Tom Casey
Analyst · Craig-Hallum. Please go ahead with your question
Thanks Scott. We've got a busy start to the year, so let's get right into it. I'll start by reviewing our Q1 performance and then update you on or cost simplification initiatives including details on our second site in Lehi and then finish with our Q2 and full year outlook. As I noted, last quarter we continue to deliver targeted returns to our investors using our price, mix, credit and scale and this gives us great strength and flexibility. While we still have much to do our strong performance so far this year is encouraging and we see good opportunities to grow revenues and expand margins in 2019. Perhaps more importantly, we can already see that our simplification program is fundamentally transforming the way we operate our business, giving us a road map over the medium term to adjusted EBITDA margins of 25% and beyond. So let's start with Q1 revenues which were up 15% to $174 million. On the borrower side of the platform transaction fees grew 22% in Q1 to $135 million on the back of 18% growth in originations and a 14 basis points increase in transaction fee yield as we continue to optimize transaction fee and other pricing levers to balance investor returns, borrower demand and LendingClub economics. I want to bring your attention to our income statement as we've made some modifications to more clearly report net investor revenue. We think net investor revenues as a whole will give you a better aggregate view of the investor side of our platform. Net investor revenue was down 5% to $37 million with growth in investor fees and gain on sale offset by three items in net interest income and fair value adjustments that I like to address before I go into gain on sale and other revenue. First, $2.4 million decrease in net interest income in part resulting from increased utilization of our warehouse lines in 1Q and higher market interest rates; two, $2.2 million nonrecurring contra revenue item hitting fair value adjustment resulting from the wind down of LCAM our asset management business; and third a $3.8 million fair value adjustment to higher risk prime loans that Scott mentioned in his comments. As we've noted last quarter investor demand has shifted to higher quality prime credits and we have therefore discounted certain higher risk prime loans to meet investor demand and yield expectations. We've already tightened pricing and credit at the higher risk end of prime and feel good about our credit outlook, but we do expect the fair value adjustments to be elevated for a few quarters as these pricing and credit adjustments begin to show in our performance. Let's get into the other key drivers of net investor revenue. Investor fees were up 14% to $31.7 million, reflecting strong growth of the loans under management in our loan servicing portfolio growing 18% to $14.1 billion. And gain on sale revenue was up 20% to $15.2 million. We saw higher gain on sale revenues this quarter as we sold $2.85 billion of total assets to investors, which was approximately $150 million higher than our Q1 volumes of $2.7 billion. Other revenue was $2.1 million, primarily reflecting the rental income we were earning from subletting our San Francisco property, which was freed up by our simplification program. Now, let's move on to costs and how our efforts expanded adjusted EBITDA margins about three point’s year-over-year. Marketing sales expenses were $64.6 million in Q1 with M&S as a percent of originations, four basis points better year-over-year to 2.37%, continuing improving trends that we've seen over the last few years. The improved marketing efficiency reflects our focus on targeting and conversion efforts and is especially notable considering we've tightened credit and increased prices over the last year. This is another important area of focus in our simplification program and we expect further improvement in the second half of the year from better targeting, conversion and vendor consolidation. Origination and servicing costs were $24.1 million in Q1. O&S costs as a percent of originations improved six basis points benefiting from the BPO efforts we started a year ago. We also expect additional benefits from our Lehi move in the second half of the year. Contribution was up 15% to $85.7 million at a margin of 49.1%. So let's talk about our fixed expenses in engineering and G&A. Our engineering operating expenses were up 7% to $23.9 million and our engineering CapEx spend of $10.7 million was down 16%, meaning our total cash engineering spend was broadly flat. We are optimizing our technology infrastructure and focusing our engineering to support key initiatives that will drive differentiation for LendingClub, which include personalization, user financial health and data analytics. With our use of more partners like AWS cloud, we will start to see some shift in the mix of our engineering spend from CapEx to OpEx. The net result of these initiatives will be less capitalized engineering costs and over time slower growth in depreciation. G&A expenses were up 6% to $39.2 million. Taken together engineering and G&A expenses grew 7%. We continue to see the wedge between revenue and fixed cost growth, which grew our adjusted EBITDA 47% to $22.6 million with margins improving 2.9 points to 13%. So now let's move down to GAAP net income. Stock-based compensation was $18.3 million in Q1, down 120 basis points to 10.5% of revenue. And depreciation, amortization and other net adjustments totaled $15.8 million in Q1. As a result, our adjusted net loss, which