Earnings Labs

Ladder Capital Corp (LADR)

Q4 2016 Earnings Call· Thu, Feb 23, 2017

$10.45

+0.87%

Key Takeaways · AI generated
AI summary not yet generated for this transcript. Generation in progress for older transcripts; check back soon, or browse the full transcript below.

Same-Day

-1.91%

1 Week

+3.18%

1 Month

+1.69%

vs S&P

+2.89%

Transcript

Operator

Operator

Greetings and welcome to Ladder Capital’s Fourth Quarter 2016 Earnings Conference Call. At this time, all participants are in listen-only mode and a question-and-answer session will follow the formal presentation. [Operator Instructions] And as a reminder, this conference is being recorded. I’d now like to turn the conference over to your host, Miss. Kelly Porcella, General Counsel. Thank you, Porcella. You may begin.

Kelly Porcella

Analyst

Thank you and good afternoon, everyone. I'd like to welcome you to Ladder Capital Corp.'s earnings call for the fourth quarter of 2016. With me this afternoon are Brian Harris, the Company's Chief Executive Officer; and Marc Fox, the Company's Chief Financial Officer. This afternoon, we released our financial results for the year ended December 31, 2016. The earnings release is available in the Investor Relations section of the Company's website and our annual report on Form 10-K will be filed with the SEC later this week. Before the call begins, I'd like to remind everyone that certain statements made in the course of this call are not based on historical information and may constitute forward-looking statements. These statements are based on Management's current expectations and beliefs and are subject to a number of trends and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially from those described in these forward-looking statements. I refer you to Ladder Capital Corp’s Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2015, for a more detailed discussion of the risk factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from those expressed or implied in any forward-looking statements made today. Accordingly, you are cautioned not to place undue reliance on these forward-looking statements. The Company undertakes no duty to update any forward-looking statements that may be made during the course of this call. Additionally, certain non-GAAP financial measures will be discussed on this conference call. The Company's presentation of this information is not intended to be considered in isolation or as a substitute for the financial information presented in accordance with GAAP. Reconciliations of these non-GAAP financial measures to the most comparable measures prepared in accordance with GAAP are contained in our earnings release and/or are otherwise provided – posted to our website, www.laddercapital.com. With that, I'll turn the call over to our Chief Executive Officer, Brian Harris.

Brian Harris

Analyst

Thank you, Kelly. I'd like to start today by highlighting a few items from the fourth quarter of 2016. After that I'll recap the full year that just ended and note some of the more important data points and trends as we look back and then relate some of those to how we see things developing in the year ahead in 2017. In the fourth quarter, Ladder reported core earnings, a non-GAAP financial measure, of $44.6 million, or $0.37 per share. During the quarter, we participated in three loan securitizations contributing $663.8 million of loans producing a gain on sale of $18 million for a net profit margin of 2.71%. At the end of 2016, our undepreciated book value was $14.76 per share while our GAAP book value was $13.57 per share. Our annualized after-tax core return on equity for the quarter was 10.8% and for all of 2016 it was 10.7%. At year-end our debt to equity ratio fell to 2.6 to 1 largely as a result of $607 million in securities either being paid off before their maturity date or sold by us in the fourth quarter. This reduction in securities inventory has continued into the first quarter of 2017 with a further decrease of $324 million in the first six weeks of this year. So we have either sold or seen unscheduled pay-offs of $931 million from our securities inventory over the last 4.5 months. As of last Friday, our debt to equity ratio had fallen to 2.5 to 1. We began to sell some of our securities in the fourth quarter in response to short-term interest rates rising and to enhance our liquidity as we approach April when our more expensive corporate bond becomes callable. Loan origination in the fourth quarter was skewed more towards balance…

