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Transcript
OP
Operator
Operator
Good morning and welcome to the KKR Real Estate Finance Trust Inc.’s Fourth Quarter and Full Year 2018 Financial Results Conference Call. All participants will be in listen-only mode. [Operator Instructions] Please also note, today's event is being recorded. I would now like to turn the conference over to Sasha Hamilton. Please go ahead.
SH
Sasha Hamilton
Analyst
Thank you. Welcome to the KKR Real Estate Finance Trust earnings call for the fourth quarter 2018. I'm joined today by Chris Lee and Matt Salem, our Co-CEOs; Patrick Mattson, our COO; and Mostafa Nagaty, our CFO. I would like to remind everyone that we will refer to certain non-GAAP financial measures on the call, which are reconciled to GAAP figures in our earnings release and in the supplementary presentation, both of which are available on the Investor Relations portion of our website. This call will also contain forward-looking statements, which do not guarantee future events or performance. Please refer to our most recently filed 10-K precautionary factors related to these statements. Before we start, we found the computational error in the company's 2018 annualized non-GAAP financial measures, net core earnings and core earnings and related per share amounts. We filed an amended 8-K this morning with the corrected annualized earnings numbers in the earnings release and supplementary presentation. No other information has been modified. We also intend to file an amended 10-K shortly. We apologize for any inconvenience that this may have caused. Before I turn things over to Chris, I'll provide a quick recap of our results. For the full year 2018, our GAAP net income was 87.3 million or $1.58 per share. Net core earnings was 100 million or $1.81 per share. For the fourth quarter 2018, our GAAP net income was 19.7 million or $0.34 per share. Net core earnings were 22.2 million or $0.38 per share. Book value as of December 31st was $19.66. In January, we paid a dividend of $0.43 per share with respect to the fourth quarter. Based on yesterday's closing stock price of $20.21, the dividend reflects an annualized yield of 8.5%. Our Board is scheduled to meet in mid-March to discuss the first quarter dividend and we will make an announcement shortly thereafter. With that, I would now like to turn the call over to Chris Lee.
CL
Chris Lee
Analyst
Thank you, Sasha. Good morning, and thank you for joining us for our fourth quarter earnings call. 2018 was a milestone year for our company. It marked our first full calendar year as a public company and our fourth full year of operations since we began our investing activities in October 2014. We originated a record 2.7 billion of senior floating-rate loans during the year, an 84% increase over 2017 loan originations. We grew our portfolio to 4.1 billion as of December 31st, two times increase from the end of 2017 and more than a three times increase from the second quarter of 2017, when we completed our IPO. And on the right side of the balance sheet, we've significantly improved the cost and structure of our liabilities, and we increased our total funding capacity during the year by 2.3 billion to 4.1 billion. 2019 is off to a busy start. We closed a $76 million loan in January and have also built up a robust pipeline of opportunities. Matt will provide more details on our investment activity shortly. The macroeconomic backdrop for our business remains favorable. In 2018, commercial real estate transaction volume reached the second highest annual level since the global financial crisis. We also continue to see strong demand for real estate by global institutional investors as evidenced by dry powder in the value add and opportunistic real estate funds increasing to over 180 billion compared to 150 billion at the end of last year and a low of 100 billion coming out of the financial crisis. Overall, the underpinnings of real estate capital flows have remained strong and support our strategy of lending on transitional assets in larger liquid markets to experienced sponsors. Before I touch on our goals for 2019, let me review our 2018…
MS
Matt Salem
Analyst
Thanks, Chris, and good morning, everyone. I'll start by discussing our investment activity. The fourth quarter was a record origination quarter for us, capping our record year. We originated seven floating rate senior loans, totaling 908 million. These loans are collateralized by six multifamily properties located in New York, Queens, Philadelphia, West Palm Beach and San Diego and by an upscale hotel in Fort Lauderdale. The weighted average LTV and coupon for these loans are 69% and LIBOR plus 3% respectively. And on a levered basis, the loans had a weighted average underwritten IRR of 12.1% at spot LIBOR, which is consistent with our existing portfolio. These loans fit our program of light transitional lending to institutional sponsors in major markets. As Chris mentioned, in 2018, we originated 2.7 billion of senior loans compared to 1.5 billion last year. The 19 loans have a weighted average LTV and coupon of 70% and LIBOR plus 3%, respectively. And we're originated to generate a weighted average IRR of 11.9% on a levered basis. The loan is secured by mix of property types, including multifamily, office, industrial and hospitality located across major markets. Multifamily and office property types represent 92% of total 2018 origination volume. Importantly, our average loan size is also increasing, with an average of 144 million in 2018, up 16% compared to last year. Our brand awareness and market presence have improved in 2018, which has led to increased market penetration. In this competitive market, we differentiate ourselves through non-economic variables like speed, certainty and creativity, as it relates to structuring around complexity. We have also developed a strong reputation, as being responsive partner to our borrowers, during the post close face the loan, which is driving significant repeat business across our portfolio. Four of the seven loans this quarter…