excludes non-recurring items, equaled negative $11.5 million with the outperformance relative to our guidance range flowing through from EBITDA. Moving down to P&L. Non-recurring costs totaled $8.4 million. This included $4.1 million of legacy issue expenses, of which $2.2 million related to the wind down of LCAM I mentioned earlier and $1.9 million from legal indemnification costs. Non-recurring costs also included $4.3 million of simplification program costs mostly related to retention cost of our geolocation initiative. Combining these items, our reported GAAP consolidated net loss of negative $19.9 million was within our guidance range with our outperformance at the adjusted net income level offset by non-recurring items. Before I turn to our simplification program, I'd like to talk about two additional balance sheet disclosures we've made this quarter, which you'll find on pages 12 and 13 of our press release and in our 10-Q. They will enable you to; one, much more easily strip out the pass-through impact of our retail program and certain consolidated VIE structures on our balance sheet. As you can see the retail and VIE assets significantly grosses up our balance sheet and represents about $1.9 billion of our total assets of $3.4 billion. And two, clearly sets out LendingClub's net cash and other financial assets which stood at $664 million at the end of the quarter. In combination, we believe these additional disclosures will enable you to better understand the underlying net asset value of the company. And better assess the components of its enterprise value. With that, let me give you an update on our simplification program. In February, we told you about our zero-based budget, work and we are now in the process of executing, multiple initiatives across the company in business process outsourcing, geolocation, leveraging our scale and a number of other initiatives. In BPO, we ended the quarter with over 400 operation support personnel across our BPO sites, offering more flexible and variable cost support to our business at lower unit cost when compared to San Francisco. In geolocations, we had 76 FTEs at our Lehi site at the end of March. And expect to fill most of the 550 capacity by the end of the year as we transfer operations to the new site, with average salary savings of approximately 25%. As a result of our BPO and geolocation initiatives, we've been able to let expire about 30,000 square feet of San Francisco property leases and to sublease another 60,000 square feet at rates which will be earning accretive for the duration of the leases. By the end of 2019, we will have reduced our real estate footprint in San Francisco by 123,000 square feet. And we'll be using 70,000 square feet in Lehi, and paying about 50% less per square foot. One thing to help your modeling is that you will see the benefits from the subleasing in our other revenue, while the rental cost of our Lehi lease will be going into G&A. The savings from these and other initiatives already underway underpin our goal to be adjusted and income profitable in the second half of 2019. And will add to adjusted EBITDA margins as they annualize in 2020. As I mentioned earlier, we can already see that our simplification program is transforming the way we operate our business. Now that we have our December 2017 Investor Day goal of 20% adjusted EBITDA margins in sight, we believe that our revenue growth and the annualization of savings from the simplification programs in 2020 and further benefits in 2021 give us a medium-term road map to our next milestone of 25% adjusted EBITDA margins with further opportunities beyond that. Let me finish with our guidance. So for Q2, the strong underlying demand that we saw in the first quarter has continued and we're expecting broad macro conditions to remain similar in Q1. We expect record revenues in Q2, between $185 million and $195 million reflecting our toughest comparable from last year, but implying a growth rate of between 9% and 12% in the first half. And we are on track to meet our 10% to 14% revenue growth target for the year. We expect adjusted EBITDA, to be in the range of $25 million to $30 million in Q2 implying margins of between 13.5% and 15.4%. We've again excluded simplification charges and legacy issues and non-recurring costs from both our GAAP consolidated net income and adjusted net income guidance to give you a better view of the underlying performance of the business. We'll update GAAP consolidated net income guidance in each quarter, as we incur these charges. We expect stock-based compensation charges of approximately $21 million, depreciation, amortization and other net adjustments of approximately $15 million in Q2. We therefore expect GAAP net loss to be between negative $11 million, and negative $6 million in Q2. Our full year guidance is unchanged. And we're still targeting adjusted net income profitability over the second half of the year, with healthy revenue growth and the benefits of our simplification program flowing through EBITDA. There will be further simplification charges in Q2, and we continue to expect the costs related to the program to broadly break even for the year with a net negative impact on the first half and a positive impact on the second half as we head into 2020. As you've heard, we've started the year well and our simplification program is on track. Through innovation, our simplification program and partnerships we're transforming LendingClub, enabling it to sustain strong operational and financial momentum in 2019 and beyond. Scott, back to you.