Marc Fox

Analyst

Thank you, Brian. I will now review Ladder Capital’s financial results for the quarter and year ended December 31, 2016. Core earnings in the fourth quarter of 2016 were $44.6 million this compares to $50.1 million in the fourth quarter of 2015. Core earnings were $158.2 million for the full year compared to $191.5 million in 2015. In the fourth quarter of 2016, core EPS was $0.37 per share compared to $0.45 per share for the fourth quarter of prior year. For the year ended 21/31/2016 core EPS was $1.48 compared to $1.85 earned in 2015. On an after-tax core basis, Ladder generated a 10.8% return on average equity during the fourth quarter and a 10.7% return over the full year. This is based on average equity excluding NCIs or consolidated JVs of approximately $1.5 billion. Major sources of core earnings in the fourth quarter included net interest income generated by Ladder’s loan and securities portfolios and net rental income from our real estate portfolio, which together totaled $42.7 million in addition to gains on the sale of securitized loans net of hedging of $18 million. GAAP net income before taxes for the fourth quarter was $72.4 million and $120 million for the calendar year 2016. These results compared to GAAP net income before taxes of $67.1 million for the fourth quarter of 2015 and $160.7 million for the full year ended December 31, 2015. The largest GAAP to core earnings adjustments in both 2016 and 2015 related to depreciation on our real estate portfolio. Looking back on the year, loan origination securitization volume increased significantly in the second half of 2016. Ladder originated $701.6 million of loans during the fourth quarter of 2016 bringing total loan originations during the second half to $1.55 billion compared to $551 million in…

Operator

Operator

Thank you. Ladies and gentlemen, at this time we will be conducting a question-and-answer session. [Operator Instructions] And our first question comes from the line of Jade Rahmani with KBW. Please proceed with your question.

Jade Rahmani

Analyst

Thanks very much for taking the questions. Just wondered big picture question, how would you characterize your tone towards the coming year? Are you cautiously optimistic or you’re more cautious or are you bullish about current investment opportunities and the environment?

Brian Harris

Analyst

Hi, Jade. This is Brian. I'm pretty optimistic generally I think. Yeah I think we were kind of getting towards the tail end of a credit cycle there. And now with the new administration, I think if they really do cut corporate taxes and repatriate money I think that could add a couple years too. What was a recovery that might have been slowing down a bit; so I think I feel pretty optimistic about it. And I think ultimately the risk retention rules that are in place today have really curtailed a lot of the competitive influences that we were dealing with, especially in the smaller loan players. And I think it really favors companies like ours with permanent capital. So, yeah, I'm pretty optimistic about it.

Jade Rahmani

Analyst

The true sale treatment that you were referring to is that in the case of both the Ladder sponsored securitizations and contributions to future deals with other sponsors in the horizontal strip case.

Brian Harris

Analyst

No, it’s really I think one of each in the horizontal formal, which I think we’re favouring at this point if we do a Ladder transaction, when I say Ladder meaning we have all the loans in the deal. We will not get a true sale treatment because we're holding a controlling class of bonds. And so as a result of that what we'll have is a very high yielding B-piece for lack of a better term and that will throw off cash flows over a ten year period of time getting rid of the gain on sale associated with that securitization in that quarter. If you go the other way and securitize with normal route I would call where you pool your loans with other people, if the banks hold the vertical strip then I think the gain on sales comes back into play for the contributors of the loans. So that's why we kind of like having both options available.

Jade Rahmani

Analyst

And just on the CMBS fund that due loans last quarter, are you getting any traction on that? Can you say how much the AUM is currently?

Brian Harris

Analyst

I think the AUM on that is about $12.5 million, but I would point out that we are deliberately keeping that on the – what I would call the down low, not because there is anything wrong with it, as you heard on the call we are generally sellers of securities right now. We've sold over 900 million or have been paid off on them. So I would not – I think that the Ladder Select mutual fund will do very well during periods of high volatility, but during periods of low production and tighter spreads, I don't think that that would be a vehicle that we would try to invest a lot of capital into or raise a lot of capital in. So just because it's not a huge fund right now, I think that most of the inflows into that fund will take place during periods of high volatility.

Jade Rahmani

Analyst

Company condos I was wondering if you could touch on the sales pace particularly at the Miami Project but – and both of them seems like remained at a pretty healthy pace quarter-over-quarter and the aggregate gains as a percentage of what you brought in was pretty high.