PM
Patrick Mattson
Analyst
Thank you, Matt and good morning, everyone. Our portfolio, which totaled 4.1 billion at the end of the quarter has a weighted average risk rating of 2.9 on a five-point scale consistent with the prior quarter, and we have no loans with a rating above a 3. As of quarter end, 98% of the portfolio was invested in LIBOR-based floating rate loans, which positions us well to benefit from increases in short-term interest rates. Additionally, our loans generally feature LIBOR floors, minimizing the impact of interest rate decreases. Looking at the right-hand side of the balance sheet, we continue to optimize our financing. As Chris mentioned, in the fourth quarter, we closed $1 billion managed CLO. The closing of our inaugural CLO transaction represents another important step in diversifying our financing sources and increasing our total non-mark-to-market financing capacity. The CLO provides the company with 810 million of match-term financing on a non-mark-to-market and non-recourse basis. It is a two-year reinvestment feature with an 81% advance rate at a weighted average running cost of capital of LIBOR plus 1.36% before amortized cost. The scale and quality of our loan portfolio positions us to execute this market leading financing at an attractive cost of capital. KKR Capital Markets has been instrumental in helping us explore funding options and improve the cost and structure of our liabilities. In addition to the CLO, working with the capital markets team in 2018, we put in place $1 billion matched term, non-mark-to-market and non-recourse term loan financing facility. We also closed on a $200 million match term non-mark-to-market asset specific financing facility. And in the fourth quarter, we added a new $100 million unsecured corporate revolving credit facility replacing a $75 million secured revolver. The attractive cost of these various funding options allows us to…
OP
Operator
Operator
[Operator Instructions] And today's first question comes from Jade Rahmani of KBW.
JR
Jade Rahmani
Analyst
Thanks very much. At the outset, can you give any color into how KKR is thinking about its interest in KREF noting that the shares have been registered? Have gotten some questions from investors about this and I think this -- some clarity could potentially be constructive to the stock price.
CL
Chris Lee
Analyst
Hey, Jade. Good morning, it's Chris. We can't really comment much about KKR's investment in KREF because it's clearly not within the control of this management team. I think what we would say is, it continues to be a large strategic position for KKR, I think number one. Number two, KKR is a prudent seller of any shares in any of the portfolio companies that we have either ceded or have sponsored overtime. So I think you can look to some of the historical precedence over the last 42 years, as we've transitioned companies to the public. But I think, you can think about anything that KKR does with shares, it will be in a responsible manner and it is a -- although it's a core position, it is not a position that is outsized from a KKR perspective. So it's something that will be managed prudently when it -- really at the discretion of the leadership of KKR and et cetera.
JR
Jade Rahmani
Analyst
Do you know if they have any concerns about the commercial real estate cycle and what may play out later this year with respect to trajectory of interest rates and if that will influence how they're thinking about it?
CL
Chris Lee
Analyst
Yes. No, the firm is very constructive in terms of supporting the real estate business and this is just one position of the broader approximately $1 billion of balance sheet allocated to the KKR Real Estate business. So if you listen to any of the KKR earnings call, this is a strategic business for the firm. It's a business that is strategic in terms of growth in the KKR's earnings outlook in the future. So it is a business that the firm will continue to support and that will continue to allocate capital and resources to in the future.
JR
Jade Rahmani
Analyst
And just a follow-up on that point. On their call, they did mention launching other strategies in real estate credit. Beyond these pieces, can you elaborate on that and how KREF may play in that?
CL
Chris Lee
Analyst
Yes, I mean, we can't talk about any in-progress fundraising. I think what I would continue to say is that KKR will continue to add adjacent products, products that are synergistic with our existing businesses that could be across real estate credit or in real estate equity, and most likely those new strategies will be supported by the balance sheet of KKR. We can't really talk about any other existing strategies, other than any strategies that we add will likely be synergistic and additive to anything that we're already doing today.
JR
Jade Rahmani
Analyst
In terms of the earnings outlook with the spike in 1Q repayments and the decline in the portfolio that seems likely, do you anticipate fully earning the dividend out of net core earnings this year and do you see any potential for a dividend increase later in the year?
