Tom Casey
Analyst · Morgan Stanley. Please go ahead
Thanks, Scott. We finished the first quarter with healthy core operations and are well positioned for our 2018 growth plan. We’re also pleased to see some of our early cost management initiatives bear fruit this quarter as we aim to balance our growth plan with profitability. In the first quarter, we delivered revenue of $151.7 million, up 22% from a year-ago, compared to operating expense growth of 10%. Our contribution margin came in above 49%, once again at the high end of our 45% to 50% targeted range. And our adjusted EBITDA was $15.3 million, resulting in adjusted EBITDA margin of 10.1%. Now, before we go through the first quarter operating results in more detail, I’d like to spend a minute discussing the rising rate environment. I often get questions on how the model operates in rising rate environment and the impact it will have on borrowers, investors and LendingClub. Borrowers are starting to see the increased cost of credit as most credit card debt is indexed to prime, which has moved up 75 basis points from a year ago. We see this as an opportunity to further penetrate the credit card market with a compelling personal loan product that can offset the impact of higher rates and save borrowers’ money. The 36% year-over-year growth in application volumes we observed in Q1 is a strong indication that consumers are taking action. We’re also seeing investor yield expectations increase as interest rates have risen. We closely monitor the competitive environment and make changes to our rates as the market warrants. We have observed a number of lenders increase rates to borrowers and today we have increased pricing by 10 to 45 basis points in our A, B and C grades, which are funded primarily by our bank partners. And for the higher risk prime loans where our investor cost of capital is increased due to rising rates, we are focused on improving investor yields through credit actions and price reductions to investors on certain loans. And for LendingClub, we have been working with a rising rate environment over the last year and will continue to monitor the environment closely. Our ability as a marketplace leader to balance the platform and find equilibrium in a shifting environment is a unique advantage that allows us to read signals and respond quickly. This advantage has been further enhanced by some of the new capabilities we’ve built in our capital markets area over the last year. Now, let’s walk through the 1Q operating results in more detail. Again, revenues are up 22%; transaction fee revenue of $111 million was up 13% year-over-year on originations of $2.3 billion, up 18% year-over-year. Transaction fees as a percent of originations were 4.82% in the first quarter, reflecting our strategy to shift our targeting to higher grade loans that have low origination fees. As you can see on page seven of our earnings press release, the mix of A and B loans through our personal loan standard program grew to 54% of all loans issued through the program, and that’s up from 41% in the same period last year. Now, let’s turn to investor fees. Investor fees grew $6.7 million or 32% annually, driven by both growth in our servicing book to $12 billion as well as an increase in overall servicing fees. Our gain on sale of loans grew to $12.7 million in Q1. The year-over-year increase of $10.8 million was driven by higher volumes and a higher average rate of servicing charged to loan investors. Net interest income of $27.2 million was offset by fair value adjustments of $28.7 million for net negative $1.5 million for the quarter. Reminder that net interest income reflects interest earned from accumulating loans on the balance sheet prior to selling to loan investors while the fair value adjustment reflects amortization of loans, adjustments to credit loss assumptions as well as pricing discounts to meet investor yield requirements while we implement our credit and pricing actions. As we’ve broken out in previous quarters, our structured program revenue is a subset of investor fees, gain on sale, net interest income and fair value adjustments. I would ask you to turn to page 16 of our earnings presentation. We have broken out the economics from the program. These include revenue from securitizations, CLUB Certs, risk retention and residual yield, partially offset by the program cost, any financing cost as well as fair value marks on retained interest from these activities. You will see total structured program revenue was in line with the previous quarter at $2.7 million, driven by the completion of a near prime securitization and five CLUB Certificate sales in the quarter. We were very excited about the successful standing of this program in 2017 and will continue our efforts to grow this new revenue stream as we execute in 2018. Now, let’s jump back up to our total revenue yield. Total revenue yield of 6.58% as well as efficiencies in M&S and O&S drove our contribution margin up 49.1%. Sales and marketing expenses was 55.7% or 2.41% of originations, improving 26 basis points year-over-year. The improvement in marketing efficiency was driven