Marc Fox

Analyst

Yeah, Jade, it’s Marc Fox. That's correct. In Miami, we sold 16 units. We had a core gain there of about $650,000 on those units. In Vegas, we sold 15 units and we had a gain there of about $3.7 million.

Brian Harris

Analyst

So, Jade, we have been raising prices as is happening around the country when you hear the Case-Shiller numbers come out. The Miami property I think anyone who’s in Miami in January during the CREFC conference. Miami is little overbuilt right now, but I think we have one of the lowest cost price points on the market. We don't have a beachfront condominium complex there. It’s everything is about the same price and you can get into the unit for under $400,000. So there it isn’t the high-end beachfront properties that I think – that I think notice are slowing down more. In Las Vegas, we did see a slowdown in the first quarter, but I think that had more to do with just the general what went on in the economy as far as interest rates when they moved up after the election. So we don't have a lot of units left in Las Vegas and Miami is doing very well.

Jade Rahmani

Analyst

Thanks very much for taking the questions.

Brian Harris

Analyst

Sure.

Operator

Operator

Our next question comes from the line of Steve DeLaney with JMP Securities. Please go ahead.

Steve DeLaney

Analyst · JMP Securities. Please go ahead.

Thanks. Good evening everyone. Brian, thanks for the heads up on the bond maturity that would look to be the 7.38 notes about $300 million. I guess looking at that are you approaching it that you want to run above average liquidity just in case the bond market the high yield market is not open to you to refinance that if you will or just to float another issue to take out the maturing issue. And I'm just curious if that maturity is in any way affecting your appetite for putting new loans on at this point. Thank you.

Brian Harris

Analyst · JMP Securities. Please go ahead.

Sure the answer – the first part of your questionnaire, Steve, is yes. We were raising liquidity in the fourth quarter heading towards that call date of April 1st of the more expensive bond. And you know I think in December of last year, I probably thought we would float a $300 million to $350 million bond issue and pay that bond off. And then…

Steve DeLaney

Analyst · JMP Securities. Please go ahead.

That kind of changed…

Brian Harris

Analyst · JMP Securities. Please go ahead.

Yeah I think things changed. It felt like things got a little bit more favorable. So we may find ourselves in a position where we're able to do that that issuance in larger size and ultimately be faced with having a little too much liquidity for a quarter, but we'll call that a country club problem.

Steve DeLaney

Analyst · JMP Securities. Please go ahead.

That's a high quality problem, yeah for sure. So I'm getting the impression that…

Brian Harris

Analyst · JMP Securities. Please go ahead.

Yeah, I think the second part of your…

Steve DeLaney

Analyst · JMP Securities. Please go ahead.

Go ahead, Brian.

Brian Harris

Analyst · JMP Securities. Please go ahead.

The second part of your question is it causing us not to make loans. And no that's not the case, I think what it's causing us to do is sell a lot of securities.

Steve DeLaney

Analyst · JMP Securities. Please go ahead.

Got it.

Brian Harris

Analyst · JMP Securities. Please go ahead.

So we have plenty of – left for lending and that's really where our focus is right now and we've always telegraphed that – we would go to the securities book as an ATM if we need a cash to do anything.

Steve DeLaney

Analyst · JMP Securities. Please go ahead.

Yeah, great. Okay. And when you think about a Ladder only securitization, should we assume that the size of that would need to be in the $800 million to $1 billion range to for you to get an execution?

Brian Harris

Analyst · JMP Securities. Please go ahead.

That really depends on the size of the loans and the diversity scores that you get from the rating agencies. So you could certainly do a $600 million transaction as long as you didn't have a lot of big loans in the pool. But I would think that really for the purposes of handling expenses over a bigger unit, we would probably shift $800 million to $1 billion.

Steve DeLaney

Analyst · JMP Securities. Please go ahead.

Okay.

Brian Harris

Analyst · JMP Securities. Please go ahead.

You also want to get something that you have a B-piece that's about 5%.

Steve DeLaney

Analyst · JMP Securities. Please go ahead.

