Jeffrey H. Vanneste
Analyst · Rod Lache with Deutsche Bank
Thanks, Matt. Slide 7 provides financial highlights for the first quarter. Global vehicle production was up 6%, reflecting a 16% increase in North America and a 49% increase in Japan, both of which were favorably impacted by increased production following last year's earthquake and tsunami in Japan. Vehicle production in Europe and China was down 6% and 2%, respectively. Lear sales were up -- were $3.6 billion, up 4% from a year ago. Excluding the impact of foreign exchange, primarily a lower euro, Lear sales in the quarter were up 6%, consistent with the change in global production. Core operating earnings were $195 million, down 5% from a year ago. The decrease in earnings primarily reflects increased product and facility launch costs, higher program development costs associated with the backlog and selling price reductions, partially offset by increased sales and operating performance improvements. Free cash flow was a use of $65 million in the quarter, and we finished the quarter with cash at $1.6 billion. Our reported EPS was $1.32 a share. On the next few slides, I'll cover our first quarter results in more detail. Slide 8 shows vehicle production in our key markets for the first quarter. In the quarter, global vehicle production was 20.2 million units, up 6% from 2011 and a record for the first quarter. Excluding Japan, global vehicle production was up less than 2%. As we have mentioned on previous calls, our annual sales in Japan are relatively modest at approximately $200 million. Slide 9 shows our financial results for the first quarter of 2012. As previously mentioned, sales were up 4% to $3.6 billion. In Europe, adjusting for foreign exchange, our sales were down 4% better than the industry production decline of 6%. I will provide further detail about our European business later in the presentation. Pretax income before equity income, interest and other was $187 million, down $12 million from a year ago. Interest expense was $13 million, up $9 million primarily reflecting a refund of interest related to a favorable court ruling on a tax matter in the prior period. Weighted average diluted shares in the first quarter were 101.9 million, 6.3 million lower than 2011 reflecting the impact of our share repurchase program. Slide 10 shows the impact of nonoperating items on our first quarter results. As I just mentioned, our reported pretax income before equity income, interest and other expense, was $187 million. Excluding the impact of operational restructuring costs and special items, primarily related to the Emergence Equity Grant and acquisition-related costs, we had core operating earnings of $195 million. We have 15 nonconsolidated joint ventures, the majority of which are located in Asia or with Asian partners. Earnings from these nonconsolidated joint ventures are reported as equity income on our financial statements. In the first quarter, equity income was $10 million, an improvement of $6 million from a year ago. Other expense in the first quarter includes income from special items of $1.6 million, reflecting net insurance proceeds related to the previously reported fire at one of our European component facilities. We will continue to incur costs related to this fire throughout 2012, and expect to receive full recovery from insurance providers. Adjusted for restructuring and other special items, net income attributable to Lear in the first quarter was $141 million and adjusted EPS was $1.38. Slide 11 is a new slide we thought would be useful to provide more color on our European business. Europe is our largest region representing approximately 40% of our total sales in 2011. European sales represent a little under 40% of our global Seating business, and about 50% of our global Electrical business. Our business in Europe is well diversified and largely reflects the overall European market. The business is also well balanced by customer and by vehicle segment. On the left side of the page, we've listed our 10 European -- top 10 European platforms based on total sales. It's also important to note that a portion of our European production, primarily the luxury brand, is exported by our customers to other regions including North America and China. Please turn to Slide 12 for a summary of our results for the Seating segment. In Seating, adjusted margins in the first quarter were 6.7%, up slightly from the fourth quarter of 2011, but down 100 basis points from the first quarter of 2011. The decrease in margin compared with the year ago reflects primarily increased product and facility launch costs and higher program development costs of approximately $15 million, as well as selling price reductions, which historically run at about 2% of sales. These factors were partially offset by the addition of new business, which typically converts at about 10% and operating performance improvements. Please turn to Slide 13, where I'll provide more detail on some of the drivers impacting our Seating business. Adjusted Seating margins in the first quarter of 6.7% benefited from stronger North American mix and the timing of commercial settlements. In the first quarter, our top 15 platforms in North America were up 18% versus industry growth in the region of 16%. Our full year expectations for Seating margins remain unchanged in the 6.5% to 7% range. However, when we provided guidance at the beginning of the year, we anticipated that Seating margins would be stronger in the back half of 2012. As a result of stronger mix in North America and the timing of commercial settlements, our current expectation is that the margin cadence will be consistent between the first half and the second half of the year. For the remainder of the year, we expect margins to benefit from lower launch costs and increased manufacturing efficiencies offset by platform mix, commodity costs and program development costs. Slide 14 summarizes the operating performance in our Electrical segment. Financial results in this segment improved both sequentially as margins are up 20 basis points from the fourth quarter of 2011 and year-over-year, with margins up 80 basis points as we continue to increase scale and benefit from the previous restructuring actions. The year-over-year margin improvement reflects the impact of new business and lower commodity costs, partially offset by higher product and facility launch costs. We continue to forecast full year margins in this segment at 6.5% to 7%, representing a third consecutive year of improvement. Please turn to Slide 15. Free cash flow was a use of $65 million in the first quarter, primarily reflecting increased working capital related to normal seasonality and the launch of 3 new facilities, cash payments related to restructuring actions initiated prior to 2012 and the timing of tooling and engineering recoveries. Capital expenditures, net of related insurance proceeds of $1 million, were $69 million in the first quarter. Slide 16 provides our quarterly update on our share repurchase program. During the first quarter, we repurchased 1.2 million shares of stock for a total of $53 million. Since our repurchase program was initiated last year, we have repurchased $332 million of stock. In January, we announced the $300 million increased to our share repurchase authorization. Taking into account this increase and the repurchase activity during the quarter, we now have $368 million available under the repurchase authorization, which expires in February of 2014. Going forward, we plan to continue to buy back shares consistently, subject to the company's alternative uses of capital, prevailing market conditions and certain other factors. In February, we announced a 12% increase in our quarterly cash dividend. We have returned almost $400 million in cash to our shareholders since the inception of our share repurchase and dividend programs a little over a year ago. Slide 18 highlights the key assumptions in our 2012 outlook, which remains unchanged. Our outlook reflects updated production assumptions in our major markets. Compared to our prior outlook, global production is about flat at 79 million units. However, mix in our key platforms is flat to slightly negative. Key currency and commodity assumptions remain unchanged from the prior outlook. Slide 19 summarizes our 2012 financial outlook, which remains unchanged from our prior guidance. We are projecting sales of $13.85 billion to $14.35 billion in 2012. We expect sales to stay relatively flat year-over-year, reflecting increases from our sales backlog, offset by lower European production, the negative impact of foreign exchange, selling price reductions and platform mix. Core operating earnings are projected in the range of $740 million to $790 million. Tax expense is estimated to be $150 million to $170 million, resulting in an effective tax rate of approximately 23%. Our cash taxes for 2012 should be approximately $125 million. Restructuring spend is forecasted at about $40 million. Capital expenditures, excluding spending related to the fire last year at a European facility, are forecasted to be approximately $425 million. As discussed earlier, we expect to receive full reimbursement from our insurance providers. Free cash flow is projected at $275 million. I'll turn it over to Matt for some closing comments.