AI summary not yet generated for this transcript. Generation in progress for older transcripts; check back soon, or browse the full transcript below.
Transcript
OP
Operator
Operator
Welcome to the First Quarter 2018 Laureate Education Incorporated Earnings Conference Call. My name is Sylvia, and I'll be your operator for today's call. [Operator Instructions]. Please note that this conference is being recorded. I would now turn the call over to Adam Morse, Senior Vice President. Mr. Morse, you may begin.
AM
Adam Morse
Analyst
Thank you, Operator. Hello, everyone, and thank you for joining us on today's call to discuss Laureate Education's first quarter 2018 results. Joining me on the call today are Eilif Serck-Hanssen, Chief Executive Officer; Ricardo Berckemeyer, Chief Operating Officer and President; JJ Charhon, Chief Financial Officer; and Victoria Silbey, Chief Legal Officer. Our earnings press release is available on the Investor Relations section of our website at laureate.net. We have also posted a supplementary presentation on the website, which we'll be referring to during today's call. The call is being webcast and a complete recording will be available after the call. I'd like to remind you that some of the information we're providing today, including, but not limited to, our financial and operational guidance, constitutes forward-looking statements within the meanings of applicable U.S. securities laws. Forward-looking statements are subject to risks and uncertainties that may change at any time and, therefore, our actual results may differ materially from those we expected. Important factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from our expectations are disclosed in our annual report on Form 10-K filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission, our Form 10-Q filed earlier this morning as well as other filings made with the SEC. In addition, all forward-looking statements are based on current expectations as of the date of this conference call, and we undertake no obligation to update any forward-looking statements. Additionally, non-GAAP measures that we discuss, including adjusted EBITDA, are also detailed and reconciled to their GAAP counterparts in our press release and included in our Form 10-Q filed with the SEC. With that, let me turn the call over to Eilif for opening remarks.
ES
Eilif Serck-Hanssen
Analyst
Thank you, Adam, and thanks to everyone on the line for joining us on today's earnings call. Having just completed our large enrollment intake and closed the first quarter, I am very pleased to report that 2018 is off to a strong start. Our first quarter results were ahead of our guidance, and we are delivering on our commitments to our investors and our internal plans. This enrollment cycle, which run through April and accounts for approximately 45% of the total year's intake activity, was robust, with new enrollments increasing 5%, with strong growth in Brazil, continued progress at Walden, which is now back to positive new enrollment growth, and solid results in most of our other key markets. I am very enthusiastic about the progress we are making on our accelerated plan and initiatives designed to simplify our business, mitigate risks, improve margins, strengthen our balance sheet and improve free cash flow generation. During the quarter and through the month of April, we closed the previously announced asset sales for institutions in Italy, Cyprus, China, Morocco and Germany, and we expect Malaysia to close shortly. These transactions, combined with a strong operating performance, are expected to cause our net debt leverage ratio to reach 2.7x by the end of 2018. More recently, we announced the additional asset sale of University of St. Augustine, the doctorate level, physical therapy school in United States for $400 million with an implied valuation of approximately 12x EBITDA. Once closed, this transaction will further simplify our operations and allow for potential further debt reductions. Our EiP and margin expansion initiatives continue to track according to plan with the implementation of our common operating model in Brazil and Peru going very well, and already starting to deliver margin gains and improved product experiences for our…
JC
Jean-Jacques Charhon
Analyst
Thank you, Eilif. Before running through the financial results, I want to remind everyone of the seasonality in our business, which for reference, is illustrated on a couple of slides in the Appendix of the slide deck. As most of you know, the first and third quarters represents our two largest intake periods, which account for approximately 80% of total new enrollment activity for the year that are seasonally low from a P&L perspective as classes are out of session for most of those months. Conversely, the second and fourth quarters generate the majority of the revenue and adjusted EBITDA for the year, but are not large enrollment-intake periods. The first quarter we are reporting today covers a large intake period that typically represents about 45% of our new enrollment activity for the year. With that context, let me run you through the highlights starting on Page 6. Revenue in the first quarter of 2018 was $885 million, a 3% increase compared to the first quarter of 2017. On a reported basis, adjusted EBITDA was $47 million, so essentially flat versus the same period a year ago. However, when adjusting for the sale of our institutions in Italy, China and Cyprus, which all closed during the first quarter, our adjusted EBITDA on a constant currency basis was up 16% year-over-year. This is about $10 million better than the guidance we provided during our 2017 fourth quarter earnings call in early March and is due mostly to the rephasing of expenses originally anticipated to occur in Q1. In short, a very good start to the year. Now let me spend a few minutes discussing in more detail our key operating metrics for the first quarter starting on Page 7. As a reminder, the new enrollment activity in the first quarter represents…