You know in this yes, in this financing versus sale treatment that I'm sure Marc is electing everybody about, I mean I want to just mention that this was, prior to the crisis, this is the way Redwood Trust ran their prime jumbo securitization business for what ten years or so. And it was very effective as a long-term investment program. I think one of the issues you may have to face is gain on sale provides you with immediate cash revenue. I guess you're going to have to rethink some originator compensation programs aren't you if in fact you're converting an immediate income revenue stream into a 10-year income stream. How does that workout?

Brian Harris

Analyst · JMP Securities. Please go ahead.

Yes, let me – it sounds like one of us. Yes that's exactly right, but I do think we're able to handle the originator portion of the compensation because you can really trade a loan origination as a commission. And you can estimate what you think the game is at the time of the loan. I think probably the other thing that from an analyst standpoint you got to keep in mind here is that our aggregation period will be longer. So we'll be instead of pulling the trigger with 300 million, or 400 million into a pool if we're going to go-to-market with 800 or a billion, we could be having less frequency. Now that's why I think in the past it's always been hard for you guys to model how much we're making on gain on sale margin. And well I've talked to many investors who said that that volatility in the conduit that we don't really like because here we can't quite figure it out and this will get rid of that in the latter only portion but what the analyst will have to do is figure out how to estimate a gain on sale when we're in a pool with other parties with a vertical tranche. So if it’s a little more bifurcated but not undoable, oddly enough I tend to like holding the BP's portion as you described that had been done previously by Redwood. And what it creates is long-lasting, very stable cash flows. And so try to imagine if you did a $1 billion securitization and you held a $50 million piece at 16%, you can readily figure out assuming no defaults what the next ten years look like there. So in the first year you have nothing at the end of five years if you do $10 billion you’ve got quite a bit of cash flow coming in year.

Steve DeLaney

Analyst · JMP Securities. Please go ahead.

And you can sleep at night knowing that your credits that you cooked in your own kitchen.

Brian Harris

Analyst · JMP Securities. Please go ahead.

Yes it becomes a very credit-sensitive business under the old model where we had gain on sale the risk was removed from the building. Now it stays – in a lot – but that has never really been a big concern of ours.

Steve DeLaney

Analyst · JMP Securities. Please go ahead.

Okay. Well thanks for the comments and congrats. It was a good solid quarter and a very volatile rate environment. So good job.

Brian Harris

Analyst · JMP Securities. Please go ahead.

Thank you.

Steve DeLaney

Analyst · JMP Securities. Please go ahead.

Thank you.

Operator

Operator

The next question comes from line of Jessica Levi-Ribner with FBR. Please go ahead.

Jessica Levi-Ribner

Analyst

Okay guys, thanks so much for taking my question. We heard that two of the larger commercial mREITs that there's a lot of opportunity in the construction space. Is that's something you guys are seeing as well and if so or if not how do you think about that?

Brian Harris

Analyst

I think there is a lot of opportunity in the construction space because the banks are making that very, very difficult. So as a result there’s a bit of a void there. I don't consider construction lending a core strength of our origination salesforce or our asset management group. Having said that, we don't – when I think constructionally, I mean ground up construction we don't usually poor foundations. We have in the past but it isn't something we like to do often. We don't particularly like long tail businesses because when you make a loan on a shopping center and you sell it 90 days later you know it's in the community sometimes for 40 years and you know who goes there. But when you're building oftentimes new construction the best way to own them is the second time around. And as a lender, the worst thing you ever want to be faced with is a construction loan on a half built building, where the sponsor has run out of money. Because especially inside of a REIT if you've got a $200 million or $300 million construction loan that’s defaulted that’s a lot of capital. That's no longer on a financing line and you have to go finish the building in a business that distributes 90% of its capital. So I don't like the fit inside of a REIT.

Jessica Levi-Ribner

Analyst

Okay fair enough. And just kind of turning back toward ACT policy, maybe some of the changes we could be expecting do you think that that’s – from what we understand now and I know that’s it’s a big line but how do you think about that impact on commercial real estate market as a whole?