PM
Patrick Mattson
Analyst
Hey, Jade, good morning. It's Patrick. Thanks for the question. Just a comment on the dividend, as we've said, we've set the dividend based on our expectation of taxable earnings for the year and obviously, we increased it last year based on that assumption as well as kind of our outlook for origination pipeline. And I think if you look at where we are on a leverage basis today, obviously, we've got some additional capital to deploy. But based on a full deployment, we feel confident in the dividend that we've set today, and expect as we realize on this pipeline and the benefit of those loans or on the balance sheet that will be at a point where we're in coverage of the dividend.
OP
Operator
Operator
And our next question today comes from Steve Delaney of JMP Securities. Please go ahead.
SD
Steve Delaney
Analyst
Good morning, and thanks for taking the question. Leverage moved up very nicely in the fourth quarter from 1.9 to 2.6 at year end. Just curious if you could comment on how much higher you expect that to go in 2019. I assume the CLO contributed to the more robust leverage as well? Thanks for -- any comments going forward, where that 2.6 might move to? Thank you.
PM
Patrick Mattson
Analyst
Good morning, Steve, it's Patrick. I'll take that. You're right. As we've added some of the non-mark-to-market financing, including the CLO, we've been borrowing at a closer to four times leverage ratio. And so, we were 2.6 at the end of the year as we continue to gravitate more toward -- more of these non-mark-to-market financing, I expect us on a total leverage ratio to be in that north of 3 to 4 times range.
SD
Steve Delaney
Analyst
That's very helpful. Thank you, Patrick. And then just kind of tied into that, if you look at your balance sheet as we sit today, given the repayments and the one I think you had 100 million or so in loans, and 300 million come in. When you look at your capacity right now, could you estimate the capacity to fund net new loans with the existing balance sheet?
PM
Patrick Mattson
Analyst
Sure. Estimate right now is about $1 billion of new loans.
SD
Steve Delaney
Analyst
1 billion. Okay.
OP
Operator
Operator
And our next question today comes from Kelly Wang of Citi.
KW
Kelly Wang
Analyst
Thanks for taking my question. Could you just talk about this broad dynamic, are you seeing a moderation of the compression? Or just how should we think about it going forward?
MS
Matt Salem
Analyst
Hi. Yes. Thanks for the question. It’s Matt. I'll answer it, and maybe touch on couple of other points as well in terms of just the broader market and how it's impacting the portfolio. The market continues to be competitive, but it is disciplined, and to your point, we haven't seen the spread compression that we experienced in the first half of 2018. In terms of impact of some of the competition in the first quarter, I think that first quarter volumes will be a little low, but that's going to be due to really seasonality as well as some of that volatility that we saw in the fourth quarter of last year. And as we look out in the pipeline, it feels pretty robust. We still expect 2019 originations to be in line with last year. I know there's been a couple of comments around repayments and we are seeing a higher level of repayments as our portfolio seasons and our borrowers execute on their business plan. So given the larger loan size both in originations per quarter and repayments per quarter can be lumpy, but we expect repayments of call $300 million to $500 million per quarter this year.
KW
Kelly Wang
Analyst
Great. And could you maybe just talk about like general competitive market and where do you see the most attractive opportunities in terms of locations and property types?
MS
Matt Salem
Analyst
Yes, I think, well, say number one, as we have gravitated higher in loan size, we think that's the most attractive part of the market. It offers the highest quality borrowers as well as real estate and at the same time has the least amount of competitors. So I think from a size perspective, you saw us grow to around 16%, up to 140 -- over 140 million this year in average loan size. So I think you'll continue to try to see us move higher to take advantage of those dynamics. I don't think from a markets perspective or a property type perspective, we're really looking into change much. If you look at our origination last year, I think if you look at it this quarter, it will be focused predominantly on the multifamily and the light transitional lending and the office segment as well. And we've always been more of a top 30 lender. We want to play in the more liquid, more transparent markets we think over time that will prove out to be a higher quality credit. So from that perspective, I think you'll just see us do a little bit more of the same.
KW
Kelly Wang
Analyst
Okay. And in terms of the timing of the deals in 4Q, were they quarter end weighted or were they just spread throughout the quarter?
PM
Patrick Mattson
Analyst
This is Patrick, they were spread out through the quarter, but they were more oriented towards the back end of the quarter. So we didn't get the full impact of those originations until the first quarter.
OP
Operator
Operator
[Operator Instructions] Today's next question is a follow-up from Jade Rahmani of KBW.
JR
Jade Rahmani
Analyst
Thanks. Based on the elevated level of 1Q repayments, do you anticipate early prepayment income in the first quarter?
