Earnings Labs

KVH Industries, Inc. (KVHI)

Q1 2018 Earnings Call· Sun, May 6, 2018

$9.54

-1.60%

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Transcript

Operator

Operator

Good day, and welcome to the KVH Industries Incorporated, First Quarter 2018 Earnings Conference Call. Today's conference is being recorded. At this time, I'd like to turn the conference over to Don Reilly, Chief Financial Officer. Please go ahead.

Don Reilly

Management

Thank you, operator. Good morning, everyone. Thanks for joining us today to discuss KVH Industries' first quarter results and our guidance for 2018 second quarter and full year, all of which is included in the earnings release we published this morning. With me on the call is Martin Kits van Heyningen, the company's Chief Executive Officer. The earnings release is available on our website and also from our Investor Relations Department. If you would like to listen to a recording of today's call, you can access a webcast replay on our website. If you're listening via the web, feel free to submit questions to ir@kvh.com. This conference call will contain certain forward-looking statements that are subject to many assumptions and uncertainties that may cause our actual results to differ materially from those expressed in these statements. We undertake no obligation to update or revise any forward-looking statements. We will also discuss certain non-GAAP financial measures, and you will find definitions of these measures in our press release as well as reconciliations of these non-GAAP measures to comparable GAAP measures. We encourage you to review the cautionary statements made in our SEC filings, specifically those under the heading Risk Factors in our 2017 Form 10-Q which was filed on March 2nd and the company's other SEC filings which are available directly from the Investor Information section of our website. At this time, I would like to turn the call over to Martin. Martin?

Martin Kits van Heyningen

Management

Thanks, Don and good morning, everyone thank you for joining us today. I'm pleased to announce that 2018 is off to a strong start. Q1 revenue was $40.1 million and EBITDA was $0.9 million both in-line with our guidance. Our first quarter results illustrate that the strategic investments we made in 2017 are paying off and we're delivering growth in our key markets. In our mobile connectivity business, we achieved record quarterly VSAT shipments and bookings in Q1. VSAT shipments were up 50% sequentially and 62% compared to last year's first quarter. We increased our airtime subscriber base by 6% whilst we exited the quarter with a strong backlog heading into Q2. The driver for these results was our AgilePlans connectivity as a service program for the commercial market which we introduced in Q2 of 2017. This new approach to selling, delivering, and deploying SATCOM hardware servers and content was designed to reduce the barriers to VSAT acceptance among commercial fleets by offering affordable subscriptions that incorporate every element of our end-to-end maritime communications and content solution. And we set several goals for our agile plans. We wanted to convert our traditional hardware sales into re a recurring revenue stream by moving to a hardware and service subscription model. We also wanted to dramatically move the needle and boost our VSAT deployments, expand our installed base and increase our airtime subscriber population. If we simply saw one-to-one trade-off with anticipated VSAT sale shifting to subscription the program would have been a disappointment. Fortunately, we can now say that it appears it will be very successful. We're moving out of the quarterly shipment range, we've been experiencing for the last couple of years. Our AgilePlans no commitment policy has also proved to be extremely appealing, especially in Asia-Pacific market. But more…

