Kenneth Marc Jacobs - Lazard Ltd.
Management
Yeah. Again, remember, the fees that we report for a quarter reflect activity levels that occurred probably somewhere between 6 and 18 months ago. So it's always a little difficult to read what you announce for your results in a quarter as representing activity levels in those quarters. So that's just – I want to be cautious about that. That said, restructuring fell precipitously in this quarter, which is not surprising, because the last 12, 18 months has been a very buoyant time for the economy, markets, financing. So you'd expect restructuring fees to fall. And the M&A environment for us at least in this quarter was strong. I mean, we had a very strong quarter for M&A fees. I think the outlook going forward is really – it's a great question right now, because you're not likely to see restructuring activity start to pick up again unless you see one of a couple of factors. I mean, the first is obviously a widening of credit spreads, because that is probably the strongest indicator of a slowdown in M&A activity, number one. But also number two, the likelihood that restructurings pick up. So we keep a careful eye on that. The second is, whether or not there's some big dislocation in the sector. I mean, we obviously saw a lot of dislocation frankly from technology in the oil and gas sector, shale gas, that technology applied to shale gas, shale oil, and the oversupply situation of kind of 2014-2015, and that led to an enormous amount of restructuring activity. We've benefited a lot from the disruption in the retail sector on the restructuring side, and that's created activity for us, but obviously at a diminishing level until just this week, in fact. And I think that disruption, you should pay attention to, in terms of what it does to other sectors as well. I mean, my guess is, we will start to see a pickup in restructuring activity over the course of the next kind of 12 to 18 months. That would be my guess.