Matt Simoncini
Analyst · Bank of America Merrill Lynch. Your line is open.
Well, we are not seeing it either, John. Right now, we have seen steady growth in the releases and the releases, although be it early are very consistent to the guidance. I would say a couple of things to that point. One, overall, the business is much more balanced by product segment, by customer mix, by platform mix and by geography. So, when one market is down, we have had strength in other markets. Europe is making a nice recovery. And in North America itself, we have had a nice steady growth rate. So, we haven’t had the spike or the bubble that we have seen in other kind of boom and bust periods. As far as our ability to maybe withstand a correction or a market adjustment, if you will, it starts with our capital structure and liquidity profile where when that happens it means that in many cases businesses and assets and programs are available as others struggle to put the investment forward that’s going to be required. So, it starts with liquidity and capital. As far as variable cost structure, one of the hallmarks of Lear is our ability to adjust our variable structure to address market corrections and take cost out. And we are in a never-ending even when sales are increasing, a never-ending search for cost reductions and efficiencies improvements, whether it’s restructuring or just day-to-day efficiency gains at our 200 or so manufacturing operations. When we talk about the variable cost structure, we are depending upon which car line and which market is down, we think the downward conversion is anywhere from 15% to 20% and then we try to carve into that based on restructuring and other actions to help mitigate the downturn. Again though, we are not seeing it. The macros tell us it’s not there. Jobs, wages, inflation, interest rates, oil being down actually helps this industry. So from our standpoint, the macros tell us we are still in the middle of a good run.