Don Reilly

Management

Thank you, Martin. As Martin mentioned earlier, our first quarter revenue was $40.1 million, which was right at the midpoint of our guidance range and was the same as our 2017 first quarter, which was $40.2 million. As you know we implemented the new revenue recognition standard ASC 606 in the first quarter, the impact of the new standard was a net decrease of about $400,000, so on an apples-to-apples basis, revenues would have increased slightly about $300,000. Revenues from our mobile connectivity segment decreased $1.5 million and our inertial navigation revenue increased $1.4 million from the prior year first quarter. Product revenue for the first quarter was $14 million, a decrease of about $900,000 or 6% from $14.9 million in the first quarter of the prior year. By segment, product revenues in our mobile connectivity segment decreased by $1.9 million or 20%, while product revenues in our inertial navigation segment increased $1.1 million or about 21%. Within our inertial navigation segment, our FOG business continued its solid top-line revenue growth growing approximately 25% this quarter compared to the first quarter of the prior year. Well TACNAV sales remained basically flat year-over-year. In our mobile connectivity segment, the decline of product sales was driven partially by the adoption of the new revenue standard, as well an impact of the AgilePlans subscriptions service. With respect to the Agile program, approximately 51% of our total unit shipments this quarter and 67% of our commercial shipments were in connection with this new offering which allowed us to achieve a record high in some of VSAT unit shipments. Service revenue for the first quarter increased by about $800,000 or 15% to just over $26 million from 25.3 million in the first quarter of last year. In our mobile connectivity segment, mini-VSAT broadband airtime revenue…

Operator

Operator

Thank you. [Operator Instructions] We'll go first to Rich Valera with Needham & Company

Rich Valera

Analyst

Thank you. Good morning. Martin, I think you mentioned that installs tripled in the first quarter and I'm not sure if that was year-over-year or quarter-over-quarter. But, and you also mentioned I think that's it's -- you've kind of broken out of your historical quarterly addition range. Would love to get some sort of bounds there? I mean, I think we've historically talked about a range of 200 to 250 or 250 to 300, and I'm not sure if you are willing to sort of say where you are if you are kind of out of that range or any color on that. And also, I think just to follow-up, you've talked about having a really building backlog there on the VSAT. If you could give us any sense of the magnitude of that backlog and kind of how you think that's going to flow through with the balance of the year as you work to increase your delivery and fulfillment capacity.

Martin Kits van Heyningen

Management

Okay, lot of questions there for me. So, you are correct. So, what we're saying is that we're no longer in that range than on the range you just mentioned. So, we're above that range now for the first time and we mentioned it was a record, so clearly a positive trend, sequential quarter growth as well as year-over-year growth of 60%. When I talked about tripling the installation pace that was sequential compared to Q4 of last year. In the year earlier quarter, we didn't have any at all Agiles. So, that was -- that program hadn't started yet. So, I was referring to sequential growth. So, in terms of the magnitude of the backlog, we went into the quarter with a good backlog and we expect to see continued solid year-over-year growth. So, we feel pretty good about where we're going and as you know, we've struggled to really break out of this range and to really sort of move the needle in an important way and we feel that we're doing that now.

Rich Valera

Analyst

Got it. And then, just wanted to reconcile the 4% airtime revenue growth with apparently a 6% growth in your sub base, because I think you've been saying that the AgilePlans carry a pretty significant ARPU premium. I think you may have mentioned 30%. So, it would seem that your average ARPU for the entire base was down year-over-year to kind of have 4% revenue growth on 6% sub-base growth. So, just trying to reconcile that with what we think should be an improving ARPU given the increasing mix of AgilePlans.

Martin Kits van Heyningen

Management

Right. Yes, you are right. We do expect ARPUs to increase as our plans are above the average ARPU, but the ARPU mix is little bit more complicated than just Agile versus non-Agile, because you have the 11s which have very high ARPU compared to V7 or V3. So, there is a bit of mix change there as well. So, it's -- but you are right, AgilePlans does have a better ARPU than our corporate average. And you are also right that there was a blended rate decline in ARPU due to mix.

Don Reilly

Management

And you know as happy as we are with the success we've had with Agile, it's still a very small portion of our total number of subscribers. So, it's not -- so the higher Agile ARPU, isn't really going to significantly impact the overall ARPU at this point.

Martin Kits van Heyningen

Management

That's another good point. So, not only is you are comparing it to the install base, so you have to move the needle of you know the 10-year install base, but you also have to get them installed and activated. So, for example when we mentioned that we won a fleet of 40 vessels or 100 vessels or 50 vessels, we don't even count that as bookings or shipments until we get each individual order, like where the unit is shipped to a vessel. So, that's not even in the totals. And again, until they are installed and activated, we don't recognize any revenue from it. So, the backlogs of installation, purchase on the revenue line and it also hurts us on the growth and ARPU, because there will be no growth in ARPU until they are activated.