ES
Eilif Serck-Hanssen
Analyst
Thank you, JJ. I am extremely proud of what the Laureate management team has accomplished since our IPO only 15 months ago. We have strengthened management with a new CFO, a new General Counsel a new Chief Information Officer and most recently, a new Chief Human Resource Officer. We welcome these individuals into the Laureate leadership team. Further, company veterans, such as Ricardo Berckemeyer and Paula Singer, have also assumed important new roles. Our debt levels have been reduced dramatically, and we have simplified the company and cut expenses. Regulatory overhang has been significantly reduced, and I'm delighted with the robust student intake during the first quarter, which has set us up for a solid 2018 on an organic basis. We head into the second quarter with our priorities well-defined. We are focusing on a further simplified operating model, strong execution and operational excellence, all of which we believe will create a more scalable organization with significantly improved free cash flow conversion. We are executing on our plans and delivering on our commitments to investors. I am very confident and excited about the future of what this great company can and will accomplish. Operator, that concludes our prepared remarks, and we are now happy to take questions.
OP
Operator
Operator
[Operator Instructions]. And our first question comes from Jeff Silber from BMO Capital Markets.
JS
Jeffrey Silber
Analyst
Just wanted to first start with Chile. Is this the end of this issue? Are there going to be appeals? Or what you are telling us now is basically what's going to last?
ES
Eilif Serck-Hanssen
Analyst
Jeff, this is Eilif. The Constitutional Court ruling as we shared with you have provided some significant clarity, specifically, private for-profit organizations like Laureate are now permitted to control universities, which then supports our consolidation. The Constitutional Court ruling is final and any changes to that will require a change in the Constitution.
JS
Jeffrey Silber
Analyst
Okay, great. That's helpful. And then on Brazil, I know this is probably a relatively minor issue, but one of the other companies in the space talked about financial processing delays, and this is small percentage of what you do. Did you see any of that? Is that something that's going to be impacting you going forward?
RB
Ricardo Berckemeyer
Analyst
This is Ricardo Berckemeyer. We saw a delay in the processing of FIES throughout the cycle. It was extremely, extremely delayed. When the government released the actual contracts of FIES that had been approved, there was really no time to enroll those students. Our exposure to FIES is really minimal now and there is a potential that the situation could be reversed for the second cycle, but we are not counting on it.
JS
Jeffrey Silber
Analyst
Okay, great. And then JJ, I think you had used the words about a phasing in of expenses, I guess, in the first quarter, maybe the first half. Can you give us a little bit more color what type of expenses are you talking about? And are there specific segments that are impacted more than others?
JC
Jean-Jacques Charhon
Analyst
Sure. Well, it's across the board in terms of discretionary expenses. I think based on priorities and the focus on really supporting the enrollment intake, I think decisions were made to really, the first, to start up some of these initiatives towards the second part of the year. And it impacts, I think, equally most of the segments this was a company-wide effort.
JS
Jeffrey Silber
Analyst
Okay. And then just 1 quick question on the updated guidance. I just want to double check. This does include the potential divestitures of both Malaysia and St. Augustine, is that correct?? And number 2, roughly when are those expected to occur?
JC
Jean-Jacques Charhon
Analyst
Yes, it does. So I think we updated the guidance to reflect really three elements. First of all, the impact of Chile. The stub here that associates with really the announced divestitures, either the ones that are not closed or the ones that have been signed as well as some revised outlook on FX rates. We expect it to be around May. And then for U.S.A, University of St. Augustine, we expect to hold on to the assets for most of the year. Right now, the expected timing for closing is November.
OP
Operator
Operator
Our following question comes from Peter Appert from Piper Jaffray.
KE
Kevin Estok
Analyst
This is Kevin Estok on for Peter Appert. Congratulations on the great quarter. My first question has to do with margins. So you gave some color for 2018, I think, but I guess I'm wondering how we should look at margins beyond 2018 and what's your comfort in delivering that margin growth?