CL
Chris Lee
Analyst
Yes. This is Chris. We expect it to be a little bit episodic. We will have a combination, sometimes prepayment income will be associated, but what we will see is the acceleration of any unamortized OID. So you should expect to see that become a little bit more normalized, when we get on a more normal repayment schedule like Matt mentioned earlier and that will sometimes be lumpy, depending on the size or the tenure of the loan that gets repaid, but it will become a little bit more normalized in 2019.
JR
Jade Rahmani
Analyst
When were the 1Q repayments originated? Just generally speaking.
CL
Chris Lee
Analyst
I think we had some is 2016, '17...
MS
Matt Salem
Analyst
'16 and '17.
CL
Chris Lee
Analyst
’17.
JR
Jade Rahmani
Analyst
Okay. So based on that, there shouldn't be much acceleration of unamortized fees?
MS
Matt Salem
Analyst
That's pretty seasoned.
CL
Chris Lee
Analyst
No, there'll be some, especially on some of the 2017 because you have -- these are usually three-year initial based terms. So you'll have some unamortized over -- if the loan gets paid off in two years and the amortization period was three years, you will have some.
JR
Jade Rahmani
Analyst
Okay. Separately, are you seeing any concessions that lenders are making on origination fees and/or structure?
MS
Matt Salem
Analyst
Hey, Jay. It’s Matt. I don't think we're seeing anything material that hasn't kind of been in the market on the fee side when we start there. I don't think -- there's not really any change over the last few quarters. Our fees ranged from -- our upfront fees will range from 50 basis points to a point generally, as an origination fee and it's just individual deal dynamics, determine that range, and on more the structure side, I don't think we're seeing anything different over the last few quarters. The market feels disciplined to us, some of the loan term -- some people are giving longer based terms, but again, we play and invest in really that -- really light transitional part of the market. So these -- a lot of the properties are largely stabilized. So you can see a little bit more base terms outside of that and I wouldn't say there's anything material.
JR
Jade Rahmani
Analyst
Did any of the volatility that played out in December impacted the market, did you see a pause, do you anticipate that impacting 1Q volumes. Has there been any impact on the pipeline?
MS
Matt Salem
Analyst
Yes. I mentioned this I think earlier. I do think it slowed things down for the first quarter. I mean, the first quarter is always a little bit slow, just given clearly holidays and some of the conference schedules, but I do think that will have an impact and push our total origination volume more weighted toward post first quarter or towards the end of the first quarter. So I do see an impact from that. But outside of just a delay, a slight delay and the timing of our originations, I don't see -- I don't think it really had a material impact on where we stand today in terms of spreads and market dynamics.
OP
Operator
Operator
And our next question comes from Don Fandetti of Wells Fargo.
DF
Don Fandetti
Analyst
Hi, good morning. I was wondering if you could dig in a little bit more on, as you talk to large private real estate buyers of transitional properties, given the volatility, then the fed pausing, which could arguably create more deal velocity, I mean what are you hearing from the private side? Are they spooked by what happen? Are they still confident? What’s sort of your expectation over the next 12 months in terms of the behavior of the buyers of these properties?
CL
Chris Lee
Analyst
Hey, Don, it's Chris. I think what we saw at the end of the year, I think gave people a little bit of pause, but I think coming back in the fed, change in their tone has clearly settled down the market a lot. We, number one, see a fair amount of dry powder that's still sitting on the sidelines and it's effectively allocated to the value add and opportunistic space. We are in that business as well. So you have a dynamic of people who are in the market looking to buy properties, but I think the second part is you have legacy funds where people need to sell properties as well. So we saw last year was a very healthy real estate capital markets and we expect this year to be quite healthy when you think about the combination of equity dry powder, you have a healthy debt capital market, whether it's in banking or in the transitional lending space and then you have active sellers on the other end as well. So we expect this year to be pretty target-rich from a deployment perspective. And I'd say the last comment is because spreads have compressed over the last couple of years, you have a lot of existing owners that are looking to refinance properties that are outside of their call protection period. So some of the loans that we are making are bridge loans to take out construction loan, or sometimes another bridge lender, and we're also seeing that where some of our take-outs are not necessarily sales of properties, but someone taking us out to execute maybe a safer or less risky stage of the business plan. So we actually think this year sets up quite well for the transitional lending segment.
OP
Operator
Operator
And ladies and gentlemen, this concludes your question-and-answer session. I'd like to turn the conference back over to Sasha Hamilton for any closing remarks.
SH
Sasha Hamilton
Analyst
Thank you, again for joining us on the call this morning. If you have any follow-up questions, feel free to reach out to me directly. Thank you.
OP
Operator
Operator
And thank you. Today's conference has now concluded, and we thank you all for attending today's presentation. You may now disconnect your lines and have a wonderful day.