Rich Valera

Analyst

Yeah. I get that it will take a while for it to have a significant accretive impact on ARPU, but I guess it seems like there is something going on where your average ARPU is declining on your base, which I wouldn't have necessarily expected. So, that's what I was really trying to get at. And I guess you are suggesting that maybe that's less V11s in the mix is driving that or?

Martin Kits van Heyningen

Management

Correct, yes.

Rich Valera

Analyst

What's driving the less V11s. Is that more people doing Agiles and you don't get V11s on agile or is that the…

Don Reilly

Management

We do get the 11s on Agile. The big thing is that, the HCS is our newest product and it's a V7. So, the V7 HCS has much better global coverage than the old V7. So, there are fewer cases where you absolutely need a V11 and the V11 is not an HCS compatible product. So, we've seen a mix change to the V7 HCS.

Rich Valera

Analyst

Got it. And then just wanted to address the full year guidance. I mean, obviously, you maintain that and sort of at the mid-point of your full year EBITDA $14 million, you'd need to do roughly $10 million of EBITDA in the back half after doing call it $4 million in the first half, which should be kind of a 2.5x increase. So, just wanted to kind of understand what's driving it. I'm presuming it's going to be a pickup in shipments on the inertial side, guess to move the needle that rapidly I would think. That's what's got to happen. So, just wanted to confirm that's the case and sort of what your visibility is to that presumed ramp of shipments on the inertial side in the back half?

Don Reilly

Management

Yeah, so I think you are right. The biggest driver on the second half of the year will be shipments out of our inertial NAV segment. We have -- as we've said, a really strong backlog where basically selling out our capacity. We're at the first and second quarter adding capacity for the last half of the year, so that we can meet all of our -- ship all the orders that we have. But the momentum is really strong.

Rich Valera

Analyst

Got it. Okay, thanks. Thank for taking my questions.

Operator

Operator

We'll go next to Ric Prentiss, Raymond James.

Ric Prentiss

Analyst

Thanks. Good morning guys. Couple of questions one that will be short-term, one medium term and one long term. Continuing on the previous questions, what would it take to hit the high-end of the guidance versus obviously right now you are kind of running at the low-end of the guidance on revenue. And how important is the backlog to kind of determine where you'd end up at the end of the year on that revenue guidance?

Martin Kits van Heyningen

Management

Yes. We have a fairly, for a company our size, we have a fairly complicated business where there are lot of different parts. So, when we look at the short and long-term, sorry the high and low-end of the guidance, you know there is scenarios for each product line and each business group from inertial to TACNAV to TracVision to TracPhone, airtime content training, so a lot of different moving parts. So, there is not a single easy answer to your question. So, we -- everything is a probably why it's high low for each business segment. So, there is not one -- which is also a good thing, there is not one single thing that we're depending on, you know this year. As you know in past years, we were overly dependent on large TACNAV orders. That's not the case this year. The business is more diversified.

Don Reilly

Management

But TACNAV continues to be really lumpy business and while we -- those large international orders are not included in our forecast, but we do have on the upside more TACNAV business then on the downside.

Ric Prentiss

Analyst

And the risk to the number as far as if the backlog and the installation process, doesn't improve, are a risk to the numbers?

Martin Kits van Heyningen

Management

Yes. But I think it's captured in the downside. I think that the -- you know there is, you know, clearly if we don't increase the pace of the Agiles we won't see the economic benefits. The backlog also is a little bit at risk, because we need to increase our production in our fiber optic gyros facility. We don't think any of those are big risk, but they clearly are risks.

