear continues to grow in both segments with record core operating earnings and margins. These operating results are the outcome of the investments we have made over the last several years, as well as our industry leading cost structure. We have expanded our product capabilities in seating with the acquisitions of Guilford Fabric and Eagle Ottawa Leather. And in Electrical, we have expanded our industry leading capabilities with the recent acquisitions of Autonet Mobile and Arada Systems to enhance our ability to move data and signals to, from, and within the vehicle. Since 2010 we have added 30 new component operations in low-cost countries and now have over 80% of our component manufacturing capacity in low-cost countries. This, coupled with our investment of over $1 billion in operational restructuring, provides us with the lowest cost structure in both of our business segments. We have long history of strong free cash flow generation which has allowed us to continue to invest in our business and return cash to shareholders, while maintaining a strong and flexible capital structure. In line of our first quarter performance and confidence in the outlook for our business, we are again increasing our earnings and free cash flow outlook for 2016. Slide 6 shows vehicle production in our key markets for the second quarter. In the quarter, 22.5 million vehicles were produced globally, up 3% from 2015 and generally in line with our expectations. Production increased in all of our major markets except Brazil. While the euro was up 2% versus the U.S. dollar, this was more than offset by the strengthening of the dollar in currency in other key markets, including China, which had a net impact of reducing sales during the quarter. Slide 7 shows our reported financial results for the second quarter. Our reported sales increased by 3% from a year ago to $4.7 billion. Excluding the impact of foreign exchange and commodity prices, sales increased by 4% reflecting our continued strong backlog. Pre-tax income before equity income, interest and other expense was $373 million, up $87 million from a year ago. Equity income increased by $11 million, reflecting strong performance in our non-consolidated joint ventures in China. Other income included a one-time gain related to the consolidation of a joint venture. Excluding this gain, other was in line with a year ago. Interest expense was $20 million, also in line with a year ago. Net income attributable to Lear was $282 million, up $101 million from the prior year, primarily reflecting strong operating performance and lower restructuring costs. Slide 8 shows the impact of non-operating items on our second quarter. During the quarter we incurred $28 million of restructuring costs primarily related to hourly and salary census actions. Excluding the impact of non-operating items, we had core operating earnings of $399 million, an increase of $61 million from 2015. The earnings improvement reflects the benefit of new business, increased production on key platforms, and favorable operating performance. Adjusted for restructuring and special items, net income attributable to Lear in the second quarter was $270 million; and diluted earnings per share was $3.66, up 30% from 2015. The increase in earnings per share reflects our strong operational performance and our share repurchases. Slide 9 shows our adjusted margins in the second quarter. Lear’s adjusted margin was a record 8.4%, up 110 basis points from a year ago. In Seating, sales of $3.6 billion increased 2% from last year with adjusted earnings of $302 million, up $49 million or 19%. Excluding the impact of foreign exchange and commodity prices, sales increased by 4% reflecting the addition of new business and improved production volumes on key platforms. Adjusted Seating margins were 8.3%, up 120 basis points from a year ago. The increase in margin reflects the increase in sales, and strong operating performance. In Electrical, sales of $1.1 billion were up 3% from last year with adjusted earnings of $161 million, up $14 million or 10%. Excluding the impact of foreign exchange and commodity prices, sales were up 5%, primarily reflecting the addition of new business. Adjusted Electrical margins improved to 14.8%, up 90 basis points from a year ago, reflecting the increase in sales and favorable operating performance. Slide 10 provides a summary of free cash flow, which was $435 million in the second quarter, and $636 million through the first half of 2016. The Company continues to generate strong cash flow with a free cash flow yield of approximately 11%. Slide 11 provides an update on our share repurchase program. As we mentioned in the past, our philosophy and historical practice have been to employ a balanced approach of investing in the business and consistently returning cash to our shareholders. The strength of our balance sheet allows us the flexibility to take advantage of market opportunities, both with potential acquisitions as well as the repurchase of our own shares. In February, Lear’s Board of Directors increased our share repurchased authorization to $1 billion through December of 2017. In the second quarter of 2016, we repurchased 1.3 million shares for a total of $250 million, bringing the year-to-date total to 3.7 million shares or 5% of our shares outstanding at the beginning of the year. Since initiating the share repurchase program in 2011, total cash return to shareholders is $3.2 billion including dividends. Our share repurchases represent a reduction of approximately 37% of our shares outstanding at the time we began the program. The average price paid to repurchase shares over the life of the program is about $72 a share. At the end of the second quarter, we had 72.3 million diluted shares outstanding and a remaining share repurchase authorization of $595 million. Slide 13 highlights the key assumption in our 2016 outlook. Our current global industry production forecast is 89.5 million units, an increase of 3% from 2015. This is consistent with the latest customer releases, as well as the latest IHS forecast. Our 2016 financial outlook is based on the most recent exchange rates for all global currencies, which includes an average euro assumption of $1.10 per euro and a Chinese RMB of 6.6 per dollar. Slide 14 shows our financial outlook for 2016, which as I mentioned earlier reflects an increase in earnings and free cash flow from our prior outlook. Our sales are projected to be in the range of $18.5 billion to $18.8 billion. Core operating earnings are projected to be in the range of $1.45 billion to $1.5 billion, an increase of $50 million from our prior outlook. Interest expense is projected to be approximately $85 million. Adjusted net income is expected to be $935 million to $975 million, up from our prior outlook of $900 million to $945 million. Free cash flow is expected to be approximately $900 million, an increase of $50 million from our prior outlook. Our assumptions for restructuring, capital spending, and depreciation and amortization are all unchanged from our prior outlook. This guidance reflects another year of continued sales growth, double-digit earnings growth, and record free cash flow. Now I will turn it over to Matt for some final comments.