JC
Jean-Jacques Charhon
Analyst
Yes, thanks for the question. This is JJ speaking. Really, our outlook for 2018 and the remaining two years are really no different than what we presented at Investor Day, which basically would translate into roughly about 70 basis points increase per year for the next three years. So another, two points or 200 basis points versus where we closed 2017. And then we also provided similar guidance around unlevered cash flow for those 3 years, but didn't provide any phasing.
KE
Kevin Estok
Analyst
The second question I had has to do without growth opportunities. And I guess I'm wondering what markets you guys are most like to be in that you are not currently in? And I guess where you see some of biggest growth opportunities?
ES
Eilif Serck-Hanssen
Analyst
Kevin, this is Eilif. In terms of growth, we are seeing a robust organic growth across the network. Near-term growth is going to be focused on organic and for us to get really to scale in markets where we already have a strong footprint. So we are excited about the prospect of our brand, UNITEC in Mexico, for example, which is now largely a Mexico City operation with opportunities to rapidly grow outside Mexico City. Similarly, in Peru, all of our 3 brands are largely a Lima operation- opportunities outside. Lots of white space still for us in Brazil. The interior, I shared with you, we are opening 2 new medical schools, and with that, a full traditional university operation would be coming behind those 2 institutions. So strong organic growth really in some of our core markets. As you know, we typically enter new markets through M&A. And for the next 12 to 18 months, our focus will be, continue to strengthen our balance sheet, continue to get scale in the markets where we have a strong presence already. So minimal M&A activity in the near to medium term.
OP
Operator
Operator
Following question comes from Shlomo Rosenbaum from Stifel.
SR
Shlomo Rosenbaum
Analyst
Elif, can you give us a little update on Turkey. There seem to have been in the 10-Q, some approval of some payments to subsidiary, but then a disallowance and the company had to reimburse BILGI for some payments. What's going on over there? And what's the -- is there a line of sight to some resolution? Or is just going to hang out there for a while?
ES
Eilif Serck-Hanssen
Analyst
Great. Thank you, Shlomo, for that questions. As you may recall, we are presuming two paths to resolve our regulatory situation in Turkey. First and foremost, we are pursuing all rights through the administrative court system. But as you can imagine, that's a relatively lengthy process. So in parallel, we are having bilateral conversations with the regulator, and I am very encouraged by the progress that we are making with -- in these discussions. It has enabled us, as we indicated, in the filing to now be in good standing with the regulator. We still have the ability to continue to discuss and challenge some of the limitations on our contract arrangements. But as of today, we are in a good standing. And when we get the full clarity on which contracts are permitted and which contracts -- which contractual arrangement needs to be restructured or repurposed, we will share that information with you. But we are very focused on working on these in a productive manner with the regulator.
SR
Shlomo Rosenbaum
Analyst
Okay. And then, JJ, would guidance have been raised if Chile was still to be deconsolidated? In other words, is it really strictly because of Chile coming back in?
JC
Jean-Jacques Charhon
Analyst
So the short answer is we would have included the stuff here just for facility purposes. It would have been a minor adjustment to the guidance, but the majority of the guidance is strictly associated with Chile.
SR
Shlomo Rosenbaum
Analyst
Okay. And then if you're increasing the EBITDA and -- why is the free cash flow guidance remain the same? I mean, is it not translating to cash over there?
JC
Jean-Jacques Charhon
Analyst
So as you may have noticed, there were really two elements that we factored into our revised guidance. The first one was FX. The second one is that we basically, for really cash management purposes, decided to pay down upfront an assessment -- tax assessment that we have in Europe. This tax assessment was actually secured through a collateral as LC of roughly $39 million, and we thought it would be better to really pay down $35 million, which is actually a lower number and avoid the penalty and the interests that were still accruing. So that is the second element that really impacted there. Obviously, a number of moving pieces associated with cash flow, but I think we're still looking at a major turnaround of our cash flow performance between '17 and '18 as reflected by guidance.