Don Reilly

Management

And then one other point to keep in mind, in some respects with respect to Agile, we can be victims of our own success. So, if Agile -- the Agile momentum continues or increases, that will be great for our long-term business, but it will put pressure on our short-term business. So, risk to our full year could be that agile grows, continues to grow even greater than our expectations, but that could come at the expense of product sales, that we would have expected to record the share.

Ric Prentiss

Analyst

And so, we become a growth company, right? Handle the growth. Second question in the medium term, Iridium is getting closer to getting their full constellation up, I think launch 6 is scheduled for another week and half or two weeks or so. What do you see happening with the Iridium Certus product? And how does that play into kind of your medium-term sales outlook?

Martin Kits van Heyningen

Management

Well, we like Iridium. We're partnered with them. We have 100s, if not thousands iridium customers. We use Iridium as a backup service, because every ship at sea always wants to have two methods of communications onboard and we use Iridium for that backup. And as a result, we have many gigabytes of Iridium capacity. We're working with them on their new Certus product, so we expect to transition to that when it's ready, which we think will be an improvement over fleet broadband, because it's global, so we're looking forward to that going live. So, we're bullish on that.

Ric Prentiss

Analyst

Is that something you could see affecting the numbers in 2019 or is it in 2020 kind of timeframe just trying to think when you might see the benefit?

Martin Kits van Heyningen

Management

Yeah. It's not a big. You know, for us, it's not a large revenue contributor. It's more because people -- the good news about our VSAT service is it's incredibly reliable. So, people don't use the backup channel at all, or rarely. So, that it doesn't really drive a lot of revenue for us. So, it's a hardware sale. The new service -- the new sort of equipment is a bit more expensive, so we should see a bit more hardware revenue. But we don't expect a big uptick in the Iridium airtime rate. However, as we increase the number of units fielded and they benefit from that as well, because a lot of those will go Iridium in addition to our VSAT.

Ric Prentiss

Analyst

Got it. And then one other team you touched on a little bit or looking at the possibility of getting manufacturing and distribution with the FOG, chip, autonomous vehicles. What are your thoughts as far as the timeline on sort of how we should think about working with the foundries, working with commercial packaging and kind of updating kind of what the timeline we should be watching on that as?

Martin Kits van Heyningen

Management

Right. So, we're working hard to try and get a sort of tangible milestone this year which is a package part that we can hand to a potential customer. So, we are working currently with two different foundries with two separate processes both have already delivered prototypes that are looking very good. So, we expect next samples in the next 30 days or so from one of the foundries and about another month or two from the second foundry, so we're staggering the two foundries and we're working with independent packaging company to a third party that just does packaging to try and optimize that. So, I think that we're on the schedule that we set out at the beginning of the year, so no show stoppers have been identified. We continue to make progress and the next big milestone is a packaged working product.

Ric Prentiss

Analyst

Okay. We'll stay tuned to watch for that. Have a good day.

Operator

Operator

And we'll go next to Chris Quilty with Quilty Analytics.

Chris Quilty

Analyst

Question for Don; did you give them any VSAT margins for the quarter and could you also provide for Q4, I was looking at my model and I seem to have missed that last quarter?

Don Reilly

Management

Sure. So, I don't know if I gave out airtime margins, but I can tell you for the quarter they were just under 37% for first quarter and for fourth quarter, I think they are just a little bit higher than that. I want to say close to 40%. Just give me a second to look that up.

Chris Quilty

Analyst

Okay. Also, while you dig in through there the guidance and stabilization backlog?

Don Reilly

Management

Just over $13 million.

Chris Quilty

Analyst

So, just over $13 million.

Don Reilly

Management

Yes.

Chris Quilty

Analyst

Okay. So, Martin just to circle back on some of the U.S. military assured PNT programs and the kind of pipeline you're working on there and testing. I know in the past we talked specifically about the AMPV which at one point I have my notes was like a potential $30 million opportunity whether those are my numbers or yours and of course the JLTV. Can you talk through both of those individual programs and where you are in terms of penetrating into the programs or being funded or an add on part of the programs and are there any other big ones I'm missing?

