Tom Casey
Analyst · Guggenheim. Please go ahead with your question
Thanks, Scott. Before we jump into the details, I just want to say that I continue to be excited with the progression of the Lending Club team's efforts. This is the third quarter since May of 2016 event that we have delivered on our guidance, following a period of significant investment and remediation and enhancing our foundation, and we are well on our way to getting back to growth. I also continue to be impressed by the many talented employees we have here at Lending Club, showing up every day to creatively tackle tough problems and deliver savings to customers. There is truly an execution-oriented culture here. I am pleased with our first quarter performance as we facilitated nearly $2 billion of originations despite the January credit policy update and a seasonally tough quarter. With banks further ramping up their purchases, we continue to benefit from strong investor demand. Similarly, on the borrower side, we enjoyed another quarter of record application volume, a leading indicator for demand and a testament to the size of the market we serve. As Scott mentioned, we have already pivoted our businesses towards growth, and much of our efforts are focused on improving the conversion rate for these applicants through new credit tools, joint applications and new testing capabilities. Before I jump into details of our first quarter performance, I'd like to update you on what I've learned over the last couple of quarters and what I'm excited for as we look to the future. First off, on the borrower side. We offer rates that save borrowers around 25% compared to what they pay on existing debt. Using proprietary credit modeling built on top of a decade of data from our $26 billion in originations, we're finding new and better ways to assess creditworthiness and accurately price loans. And beyond pure economic value, we offer a process that's far easier and faster than other options consumers have. Our scale and history, combined with our underlying technology infrastructure, allows us to provide customers affordable credit when they need it. And we're investing in ways to deliver even more convenience and satisfaction in the years to come. On the investor side, we provide unprecedented access to unsecured consumer credit. Lending Club loans appeal to a broad spectrum of investors, and we offer the ability to purchase at scale that can match institutional demand. On top of this, we offer attractive risk-adjusted returns with low duration. With 10 years of experience and heavy investments in controls and compliance, we provide a level of confidence unmatched in our industry, making us the leading access point for institutional and retail investors. So while we offer a compelling value proposition to both borrowers and investors, we also can deliver 45% to 50% contribution margin to Lending Club shareholders. The Lending Club business model creates a win-win-win among borrowers, investors and shareholders. The possibilities are tremendous and we are just starting to scratch the surface. Now let’s move on to our financial performance in the first quarter. Our total revenue came in at $124.5 million, about $5 million above the midpoint of the guidance we gave you in January. Our reported total net revenue yield came in at 6.36%, in line with the fourth quarter yield after considering the positive $4.3 million servicing adjustment we made in the fourth quarter. As we indicated earlier, originations for the quarter were flat sequentially at nearly $2 billion, even with the January credit policy update that reduced our borrower funnel by about 6%. I will note that within our standard program, we saw growth of about 3% in Category A through C loans, reflecting strong demand from our bank partners; while, as expected, D through G categories were down as most of the January credit cuts were in the higher risk loan categories. Transaction fee revenue came in at $99 million on transaction fee yield of 5.04%, down seven basis points from the fourth quarter, again reflecting the shift in loan mix. Please note, to simplify reporting, we have combined our previous servicing and manager fee revenue lines into a comprehensive investor fee line. For your convenience, we will include a reconciliation in our 10-Q. For the first quarter, investor fees totaled $21 million, and, adjusted for the fair value adjustment, we relatively – we’re relatively flat at 22 basis points of our average outstanding balance compared to 21 basis points in the fourth quarter. Other revenue came in at $2.2 million, up $1.9 million sequentially due primarily to gain on sale of $2.4 million, reflecting a mix of investor demand. Net interest income was in line with Q4 at about $2.4 million. And as a reminder, we do expect to see this revenue line, along with other revenue, increase throughout the year as we expand our securitization efforts. We still expect this revenue benefit to be approximately $10 million to $15 million in 2017, and we have already initiated activities to support the securitization of loans with external partners. Now let’s look at contribution margin. For the quarter, our contribution margin came in at 43% or $53 million, as we continued our investments in auto and staffed up for collections and Q2 growth. We continue to expect to grow into our targeted range of greater than 45% over the course of the year. Sales and marketing was $52.3 million or 2.67% of originations, down $600,000 in total. While these costs continue to run higher than we like, we were pleased to see some of our marketing efficiency efforts pay off, enabling us to keep this metric flat relative to year-end despite the reduction in our borrower funnel in January. Plus as I mentioned earlier, we are seeing record levels of applications, which are up since Q4 and up double digits over the same period last year, with an overall improvement in cost per application. As Scott mentioned, some of the growth we expect for the rest of 2017 will result from successfully executing on strategic initiatives to get consumers the credit they deserve. We also expect that getting the new head of our borrower will help further drive our marketing efforts. Origination and servicing expenses in the fourth quarter were $19 million, up $2.2 million sequentially, driven primarily by collections and volume-driven headcount to match our anticipated growth in Q2. Total engineering costs were $21.4 million, up $1.7 million sequentially as we continue to invest in technology and platform improvements. As Scott mentioned, we are focused on enhancing our credit decision capabilities, internal testing environment and cloud infrastructure. These investments will help Lending Club iterate faster, test assumptions and improve efficiency as we grow. G&A costs were $31.6 million, down from $42 million in Q4. We have some items impacting the quarter’s G&A so I want to highlight a few things for you. During the quarter, we had $10.6 million in nonrecurring expenses mostly in G&A and primarily attributable to our 2016 board review. These unusual expenses were partially offset by a successfully negotiated settlement of $9.6 million in the first year of our D&O insurance coverage. As I mentioned on our fourth quarter call, I expect nonrecurring costs to continue to be elevated and mostly impacting the first half of 2017. I continue to see this playing out with some litigation costs coming in higher than expected. As such, I’m adjusting full year nonrecurring expenses by $5 million to $10 million, which will bring full year nonrecurring expenses to approximately $25 million to $30 million. So that would mean approximately $15 million to $20 million remaining for the year. While we may get some insurance recovery benefit to offset these nonrecurring expenses, the timing and magnitude will be difficult to predict. I know everyone’s trying to model out our core G&A, and I will continue to call out the impacts of nonrecurring costs and insurance recoveries on our quarterly earnings calls. The combination of all above results in a breakeven adjusted EBITDA. Without the benefit of insurance recoveries, we would have come in at the low end of our guidance as a result of our increased investments in technology infrastructure to support future growth. GAAP net loss was $29.8 million compared to $32.3 million in Q4, and earnings per share came in at a loss of $0.07 per diluted share, compared to a loss of $0.08 last quarter. The difference between GAAP and adjusted EBITDA was $30 million and includes stock-based compensation of $19.5 million, depreciation and amortization of $9.1 million. Stock-based compensation as a percentage of total net revenue decreased sequentially to 16%, about 2% lower than the fourth quarter. We expect stock-based compensation will continue to decline as a percent of revenue throughout the year. We ended the quarter with $781 million of cash and securities available for sale and no debt. Now let’s turn to our outlook for the second quarter and the full year. As we move into the second quarter, we feel good about raising full year guidance. We are increasing the midpoint of revenue and adjusted EBITDA to reflect the over-performance in the first quarter and the benefit of our insurance reimbursement, tempered by the $5 million to $10 million of additional expense – nonrecurring expenses I just mentioned. As a result, for the full year, we expect total net revenue to be in the range of $575 million to $595 million, adjusted EBITDA in the range of $45 million to $55 million and GAAP net loss between $77 million and $67 million loss, which includes stock-based compensation, depreciation and amortization of about $122 million. In the second quarter, we expect to return to top line growth. Our revenue guidance range implies sequential growth of 8% at the midpoint and 10% growth on the high end of the range, and year-over-year growth of approximately 30%. We expect growth to be driven by multiple borrower initiatives, continued strong demand from both borrowers and investors, and positive seasonality typically seen in the second quarter. We expect adjusted EBITDA margins in the second quarter to be around breakeven, with about $2.5 million of variability on either side, primarily due to uncertainty around nonrecurring expenses and insurance recoveries. As such, in Q2, we’re forecasting total net revenue in the range of $132 million to $137 million; adjusted EBIT to be flat at, plus or minus $2.5 million; with stock-based compensation, depreciation and amortization about $32 million. GAAP net loss is expected to be between negative $35 million and negative $30 million. We continue to be very excited about 2017. This second quarter will see us returning to growth, and we’re executing towards our goal of exiting the year with EBITDA margins in the range of 15% to 20%. Thanks for your time. With that, let’s open up the call for questions. Operator?