ES
Eilif Serck-Hanssen
Analyst
Let me just add to that. So this is more of a geography issue within the cash flow statement. So we paid a deposit on the disputed tax amount of $35 million and then we got $39 million of cash collateralized funds in return. So from a liquidity perspective, this was net $4 million better for us. But in the free cash flow calculation, the tax payment gets netted in there, while the receipt of the $39 million from the cash collateralized LC is not. So it is purely geography issue.
SR
Shlomo Rosenbaum
Analyst
So really, it would have gone up by, say, the $35 million or so, but it's just the mechanics of how it's working to the system?
JC
Jean-Jacques Charhon
Analyst
Yes, more or less. There's obviously puts and takes versus one we've provided the guidance, but that's the right way to think about it.
SR
Shlomo Rosenbaum
Analyst
Okay. And then would net leverage after St. Augustine go down materially, it seemed like, from the slide that the 2.7x is not factoring in the divestiture and repurposing the proceeds for debt reduction?
JC
Jean-Jacques Charhon
Analyst
So at this point in time, we haven't finalized the way we're going to be using the proceeds associated with the sale of U.S.A. University of St. Augustine Our priorities remains the same, which is to first support the business; second, really deleverage the business and de-risk the balance sheet and then eventually do some additional investments. So there is potential, of course, to bring that leverage ratio further down by above 40 basis points, which...
ES
Eilif Serck-Hanssen
Analyst
0.4x of a turn.
JC
Jean-Jacques Charhon
Analyst
0.4x of a turn, so that we could go as low as 2.3x point rate, but at this point in time, we're not committing to it.
ES
Eilif Serck-Hanssen
Analyst
That transaction is not closing into November. So between now and November, we will analyze the use of proceeds and then we'll get back to you with more specific guidance. But clearly, even strengthening our balance sheet and reducing debt is one of our key pillars in our transformation plan.
SR
Shlomo Rosenbaum
Analyst
Great. And then just final question, is there a chart or somewhere where we could use for pro forma numbers for '18 in order to model '19 with all the various divestitures and the impacts?
JC
Jean-Jacques Charhon
Analyst
Yes, there is a schedule that we've now provided in 10-Q that looks at basically the trailing 5 quarters associated with all these divestitures and the impact on the operating metrics. We can obviously continue to update them with future filings, so we had committed to provide that in the last earnings call and now you should find that in the 10-Q. On Page 62, to be precise.
OP
Operator
Operator
And following question comes from Jeff Meuler from RW Baird.
JM
Jeffrey Meuler
Analyst
Yes, it's maybe on Page 62, but what is the assumed contribution to 2018 guidance, both revenue and EBITDA, from the stub period from all of the divestitures, including St. Augustine? Just trying to re-baseline for -- as we think about 2019.
JC
Jean-Jacques Charhon
Analyst
Sure. So let me, first of all, give you kind of the part that is really materially changing the guidance versus when we provided it at Investor Day, and the impact on revenue is about $70 million and the impact on adjusted EBITDA is about $10 million. And then for U.S.A. University of St. Augustine, as you know, we could be missing only 1 month. So it's really not a major driver in the change of the guidance.
JM
Jeffrey Meuler
Analyst
Right. I'm just trying to think about what the 2018 like-for-like baseline revenue and EBITDA is that you are going to grow off of this as we think about modeling 2019?
JC
Jean-Jacques Charhon
Analyst
Yes, absolutely. We've provided really all the additional details on Page 19 of the earnings package. So you'll find there the breakdown between the pending divestitures and the completed divestitures. But for the pending divestitures, it's about $118 million of revenue and $33 million of adjusted EBITDA.
JM
Jeffrey Meuler
Analyst
Okay. And then in Brazil, just obviously a big shift between face-to-face and Distance Learning. I'm guessing some of that is expanding the market, some of that is just student preference. But I guess any comments on that in terms of how much face-to-face is being impacted by the student preference for Distance Learning? And then at scale, what's the margin differential? I know you have big ambitions for Brazil margins, but how do you think about Distance Learning margins at scale?