Brian Harris

Analyst

I honestly don’t know. Most of what I've heard I hesitate to comment on it because whatever I think is being discussed now I don't think is going to. If you do expense an entire cost of a building on the day of the purchase, I think you're going to see a lot of buildings purchased and the tax rate – the tax receivables will fall dramatically. So it's just intuitively a little uncomfortable to think that that's going to go through that way. But I think that the administration will certainly [indiscernible] balancing features and to try to interpret it in advance, I don't know, I don't see it. And obviously mortgage deductibility interest deductibility, that's a lot of people. So I guess I'm hesitant to think that we really have the final version of what's coming out.

Jessica Levi-Ribner

Analyst

Okay that’s where I thought I tried to anyway. Thank you so much.

Brian Harris

Analyst

Sure.

Operator

Operator

[Operator Instructions] Our next question comes from the line of Charles Nabhan with Wells Fargo. Please go ahead.

Charles Nabhan

Analyst · Wells Fargo. Please go ahead.

Hey guys. Brian in the past you’ve talked about underwriting within the conduit business to a gain on sale margin of roughly 3% to 4% and you’ve talked about 15 bps change in spreads roughly impacting that gain on sale by 1% or so. I was wondering if there's been any changes to that benchmark under risk retention?

Brian Harris

Analyst · Wells Fargo. Please go ahead.

I think under risk retention again there’s has two forms of it under the portion where we would hold our own bps and be the only contributor. I don't think it's changed. However, where it has changed, perhaps is that you don't have the risk of a BPs buyer kicking a loan out because you are the bps buyer. In the scenario where you're contributing with other loan contributors and a bank is holding a vertical strip, there's probably a cost associated with having that bank tie up their capital for that many years. So I would say the expenses have gone up in all likelihood. But the 15 basis point on a 10-year, that's just math. But you might have to build in a little bit more expense cushion when securitizing with other people. And then again we still run the risk of who ever that BP's buyer is having a heavy-handed approach towards some of your loans.

Charles Nabhan

Analyst · Wells Fargo. Please go ahead.

Okay.

Brian Harris

Analyst · Wells Fargo. Please go ahead.

I mean 50 basis points is about right.

Charles Nabhan

Analyst · Wells Fargo. Please go ahead.

Got it. Just as a follow-up a quick high level question. Can you talk about what you're seeing in terms of underwriting trends and specifically if you're seeing any changes in behavior in terms of issuers kicking out loans in the type of loans that they've been kicking out over the past quarter or so?

Brian Harris

Analyst · Wells Fargo. Please go ahead.

We have not attempted to get involved in any securitizations in a little while with other parties because we kind of felt like the path was it was cloudy and we couldn't figure out because we had various discussions with the issuers about what it would cost for us to put in pools. So we decided to stress a little bit more onto the bridge loan portfolio the first mortgage held for balance sheet. And that's where I'll tell you something that is an interesting phenomenon that we do see going on, but it has nothing to do with underwriting, it has to do with borrower preferences. We have seen an unusual amount of loans that want to be financed for two years instead of five or ten and they’re stabilized, they’re occupied, they're full. And I don't really have a good reason for you as to why they would want to go into a two-year loan other than they plan to sell the building. And they don't want to be locked out for an extended period of time. And when I tell you that phenomenon has been almost 50% of the loans we’re writing. So I think as you look out as the quarters tick by here assuming this continues, you're going to see probably higher coverage in our – bridge loan portfolio and it's becoming far less transitional. And I think this is one of the reasons that you’re seeing the volume of the conduit securitize business is down so much. Because I think – and it may be because the borrowers are finally back from 2007 and they feel like they're finally back to where their buildings were at the time. And they want to not go into another downturn around it's just this unnatural fear in my opinion of interest rates raising. And they don't want to be in a situation where they've got an extended period of time on a fixed asset that will have to be financed later on at much higher rates. There's something going on in the psyche of borrowers that’s causing them to actually pay higher rates for shorter terms because they're valuing the prepayment option as much more valuable than it was since we started the company.

Charles Nabhan

Analyst · Wells Fargo. Please go ahead.