Martin Kits van Heyningen

Management

Sure. AMPV is a program that we won. So, we're designed in, we've been working closely with BAE. On the vehicles, we've delivered I want to say on the order of maybe 30 of our TACNAV systems and we put those into their vehicles and the vehicles themselves are in the process of being qualified and production is scheduled to start next year and it's expected to be on the order of 3000 vehicle program. So, for us that is in the $30 million to $40 million range. And JLTV to my knowledge has not, does not have a discrete navigation solution requirement. So, for most of the U.S. military vehicles are now anticipating that it'll be part of this larger assured PNT program where there is going to be a navigation solution with an integrated back up and anti-jam capability and that'll be applied across all vehicles. So, the total target there is huge, huge number of vehicles potentially hundreds of thousands of vehicles.

Chris Quilty

Analyst

Okay. So, can we talk about your position and role in the assured PNT program, I mean you've indicated that you've been testing while, do you sense of how larger the field of competitors are going against and any kind of timeline on when the office makes selections or receives funding?

Martin Kits van Heyningen

Management

I would say at this point we don't have a timeline that the government has signed up for. So, I really can't shed any light on that. Because the program is so large they tend to move very slowly to the point where individual groups may break rank and do something quicker, so whether that's the marine corps, SOCOM, or the rapid deployment groups there are opportunities in the near term for us and we've been pursuing those and a lot of trials that we've been doing in the last few months have been related to those who're not actually part of the bigger program, but part of the same solving the same problem but doing it faster.

Chris Quilty

Analyst

So, target SOCOM once, they buy it the marines buy it then you're pushing that and maybe and then eventually the army.

Martin Kits van Heyningen

Management

What you are describing is how a lot of these programs work, projects work those smaller groups can move quicker and then a bigger group gets the benefit of seeing the results and it helps drive the procurement, help drive the requirement so was always a benefit to being in the early stages and that's what we're trying to do.

Chris Quilty

Analyst

Okay. Speaking of military and VSAT, I mean Coast Guard is a big anchor customer I know you also had some placement with the navy. Is there are there any discussions that you have ongoing to transition those customers from your legacy network to an HTS network?

Martin Kits van Heyningen

Management

I think in general the -- yes, as a short answer. But I think in general we're re-evaluating our whole defense opportunity because on the earlier platform it was a non-standard technology, the new platform lends itself to be more compatible with military applications or they need standardized encryption for example. So, we are looking at ways we can increase our defense presence which today has been outside the ones you mentioned has been extremely small. So, we're looking at that as the potential opportunity.

Chris Quilty

Analyst

Okay. And final question maybe this is Don again, did you give the number for the content revenue in the quarter and if there is any thoughts or discussion there in terms of either new products or services or the impact that the AgilePlan transition is having on the overall content sales?

Don Reilly

Management

So, no. I didn't give it. I could tell you that it was about $7.6 million, $7.7 million combined roughly the same as last year.

Martin Kits van Heyningen

Management

So, in terms of new product there Chris in the fourth quarter we launched our Videotel performance manager which is brand new software platform, which includes the back-end, which is really critical development for us and that's been very well received. We added a couple of thousand in Q1 on to the new platform. We have a total of about 3800 vessels now on the new platform. So, we're getting a very rapid uptake and that's critical. So, we expect that to sort of return that business to grow after being flattish to even slightly down in 2017. So, we're expecting to see growth again because of the new software platform.

Chris Quilty

Analyst

Great. Thank you very much.

Don Reilly

Management

The answer to your first quarter margin question is 37.4%.

Operator

Operator

And we have no further questions in queue at this time. So, I hand the call back over to our speakers for any additional or closing remarks.

Martin Kits van Heyningen

Management

Great. Thanks for your time today and as always, we'll be happy to talk to you one on one.

Operator

Operator

That does conclude today's conference, we thank you for your participation.