ES
Eilif Serck-Hanssen
Analyst
So this is Eilif. In face-to-face, we grew 10% -- sorry, face-to-face grew 10% on payers, 2% on a combined. And on Distance Learning, we grew 80-plus percent, 88% I believe, but from a much smaller base. So we are very encouraged by the momentum that we're getting on in our Distance Learning business, but it is a much smaller part of our business. What we are excited about is the new regulatory environment on the -- for Distance Learning, which enables us with very strong brands to go nationwide in the DL segment. That's a very, very exciting business for us. Given the structure of Distance Learning, it is asset-light model. The margin profile is relatively strong, and we believe that we are going to get a margin profile on that business above our average in that market. And then Brazil, in the face-to-face market, we are implementing, what we call the common operating model as we speak, which is going to take our margin profile in Brazil from the teens to the mid-20s over the next couple of years on the face-to-face business. So that's how we are thinking about the growth and the margin profile of those 2 businesses.
JM
Jeffrey Meuler
Analyst
Okay. And I know FIES, exposure FIES are relatively small, but do you have an estimate of what the new enrollment impact was this quarter due to the FIES delays?
RB
Ricardo Berckemeyer
Analyst
Yes. Last year in the first quarter, we had 3,500 FIES contracts. This year, we had 900.
OP
Operator
Operator
And following question comes from Alex Paris from Barrington Research.
CH
Christopher Howe
Analyst
This is Chris Howe sitting in for Alex Paris. My first question was just in regards to the Accelerator Plan. Just curious if there are other niche markets that are currently being considered and what the outlook is for that and the current state beyond what you currently shared. And my second question was in regard to the health sciences. Perhaps you can comment on the health sciences outlook moving forward. These specific 2 new medical schools, what kind of a contributor to enrollments could they be and the positive outlook there is within the health sciences as part of the mix.
ES
Eilif Serck-Hanssen
Analyst
Sure. Starting with the Accelerator Plan, the heavy lifting has been now done and essentially completed for the Accelerator Plan. We have 1 other market that we are negotiating for sale. It's a small market for us and that then will conclude the original Accelerator Plan divestiture. However, as you will recall from our January 31 Investor Presentation, we are committing to undertake regular portfolio reviews, and we laid out presentation on January 31 as a framework from which we will be using on an ongoing basis to assess the composition of our portfolio. So I'll pause there for a second, and see does that address your Accelerator Plan question?
CH
Christopher Howe
Analyst
Yes, that does.
ES
Eilif Serck-Hanssen
Analyst
Great. Then I'm going to ask Ricardo to address your health sciences strategy and outlook.
RB
Ricardo Berckemeyer
Analyst
Health sciences continues to be a very strong vertical for us. It's the largest vertical, very profitable one, very high tuition and high-quality as well with great outcomes, low attrition and great persistence, employability, et cetera. In the case of the medical schools in Brazil, we want these 2 licenses in interior of São Paolo. Initially, we will only launch in the C2 this year the medical degree, Human Medicine only. So around 200 to 250 enrollments. But soon after that, the license allows us to go with full-fledged portfolio and scope. So on maturity, those campuses should be around 4,000 to 6,000 students each.
OP
Operator
Operator
Our following question comes from Manav Patnaik from Barclays.
RL
Ryan Leonard
Analyst
This is Ryan filling in for Manav. Just going back to the Chile, I understand that the court ruled on it, and I guess, just to make sure we don't go down the similar path. I mean, is there a chance that there's a slight tweak in the language of the underlying law that could then be put back in front of Congress or anything like that? Just want to make sure it's not something that can come back on the table at some point.
ES
Eilif Serck-Hanssen
Analyst
The legislators can, of course, at any time propose new changes to the laws, but then you will go through a new legislative process. Right now, we have a Higher Education Law that is in place, which is the old law. Then there was a new law that has been developed and drafted by both of the Houses and signed up by both Houses of the parliament. Then the Constitutional Court has renewed Article 63, so now it's up to the President to either sign new law as amended by the Constitutional Court or send something back to Congress for new process, which I haven't heard, it's on the agenda, but of course, it's his prerogative. Or the old law as that is currently in effect, will remain in effect. So those are the 3 options that are on the table.
RL
Ryan Leonard
Analyst
Got it. Okay, so there'll be a long runway of time before another legislative event would have an impact on Chile on operation?
ES
Eilif Serck-Hanssen
Analyst
We don't know. I haven't even heard about any suggestions of a new process, so I can't comment on that.
RL
Ryan Leonard
Analyst
Okay, fair enough. And then on Brazil, in the Distance Learning, obviously, regulatory changes. There has been a lot of growth in that. Is that, what are the competitive advantages there? Does your brand name help you versus some of the other big players in the market? Or is it more geography based? Can you help us understand the opportunity there?