And I guess just as a follow-up to that comment, what is and I know the trend – the pricing varies from deal to deal. But I guess generally speaking, what is the difference and could you talk about the difference of the spread between those transactions you were referring to as opposed to your more traditional loans that you've been underwriting over the past couple years?

Brian Harris

Analyst · Wells Fargo. Please go ahead.

Yes, I don't – I can give you a general commentary, I don't want you to read too much into the numbers because I think that a marquee reference that our average coupon was five – 580 over LIBOR was it?

Marc Fox

Analyst · Wells Fargo. Please go ahead.

It’s actually 567 over the LIBOR.

Brian Harris

Analyst · Wells Fargo. Please go ahead.

Okay.

Marc Fox

Analyst · Wells Fargo. Please go ahead.

It’s the newly originated stuff.

Brian Harris

Analyst · Wells Fargo. Please go ahead.

Okay, so that would be a 6.5% rate on newly originated loans. But I think it's a little bifurcated. I think it's a 5.5% for half the book and 7.5% for the other half of that book. And as I said it’s these. But a 5.5% rate on a two-year bridge loan on a conduit eligible loan that could easily get a 4.5% rate if the borrower took lockout is a little surprising. But that’s stability seems to be viewed as paramount right now.

Charles Nabhan

Analyst · Wells Fargo. Please go ahead.

Right. Okay, thank you for the color guys.

Brian Harris

Analyst · Wells Fargo. Please go ahead.

Sure.

Operator

Operator

Your next question is a follow-up from Jade Rahmani. Please go ahead.

Jade Rahmani

Analyst

Thanks very much. Just two quick questions, one obviously if you expect to do any securitization the first quarter, based on your current ability and also how you think about M&A in the specialty finance space if that’s something you're focused on?

Marc Fox

Analyst

Sure I’m going to take it in pieces. The first part of your question, do I feel securitization in the first quarter? I will tell you we have a pool of short maturity loans a little bit over a $1 billion that we could securitize right now. And what we're wrestling with a little bit, we were going to originally do this into our first horizontal risk retention piece. And what we liked about it was since it’s two years to three years in maturity, we wouldn’t have to hold it for five years, we would get the book again over 24-month to 36-month period. So it would actually be a way to, not short circuited but certainly not the tail or the profitability because the coupons would be paying you very quickly. I think we're going to chamber that bullet for a minute because it would cost us about $5 million in expenses to do that transaction. And when you expense that $5 million over a two-year period of time, effectively what happens is let’s say the loans are 6%, which they are. So we get $60 million in interest from those assets over a year. And in the first year we would make $55 million. So it's not a big cost associated with it and it would produce some added liquidity because our leverage has gone down significantly. Since we've been selling securities these portfolios are leveraged maybe 55%, 60%. So the securitization business would effectively finance us up to 70% or 75%. So we were thinking about doing that. Again that was in a back up to Steve DeLaney’s question of the earlier. You saw a shoring up our liquidity into year-end by selling securities. As we are approaching a call date on a 7.38 corporate bond another place where we’re looking to liquidity would be for that securitization to effectively upsize the leverage on the bridge loan portfolio that would have created probably another $100 million worth of cash to us. However, as long as the bond market appears to be open and it looks like we're going to be able to do a transaction that easily finances that bond issue and sat comfortably, then there's really no need for us to sell down and absorb that $5 million cost kind of a long answer there, but should make sense to you. And the second part was M&A. I find M&A in the REIT space to be very difficult, mainly because everybody wants to sell their companies above book value and very few REITs trade above book value. And so as a result of that you pretty much have to overpay for things. Having said that, I do think there are a lot of small REITs out there. And the ones under $600 million, that probably would have material expense savings if they would consolidate. So I think it will happen one day but I don't see any catalyst for it just yet.

Jade Rahmani

Analyst

Thanks I appreciate it.

Marc Fox

Analyst

Sure.

Operator

Operator

There are no further questions at this time I'll turn the call back over to management for any final remarks.

Brian Harris

Analyst

Now I just want to thank everybody for dialing in and listening up to us. And I will be back to you in 60 days, I think with our first quarter results. Thanks.