Jean-Jacques Charhon
Analyst · BMO Capital Markets
Thank you, Eilif. Before running through the financial results, I want to remind everyone of the seasonality in our business, which for reference, is illustrated on a couple of slides in the Appendix of the slide deck. As most of you know, the first and third quarters represents our two largest intake periods, which account for approximately 80% of total new enrollment activity for the year that are seasonally low from a P&L perspective as classes are out of session for most of those months. Conversely, the second and fourth quarters generate the majority of the revenue and adjusted EBITDA for the year, but are not large enrollment-intake periods. The first quarter we are reporting today covers a large intake period that typically represents about 45% of our new enrollment activity for the year. With that context, let me run you through the highlights starting on Page 6. Revenue in the first quarter of 2018 was $885 million, a 3% increase compared to the first quarter of 2017. On a reported basis, adjusted EBITDA was $47 million, so essentially flat versus the same period a year ago. However, when adjusting for the sale of our institutions in Italy, China and Cyprus, which all closed during the first quarter, our adjusted EBITDA on a constant currency basis was up 16% year-over-year. This is about $10 million better than the guidance we provided during our 2017 fourth quarter earnings call in early March and is due mostly to the rephasing of expenses originally anticipated to occur in Q1. In short, a very good start to the year. Now let me spend a few minutes discussing in more detail our key operating metrics for the first quarter starting on Page 7. As a reminder, the new enrollment activity in the first quarter represents the largest intake for institution in our southern hemisphere geographies, namely Brazil, Peru, Chile and Australia. On the other hand, all northern hemisphere markets have smaller intakes during the first quarter. For them, their largest intake will occur in the fall. Lastly, for Online & Partnerships segments, their intake is more evenly distributed across the year. This year, our first intake cycle ran through the month of April, so I'm going to focus on the April year-to-date enrollment performance, which is outlined on Page 8. For the total company, we grew new enrollment 5% for the period as compared to prior year, which was in line with our expectations. Now our few highlights. Brazil continues to perform very well for us. Our Distance Learning business grew new enrollments by 80% versus the same period a year ago. New enrollment for our face-to-face business was approximately up 2%, with strong growth of 10% in payers, partially offset by further reduction in FIES-related enrollments, which now accounts for only about 1% of our intake activity. In Mexico, our performance was mixed, during a more challenging economic environment associated with eroding consumer confidence ahead of the presidential election. We did, however, experience strong new enrollment growth in our UNITEC brands, which was largely offset by weaker performance of our premier institution, UVM. These opposing dynamics reflects, in our view, the benefits of our portfolio approach in markets like Mexico, making our top line more resilient to downturns of economic cycles. The Andean & Iberian segment continues to deliver strong performance, mostly led by continued growth in Peru. In the EMEAA, our business in Australia is doing very well with 15% growth in new enrollments. Finally, Online & Partnerships new enrollments were slightly down for the intake period because of our planned declines in our partnership business as we transition away from lower revenue and margin-producing students in that segment. We continue to be encouraged by our progress at Walden where new enrollment growth was positive for the first time since Q2 of last year. Although, we still have work to further strengthen this business, I would like to congratulate Paula Singer and her leadership team for returning Walden back to growth this quarter. Now let's move to our revenue and adjusted EBITDA results, which you will find on Page 10. On a comparable basis, our first quarter revenue was up 3% versus the same period a year ago. Our campus-based operation delivered mid-single digit growth, thanks to positive dynamics in most of our key markets. As indicated already, adjusted EBITDA was up 16% on a comparable basis, reflecting margin improvement across most of our segments as well as the benefit associated with changes in our academic calendar. Of specific note, our operating model implementation in Brazil is exceeding expectations. This is great news and helpful, given the challenging pricing dynamic in that market following the continued reduction of the FIES program. As you can see, our adjusted EBITDA for our Online & Partnership segment is down 17% year-over-year because of 2 factors. First, the weak-intake period from last September, which caused a lower-student base in the first quarter as compared to 2017. Second, increased marketing expenses for supporting the increase of new enrollments. Now let me briefly discuss the net income and cash flow results for the quarter starting on Page 11. Net income for the quarter was up almost $300 million versus a year ago, thanks to the gain on the sale of our businesses in Italy, Cyprus and China. Please also note our 35% reduction in interest expense, which is the result of our lower debt levels and reduced cost of debt. Moving now to cash flow for the quarter, which you will find on Page 12. Free cash flow for the quarter was up $22 million from prior year, thanks to a $78 million reduction in interest paid during the quarter. Also worth noting is the difference in our working capital change for the period versus 2017. This was mostly the result of the change in timing of our FIES receipt in Brazil. Adjusted to timing, working capital continues to be a low percentage of our net operating assets. In regard to our capital structure, let me remind you that on April 23, the company filed a Shelf Registration Statement to convert all of our outstanding Series A preferred equity into 36.1 million Class A common shares, and in the process, significantly simplified our capital structure as well as eliminated the preferred dividend obligation going forward. As a result, the company now has approximately 224 million total shares outstanding. Before moving to guidance, let me provide you with a little bit more detail on Chile as noted on Page 14. As most of you know from our 8-K filing issued on March 27, the Chilean Constitutional Court declared unconstitutional, the provision of the new law, often referred to as Article 63, which would have prohibited for-profit organizations like Laureate from controlling universities. The Constitutional Court affirmed that decision on April 26 as part of its review of all articles of the new law. This means, among other things, that all conditions required for the financial consolidation of our universities in Chile continued to be met. With that in mind, let me now walk you through our full year and second quarter guidance, which you will find on Page 16. Given the new development in Chile, the full year guidance for revenue and adjusted EBITDA have been increased by approximately $400 million and $50 million, respectively. Please note that the increase in adjusted EBITDA also includes a $15 million unfavorable impact associated with the recent strengthening of the U.S. dollar against most of our functional currencies outside of the U.S. It also includes, for clarity, the financial impact associated with the stub period of our announced divestitures. On a comparable basis, the organic growth rates for all 3 operating metrics remain unchanged when compared to our prior guidance, but the absolute amounts are, as expected, materially higher. Total enrollments for 2018 are now expected to end the year between 1,025,000 and 1,030,000 students. Revenue for 2018, based on current spot FX rates, is expected to be between $4,260,000,000 and $4,300,000,000. Adjusted EBITDA for 2018, based on the same set of current spot FX rates is expect to be now between $810 million and $820 million. The guidance previously provided for CapEx, interest, tax rate and cash flow remain also unchanged. Now let's move to the second quarter. A couple of context setting comments. This year, the phasing of our marketing expenses in Mexico and Walden have been more heavily weighted towards the first half, and will continue to affect adjusted EBITDA in the second quarter. Also included in our full year guidance is the expected improvement of our revenue performance in the second half for these two markets. These dynamics will translate into having most of our earnings growth in the second half of the year. With that in mind, our guidance for the second quarter is as follows, revenue is expected to be between $1,230,000,000 and $1,270,000,000; adjusted EBITDA is expected to be between $335 million and $355 million. Let me now turn it over to Eilif for the wrap-up.