RB
Ricardo Berckemeyer
Analyst
Yes. In the first two years, we've increased tremendously our distribution network in the DL side of the business. We have now over 400 polos. We are in the process of concentrating solely on scaling the business. The success we're having and that 85% growth rate is due to our management's ability to execute, but backed by very, very strong brands in very important markets, okay. I believe that in Brazil, Laureate has one of the best portfolios of universities in the country, and those brands are very appealing to the students to the future prospects.
ES
Eilif Serck-Hanssen
Analyst
I would also add to that, that the institutions in Brazil, as part of the Laureate network, are positioned higher up in the social economic pyramid. High focus on health sciences. These are full-fledged universities as opposed to faculdades. And I think that positioning is serving us well, particularly when we are relying on, predominantly private pay.
RL
Ryan Leonard
Analyst
Got it. And just on the -- some of the divestitures, was St. Augustine one that was identified early on? Or was it more opportunistic? And I guess, yes, as you look at the portfolio today, do you feel pretty good that we're -- all of the identified schools in most of the targets for divestiture completed? Or is this something that could be ongoing?
ES
Eilif Serck-Hanssen
Analyst
So St. Augustine was not part of the initial Accelerator Plan. St. Augustine is a great asset. It's a very U.S.-centric asset and it has very specific state licensing associated with it, which makes it very hard to incorporate that institution into our global network. So again, going back to, I think, Page 28 on our January 31 Investor Day presentation where we laid out the core principles for our portfolio review, we found that University of St. Augustine doesn't really integrate with the rest of the network in the way that our other traditional member universities engage with each other in terms of faculty exchange, student exchange, common curriculum, dual degrees. All of those differentiators, we find didn't really lend itself to St. Augustine. And, hence, we decided to start the process and signed a definite SPA a couple of weeks ago for that asset.
RL
Ryan Leonard
Analyst
And then going forward, I mean, similarly, you're just going to be doing this type of analysis ongoing and well, obviously, see if anything comes out of it?
ES
Eilif Serck-Hanssen
Analyst
We would always, as part of our annual planning process, we will make sure that we have the right assets in the right markets with the right products. But clearly, the heavy lifting of the Accelerator Plan is behind us, but we will continue, like most organizations do on a regular basis, to re-underwrite our portfolio on a timely basis.
OP
Operator
Operator
Our following question comes from Hamzah Mazari from Macquarie Capital.
HM
Hamzah Mazari
Analyst
The first question is just, and you may have touched on this, is just on the partnership side. I know you referenced sort of Walden returning to growth. But on the partnership side, could you just maybe frame for us how long is the process to get higher-margin volume? And then maybe just touch on sort of the de-emphasis of International partnerships, what does that mean? Is partnerships just less of a focus in the portfolio going forward?
ES
Eilif Serck-Hanssen
Analyst
So we found, again, similar to the portfolio review that we have partnerships that didn't yield the results that we had hoped for. So we're now refocusing around some very core partnerships. So Liverpool University, very important partner for us and it's going to be core. It remains in an important segment of our business. But some of the other brands that we had relationship with, we are either exiting or de-emphasizing or focusing more on a specific area. And similarly, Walden, which is a great U.S. brand, we are focusing more of those efforts as well domestically, where it has a great brand, great reputation and a much better infrastructure to win in that market versus internationally. So we're just refocusing all of our online brands in the markets where we think that they have a right to win.
HM
Hamzah Mazari
Analyst
Great. And just a follow-up question. You touched on Chile. We touched on Brazil, specifically the FIES funding. Is there anything else, as you look longer term, I know there is low visibility, but anything else from a regulatory perspective in any of your markets that you are sort of paying attention to or that investors should pay attention to, either positive or negative impact? Or is it sort of nothing on the horizon?
ES
Eilif Serck-Hanssen
Analyst
Shlomo mentioned earlier -- or asked earlier about Turkey, and that is a very core market for us where we are focusing on addressing the regulatory environment. But that's that. I think we have a well-diversified portfolio and very constructive regulatory environment.
OP
Operator
Operator
We have no further questions. Thank you, ladies and gentlemen. This concludes today's conference. Thank you for participating. You may now disconnect.