primarily by effective calibration of our marketing channels as well as continued optimization of our channel mix. We are also doing some great work in expanding our marketing efforts into new channels. We have seen encouraging earlier results and we expect to make some incremental investments to drive our future growth. Origination servicing costs were $21.6 million in the first quarter, up $2.5 million annually or 13%. We have invested in this area over the last year and are encouraged by some of the early conversion improvements we are seeing through our efforts to increase speed and remove friction in the application funnel. I’d also like to highlight that we made good progress in the agreement we discussed last quarter to augment our staff with the third-party operator out of a lower cost location. We are pleased with early results and are now ramping up support through the end of the year as we aim to drive further operational efficiencies. Engineering operating expenses were $22.3 million in the first quarter, up $900,000 year-over-year or about 4% as a percent of revenue. Engineering and product development decreased by 2.5 points year-over-year, down to 14.7%. Our capitalized software development costs grew 12% year-over-year to $12.8 million. We continue to invest in technology infrastructure, credit model, platform development, data analytics and product features and capabilities. Now, turning to G&A costs. They were $36.8 million for the quarter. As you may recall, we are now excluding legacy costs as well as any insurance reimbursements in our adjusted EBITDA margin definition, so that we can focus on what’s happening in the underlying business performance. As a percent of revenue, G&A decreased 1.1-point year-over-year to 24.3% of revenue. Some of you may recall me discussing margin expansion through our fixed cost base at our investor day back in December. As we emphasized driving operating leverage across the business, managing our operating costs continues to be a key focus area for myself and the entire management team. We look forward to sharing more progress towards our goals in the quarters to come. For the quarter, adjusted EBITDA was $15.3 million with margin at 10.1%, a full 10-point increase year-over-year. And we were pleased to deliver adjusted EBITDA above our guided range. I should note, half of this was from improved efficiencies in marketing, and the other half was largely driven by operating leverage in our fixed cost where we believe we have further opportunity. For the quarter, our GAAP net loss was $31.2 million or $14.2 million when you adjust for the $17 million of costs associated with legacy issues. This is well ahead of our guidance of negative 25 to negative 20, benefiting from the outperformance in adjusted EBITDA I discussed earlier. Note that the $17 million reflects the latest discussions with the SEC, DOJ and the FTC as well as indemnification of legal costs of previous management. Other reconciling items from adjusted EBITDA to GAAP net income include stock-based compensation of $17.8 million, which decreased by 4 points year-over-year to 11.7% of revenue which is more in line with our expectations going forward. Adjustments for depreciation and amortization and other expenses were $11.7 million. With that, let’s turn to our outlook. We expect the business environment in 2Q to be similar to Q1 with continued strong consumer demand paired with higher interest rates and optimization of our platform. For the second quarter, we forecast revenue between $162 million and $172 million, and adjusted EBITDA of $12 million to $22 million. The timing, size and price of asset sales may impact the quarter’s earnings. So, we’ve widened the range of EBITDA to $10 million. We expect stock-based compensation, depreciation and amortization will be about $32 million, resulting in net loss between $10 million and $20 million. Please remember that our GAAP guidance does not reflect the impact of any legacy issues for the quarter. For the full-year, I’d like to again reconfirm the guidance I gave you at our Investor Day in December. While we feel good about our volumes and expense management opportunities, we will continue to work through some of the pricing and credit adjustments I discussed earlier. Overall, we reconfirm our outlook for the year. For 2018, we expect revenue of $680 million to $705 million, and adjusted EBITDA of $75 million to $90 million. Consistent with what we’ve shared with you before, our GAAP net income guidance does not reflect forecasted costs related to legacy issues. However, with the legacy costs we’ve recognized in the first quarter, we have updated our GAAP net income guidance. Our original GAAP net income guidance was negative 38 to negative 53, and with the $17 million of legacy costs we recognized in Q1, our adjusted guidance is now negative $55 million to negative $70 million. We do not expect any changes in our outlook on stock-based compensation, depreciation and amortization which we’re estimating to be about $128 million. I now like to turn it back over Scott for some closing remarks before we take your questions.